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Fox News/NORC Study: Voters look to 2028 focused on the economy

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After the midterm elections, attention will turn to the 2028 race for the White House. What is on voters’ minds as they look ahead to the next presidential election?

Most Republicans want the next president to follow President Donald Trump’s policies, if not his style. Nearly 4 in 10 MAGA Republicans want Trump’s successor to emulate both, and about half want the next president to follow his policies alone. Non-MAGA Republicans are less enthusiastic: 45% want his policies to continue, but only about 15% of non-MAGA Republicans want a president with the same style.

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Independents prefer something entirely different: 6 in 10 want the next president to break with both Trump’s policies and his style. Likewise, few Democrats want to see either his style or his policies repeated.

Even as the Democrats have won control of the Senate and the House of Representatives, and Trump finds his approval rating at 39%, a bloc of voters remains loyal to the president and is likely to influence the 2028 campaign. While half of voters want a successor who does not emulate his style or follow his policies, 26% want a president who will carry on his policies, and another 12% want the next president to copy his policies and his style.

VOTER POLL: 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS USHER IN A BLUE WAVE AS DEMOCRATS WIN CONTROL OF CONGRESS

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Looking ahead, voters across party lines say improving economic conditions is the most important issue for the country to address over the next five years. Six in 10 voters feel they are holding steady financially while about 3 in 10 feel they are falling behind. Few, about 1 in 10 voters, feel they are getting ahead financially. Voters who describe their own financial situation as less than satisfactory, or say they are falling behind, are more likely to name the economy as the top issue.

What should Tuesday’s winners prioritize once sworn into office? When asked what is most important for newly elected officials to work on first in 2027, 3 in 10 voters want elected officials to address grocery costs. About 2 in 10 want action on gas prices, and a similar share say they should work on healthcare and prescription drug costs.

Slightly fewer are concerned about housing costs, while about 1 in 10 want officials to address electricity and other utility costs.

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Voters are closely divided on whether the country can look forward to better days or if the good days are behind us. And it’s linked to how they’re feeling financially. About two-thirds of those who say they are getting ahead financially are optimistic about the future. However, about two-thirds of voters who are falling behind financially think the country’s best days are in the past.

Beyond the economy, priorities diverge. About 1 in 5 Democrats point to access to affordable healthcare, while about a similar share of Republicans say protecting individuals from government overreach is the top issue. About 1 in 10 independents say the country should address the affordability of healthcare, and about the same share say government overreach.

Voters are divided over AI’s effect on the U.S. economy during the next 10 years. About 4 in 10 say it will be harmful, while 3 in 10 expect benefits. About 1 in 10 expect AI to make no difference, while slightly more, about 2 in 10, are unsure. About 4 in 10 expect AI to negatively affect the environment and the arts and entertainment industry.

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About half of voters want substantial changes in how the country is run. Party identification shapes how much change voters want and which branches of government they think most need reform. Democrats are about three times as likely as Republicans to want complete upheaval of how the country is run. Half of democratic socialists favor complete and total upheaval, compared with about 1 in 10 MAGA Republicans.

In the 2024 Voter Analysis conducted for the presidential election, most Republican voters said they wanted substantial change or total upheaval. Now, with a Republican in the White House and their party controlling both houses of Congress, they are less eager for major change.

VOTER POLL: HOW DEMOCRATS TOOK CONTROL OF THE SENATE

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Overall, 4 in 10 voters think Congress should be substantially reformed, including three-quarters of MAGA Republicans and half of non-MAGA Republicans. Democrats are less likely to say Congress needs reform, but half say the executive branch should be improved. Few voters in either party want changes to the Constitution. Democrats are more likely than Republicans or independents to say the Supreme Court needs reform.

Voters across party lines support term limits for Congress and Supreme Court justices. Democrats favor abolishing the Electoral College, but Republicans and independents are less enthusiastic. Most Republicans support limiting mail voting to people physically unable to vote in person. MAGA Republicans are more supportive of limiting mail voting than non-MAGA Republicans (63% vs 40%). Democrats oppose the idea, regardless of whether they support the Democratic Socialists of America.

