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GOP push to make Trump’s 2017 tax cuts permanent, say going back would be a ‘dramatic’ change for many

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Tax season is done. 

And this year, Congressional Republicans converted tax season to «sales» season. Republicans and President Donald Trump are pushing to approve a bill to reauthorize his 2017 tax cut package. Otherwise, those taxes expire later this year.

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«We absolutely have to make the tax cuts permanent,» said Rep. Tom Tiffany, R-Wis., on FOX Business.

«We’ve got to get the renewal of the President’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. That’s absolutely essential,» said Sen. Mike Rounds, R-S.D., on FOX Business.

Rates for nearly every American spike if Congress doesn’t act within the next few months.

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CONFIDENCE IN DEMOCRATS HITS ALL TIME LOW IN NEW POLL

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Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-La., talks with the media after the House passed the budget resolution on Thursday, April 10, 2025. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

«We are trying to avoid tax increases on the most vulnerable populations in our country,» said Rep. Beth Van Duyne, R-Texas, a member of the House Ways and Means Committee which determines tax policy. «I am trying to avoid a recession.»

If Congress stumbles, the non-partisan Tax Foundation estimates that a married couple with two children – earning $165,000 a year – is slapped with an extra $2,400 in taxes. A single parent with no kids making $75,000 annually could see a $1,700 upcharge on their tax bill. A single parent with two children bringing home $52,000 a year gets slapped with an additional $1,400 in taxes a year.

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«Pretty significant. That’s an extra mortgage payment or extra rent payment,» said Daniel Bunn of the non-partisan Tax Foundation. «People have been kind of used to living with the policies that are currently in law for almost eight years now. And the shift back to the policy that was prior to the 2017 tax cuts would be a dramatic tax increase for many.»

But technically, Republicans aren’t cutting taxes.

«As simple as I can make this bill. It is about keeping tax rates the same,» said Sen. James Lankford, R-Oklahoma, on Fox.

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Congress had to write the 2017 tax reduction bill in a way so that the reductions would expire this year. That was for accounting purposes. Congress didn’t have to count the tax cuts against the deficit thanks to some tricky number-crunching mechanisms – so long as they expired within a multi-year window. But the consequence was that taxes could climb if lawmakers failed to renew the old reductions.

«It sunsets and so you just automatically go back to the tax levels prior to 2017,» said Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa.

A recent Fox News poll found that 45% of those surveyed – and 44% of independents believe the rich don’t pay enough taxes.

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Democrats hope to turn outrage about the perceived tax disparity against Trump.

«He wants his billionaire buddies to get an even bigger tax break. Is that disgraceful?» asked Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., at a rally in New York.

«Disgrace!» shouted someone in the crowd.

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«Disgraceful! Disgraceful!» followed up Schumer.

senate minority leader chuck schumer

U.S. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., (R) speaks alongside Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., (L) to reporters during a news conference on the impacts of the Republican budget proposal at the U.S. Capitol on April 10, 2025 in Washington, DC.  (Kayla Bartkowski/Getty Images)

Some Republicans are now exploring raising rates on the wealthy or corporations. There’s been chatter on Capitol Hill and in the administration about exploring an additional set of tax brackets.

«I don’t believe the president has made a determination on whether he supports it or not,» said White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt.

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«We’re going to see where the President is» on this, said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent while traveling in Argentina. «Everything is on the table.»

A Treasury spokesperson then clarified Bessent’s remarks.

«What’s off the table is a $4.4 trillion tax increase on the American people,» said the spokesperson. «Additionally, corporate tax cuts will set off a manufacturing boom and rapidly grow the U.S. economy again.»

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Top Congressional GOP leaders dismissed the idea.

«I’m not a big fan of doing that,» said House Speaker Mike Johnson on Fox. «I mean we’re the Republican party and we’re for tax reduction for everyone.»

