INTERNACIONAL
Canada stares down consequences of Trump tariff war: Job losses, grocery price hikes, possible recession
Canada is bracing for the fallout of President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war, with economists warning of spiking grocery prices, major job losses and even a potential recession if threatened U.S. tariffs take effect.
The United States is Canada’s largest trading partner, accounting for nearly two-thirds of Canadian imports and receiving over 70% of its exports. But under Trump’s new «liberation day» tariffs – 25% on Canadian goods and 10% on energy – Ottawa now faces an economic gut punch that could ripple across key provinces, industries and its national election campaign.
Trump has repeatedly blasted what he calls «unfair» trade practices, citing Canada’s trade imbalance with the U.S. to justify the sweeping tariffs.
«This is the beginning of liberation day in America,» Trump said last week. «We’re going to charge countries for doing business in our country and taking our jobs, taking our wealth, taking a lot of things that they’ve been taking over the years. They’ve taken so much out of our country, friend and foe. And, frankly, friend has been oftentimes much worse than foe.»
TRUMP’S 11TH WEEK IN OFFICE SET TO FOCUS ON TARIFFS AS PRESIDENT TOUTS ‘LIBERATION DAY’
Canadians protest U.S. tariffs and other policies of President Donald Trump in Toronto on March 22, 2025. (REUTERS/Carlos Osorio)
Increased tariffs could mean that Americans will see higher price tags on everything ranging from fertilizer and oil, vehicles and machinery, to plastic and wood products, which, theoretically, would deter consumers from purchasing those products and result in a loss for Canada’s economy.
Likewise, Canada in mid-March implemented reciprocal tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, which means Canadians will not only feel losses on a macro scale but also in an immediate sense as prices at the grocery store have spiked on things like leafy greens, citrus, orange juice, beef, pork and fish.
Ottawa has yet to announce any tariffs on U.S. imported vehicles due to reported concerns over how it could further hinder Canada’s economy. Though there are some $95 billion worth of U.S. goods that it is reportedly considering putting tariffs on, depending on Trump’s April 2 announcements, according to Canadian outlet Financial Post.
«They’re in the midst of a general election campaign,» Andrew Hale, a senior policy analyst in trade policy with the Heritage Foundation, told Fox News Digital. «I think it’s very difficult for them to negotiate and put these measures on during an election campaign.
«Everything they do and say now carries electoral weight,» he added, noting that Canadian politicians will need to strike a careful balance: tough enough on Trump to appeal to voters but measured enough to leave room for future negotiations on tariffs.
«If they were to put on reciprocal tariffs, it would damage the Canadian standard of living and have an impact – as all this already is having an impact – in Canada,» Hale said, noting that auto tariffs not only affect direct car sales but all businesses that rely on vehicles, creating a trickle-down effect.
CANADIANS CLAIM THEY ARE CANCELING TRIPS TO US FOR REMAINDER OF TRUMP TERM
Canadian Liberal Party leader Mark Carney speaks to supporters during a rally in Montreal on March 27, 2025. A federal election has been called, and Canadian voters go to the polls on April 28. (Andrej Ivanov/Getty Images)
While Trump has argued that his tariffs protect U.S. manufacturing – especially the auto sector – the fallout could be far more severe for Canada. Immigration Minister Marc Miller has warned that up to 1 million Canadian jobs are at risk.
«Most Canadians live within 100 miles of the U.S.-Canadian border, and so they obviously will be heavily impacted,» said Hale. «Most Americans don’t.»
Hale noted that while the tariffs will affect the entire U.S., the hardest-hit areas will be industries closely tied to Canadian imports, such as agriculture. The U.S., for instance, sources 90% of its potash fertilizer from Canada.
«This will have a disproportionate impact on border states,» Hale said, but he added that the economic strain on Canadian regions like Ontario will be far greater.
Canadian leaders have already voiced concern that as many as 160,000 jobs could be lost in Quebec, along with another 500,000 jobs in Ontario, depending on how long the tariff dispute lasts.
Both Quebec and Ontario are two of the provinces expected to be among those hardest hit in Canada as they rely heavily on their steel and aluminum and lumber and forestry sectors for exports.
