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A un mes de las elecciones presidenciales en Bolivia: amenazas de violencia, voto disperso y la derecha como favorita

Las amenazas de ejercer violencia para impedir las elecciones generales del próximo 17 de agosto en Bolivia y proyecciones de un voto disperso marcan el ambiente en el país andino, a falta de un mes para esos comicios en los que los bolivianos elegirán a su presidente, vicepresidente y renovarán el Parlamento nacional.
El proceso electoral ha estado precedido hasta el momento por las protestas y amenazas de los sectores afines al expresidente Evo Morales (2006-2019) que exigen que el también exlíder del oficialismo sea inscrito como candidato para estos comicios, pese a no tener partido y a una disposición constitucional que le impide volver a postular.
Los leales a Morales bloquearon carreteras durante dos semanas en junio para forzar su candidatura, una protesta que se tornó violenta y dejó un saldo de cuatro policías y dos civiles fallecidos.
Aunque las manifestaciones físicas cesaron, las amenazas de impedir las elecciones si Morales no es candidato persisten, como las recientes declaraciones de una aliada política del exgobernante, Ruth Nina, quien advirtió que el Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) «en vez de contar votos, va a contar muertos», lo que le valió una investigación penal.
Hace poco, el TSE denunció que es blanco de «ataques» por parte de «actores políticos y sociales» que buscan afectar los comicios y advirtió que «no cederá ante las presiones políticas ni intereses sectoriales que pretendan condicionar sus decisiones o interferir en el normal desarrollo del proceso electoral».
La analista política María Teresa Zegada dijo a EFE que las advertencias de Morales y sus seguidores son «el factor más disonante» en un escenario en el que el resto de la población y los partidos hicieron una «apuesta muy importante» por la realización de las elecciones.
Según Zegada, queda la duda de si los afines al exmandatario permitirán que haya votación en el Trópico de Cochabamba, el bastión político y sindical de Morales, o si luego respetarán los resultados electorales, mientras que en el resto del país hay una especie de «pausa social» pese a la actual crisis económica.
«Hay una sensación en la población de expectativa respecto a lo que la próxima elección podría solucionar en el país. No hay esta movilización y conflictividad tan fuerte que hemos sufrido en meses anteriores», apuntó.
Al margen de las tensiones políticas y sociales, el TSE informó que un total de 7.937.138 ciudadanos están habilitados para votar en estas elecciones, de los que 369.931 son residentes en el exterior.
Inicialmente estaban habilitadas diez organizaciones políticas para participar en los comicios, pero Nueva Generación Patriótica (NGP) decidió retirarse al no lograr habilitar a su candidato, el analista económico Jaime Dunn.
Los comicios bolivianos tendrán acompañamiento de por lo menos seis misiones de observación electoral de entidades como la Unión Europea (UE), la Organización de Estados Americanos (OEA) y la Unión Interamericana de Organismos Electorales (Uniore), además de iniciativas ciudadanas locales como ‘Cuidemos el voto 2025’.
En las encuestas difundidas hasta el momento aparecen como favoritos el empresario Samuel Doria Medina y el expresidente Jorge Tuto Quiroga, con escasas diferencias porcentuales.
Tras ellos van el titular del Senado, Andrónico Rodríguez, que sorprendió al postular al margen de su partido, el gubernamental Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS), y el alcalde de la ciudad central de Cochabamba, Manfred Reyes Villa.
Zegada indicó que las encuestas muestran «escenarios más o menos estancados», pero también reflejan «un importante bolsón de votos» de indecisos, blancos y nulos que pueden constituirse en un «voto oculto».
Recordó lo ocurrido en 2020, cuando las encuestas auguraban una segunda vuelta entre el ahora presidente Luis Arce y el exmandatario Carlos Mesa (2003-2005), pero también mostraban altos porcentajes de indecisos, por lo que consideró que «no está totalmente consolidado el escenario de disputa política».
Agregó que el próximo Gobierno requerirá «consensos» para aplicar las medidas necesarias contra la crisis.
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Lo que hay que saber sobre los archivos Epstein: una receta perfecta para las teorías conspirativas

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Mamdani silent after Border Patrol officer allegedly shot by illegal immigrant in NYC

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New York City socialist mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani has remained silent almost two days after an off-duty Border Patrol officer was shot in the face, allegedly by a previously deported illegal immigrant in his city.
Mamdani’s social media posts and website show no public statement on the matter, which has become national news and sparked a broader discussion of President Joe Biden’s border policies and criticism of sanctuary cities.
Fox News Digital reached out to Mamdani’s campaign for comment but did not immediately hear back.
According to police, the suspect, Dominican national Miguel Francisco Mora Nunez, was seen on video getting off a scooter before approaching the officer while he was sitting and speaking to someone near a body of water. The officer has not yet been identified.
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Zohran Mamdani has not issued a statement on the shooting of a Border Patrol officer. (Department of Homeland Security/Getty)
The officer, who was not in uniform, pulled out a gun to protect himself, and a shootout ensued.
The agent was hit in the face and forearm and transported to a hospital, where he is currently in stable condition. He is expected to survive.
Nunez was shot in the leg and groin during the shootout, police said. He was dropped off at a hospital in the Bronx, according to authorities.
«Sanctuary politicians must condemn this violence and put the safety and security of our citizens first. Make no mistake: these criminal illegal aliens pulled the trigger, but Zohran Mamdani, and other sanctuary politicians in this country have blood on their hands,» Homeland Security Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin told Fox News Digital in a statement.
«Secretary Noem is calling on every politician at every level of government to abandon these reckless, lawless policies and stop playing Russian roulette with American lives. DHS will continue to flood the zone in sanctuary cities and remove these criminals one by one,» she added.
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Mamdani briefly speaks with reporters as he leaves the Dirksen Senate Office Building on July 16, 2025, in Washington. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)
DHS also told Fox News that Nunez has an active warrant for kidnapping in the state of Massachusetts, in addition to prior felony arrests.
«We were able to bring the second individual in and have detained him as well, and he will face consequences and hopefully strong prosecution for his crimes and his involvement on Saturday night,» Secretary Kristi Noem told reporters Monday.
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President Donald Trump weighed in on the shooting Sunday afternoon, writing that «an incredible CBP Officer was shot in the face by an Illegal Alien Monster freed into the Country under Joe Biden.»
Mamdani has been widely criticized for his previous calls to defund the police and his stated opposition to working with Trump to deport illegal immigrants if he is elected mayor in November.
Mamdani said in June after winning the primary race that he would halt «masked» U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officials from «deporting our neighbors.»