FEDERAL JUDGE TEMPORARILY RESTRICTS DOGE ACCESS TO PERSONALIZED SOCIAL SECURITY DATA

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«I don’t support that initiative,» said House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., on FOX Business, before adding «everything’s on the table.»

But if you’re President Donald Trump and the GOP, consider the politics of creating a new corporate tax rate or hiking taxes on the well-to-do. 

Capitol Dome 119th Congress

Sunrise light hits the U.S. Capitol dome on Thursday, January 2, 2025, as the 119th Congress is set to begin Friday. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

The president has expanded the GOP base. Republicans are no longer the party of the «wealthy.» Manual laborers, shop and storekeepers and small business persons now comprise Trump’s GOP. So maintaining these tax cuts helps with that working-class core. Raising taxes on the wealthy would help Republicans pay for the tax cuts and reduce the hit on the deficit. And it would shield Republicans from the Democrats’ argument that the tax cuts are for the rich.

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Congress is now in the middle of a two-week recess for Passover and Easter. GOP lawmakers and staff are working behind the scenes to actually write the bill. No one knows exactly what will be in the bill. Trump promised no taxes on tips for food service workers. There is also talk of no taxes on overtime. 

WHITE HOUSE PHOTO BLUNTLY SHOWS WHERE PARTIES STAND ON IMMIGRATION AMID ABREGO GARCIA DEPORTATION

Republicans from high-tax states like New York and Pennsylvania want to see a reduction of «SALT.» That’s where taxpayers can write off «state and local taxes.» This provision is crucial to secure the support of Republicans like Reps. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y., and Mike Lawler, R-N.Y. But including the SALT reduction also increases the deficit.

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So what will the bill look like?

«Minor adjustments within that are naturally on the table,» said Rounds. «The key though, [is] 218 in the House and 51 in the Senate.»

In other words, it’s about the math. Republicans need to develop the right legislative brew which commands just the right amount of votes in both chambers to pass. That could mean including certain provisions – or dumping others. It’s challenging. Especially with the slim House majority.

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protests against tax cuts

People attend a press conference and rally in support of fair taxation near the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. on April 10, 2025.  (Bryan Dozier / Middle East Images / Middle East Images via AFP)

«There were trade-offs and offsets within that bill that many people are dissatisfied with,» said Bunn of the 2017 bill. «And it’s not clear how the package is going to come together with those various trade-offs.»

Johnson wants the bill complete by Memorial Day. Republicans know this enterprise can’t drag on too late into the year. Taxpayers would see a tax increase – even if it’s temporary – if working out the bill stretches into the fall when the IRS begins to prepare for the next tax season.

It’s also thought that finishing this sooner rather than later would provide some stability to the volatile stock markets. Establishing tax policy for next year would calm anxieties about the nation’s economic outlook.

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«The big, beautiful bill,» Trump calls it, adding he wants the legislation done «soon.»

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And that’s why tax season is now sales season. Both to the lawmakers. And to the public.

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Guerra contra Irán: Para China, miles de millones de dólares están en riesgo por un conflicto que se extiende

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Con el aumento de los precios del petróleo y la intensificación del conflicto en Oriente Medio, los riesgos económicos para China aumentan. El precio del petróleo alcanzó el lunes niveles no vistos en cuatro años, una semana después de que Estados Unidos e Israel lanzaran un ataque contra Irán, aliado y socio financiero de China.

Los combates han paralizado prácticamente todo el tráfico a través del Estrecho de Ormuz, una ruta crucial para la energía y los bienes de China. China tiene mucho que perder en un conflicto que se extiende. En Irán, China encontró una fuente barata de petróleo en los últimos años. En toda la región, encontró gobiernos interesados ​​en su experiencia en energías renovables y tecnología.

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China se volvió dependiente, como gran parte del resto del mundo, del suministro de petróleo y gas de Oriente Medio. La importancia de la región para China se acentuó aún más el año pasado, a medida que se intensificaba la rivalidad comercial del país con Estados Unidos y el país se veía imposibilitado de vender muchos productos al mercado estadounidense, que en su día era el mayor mercado de China.