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The expansion of artificial intelligence has triggered some public backlash against AI data centers. Voters are divided on whether AI will help or hurt during the next 10 years. More Democrats say the technology will be harmful while more Republicans expect benefits.

Among Republican voters, MAGA Republicans are more enthusiastic about AI than non-MAGA Republicans. Forty-five percent of MAGA Republicans believe AI will help the U.S. to compete with other countries, and another 4 in 10 feel AI will do more to help the economy.

Among Democrat voters, supporters of democratic socialism and those who do not support the movement are similarly likely to feel AI will help aspects of American society. However, supporters of democratic socialism are more likely than other Democrats to feel AI will do more to hurt than help.

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Overall, 6 in 10 voters are extremely or very concerned about the effect of data centers on the price of utilities in the communities where they are being built. About half are concerned about the effect of data centers on pollution of natural resources, land development or the health of the local population, regardless of whether they live near a data center. Democrats are more concerned about the effects of data centers than Republican voters, again, regardless of their proximity to the facilities.

Voters across party lines support requiring companies to pay for electric grid upgrades needed for their data centers, increasing government regulation of AI, and limiting AI in schools. Most Democrats and independents oppose building a data center in their community. Most voters also oppose local construction, whether their county already has a data center.

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The economy is a top issue for most voters, yet 4 in 10 say they could support a candidate whose economic views differ from their own.

After the economy and jobs, nearly 6 in 10 voters see healthcare as an important issue, and about 6 in 10 would not support a candidate who disagrees with them on healthcare policy. About half could not back a candidate whose views on Israel and the Palestinians differ from theirs. Overall, about 6 in 10 say they could never support a candidate they disagree with on abortion, guns, or immigration.

Explore the results here: https://civichealth.norc.org/crosstabs.html

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The NORC Civic Health & Elections Project (CH&EP) is a national survey of registered voters conducted Oct. 26 through Nov. 3, 2026, with 113,020 interviews. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The margin of sampling error for the national sample, including the design effect, was ±0.5 percentage points for voters and ±1.2 percentage points for nonvoters. Margins of sampling error for individual states and subgroups vary based on sample size.

politics, polls, donald trump, republicans elections, economy, midterm elections

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El Niño ya cambia la vida bajo el océano: detectan especies tropicales inesperadas en el Pacífico

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Medusas peine, sifonóforos, peces y cangrejos propios de aguas más cálidas comenzaron a aparecer frente a la costa central de California. Científicos del Instituto de Investigación del Acuario de la Bahía de Monterey (MBARI) vincularon esos avistamientos con el avance de un El Niño de gran intensidad, que ya modifica las condiciones del océano en el Pacífico.

El respaldo de esa transformación llegó desde una boya oceanográfica instalada frente a Monterey Bay: un instrumento situado a 60 metros de profundidad registró 18,18 ℃ (64,72 ℉), la cifra más alta en casi cuatro décadas de mediciones en ese punto.

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El hallazgo combina una señal física —el aumento inusual de la temperatura— con otra biológica: la llegada de fauna que suele habitar latitudes tropicales o más australes. Para los investigadores, ambas observaciones muestran que el fenómeno ya está alterando el ecosistema marino de California.

El anclaje M1, situado sobre la boca del cañón de Monterey, ha registrado una afluencia anómala de agua cálida, un indicio de la llegada de El Niño. (Todd Walsh)

El episodio adquiere relevancia más allá de las costas de California porque El Niño es un patrón del Pacífico con efectos sobre la atmósfera, el nivel del mar, las lluvias y los recursos marinos en distintos puntos del planeta. En Sudamérica, y particularmente en la Argentina, su evolución suele ser seguida por la incidencia que puede tener sobre los regímenes de precipitaciones, la producción agropecuaria y la planificación ante eventos climáticos extremos.