A worker loads logs onto a truck at the Western Forest Products Ladysmith Log Sort in Ladysmith, British Columbia, Canada, on Feb. 18, 2025. Canada is the U.S.’ biggest foreign lumber supplier and has already been dealing with higher duties on its shipments that started last summer. (James MacDonald/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Canada could face a recession this year if it can’t rein in Trump’s tariff offensive, Oxford Economists first warned in a report last November.
Previous tariff wars between trading partners during the first Trump administration resulted in billions of dollars of losses for Americans and their foreign counterparts.
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But Trump is banking on the U.S. being less severely affected than nations like Canada.
The full impact of the tariff war with Canada remains uncertain as Washington has also imposed steep tariffs on the European Union, China and Mexico. Trump has pledged to target the «Dirty 15,» which are countries he accuses of contributing most to the U.S. trade deficit.
Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam are expected to be among those next targeted in Trump’s April 2 tariff announcement, which he has dubbed «liberation day.»
Details on what Trump’s next steps in his tariff war with Canada and dozens of other nations remain unknown ahead of the April 2 deadline, which has created a sense of uncertainty, Hale said.
«Last week’s Bureau of Economic Analysis Reports signaled a continued high core personal consumption expenditure PC inflation at 2.8%. So inflation, one could argue, is not coming down, and certainly price levels continue to rise,» he said. «Consumer spending has slowed sharply in both Canada and the United States.»
President Donald Trump delivers remarks after signing an executive order on reciprocal tariffs in the Oval Office on Feb. 13, 2025. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
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«Businesses want certainty. They can’t make future investment decisions in this climate,» he added, noting that while a recession could be on the horizon in Canada, there are too many variables to make a prediction on the U.S. at this time.
«What I do know is that businesses and banks, people who are investing in projects, want to be able to plan,» Hale said. «Hopefully, we’ll have a clear idea [on Tuesday] where this is all going to land, and then we can work with it.»
INTERNACIONAL
Twelve states sue Trump over tariffs, claiming they’re ‘illegal’ and harmful to US economy
President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs are facing a major legal challenge from New York and 11 other states, who argue the president overstepped his authority and put the U.S. economy at risk by imposing them without congressional approval.
Filed in the U.S. Court of International Trade, the lawsuit challenges Trump’s use of emergency powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad tariffs on imports from countries worldwide.
«Once again, Democrats like Letitia James are prioritizing a witch hunt against President Trump over protecting the safety and wellbeing of their constituents,» White House spokesman Kush Desai wrote exclusively to Fox News Digital. «The Trump Administration remains committed to using its full legal authority to confront the distinct national emergencies our country is currently facing—both the scourge of illegal migration and fentanyl flows across our border and the exploding annual U.S. goods trade deficit.»
The 12 states, however, argue that the Constitution gives Congress, not the president, the power to impose taxes and tariffs, and that IEEPA was never intended to authorize trade policy on this scale.
LONGTIME TRUMP FOE LETITIA JAMES REVIEWING POSSIBLE INSIDER TRADING OVER PRESIDENT’S TARIFF PAUSE
Twelve states are suing the Trump administration over tariffs. (BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images)
«President Trump’s reckless tariffs have skyrocketed costs for consumers and unleashed economic chaos across the country,» said Gov. Kathy Hochul. «New York is standing up to fight back against the largest federal tax hike in American history. Attorney General James and I are partnering on this litigation on behalf of New York consumers, because we can’t let President Trump push our country into a recession.»
«The president does not have the power to raise taxes on a whim,» said New York Attorney General Letitia James. «His tariffs are unlawful and, if not stopped, they will lead to more inflation, unemployment, and economic damage.»
Since February 2025, Trump has signed multiple executive orders imposing new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China, and nearly all other U.S. trading partners.
The administration cited national emergencies as the basis for the tariffs, including drug trafficking, illegal immigration, and unfair trade practices. The states in the lawsuit claim the president’s justifications are vague and legally insufficient.
The IEEPA, enacted in 1977, allows presidents to respond to specific international threats, such as terrorism or hostile foreign actors. But according to the lawsuit, no president in the 48 years since its passage has used it to impose tariffs.
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The complaint argues that the new tariffs were imposed without congressional approval or the necessary legal findings to justify sweeping trade actions.