Los Emiratos Árabes Unidos se convirtieron en el mercado de más rápido crecimiento para los automóviles chinos. La demanda de acero chino por parte de Arabia Saudita y sus vecinos se duplicó. Las exportaciones de China a Oriente Medio crecieron casi el doble de rápido que sus exportaciones al resto del mundo en 2025. Estos lazos comerciales están ahora en la línea de fuego, mientras los ejércitos estadounidense e israelí atacan a Irán, e Irán contraataca contra puertos, barcos, oleoductos, plantas de desalinización, centros de datos y otras infraestructuras críticas en toda la región.

El tránsito marítimo, no solo de energía, sino también de mercancías transportadas en gigantescos portacontenedores a través del Estrecho de Ormuz está en peligro. China también tiene su crédito en riesgo, tras haber otorgado préstamos para contratos y proyectos en toda la región. La proporción de la cartera global de préstamos y subvenciones de China a la región se duplicó al 10 % en 2023, según AidData, un instituto de investigación de William and Mary en Williamsburg, Virginia.

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Las instituciones financieras estatales otorgaron préstamos a refinerías de petróleo y puertos marítimos que financian la producción y el transporte de materias primas. En Qatar, los bancos chinos están ayudando a financiar y construir una importante ampliación de una planta de producción de gas natural licuado. El gigante petrolero estatal chino, Sinopec, tiene participación en el proyecto de expansión North Field East de la planta. Las instalaciones fueron atacadas la semana pasada. Inversores chinos han financiado la ampliación del puerto de Haifa en Israel y del puerto Khalifa en los Emiratos Árabes Unidos, y las terminales resultantes son propiedad de empresas chinas y están operadas por ellas.

En Irán, decenas de empresas chinas han financiado, construido y gestionado infraestructuras, redes eléctricas y plantas petroquímicas. China también es el mayor inversor en desalinización en Oriente Medio, donde el agua potable escasea. Casi todos los proyectos han sido construidos por Power Construction Corporation de China, con proyectos en Arabia Saudita, Emiratos Árabes Unidos, Omán e Irak. «Hay muchísimos países y muchísimos activos repartidos por la región», declaró Brad Parks, director ejecutivo de AidData. «Pudimos observar en el flujo de operaciones un gran entusiasmo por trabajar cada vez más en Oriente Medio».

Importantes empresas tecnológicas chinas como Huawei, Alibaba y Tencent han establecido oficinas en Dubái, donde sus empleados trabajan en un complejo que incluye a Microsoft, Meta y Google. Tres marcas chinas de teléfonos inteligentes —Transsion, Xiaomi y Honor— están ganando cuota de mercado en la región, después del gigante surcoreano Samsung, según Omdia, una firma de investigación tecnológica. No solo las grandes empresas buscan fortuna en Oriente Medio.

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En 2018, Haiyang Zhang, una emprendedora china, se mudó a Dubái, la ciudad más grande de los Emiratos y un centro neurálgico para las finanzas y el turismo internacionales. Este año dejó su trabajo en una empresa china para emprender su propio negocio, ayudando a los inversores chinos a expandirse en Dubái. Algunos de sus socios trabajan en el sector de las nuevas energías. Zhang cree que Dubái sigue siendo un lugar seguro para que ciertos inversores chinos inviertan, afirmó, pero le preocupa el impacto de un conflicto prolongado. Durante la última semana, varias empresas chinas con creciente presencia en Oriente Medio instruyeron a sus empleados en la región a teletrabajar.

El 1 de marzo, el gigante tecnológico Baidu anunció la suspensión de sus servicios de robotaxi en los Emiratos. La plataforma china de reparto de comida a domicilio Keeta ha indicado que sus servicios en la región podrían suspenderse o limitarse temporalmente.

El Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores de China declaró la semana pasada la muerte de un ciudadano chino y la evacuación de más de 3.000 ciudadanos de Irán. No ha precisado cuántos ciudadanos chinos se encuentran en la región.

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Una densa columna de humo se eleva desde una instalación de almacenamiento de petróleo afectada por un ataque estadounidense-israelí en Teherán. Foto AP

El petróleo de Oriente Medio es fundamental para la seguridad energética de China. Importa poco más de la mitad de su crudo marítimo de Oriente Medio, y aproximadamente una cuarta parte proviene de Irán. Al igual que otros países del mundo, China se enfrenta a un aumento de los costes energéticos a medida que suben los precios mundiales.

China es el principal comprador de petróleo iraní, que se encuentra bajo sanciones estadounidenses, aunque las importaciones representaron poco más del 13 % del crudo marítimo que recibió durante 2025, según Kpler, una empresa de datos del sector. China también opera tres importantes oleoductos, dos de los cuales transportan petróleo desde Rusia y Kazajistán.

Aun así, una pérdida del suministro iraní obligaría a China a buscar otras fuentes, lo que resultaría mucho más caro que el petróleo con descuento que compraba a Teherán. A pesar de los profundos lazos financieros de China en Oriente Medio, el país se enfrenta a los mismos riesgos que otros países, incluido Estados Unidos, que invierten fuertemente en la región y dependen de ella. China ha condenado los ataques de Israel y Estados Unidos y ha pedido el cese de los combates.

A medida que el conflicto se ha intensificado, el principal diplomático chino, Wang Yi, ha mantenido conversaciones con sus homólogos de Irán, Omán, Israel, Arabia Saudita y los Emiratos Árabes Unidos. Sin embargo, las amenazas de Irán han provocado la caída del tráfico en el Estrecho de Ormuz. Y no solo se está bloqueando el sector energético.

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El gigante naviero chino Cosco suspendió las reservas a través del estrecho, y la compañía danesa Maersk suspendió ciertas rutas críticas en Oriente Medio. La Sra. Zhang, empresaria china en Dubái, afirmó haber observado la evacuación de empresas y ejecutivos estadounidenses de la región, y para ella eso representa una oportunidad. «Su motivación para evacuar», afirmó, «es mucho mayor que la de los chinos».

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Iran’s new supreme leader is ‘his father on steroids,’ experts warn of hardline rule

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«Think of Mojtaba Khamenei as his father on steroids.»

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That is how Kasra Aarabi, director of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps research at the advocacy group United Against Nuclear Iran, described Iran’s new supreme leader in comments to Fox News Digital following reports that the son of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been selected to lead the Islamic Republic.

«Mojtaba was already operating as a ‘mini supreme leader’ in the Bayt-e Rahbari — his father’s office and the core nucleus of power in the regime,» Aarabi said.

IF KHAMENEI FALLS, WHO TAKES IRAN? STRIKES WILL EXPOSE POWER VACUUM — AND THE IRGC’S GRIP

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File photo shows Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Iran’s late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, attending a demonstration to mark Jerusalem day in Tehran.  (Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

«His father had created the Bayt’s extensive apparatus as a hidden power structure to ensure continuity should he be eliminated — and through Mojtaba’s appointment, this is exactly what we will get,» Aarabi said.

President Donald Trump also reacted to Mojtaba Khamenei’s rise. In an interview with the New York Post, Trump said he was «not happy with» the younger Khamenei replacing his father as leader of Iran’s theocratic system but declined to elaborate on how the United States might respond. «Not going to tell you,» Trump said when asked about his plans regarding the new supreme leader. «Not going to tell you. I’m not happy with him.»

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An Iranian source with knowledge of the leadership transition told Fox News Digital that earlier speculation Mojtaba might pursue reforms now appears unlikely given the circumstances surrounding his appointment.

«Previously there were whispers suggesting that if Mojtaba were to become the leader, he might introduce reforms that would both open up the domestic political space and bring a more interactive approach to foreign policy,» the source said.

