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The Tennessee ‘waltz’: Republicans and Democrats dance around meaning of special election results
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Democrats waltzed into Tennessee and tried to swipe the seat held by Former Rep. Mark Green, R-Tenn., this week.
Winning special elections for House seats is a delicate dance. But Rep.-elect Matt Van Epps, R-Tenn., defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn by nine points.
House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., noted that the Cook Political Report rates that district to favor the GOP by about 10 points.
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«It’s not an R-plus-25. The President won it by 22 points. It’s actually rated to be a slightly Republican district. So, winning it by nine points is almost exactly on the nose of what we might expect,» said Johnson.
In other words, Republicans won the special election by the precise margin expected. That’s even though Republicans fretted that a Democratic surge could serve as a weather vane as to how popular the party is, if there are dents in the Trump coalition and what the path looks like in the 2026 midterms.
«Democrats put millions of dollars in. They were really trying to set the scenario that there’s some sort of wave going on. There’s not. We just proved that there’s not,» said Johnson.
Representative-elect Republican Matt Van Epps delivers his victory speech at Millennium Hotel Maxwell House Nashville Dec. 2, 2025, in Nashville, Tenn. (Brett Carlsen/Getty Images)
Maybe. Maybe not. Special elections are special. A snapshot of where a given district stands at a point in time — often without the benefit of the regular electorate, which shows up in November every two years. That’s why House special elections are sometimes closer than what can be expected in the general. And the party out of power often dumps truckloads of cash into these contests to win.
If nothing else, it forces the other party to burn lots of money too. But trying to make a race seem important gins up the base and concocts an illusion that things aren’t going well for the other side. Maybe people believe that voters are fed up and are demanding a change.
A special election is kind of like checking the score of a football game partway through the second quarter. Maybe one team’s passing game is really clicking. That may dictate the outcome. But we haven’t yet seen the two fumbles in the second half. That’s to say nothing of the botched snap on the field goal and blocked punt.
A lot can happen.
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Frankly, flipping seats in House special elections is arduous. The party out of power in the House or opposite of who occupies the White House often makes a race of it. That can signal a weakness in the party in power or even the president as you approach the next election. One of the best examples of this came in 2017. House Democrats came close to flipping four special elections in solid Republican seats ranging from Montana to Kansas to South Carolina to Georgia.
But Democrats didn’t capture any of those seats.
However, Democrats did make a few of them closer than you might think.
In fact, one of the best examples involved Rep. Ron Estes, R-Kan.
President Donald Trump tapped former Rep. Mike Pompeo, R-Kan., to serve as CIA director and, later, secretary of state. Estes ran to succeed Pompeo. Pompeo won his district with 61% of the vote in 2016. Estes held off a challenge from Democrat James Thompson, vanquishing his opponent by six points and scoring 52% of the vote.
Despite the defeat, Democrats and political observers noted the relative strength of Thompson in the special election. Many wondered if this was an omen about a 2018 Democratic wave.
President Donald Trump and Matt Van Epps (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images; Nicole Hester/The Tennessean/USA Today Network via Imagn Images)
But the Kansas district is a Republican stronghold. Democrats gained control of the House in the 2018 midterms. However, Estes won re-election the next year by nearly 19 points.
And despite the clamor surrounding special elections, there have truly only been four major «flips» in House special elections in the past 18 years. And one of those in a Hawaii special election was an anomaly where the Republican won in a three-way contest while two Democrats siphoned votes from one another.
But back to Tennessee.
Could Democrats have scored more success with a moderate candidate? Behn was progressive. A centrist may have had a better shot at winning a district like this, especially when one considers the success of Virginia Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., last month.
DEMOCRATS’ SURGE IN TENNESSEE THROWS NEW UNCERTAINTY ONTO GOP’S 2026 HOUSE MAP
Could a Van Epps win encourage other Republicans to quit? The House majority will be 220-214 once Johnson swears him in on Thursday. But some in the GOP are itching to leave. They may think there’s enough of a cushion, even though Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., departs in January.
Fox is told there are several House Republicans who want to head for the exits. Some are upset at the White House controlling the entire agenda and Johnson keeping the House at bay for weeks during the government shutdown. Another factor: President Trump’s approach to the war in Ukraine.
Moderate Republicans may look at the Tennessee result and insist on the party addressing healthcare in the coming weeks. That’s a looming factor considering that Democrats withheld their votes to fund the government over healthcare this fall. It’s also possible that moderate Republicans in California and New York might see the relative Democratic strength in this contest as a signpost that they face a tough re-election next year. As we said, Democrats flipped the House seven years ago after coming close in several special elections.