El agua profunda superó el máximo que había dejado El Niño de 1997

La serie de observaciones de MBARI comenzó en 1989. Desde entonces, una boya llamada M1 registra en forma casi continua datos del océano y la atmósfera en el centro de la Bahía de Monterey, sobre la entrada del cañón submarino del mismo nombre. El punto de anclaje se encuentra a unos 1.100 metros de profundidad, mientras que los instrumentos distribuidos a lo largo del cable miden temperatura, salinidad, oxígeno, clorofila, corrientes y otras variables.

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GO-BGC ha desplegado cerca de 500 flotadores autónomos que proporcionan datos en tiempo casi real sobre la salud de los océanos a escala global. Esta red ha sido fundamental para realizar un seguimiento del fortalecimiento de El Niño en el Pacífico ecuatorial. (GO-BGC)

El nuevo registro, obtenido a 60 metros bajo la superficie, superó la marca anterior del 19 de noviembre de 1997, durante otro evento fuerte de El Niño. De acuerdo con el científico senior Francisco Chávez, los valores se ubicaron más de 7 ℃ por encima del promedio de largo plazo y el calentamiento estuvo acompañado por un incremento de 16 centímetros en el nivel del mar local.

Chávez sostuvo que los instrumentos de la boya M1 confirman para Monterey Bay una previsión que ya anticipaba un evento excepcional en el Pacífico ecuatorial. “Los datos oceanográficos y las observaciones biológicas muestran con claridad que un El Niño fuerte llegó a la costa central de California”, señaló el especialista.

Desde 1989, los instrumentos instalados en el anclaje M1 del MBARI han recopilado datos meteorológicos y oceanográficos de forma casi continua. (Lori Eanes Monterey Bay Aquarium)

El aumento de temperatura en profundidad tiene una explicación física. Durante El Niño, se debilitan los vientos alisios que habitualmente empujan las aguas superficiales cálidas del Pacífico hacia Asia. Parte de esa masa de agua retorna hacia América y modifica la estructura vertical del mar. La termoclina —la franja que separa las capas más cálidas de las frías— se hunde, con consecuencias directas sobre la disponibilidad de nutrientes.

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La menor llegada de nutrientes puede reducir el alimento en la cadena marina

En condiciones normales, el ascenso de aguas profundas y frías aporta nutrientes a la superficie, donde alimentan al fitoplancton. Esa base microscópica sostiene buena parte de la red alimentaria marina. Cuando la termoclina se profundiza, el aporte pierde fuerza y baja la productividad en superficie.

Los investigadores del MBARI suelen observar el sifonóforo Athorybia durante su trabajo de campo en México. (Anik Grearson 2026 MBARI)

Los investigadores siguieron ese proceso con una red internacional de flotadores robotizados del programa Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Array (GO-BGC). Los dispositivos toman mediciones en tiempo real sobre la salud del océano y permitieron advertir, hacia fines de septiembre, una combinación que suele anticipar el fortalecimiento de El Niño: agua más cálida, menos dióxido de carbono disuelto y una reducción de nitratos.

A esos cambios químicos se sumó una caída pronunciada de la clorofila, utilizada como indicador de biomasa de fitoplancton. Ken Johnson, uno de los responsables de GO-BGC, explicó que los flotadores permiten comparar el estado de los ecosistemas antes, durante y después del fenómeno, una secuencia clave para comprender transformaciones de mayor alcance en el océano.

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El efecto puede prolongarse varios meses. En Monterey, el calentamiento máximo suele coincidir con el invierno, cuando la productividad del mar ya es menor. Sin embargo, las consecuencias biológicas más marcadas pueden sentirse en primavera, cuando la escasez de nutrientes impacta sobre organismos que dependen de las floraciones de plancton.

Las especies tropicales ya comenzaron a aparecer frente a California

Los indicios biológicos fueron visibles antes de que el fenómeno alcance su punto máximo. En una expedición cerca del monte submarino Davidson, un equipo de MBARI observó una medusa peine alada del género Ocyropsis y un sifonóforo rosado, Athorybia rosacea. Son especies más frecuentes en aguas tropicales, como las de Hawái o México, y poco habituales frente a la costa central californiana.