The lawsuit also claims that tariffs are not connected to any specific «unusual and extraordinary» threat, as required under IEEPA, which the Trump administration cited as its authority. The states claim the tariffs will significantly raise consumer prices, drive inflation, lead to job losses, and create widespread economic instability.
President Donald Trump speaks during an event to announce new tariffs in the Rose Garden at the White House, Wednesday, April 2, 2025, in Washington, as Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick listens. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)
The legal challenge doesn’t just focus on economics. It argues the tariffs are unconstitutional because they usurp congressional authority over taxes and trade. The lawsuit also claims the administration’s shifting policy — which they claim is often modified by executive orders or social media — has created chaos in trade and financial markets.
Supporters of the Trump administration say the tariffs are a bold move to protect American industries and correct longstanding trade imbalances.
At a February 2025 press conference, President Trump said, «We took in hundreds of billions of dollars [with past tariffs]… It’s going to make our country rich,» framing the measures as a continuation of his America First economic agenda.
But the lawsuit paints a different picture of legal overreach and a lack of transparency. It argues that if President Trump’s actions are allowed to stand, any future president could impose taxes under the label of emergency authority, bypassing Congress entirely.
President Donald Trump speaks during a «Make America Wealthy Again» trade announcement event in the Rose Garden at the White House on April 2, 2025, in Washington, DC. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
Gov. Hochul and Attorney General James, both vocal critics of the Trump administration, have frequently clashed with the president over a range of issues, from immigration to environmental policy. This latest lawsuit marks another high-profile confrontation.
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Alongside New York, the attorneys general of Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, and Vermont have joined the case.
The coalition is asking the court to block further enforcement of the tariffs and declare the orders invalid under both the Constitution and federal law.
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Los escenarios de un cónclave marcado por el secretismo: de las chances de un primer papa africano a la opción del «Francisco asiático»
El cónclave que elegirá al sucesor de Francisco tendrá la compleja misión de marcar el rumbo futuro de la Iglesia católica tras 12 años de un pontificado histórico.
Hay varios posibles caminos que se bifurcan en el cuerpo cardenalicio: mantener el progresismo que inició Jorge Bergoglio; profundizar esa senda reformista con la elección de otro papa no europeo, quizás africano o asiático del mismo perfil; buscar un consenso, una especie de transición con una figura moderada que equilibre las luchas internas, o dar un brusco giro de 180 grados con el regreso a un conservadurismo clásico.
Leé también: Miles de fieles le dan el último adiós al papa Francisco en la Basílica de San Pedro
“Hay varias cosas que se analizan y piensan en un cónclave. Hay muchas aristas y claves: la cuestión pastoral, ideológica, la lucha conservadora-progresista y el peso que tiene el papa anterior. Esas son las variables principales”, dijo a TN el periodista y escritor Marcelo Larraquy, autor de dos libros sobre el papa Francisco, “Recen por él” y “Código Francisco”.
¿La hora de África?
En Italia ya se comienza a hablar de un papa italiano. El último fue Juan Pablo I con su efímero papado de 33 días en 1978.
Desde entonces han pasado dos europeos (Juan Pablo II, polaco; Benedicto XVI, alemán, y un sudamericano de ascendencia italiana, Francisco). La pregunta es si ya es hora de que la Iglesia mire hacia otro continente.
El cónclave tendrá la difícil de misión de marcar el rumbo de la Iglesia católica (Foto: EFE)
Algunos cardenales ya lo esbozan en voz alta. “El resultado del cónclave podría traer algunas sorpresas. El papa Francisco fue una sorpresa, no estaba en los pronósticos. Y fue una hermosa sorpresa”, dijo el arzobispo de San Pablo, cardenal Odilo Scherer.
Para el purpurado brasileño, el nuevo pontífice podría venir de un lugar inesperado. “No me sorprendería que el nuevo Papa viniera de un continente distinto a Europa o América. La Iglesia Católica está en todo el mundo”, dijo a la radio CBN.
Leé también: Reformistas vs. conservadores: quiénes son los candidatos con más posibilidades de suceder a Francisco
Larraquy cree que el progresismo, en teoría, tiene ventaja en el futuro cónclave. ¿El motivo? Francisco dejó la vara muy alta. “La agenda climática, la agenda 2030 de la ONU y el posicionamiento a favor de los migrantes no son posturas conservadoras. ¿Podríamos tener un papa que avale las razzias de Trump contra los inmigrantes en Estados Unidos?“, se preguntó.