Republican nominee Matt Van Epps delivers a victory speech after winning a special congressional election in Tennessee’s 7th District, Dec. 2, 2025, in Nashville, Tenn. (Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
Then there is redistricting and gerrymandering. The Van Epps win underscores the concept that drawing favorable lines for your party works.
But this redistricting took place several years ago. Tennessee Republicans drew former Rep. Jim Cooper, D-Tenn., a Blue Dog, and any other Democrat out of a Nashville-area district. The GOP trifurcated Nashville and the suburbs, diluting the Democratic vote among several GOP districts. That served as a safety valve to assure a GOP win Tuesday. It also explains the risks of the current wave of redistricting by both parties. Plus, it underscores how redrawing the lines can make some contests closer than they should be.
Both sides are now dancing around with interpretations of what unfolded Tuesday. Republicans say this is why they will hold the House next year. Democrats say they won – even though they lost. And that’s why they will capture the House in the midterms.
Call it the Tennessee «waltz.»
But special elections loom in Texas, New Jersey and Georgia.
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It’s doubtful that those seats are in play.
So don’t expect the Texas Two-Step, the Garden State Stomp or The Night The Lights Went Out In Georgia.
democrats,elections,republicans elections,tennessee,house of representatives politics,politics,midterm elections
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Israeli intelligence sources reject claims Jeffrey Epstein was Mossad operative following document releases
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A wave of recent reporting and newly released documents detailing the relationship between former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak and Jeffrey Epstein has reignited claims that Epstein worked for Israel’s Mossad, a theory Israeli intelligence sources and senior political leaders are forcefully rejecting.
Ex-Israeli intelligence officials told Fox News Digital that Epstein never worked for Mossad, describing the allegation as baseless and inconsistent with how the agency operates.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly pushed back on the claims, writing on X: «Jeffrey Epstein’s unusual close relationship with Ehud Barak doesn’t suggest Epstein worked for Israel. It proves the opposite.»
PRINCESS SOFIA OF SWEDEN BREAKS SILENCE ON EPSTEIN ENCOUNTERS AFTER DOJ FILE RELEASE
In the same post, Netanyahu escalated his criticism, writing: «Stuck on his election loss from over two decades ago, Barak has for years obsessively attempted to undermine Israeli democracy by working with the anti-Zionist radical left in failed attempts to overthrow the elected Israeli government.»
Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett also sharply dismissed the accusations, writing: «As a former Israeli Prime Minister, with the Mossad having reported directly to me, I say to you with 100% certainty: The accusation that Jeffrey Epstein somehow worked for Israel or the Mossad ran a blackmail ring is categorically and totally false. Epstein’s conduct, both the criminal and the merely despicable, had nothing whatsoever to do with the Mossad or the State of Israel. Epstein never worked for the Mossad.»
Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak is seen in this handout image from the estate of late financier and convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, released by Democrats on the House Oversight Committee on Dec. 12, 2025. (House Oversight Committee Democrats/Handout via Reuters)
Ex-Mossad director Yossi Cohen also rejected the claims in a podcast interview with The Free Press, saying Epstein had «absolutely nothing» to do with the Mossad — «not an agent, not an operative, nothing.»
The strong denials come amid renewed scrutiny of emails, financial records and communications included in U.S. Justice Department materials and other public reporting, none of which indicate that Epstein cooperated with Israeli intelligence.
Barak, who served as prime minister from 1999 to 2001 and later as defense minister in Netanyahu’s government, has become one of Netanyahu’s most vocal political opponents.
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Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak during a press conference on July 25, 2019, in Tel Aviv. (Amir Levy/Getty Images)
In a statement to Fox News Digital, Barak’s office fired back, describing Netanyahu’s remarks as politically motivated and reiterating that he regrets ever meeting Epstein while denying any wrongdoing.
«Barak has repeatedly and publicly stated that he regrets ever meeting Jeffrey Epstein. There is no credible allegation—none—that Barak engaged in any illegal or inappropriate conduct,» the statement said.
Barak’s office also called Netanyahu’s attacks «the desperate acts of a failed and panicked politician» and «a pathetic attempt to divert attention from his catastrophic record,» accusing the prime minister of attempting to shift blame for national failures.
Newly surfaced materials continue to document Barak’s personal and professional interactions with Epstein, including stays at Epstein’s New York apartment and meetings arranged through the financier.
EXCLUSIVE: EPSTEIN EMAILS RELEASED AS DOJ SAYS NO CRIMINAL OR INAPPROPRIATE CONDUCT BY TRUMP
Jeffrey Epstein was found dead in federal custody in 2019. (New York State Sex Offender Registry via AP, File)
Emails cited in document releases describe the apartment as being used by Barak and his then-wife during visits to the United States, with staff coordinating logistics and maintenance requests tied to the property.