El ctenóforo Ocyropsis en las aguas tropicales de Hawái. (Steven Haddock 2026 MBARI)

Durante tareas de mantenimiento de la boya M1, los buzos también encontraron cardúmenes de peces media luna, una especie asociada con mayor frecuencia al sur de California. A mayor profundidad, el vehículo operado a distancia Doc Ricketts detectó juveniles de cangrejo rojo pelágico, Grimothea planipes, una presencia que el equipo no había registrado tan al norte.

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También hubo una observación breve de varios calamares de Humboldt. El desplazamiento de esa especie resulta relevante porque, en episodios anteriores, su expansión modificó la composición de la fauna pelágica y afectó poblaciones de merluza del Pacífico, de interés comercial. La llegada de aguas cálidas puede comprimir las áreas de alimentación de ballenas cerca de la costa y alterar la disponibilidad de presas para aves marinas.

Los cambios alcanzan incluso el fondo oceánico, según antecedentes de monitoreos realizados a unos 4.000 metros de profundidad frente a California. El alimento que llega a esas zonas —partículas orgánicas que descienden desde la superficie— depende de la productividad de las capas superiores. Por eso, una alteración iniciada en el fitoplancton puede trasladarse con el tiempo a comunidades de aguas profundas.

El Niño tiene efectos que exceden la biología marina. Las anomalías de temperatura y nivel del mar pueden aumentar los riesgos de inundaciones costeras, mientras que los cambios en distribución y abundancia de especies inciden sobre las pesquerías y las economías vinculadas al mar.

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MBARI y otros sistemas de observación de California comenzaron a centralizar datos de boyas, planeadores submarinos e instrumentos costeros en un tablero específico sobre El Niño. La iniciativa reúne a investigadores de la costa norte y central californiana con el objetivo de aportar información actualizada a autoridades, planificadores costeros y comunidades pesqueras.

El Niño

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Ted Cruz says ‘blue tsunami’ took over Texas after Democrats swept statewide races

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Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, delivered a scathing assessment on Wednesday of Republicans’ sweeping midterm election losses, describing the results as a «blue tsunami» and warning that his party had lost touch with voters, particularly in the Lone Star State.

In a lengthy post on X, Cruz acknowledged that Republicans had suffered historic defeats, losing control of both chambers of Congress while Democrats swept statewide races in Texas.

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«2026 was not simply a blue wave; it was a blue tsunami. It was an ass kicking,» Cruz wrote. «It was not simply a bad 2006 midterm election. It was a Watergate-level repudiation.»

His blunt assessment came after a landmark Democratic breakthrough in traditionally Republican strongholds across the country, including in his home state, where Democrats won every statewide race, ending decades of Republican dominance.

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«Nowhere are the consequences of this election greater than Texas,» Cruz wrote. «In the Lone Star State, we lost every single statewide election.»

«Texas is blue. That is a hard sentence to utter. But Texas, today at least, is blue,» he continued. 

Democrats scored two major victories in Texas, with James Talarico defeating Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race — marking the first Democratic Senate victory in the Lone Star State in nearly four decades — and state Rep. Gina Hinojosa unseating longtime Republican Gov. Greg Abbott, according to the Decision Desk.

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TRUMP’S GAMBLE ON KEN PAXTON BACKFIRES AS DEMOCRAT PULLS OFF HISTORIC TEXAS SENATE UPSET

Cruz argued that Republicans’ political defeat stemmed from their failure to address growing frustration over the cost of living, as voters continued struggling with everyday expenses.

«Food is too high, gas is too high, diesel is too high, insurance is too high, life is too high,» he wrote.

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«Understandably, people were pissed off, and elected Republicans didn’t do enough to address their very real pain,» Cruz said.

He also criticized tariffs and the prolonged war with Iran, arguing that both had contributed to voter frustration.

