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Canada stares down consequences of Trump tariff war: Job losses, grocery price hikes, possible recession
Canada is bracing for the fallout of President Donald Trump’s escalating trade war, with economists warning of spiking grocery prices, major job losses and even a potential recession if threatened U.S. tariffs take effect.
The United States is Canada’s largest trading partner, accounting for nearly two-thirds of Canadian imports and receiving over 70% of its exports. But under Trump’s new «liberation day» tariffs – 25% on Canadian goods and 10% on energy – Ottawa now faces an economic gut punch that could ripple across key provinces, industries and its national election campaign.
Trump has repeatedly blasted what he calls «unfair» trade practices, citing Canada’s trade imbalance with the U.S. to justify the sweeping tariffs.
«This is the beginning of liberation day in America,» Trump said last week. «We’re going to charge countries for doing business in our country and taking our jobs, taking our wealth, taking a lot of things that they’ve been taking over the years. They’ve taken so much out of our country, friend and foe. And, frankly, friend has been oftentimes much worse than foe.»
TRUMP’S 11TH WEEK IN OFFICE SET TO FOCUS ON TARIFFS AS PRESIDENT TOUTS ‘LIBERATION DAY’
Canadians protest U.S. tariffs and other policies of President Donald Trump in Toronto on March 22, 2025. (REUTERS/Carlos Osorio)
Increased tariffs could mean that Americans will see higher price tags on everything ranging from fertilizer and oil, vehicles and machinery, to plastic and wood products, which, theoretically, would deter consumers from purchasing those products and result in a loss for Canada’s economy.
Likewise, Canada in mid-March implemented reciprocal tariffs on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, which means Canadians will not only feel losses on a macro scale but also in an immediate sense as prices at the grocery store have spiked on things like leafy greens, citrus, orange juice, beef, pork and fish.
Ottawa has yet to announce any tariffs on U.S. imported vehicles due to reported concerns over how it could further hinder Canada’s economy. Though there are some $95 billion worth of U.S. goods that it is reportedly considering putting tariffs on, depending on Trump’s April 2 announcements, according to Canadian outlet Financial Post.
«They’re in the midst of a general election campaign,» Andrew Hale, a senior policy analyst in trade policy with the Heritage Foundation, told Fox News Digital. «I think it’s very difficult for them to negotiate and put these measures on during an election campaign.
«Everything they do and say now carries electoral weight,» he added, noting that Canadian politicians will need to strike a careful balance: tough enough on Trump to appeal to voters but measured enough to leave room for future negotiations on tariffs.
«If they were to put on reciprocal tariffs, it would damage the Canadian standard of living and have an impact – as all this already is having an impact – in Canada,» Hale said, noting that auto tariffs not only affect direct car sales but all businesses that rely on vehicles, creating a trickle-down effect.
CANADIANS CLAIM THEY ARE CANCELING TRIPS TO US FOR REMAINDER OF TRUMP TERM
Canadian Liberal Party leader Mark Carney speaks to supporters during a rally in Montreal on March 27, 2025. A federal election has been called, and Canadian voters go to the polls on April 28. (Andrej Ivanov/Getty Images)
While Trump has argued that his tariffs protect U.S. manufacturing – especially the auto sector – the fallout could be far more severe for Canada. Immigration Minister Marc Miller has warned that up to 1 million Canadian jobs are at risk.
«Most Canadians live within 100 miles of the U.S.-Canadian border, and so they obviously will be heavily impacted,» said Hale. «Most Americans don’t.»
Hale noted that while the tariffs will affect the entire U.S., the hardest-hit areas will be industries closely tied to Canadian imports, such as agriculture. The U.S., for instance, sources 90% of its potash fertilizer from Canada.
«This will have a disproportionate impact on border states,» Hale said, but he added that the economic strain on Canadian regions like Ontario will be far greater.
Canadian leaders have already voiced concern that as many as 160,000 jobs could be lost in Quebec, along with another 500,000 jobs in Ontario, depending on how long the tariff dispute lasts.
Both Quebec and Ontario are two of the provinces expected to be among those hardest hit in Canada as they rely heavily on their steel and aluminum and lumber and forestry sectors for exports.
A worker loads logs onto a truck at the Western Forest Products Ladysmith Log Sort in Ladysmith, British Columbia, Canada, on Feb. 18, 2025. Canada is the U.S.’ biggest foreign lumber supplier and has already been dealing with higher duties on its shipments that started last summer. (James MacDonald/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Canada could face a recession this year if it can’t rein in Trump’s tariff offensive, Oxford Economists first warned in a report last November.
Previous tariff wars between trading partners during the first Trump administration resulted in billions of dollars of losses for Americans and their foreign counterparts.
TRUMP HOLDS ‘EXTREMELY PRODUCTIVE CALL’ WITH CANADIAN PRIME MINISTER: ‘WE AGREE ON MANY THINGS’
But Trump is banking on the U.S. being less severely affected than nations like Canada.