Other communications referenced financial ties and introductions facilitated by Epstein, including meetings with prominent business figures, as well as broader correspondence and internal notes referencing allegations, warnings and speculation surrounding Epstein’s activities.
Barak has acknowledged meeting Epstein multiple times and said he regrets the association. In a previous interview, he said he never witnessed improper behavior and never participated in anything illegal.
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«At times during my occasional visits to the United States, I was sometimes a participant in a breakfast or lunch or dinner at his New York townhouse, together with respected American public figures,» Barak said. «At no point in my dealings with him did I ever witness any improper behavior, and I certainly never participated in anything like that.»
jeffrey epstein,israel,benjamin netanyahu,anti semitism
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Transición en Venezuela: Delcy Rodríguez eliminó por decreto programas sociales y entes emblemáticos del entramado chavista
La sucesora del dictador narco Nicolás Maduro, Delcy Rodríguez, eliminó siete organismos del entramado construido por el chavismo durante más de dos décadas, incluyendo programas sociales, fundaciones y un organismo de coordinación de inteligencia y seguridad del Estado.
La decisión quedó establecida en el Decreto N.º 5.248, que ordena la supresión y liquidación de entes adscritos al Ministerio del Poder Popular para el Despacho de la Presidencia y Seguimiento de la Gestión de Gobierno.
Entre las entidades eliminadas destacan:
- Centro Estratégico de Seguridad y Protección de la Patria (Cesppa): fue creado en 2013 y centralizaba la coordinación de información sobre seguridad, defensa, inteligencia, orden interno y relaciones exteriores. Su función era “unificar el flujo informativo sobre los aspectos estratégicos sensibles” del Estado.
- Fundación Propatria 2000: se encargaba de la ejecución de obras de infraestructura, rehabilitación de espacios públicos y proyectos especiales. Es la entidad suprimida con más denuncias de corrupción. Entre 2013 y 2015, el proyecto “Gimnasios Verticales” fue señalado por adjudicar contratos millonarios a empresas sin experiencia y con vínculos irregulares, algunas investigadas por lavado en Colombia y Panamá. Algunas investigaciones revelaron sobreprecios, obras inconclusas y transferencias sospechosas desde el Banco de Venezuela a la fundación. Se estima que parte de los fondos se desviaron a través de contratistas cercanos al régimen.
- Fundación Misión Jóvenes de la Patria “Robert Serra”: impulsaba proyectos de formación, producción y emprendimiento dirigidos a la población juvenil. Su desaparición deja sin soporte institucional a programas de desarrollo de jóvenes gestionados desde el despacho presidencial.
- Oficina Presidencial de Planes y Proyectos Especiales (OPPPE): fue creada en 2011 para coordinar y ejecutar acciones de desarrollo urbanístico, arquitectónico y paisajista. Diversos reportes han denunciado contrataciones directas y sin licitación en proyectos emblemáticos como el mausoleo de Bolívar y otras obras inconclusas o sobrevaloradas. Transparencia Venezuela y otras organizaciones han señalado opacidad en la asignación de contratos y desvío de fondos.
- Fundación José Félix Ribas (Fundaribas): activa desde 1986 en la prevención y tratamiento del consumo de drogas.
- Fundación Movimiento Bolivariano Revolucionario de la Reserva Activa General en Jefe Félix Antonio Velásquez: desde 2016 impulsaba programas de desarrollo socio-productivo en áreas agroalimentarias, farmacéuticas e industriales.
- Misión Socialista Nueva Frontera de Paz: creada en 2015 para la atención de zonas fronterizas y de seguridad.
El decreto ordena el inicio inmediato del proceso de liquidación de estos organismos y la conformación de una junta que supervisará el cierre administrativo, la revisión de bienes y la adecuación institucional.
“Se ordena la supresión y el inicio del proceso de liquidación de los entes adscritos al Ministerio del Poder Popular para el Despacho de la Presidencia y Seguimiento de la Gestión de Gobierno”, indica el texto oficial.
Algunas funciones no desaparecen, sino que serán reasignadas. Por ejemplo, el trabajo de prevención de adicciones de Fundaribas pasará a la Fundación Misión Negra Hipólita. La gestión de la Misión Socialista Nueva Frontera de Paz será responsabilidad de la cancillería. Otros entes, como el Cuerpo Nacional Contra la Corrupción y la Fundación Movimiento por la Paz y la Vida, fueron transferidos al Ministerio de Interior, Justicia y Paz, mientras que la Fundación Radio Miraflores queda bajo el Ministerio de Comunicación e Información.
La lista incluye también el Consejo Nacional para el Desarrollo de las Comunidades Afrodescendientes, ahora bajo el Ministerio de Educación, y el Instituto de Altos Estudios del Pensamiento Hugo Chávez, que pasa al Ministerio de Educación Universitaria.