CONSERVATIVES STUNNED BY ‘CATASTROPHIC’ MIDTERM BLUE TSUNAMI, BLAME TRUMP’S IRAN WAR, HIGH GAS PRICES

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He said Republicans had lost support among blue-collar workers, young voters, farmers, ranchers and Hispanic voters, while evangelical Christians failed to turn out with the same enthusiasm as in previous elections, concluding that his party had «alienated rural America.»

Cruz said he called Talarico after the election to congratulate him on his victory.

«Last night, I called James Talarico. I congratulated him on his very impressive victory,» Cruz wrote, adding that the two had a «pleasant conversation» and that he was willing to work with the Democrat on issues benefiting Texas.

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Despite the sweeping losses, which also included Democratic wins in the state’s lieutenant governor and attorney general races, Cruz expressed optimism that Republicans could regain ground in Texas.

DEMS SEIZE THE SENATE AS BLUE TIDAL WAVE CRASHES DEEP INTO TRUMP COUNTRY, TOPPLES GOP STRONGHOLDS

«But hear me now: we will bring Texas back,» he wrote. «Texas will be red again.»

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Throughout the campaign, Talarico cast himself as a moderate dedicated to representing Texans rather than Democratic interests in Washington.

Paxton, along with President Donald Trump and other national Republicans, labeled Talarico a «communist» and a vegan in barbecue-loving Texas, pointing to his support for the transgender community while in the Texas Legislature and a floor speech in which he said God was «nonbinary.»

«We have not suddenly become a bunch of tofu-eating, gun-banning, tutu-wearing pinko commie liberals,» Cruz wrote. «That ain’t us. Texas is still Texas.»

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«We will rebuild as a true blue-collar party, not by embracing socialism, but by being real free-market conservatives,» he continued, predicting a political comeback for Republicans.

«It is dark right now, but it is always darkest before the dawn, and morning is coming,» he said.

Digital’s Alex Miller, Elizabeth Elkind and Amanda Macias contributed to this report.

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US Marine dies in training incident at Japan military base, officials say

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A U.S. Marine died Tuesday after an incident during training at Camp Schwab in Okinawa, Japan, military officials said.

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The incident happened in Okinawa, on a Marine Corps base near the northeastern coast of Okinawa Prefecture.

The Marine, whose identity has not been released by the military, was with the 3rd Marine Division.

ALLEGED KILLING BY MARINE PROMPTS US MILITARY TO RESTRICT OFF-BASE LIBERTY IN OKINAWA

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A U.S. Marine died following a training incident on a military base in Okinawa, Japan. (Yuichi YAMAZAKI / AFP via Getty Images)

«It is with heavy hearts that 3rd Marine Division announces the death of a Marine following a training incident at Camp Schwab, Okinawa, Japan, on Nov. 3, 2026,» the 3rd Marine Division said in a statement to ABC News.

«We express our deepest condolences to the family and loved ones of our Marine,» the statement continued.

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The Marine’s death remains under investigation, the 3rd Marine Division said.

Marines at Camp Schwab

The Marine’s death remains under investigation. (Getty Images)

The Marine’s identity is expected to be withheld until 24 hours after their next of kin has been notified, Lt. Tyler Thomas, a spokesperson for the III Marine Expeditionary Force, told the outlet.

Military officials have not said whether the Marine died at Camp Schwab or after being transported to a hospital. Thomas also declined to tell ABC News whether anyone else was injured.

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FOX News Digital has reached out to the 3rd Marine Division.

MARINE MISSING FROM USS ANCHORAGE NOW FOCUS OF RECOVERY MISSION OFF CALIFORNIA COAST

U.S. Marines training course at Camp Schwab in Nago, Okinawa prefecture

The Marine’s identity is expected to be withheld until 24 hours after their family has been notified. (Yuichi YAMAZAKI / AFP via Getty Images)

Roughly 50,000 U.S. troops are stationed in Japan, with most based on Okinawa. The island remained under U.S. control from the end of World War II until 1972.

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Currently, nearly 80,000 Americans live on Okinawa, including about 30,000 active-duty service members from all four military branches, with the Marine Corps accounting for the largest presence there.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.



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