The full impact of the tariff war with Canada remains uncertain as Washington has also imposed steep tariffs on the European Union, China and Mexico. Trump has pledged to target the «Dirty 15,» which are countries he accuses of contributing most to the U.S. trade deficit.
Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam are expected to be among those next targeted in Trump’s April 2 tariff announcement, which he has dubbed «liberation day.»
Details on what Trump’s next steps in his tariff war with Canada and dozens of other nations remain unknown ahead of the April 2 deadline, which has created a sense of uncertainty, Hale said.
«Last week’s Bureau of Economic Analysis Reports signaled a continued high core personal consumption expenditure PC inflation at 2.8%. So inflation, one could argue, is not coming down, and certainly price levels continue to rise,» he said. «Consumer spending has slowed sharply in both Canada and the United States.»
President Donald Trump delivers remarks after signing an executive order on reciprocal tariffs in the Oval Office on Feb. 13, 2025. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
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«Businesses want certainty. They can’t make future investment decisions in this climate,» he added, noting that while a recession could be on the horizon in Canada, there are too many variables to make a prediction on the U.S. at this time.
«What I do know is that businesses and banks, people who are investing in projects, want to be able to plan,» Hale said. «Hopefully, we’ll have a clear idea [on Tuesday] where this is all going to land, and then we can work with it.»
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EEUU cuestionó la decisión del Supremo Tribunal Federal de Brasil de encarcelar a Jair Bolsonaro: “Amenaza la democracia”
El Departamento de Estado de Estados Unidos, a través de su Oficina de Asuntos del Hemisferio Occidental, criticó la decisión del juez Alexandre de Moraes, miembro del Supremo Tribunal Federal de Brasil, de imponer prisión domiciliaria al ex presidente Jair Bolsonaro. El comunicado, publicado en redes sociales y replicado en portugués, sostiene que la medida “amenaza la democracia” y restringe el derecho del ex mandatario a expresarse públicamente.
“El ministro Alexandre de Moraes, ya sancionado por los Estados Unidos por violaciones de derechos humanos, continúa usando las instituciones brasileñas para silenciar a la oposición y amenazar la democracia. Imponer aún más restricciones a la capacidad de Jair Bolsonaro de defenderse públicamente no es un servicio público. ¡Dejen a Bolsonaro hablar!”, expresó la oficina en su cuenta oficial.
El pronunciamiento se enmarca en la ley Magnitsky, que permite a EEUU sancionar a funcionarios extranjeros implicados en violaciones graves de derechos humanos. Según el mismo mensaje, la administración estadounidense también sancionará a quienes colaboren o incentiven ese tipo de conductas.
En mayo, la misma oficina había emitido un mensaje en portugués en el que advertía que “ningún enemigo de la libertad de expresión de los estadounidenses será perdonado”, en respuesta a una política de restricción de visados anunciada por el secretario de Estado. Ese comentario fue interpretado por simpatizantes de Bolsonaro como una crítica indirecta al Supremo Tribunal Federal.
De acuerdo con la periodista Malu Gaspar, del diario O Globo, sectores bolsonaristas con contacto en la Casa Blanca bajo el liderazgo de Donald Trump anticipan nuevas sanciones contra jueces brasileños tras la reciente orden de arresto.
El fallo de De Moraes fue dictado tras considerar que Bolsonaro incumplió medidas cautelares impuestas en el marco de la investigación por su presunto rol en los intentos de revertir los resultados de las elecciones presidenciales de 2022. El ex jefe de Estado participó por videollamada en una manifestación realizada el domingo en varias ciudades de Brasil, lo que violaría la prohibición de utilizar redes sociales o comunicarse públicamente, impuesta por la Justicia.
En respuesta a la decisión judicial, el senador Flávio Bolsonaro, hijo del ex presidente, solicitó este lunes que el Senado brasileño inicie un proceso de destitución contra el magistrado De Moraes. En declaraciones a CNN Brasil, calificó la orden de prisión domiciliaria como “cobarde” e “inmoral”, y acusó al juez de arrastrar a la Corte Suprema hacia un “gran desgaste institucional”.
“No tiene condiciones de seguir en el cargo”, afirmó el senador, quien aseguró contar con respaldo suficiente en la Cámara Alta y anunció que planteará la destitución ante el presidente del Senado.
Aunque la familia Bolsonaro ya había planteado anteriormente la destitución de De Moraes, la propuesta no había logrado respaldo significativo en el Senado. Sin embargo, Flávio Bolsonaro vincula esta nueva ofensiva con las sanciones impuestas recientemente por la administración de Donald Trump, que congeló activos del magistrado en Estados Unidos por presuntas violaciones a los derechos humanos. “Es una demostración de venganza por las sanciones”, sostuvo el legislador.
Por su parte, Eduardo Bolsonaro, otro hijo del ex presidente y actual diputado federal, calificó la decisión judicial como un “abuso de poder crudo para silenciar al líder de la oposición”.