El documento sostiene que esta reorganización “resulta obligatoria para adecuar la gestión pública a los objetivos actuales”. El proceso entró en vigencia el mismo día de la publicación en la Gaceta Oficial y marca un cambio en la administración de programas sociales, estructuras de seguridad y fundaciones históricas del chavismo.
South America / Central America
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Democratic lawmakers say President Donald Trump’s redistricting gambit is backfiring as Virginia’s Democratic-controlled Senate advanced new congressional maps that could chip away at the House GOP’s majority.
The Virginia Senate voted 21-16 along party lines on Wednesday to pass a set of new congressional maps that would leave just one Republican district in play.
Republicans currently hold five.
To Republicans like Rep. Rob Wittman, R-Va., that’s too drastic a swing for a state that only has 11 districts to begin with. Even in light of similar redistricting pushes in Texas, California and other states, Wittman believes Virginia’s case is unique.
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters and members of the media at Mar-a-Lago on Feb. 1, 2026, in Palm Beach, Fla. (Al Drago/Getty Images)
«This partisan power grab is not reflective of Virginia. Virginia is a 6-5 congressional delegation: six Democrats, five Republicans. And now they want to go to 10 Democrats, one Republican — 92%,» Wittman said.
«They’re going to disenfranchise most Virginians, if not all of them, that are Republican or independent.»
Despite the size of the change the maps would bring, Democrats believe it’s just the latest continuation of a fight that Trump started.
«You have to fight fire with fire,» Rep. Suhas Subramanyam, D-Va., told Fox News Digital.
«The voters that I’m talking to feel that we can’t just sit back and be victims of redistricting. I don’t think this would be happening unless [Trump] pushed for redistricting in Texas and other red states,» Subramanyam said.
When asked if he thinks the changes would go too far, Subramanyam said he thinks Republicans will have a chance to press their case at the ballot box.
«If Republicans can win over the hearts and minds of Virginians, they will have a good cycle. It’s a very volatile map in that sense, and so I know many have argued that this is actually fair. I would say that it’s certainly a map where, if Republicans campaign well and their message resonates, they can win too,» Subramanyam said.
Since Trump urged lawmakers in Texas to push through a map change in July 2025, state legislatures across the country have explored ways to squeeze out a congressional advantage where control of the House hangs by a two-seat thread.
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Rep. Suhas Subramanyam, D-Va., speaks during a news conference on Oct. 14, 2025. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images)
Virginia’s map change, on its own, would give Democrats a path to flipping control of the chamber in November.
But the maps aren’t a sure thing. Their implementation turns on pending legal battles about whether the shakeup complies with the state’s constitutional requirements, according to a complaint filed late last year.
On Friday, the Virginia Supreme Court ruled that the redistricting consideration could continue while it deliberates over a final ruling on whether the maps are permissible.
To become official, maps will also require a statewide constitutional referendum. Under current law, Virginia’s constitution outlaws gerrymandering, the practice of drawing congressional districts to purposefully benefit a political party.
Subramanyam said the referendum gives voters a chance to express their will.
«It will come down to the voters. One good thing in Virginia is that people will have a say and can vote on the referendum in April. Folks in Texas, like where my family still lives, didn’t have a choice,» Subramanyam said, noting that Texas’s redistricting push didn’t require a constitutional amendment and was decided purely by the legislature.
Wittman believes the fact Virginia is looking to upend its own constitution should make the reshuffle a foregone conclusion.
When asked whether he sees Virginia’s redistricting question as a consequence of the redistricting in Texas, Wittman said the two situations differ because of existing state law.
JEFFRIES SAYS GOP ‘DONE EFF’D UP IN TEXAS,’ VOWS THEY WON’T WIN FIVE SEATS: ‘THEY CAN’T IGNORE IT’
Sen. Phil King, R-Texas, displays a map during a Special Committee on Congressional Redistricting public testimony hearing on Aug. 7, 2025, in Austin. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
«Each state has their own constitution as to how they put together their congressional districts. Virginia’s is very clear. A super majority of voters — 66% of the voters — said we want a bipartisan redistricting commission. That’s Virginia,» Wittman said, referring to the 2020 vote in Virginia that outlawed gerrymandering.
«Texas is doing what Texas and its constitution allow,» he added.
Upon teeing up that referendum, Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger framed the action as a way to give Virginians a voice in a national debate over congressional redistricting.
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«Virginia voters deserve the opportunity to respond to nationwide attacks on our rights, freedoms and elections… I trust Virginia voters to respond,» Spanberger said in a statement.
Voters in the state will consider whether to «temporarily adopt new congressional districts to restore fairness in the upcoming elections» on April 21.
congress,virginia,democratic party,politics
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