Africanos conservadores o un asiático con proyección hacia China
En ese escenario, crecen las voces que señalan la posibilidad de un “papa africano”, el primero de la historia.
“Es muy difícil volver atrás con la popularidad que tuvo este papa que abandonó el estilo de la Iglesia de Ratzinger. Pero los africanos son muy conservadores. No veo que tengan la apertura del papa”, dijo Larraquy.
Leé también: Club Atlético Papa Francisco: el sueño que nació en plena pandemia y hoy salva vidas en Villa Soldati
Una variable podría ser un “papa asiático”. Aquí todas las miradas apuntan al filipino Luis Antonio Tagle, de perfil progresista y cercano al pensamiento inclusivo de Francisco.
El cardenal filipino Luis Antonio Tagle (Foto: Reuters/Guglielmo Mangiapane)
“Esto permitiría una proyección hacia China, que es el gran objetivo de la Iglesia. Es algo que está muy pensado”, dijo Larraquy.
La opción sería el italiano Pietro Parolin, secretario de Estado del Vaticano, un hábil negociador y considerado un moderado entre los cardenales con derecho a voto. “Parolin está muy atento a China”, detalló el periodista.
Quiénes son los cardenales africanos “papables”
En ese universo de 33 cardenales africanos solo un puñado es visto como “papable”. La mayoría tiene un marcado perfil conservador. Ellos son:
- Fridolin Ambongo (Congo). El arzobispo de Kinshasa, de 65 años, fue nombrado cardenal por Francisco en 2019. Integra el Consejo de Cardenales, un grupo cercano a Francisco, aunque es considerado un tradicionalista. Por ejemplo, rechazó las bendiciones a parejas del mismo sexo impulsadas por Bergoglio. Según dijo, las “uniones de personas del mismo sexo son intrínsecamente malas”.
El cardenal Fridolin Amongo Besungu se retira tras recibir la birreta roja de tres picos del papa Francisco durante un consistorio en la Basílica de San Pedro, en el Vaticano, el 5 de octubre de 2019 (Foto de archivo: AP)
- Robert Sarah (Guinea). A los 79 años, es el ex jefe de la oficina de liturgia del Vaticano. Es conocido por sus posturas conservadoras y, bajo ese posicionamiento, calificó de “herejía” las bendiciones a parejas del mismo sexo. Ha alertado en varias ocasiones sobre “la amenaza” del islam.
El cardenal Robert Sarah asiste a la presentación del libro del cardenal Raymond Leo Burke, «El amor divino hecho carne», en Roma, el 14 de octubre de 2015. (Foto AP/Andrew Medichini, Archivo)
- Peter Ebere Okpaleke (Nigeria). De 62 años, es sabida su cercanía con Francisco, aunque con un perfil más moderado y de centro. Fue nombrado canciller por Benedicto XVI. Las trabas impuestas por su país le impidieron asumir el cargo hasta el pontificado de Bergoglio.
Peter Ebere Okpaleke, cardenal nigeriano (Foto: cortesía/National Catholic Center)
- Peter Turkson (Ghana). Peter Kodwo Appiah Turkson tiene 76 años. Posee un perfil progresista. Hasta 2021, estuvo encargado del Dicasterio para el Servicio del Desarrollo Humano Integral. Posee amplia experiencia en el Vaticano. Su trabajo estuvo centrado en áreas como la justicia social, la ecología y el desarrollo humano integral.
En este marco, las posibilidades de tener un “papa africano” se inclinan más hacia el conservadurismo clásico que al reformismo de Francisco. Habrá que ver hacia dónde decanta la balanza del cuerpo de cardenales para saber si el nuevo pontífice vendrá de una región nueva, repetirá en América Latina o regresará finalmente a Europa.
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POLITICA1 día agoEl Gobierno de la Ciudad quiere renombrar “Papa Francisco” a la estación Catedral del subte
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POLITICA3 días agoMurió el papa Francisco, líder espiritual y político del siglo XXI
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