«However, now this possibility seems very weak.»

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Mojtaba was chosen «amid disputes, controversies, and pressure from the IRGC,» according to the source, meaning he «owes his appointment to their support and therefore cannot act against their wishes.»

TRUMP SAYS IRAN’S SUCCESSION BENCH WIPED OUT AS ISRAELI STRIKE HITS LEADERSHIP DELIBERATIONS

IRGC

Military members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in western Tehran, Iran (Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Built inside Iran’s security state

Mojtaba Khamenei, 56, has spent decades building influence inside the power structures surrounding Iran’s supreme leader.

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Born in 1969 in Mashhad, he pursued clerical studies in Tehran, Iran, after the 1979 Islamic Revolution that brought his father to prominence. Over time, however, analysts say his influence developed less through traditional clerical authority and more through Iran’s security institutions.

In 2019, the United States sanctioned Mojtaba under Executive Order 13867. The U.S. Treasury Department said he had been «representing the supreme leader in an official capacity despite never being elected or appointed to a government position aside from work in the office of his father.»

Behnam Ben Taleblu, senior director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Iran Program, said Mojtaba’s background reflects a broader shift inside the Islamic Republic.

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placards with an image of Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei with late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

People hold placards with an image of Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei with late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during a gathering to support Mojtaba Khamenei, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 9, 2026.  (Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) Via Reuters)

«Despite donning a turban, Mojtaba is the product of the regime’s national security deep state,» Ben Taleblu told Fox News Digital. «Expect him to work with and through the IRGC to keep his hold on power.»

Aarabi said Mojtaba has spent years consolidating influence behind the scenes.

«His past tells us he enjoys micromanaging every aspect of authority to satisfy his thirst for power,» Aarabi said, describing how Mojtaba allegedly relocated IRGC command centers to his office during protests, engineered election outcomes and installed loyalists across state institutions.

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Since 2019, Aarabi added, Mojtaba has also been implementing what he described as his father’s effort to «purify» the regime by promoting ideological loyalists across the political system.

«Mojtaba is a deeply antisemitic, anti-American, and anti-Western ideologue,» Aarabi said. «He has personally been involved in repression in Iran and terror plots abroad.»

IRAN’S SENIOR CLERICS ‘EXPOSED’ AFTER BUILDING STRIKE IN QOM, SUCCESSION CHOICE LOOMS

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Kashmiri Shiite demonstrators march through Magam holding portraits of Iran’s supreme leader during a mourning procession.

Kashmiri Shiite Muslims carry pictures of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as they march in a protest rally on the fourth day of mourning in Magam, Jammu and Kashmir, on March 4, 2026. (Faisal Khan/Anadolu/Getty Images)

Analysts see harder line ahead

Analysts say Mojtaba’s rise may further strengthen the role of Iran’s security institutions.

«The rise of the younger Khamenei expedites trendlines seen in Iranian politics and national security for years,» Ben Taleblu said. «From one Khamenei to another, things in Iran can be expected to go from bad to worse if this regime survives.»

«And like the elder Khamenei, corruption runs in the family,» he added.

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Ben Taleblu warned that the regime may also escalate tensions externally as a survival strategy.

«The regime knows it is weak, but believes it can extract a price and widen a crisis in order to survive,» he said.

For opposition groups inside Iran, the leadership transition signals continuity rather than reform.

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«He’s the son of Khamenei and they have same ideology and they same strategy and they try to continue the same policy,» said Khalid Azizi, spokesperson for the Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran.

«So far it’s very difficult to say what he will be done and is he going to have a different policy? I don’t expect this.»

The Iranian source who spoke with Fox News Digital said that while engagement with the United States and the West is theoretically possible in the future, the chances remain slim.

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Pro-regime protesters

On March 1, 2026, in Sana’a, Yemen. pro-Iran protesters brandish billboards depicting the Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei, flags of Yemen and Iran, weapons, and chant slogans at a rally held to condemn the U.S.-Israel aerial attacks on Iran and the killing of Khamenei and several military officials. (Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images)

«As I mentioned,» the source said, «this possibility is very weak.»