Mamdani speaks during a press conference while campaigning outside a subway station in New York City on April 1, 2025. (Reuters/Brendan McDermid)
The mayoral hopeful announced on Sunday that he was headed to Uganda «in a personal capacity» to celebrate his marriage to his wife, Rama, with their family and friends.
«I do want to apologize to the haters, because I will be coming back,» he said, adding he would return to New York City «by the end of the month.»
Federal immigration authorities have faced an increase in public scrutiny from Democrats and left-wing activist groups, even to the point of violence. Border Patrol was targeted in an ambush earlier this month at an annex facility in McAllen, Texas, in which a local police officer was hit in the leg, and two Border Patrol personnel were injured. The gunman was killed.
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In addition, 12 individuals are facing charges, including 10 for attempted murder of federal officers, in an Independence Day attack outside the Prairieland Detention Center in Alvarado, Texas, intended to target ICE agents. A police officer was shot in the neck but is expected to recover, and cars were vandalized.
Overall, ICE agents have faced an 830% increase in assaults since this time last year as the Trump administration continues to ramp up deportation and immigration enforcement efforts, according to DHS.
«Rocks, Molotov cocktails, and even gunfire. Our brave ICE agents are facing attacks at a level never seen before in America – an 830% increase. Stand for the homeland. Stand for law and order. Stand with ICE,» Homeland Security posted to X last week.
Fox News Digital reached out to ICE and CBP for comment but did not immediately hear back.
Fox News Digital’s Bill Melugin contributed to this report.
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UK backs Trump’s Putin ultimatum with urgent ’50-day drive’ to strengthen Ukraine’s position

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In a direct response to President Donald Trump’s 50-day deadline that he issued to Russian President Vladimir Putin in his latest peace deal push, the U.K. on Monday announced a «50-day drive» to better arm Ukraine.
The call to action was issued by U.K. Defense Secretary John Healey during a virtual meeting with the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (UDCG) on Monday, the British Ministry of Defense announced.
The Defense Ministry did not immediately answer Fox News’ Digital’s questions about what type of commitments Healey wants to see from allied nations in support of Kyiv.
Prior to the meeting of NATO member states’ defense ministers, a meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group was held at NATO headquarters in Brussels on June 4, 2025. (BOB REIJNDERS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)
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At the top of the meeting, the British defense secretary said «[Trump] started the clock on a 50-day deadline for Putin to agree to peace or to face crippling economic sanctions.
«And as members of this UDCG, we need to step up in turn with a 50-day drive to arm Ukraine on the battlefield and to help push Putin to the negotiating table,» he added.
Healey urged nations to utilize the NATO sales agreement announced by Trump and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte last week to more quickly and efficiently arm Ukraine on the battlefield.

President Donald Trump, right, and Mark Rutte, secretary general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, shake hands during a meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on Monday, July 14, 2025. (Yuri Gripas/Abaca/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
RUSSIA THREATENS WEST WITH ‘PREEMPTIVE STRIKES’ AS NATO LOOKS TO DELIVER PATRIOTS ‘AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE’
While the U.S.-NATO sales agreement is not an unusual deal as Washington, D.C., for decades has sold its arms to NATO allies, the announcement was significant because it signaled a turning point in the U.S.’s continued support for Ukraine, which has remained a question since Trump was re-elected in November.
«We sell arms to allies all the time and if they want to give them to Ukraine then we authorize an export license, and they then transfer the arms to Ukraine,» Mike Ryan, who formally served as deputy assistant secretary of Defense for European and NATO Policy, told Fox News Digital. «So, the significance is that one, the Europeans are stepping up their support for Ukraine. Two, the American taxpayer is getting a break. Three, Europe is buying more American arms [which is] good for the trade deficit, and four, Ukraine is getting the help it needs.»

Ukrainian and German soldiers are seen training on the Patriot air defense missile system at a military training area in Germany in June 2024. (Jens Büttner/picture alliance via Getty Images)
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The Monday meeting will be the fourth time Healey has chaired the defensive group in support of Kyiv, and the third such event that he has done so alongside German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius.
A major point of discussion is expected to be the quick transfer of Patriot Battery Missiles for Ukraine – five of which Berlin is set to confirm shipment of on Monday following his meeting with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth last week.
«Boris and I have agreed to partner in providing critical air defense missiles to Ukraine,» Healey said before announcing a near $54 million defensive pledge to Ukraine, and by extension, Europe’s security.
The announcement is on top of the more than $6 billion in military aid the U.K. has sent Ukraine this year alone.
«This is a critical moment we meet at a critical time, a time for all allies and partners to share the burden, to support Ukraine, both in the fight now and to secure the peace future,» Healey added.
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