La orden de prisión domiciliaria también prohíbe que Bolsonaro reciba visitas no autorizadas por el Supremo Tribunal Federal de Brasil. Pese a estas restricciones, mensajes firmados por él fueron leídos en distintas marchas opositoras realizadas durante el fin de semana, donde se exigió la amnistía para los acusados de participar en los actos de golpismo de enero de 2023 y se respaldaron las sanciones impuestas por Trump contra De Moraes.
La investigación contra Bolsonaro por su supuesto liderazgo en un intento de golpe de Estado avanza en el Supremo y podría concluir antes de fin de año. El ex presidente enfrenta una pena potencial de más de 40 años de prisión. La situación ha elevado la tensión entre el Poder Judicial brasileño y sectores de la derecha nacionalista, y empieza a generar repercusiones en la política exterior de Brasil.
(Con información de EFE y AFP)
North America,Palm Beach
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WATCH: Ramaswamy takes on claim Black history swept ‘under the table’ at Cincinnati town hall
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At a Cincinnati town hall Monday held in the wake of brutal beating of a White woman that went viral online, Vivek Ramaswamy was put on the spot by an audience member who claimed Black history has been swept «under the table» in America.
Answering the man’s concerns, the Ohio Republican candidate for governor said, «We have to confront what is true. Not just what makes us comfortable.» But he also praised America as a country built on ideals and that strives to uphold them, however imperfectly.
The questioner, identified by his first name Robert, told Ramaswamy that when it came to the debate over public safety in the U.S., he does not take a partisan side, but Robert complained that the history of Black people in America has not been adequately part of contemporary conversations around public safety.
DEMOCRATIC POLICIES PAVED WAY FOR CINCINNATI BRAWL, SAY OHIO REPUBLICANS: ‘FEAR AND CHAOS’
«You have to understand how our people feel, because we were brought here in slave ships over 400 years ago, and we were treated like animals, like cattle hung on trees, families separated, our heritage taken from us so that we didn’t know who we were as a people. Now, I say, you act like this is a new thing. This balance that you see out here,» Robert posed to Ramaswamy.
«Well, look over the 400 years of all the violence that was perpetrated on our people… You want to sweep our history under the table, but you don’t sweep the Ashkenazi Jews with the Hitler thing under the table. All the things that you did to the other races of people, you don’t sweep that under the table. But when it comes down to the black Negro, we can always sweep what happened to us under the table.»
A questioner tells Vivek Ramaswamy at Cincinnati town hall about crime and public safety that the history of Black folks has been swept under the rug, particularly when it comes to the debate around rising crime in the U.S. (Fox News)
In response to the question, Ramswamy quipped about how the difficult question was proof that the night’s questions were not pre-screened by him or his team. Ramswamy candidly added that the question made him a bit «uncomfortable» but said leaders should be expected to answer such difficult questions.
«Of course, we’re not perfect. In fact, we’re destined to never be perfect because we’re not a nation comprised of gods, we’re a nation comprised of human beings, and we’re a nation founded on a set of ideals. So, that means you will always be imperfect,» Ramaswamy said in response to the race-conscious question.
Ramaswamy pointed to China and Iran to further explain his point.
RAMASWAMY PLEDGES ‘RULE OF LAW’ REVIVAL AFTER VIRAL CINCINNATI MOB ATTACK
«Nobody ever criticizes China, or Iran, or whatever for hypocrisy, because to be a hypocritical nation, you have to have ideals in the first place,» Ramaswamy said.
Republican gubernatorial candidate in Ohio, Vivek Ramaswamy, fielded questions at a town hall Monday evening in Cincinnati, focused largely on crime and public safety. (Fox News)
«I’m not going to say America was perfect for every chapter of our national history. Of course not. We’re a nation founded on ideals. We’re nation founded on human beings, so we’ll always fall short of those ideals,» Ramaswamy continued. «But I would rather live in a country that has ideals and falls short of them. Than to live in a country with no ideals at all.»
While Ramaswamy went on to say that no one’s ethnic history should be swept under the rug, he also posited that last week’s history, referring to a widely publicized public beating caught on camera in Cincinnati that went viral and caused an uproar of criticism over public safety and crime, should not be ignored either.
«We have to confront what is true. Not just what makes us comfortable, but precisely when it does not,» Ramaswamy said.
Sarah Heringer recounts the fateful night her husband defended her life from a violent robber who invaded their home in June during Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy’s Monday night town hall event focused on crime and public safety. (Andrew Mark Miller/Fox News)
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As Ramaswamy concluded his response to the question about race, the potential Ohio governor noted one part of the questioner’s ask, which «land[ed] with [him] a little bit differently.»
«When you say our people, when I hear that, I’m thinking that ‘our people’ is everybody in this room. I see black, white, brown, man, woman. These are our people. America is our people. Ohio is our people. Cincinnati is our people. And I believe it is the God-given right of every person to be able to live a life free of violence,» Ramaswamy said before ending his response to the question. «And may I even say, if you’re a hard-working American, to go into your city whether you’re black or white without fear of actually being assaulted or battered, that ought to be the birthright of every American. That’s what I want for ‘our people.’»
vivek ramaswamy,crime world,ohio,police and law enforcement,politics
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