«In short,» Aarabi said, «Mojtaba is his father on steroids. He’s certainly no MBS.»

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Hegseth once warned against endless wars. Now he’s leading Trump’s strike-first doctrine

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In a little over a year, the United States has carried out dozens of airstrikes on vessels in the Caribbean tied to alleged narco-trafficking networks, launched sustained operations against Houthi forces in the Red Sea, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, struck Iranian nuclear facilities and now embarked on an extended military campaign aimed at degrading Tehran’s missile, drone and command infrastructure.

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The tempo marks one of the most assertive stretches of American force projection in recent years, spanning Latin America, the Middle East and critical maritime corridors.

For War Secretary Pete Hegseth, it also represents a striking turn. 

HEGSETH BLASTS BRITS, SAYS IRAN’S CHAOTIC RETALIATION HAS DRIVEN ITS OWN ALLIES ‘INTO THE AMERICAN ORBIT’

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Just before the 2024 presidential election, he described himself as a «recovering neocon,» expressing regret over his support for Iraq-era interventionism and warning against open-ended wars.

Several analysts say the defining feature of the administration’s approach may be less about ideological evolution and more about alignment and execution.

«Unlike in Trump one, everyone in Trump’s cabinet now — Hegseth, Rubio, etc. — understands that the president is the boss,» said Matthew Kroenig, a defense strategist at the Atlantic Council. «In Trump 1.0 you had some Cabinet officials who thought their job was to save the Republic from Trump, the so-called adults in the room. And so I think it’s pretty clear the president wanted to go in this direction, and I think Hegseth sees himself as supporting the president’s vision.»

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‘Validation of … leadership’ 

That cohesion has coincided with a pattern of risk-taking. 

Several of the administration’s most consequential military moves, from Venezuela to the Houthis to the current Iran campaign, carried the potential for escalation.

«Unlike in Trump one, everyone in Trump’s cabinet now — Hegseth, Rubio, etc. — understands that the President is the boss,» said Matthew Kroenig, a defense strategist at the Atlantic Council. (The White House/Handout via Reuters)

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Some strategists say the relative absence of early blowback from those interventions may have reinforced the administration’s willingness to escalate into the Iranian theater. 

PENTAGON POLICY CHIEF GRILLED AS DEM CLAIMS TRUMP BROKE PROMISE ABOUT GOING TO WAR WITH IRAN

«I’m not sure I would have advised this,» Kroenig said of the Iran operation. «It is pretty risky, but it’s going well so far.» 

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Iranian missile launches have declined in volume. Regional allies have not broken ranks. Whether that constitutes strategic success, however, depends on the metric.

Justin Fulcher, a former Pentagon adviser to Hegseth, argued the early phases of the campaign reflect what he described as a «return to strategic clarity.»

«Deterrence is only credible when our allies actually believe that if President Trump says something, we will back it up,» Fulcher said. «This is a validation of Secretary Hegseth and President Trump’s leadership.»

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Pete Hegseth at Department of War

«Deterrence is only credible when our allies actually believe that if President Trump says something, we will back it up,» former Pentagon advisor Justin Fulcher said. «This is a validation of Secretary Hegseth and President Trump’s leadership.» (Kevin Wolf, File/The Associated Press )

TRUMP SAYS IRAN’S SUCCESSION BENCH WIPED OUT AS ISRAELI STRIKE HITS LEADERSHIP DELIBERATIONS

Hegseth, a former Army officer who served in both Iraq and Afghanistan, has argued that the current campaign bears little resemblance to those conflicts.

«This is not Iraq. This is not endless. I was there for both,» Hegseth said at a press conference in early March. «Our generation knows better and so does this president.»

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In a separate interview, he added, «This is not a remaking of Iranian society from an American perspective. We tried that. The American people have rejected that.»

Danielle Pletka, a senior fellow at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute think tank, said the campaign has unfolded largely as expected.

«I think things have gone reasonably well,» Pletka said, pointing to degraded air defenses and what she described as repeated miscalculations by Iran. «All they’ve really done is made everybody quite mad, and that was a really bad calculation on their part.»

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At the same time, she cautioned against interpreting the administration’s actions as part of a fixed doctrine.

«I don’t think that it is doctrinal,» Pletka said. «I think this is ad hoc.»

Some longtime Trump supporters have said the current conflict is not what they expected from Trump, who campaigned on ending wars and «America First.»

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«It feels like the worst betrayal this time because it comes from the very man and the admin who we all believed was different and said no more,» Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., wrote on X.  «Instead, we get a war with Iran on behalf of Israel that will succeed in regime in Iran. Another foreign war for foreign people for foreign regime change. For what?» 

In Pletka’s view, the president has shown a pattern of attempting diplomacy first and shifting to force only when he concludes negotiations are unserious. She argues that posture distinguishes the current moment from past interventions.

She also emphasized that much of the operational credit belongs to the professional military.

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«The planning behind this is credit to the U.S. military and to the CENTCOM commander and to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs,» she said.

That distinction complicates efforts to attribute the current posture solely to Hegseth’s personal worldview. While the defense secretary has become a public face of the administration’s deterrence messaging, the execution of high-tempo campaigns rests heavily with career military leadership. 

Some critics argue the administration has yet to clearly articulate an end state for the Iran campaign.

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«Pete Hegseth needs to check with his boss on what the objective is,» former national security advisor John Bolton recently said on CNN. «How does Hegseth explain that we’ve already changed the regime, which wasn’t our objective? I think the Pentagon top leadership, civilian top leadership, needs some attitude adjustment. I think the military’s doing fine, but I wonder about the civilian leadership.»

The White House pushed back forcefully on criticism of the campaign. 

Anna Kelly, a White House spokesperson, said Monday that Hegseth «is doing an incredible job leading the Department of War,» pointing to what she described as the «ongoing success of Operation Epic Fury» and other missions. 

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Kelly said Iranian retaliatory attacks «have declined by 90 percent because the Department of War is destroying Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities,» and added that Hegseth works «in lockstep with President Trump every day» to ensure the U.S. military «continues to be the greatest, most powerful fighting force in the world.»

The Pentagon echoed that assessment. 

«Operation Epic Fury continues to advance with overwhelming success and precision,» Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell said, describing a «resolute, full-spectrum campaign» aimed at the «total dismantlement of Iran’s terrorist network or its unconditional surrender.»

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Others see the moment in broader historical terms.

Peter Doran, a foreign policy analyst, described the campaign as a potential attempt to «end a 47-year war» waged by the Islamic Republic against the United States, but on Washington’s terms.

"Unclassified" aerial footage shows a missile launcher being struck by an explosive.

U.S. Central Command released footage showing strikes on Iranian mobile missile launchers. (@CENTCOM via X)

«This is a clear effort to end a 47-year war that Iran has been waging against the United States,» Doran said.

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He argued that visible American military performance could reverberate beyond the Middle East, particularly in Beijing.

«They look good,» Doran said of U.S. forces. «That will serve, I hope, as a disincentive for adventurism.»

If the operation ultimately succeeds in significantly degrading Iran’s military infrastructure, Doran argued, it could reshape the Middle East and expand diplomatic opportunities such as broader Arab-Israeli normalization.

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«It changes everything in the Middle East,» he said.

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Yet even supporters acknowledge that long-term effects remain uncertain. In Venezuela, Maduro’s removal marked a dramatic shift in U.S. policy, but the governing apparatus he built remains largely intact. Degrading missile stockpiles and drone infrastructure in Iran may buy time, but whether it produces durable deterrence or simply postpones reconstitution remains to be seen.

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For now, the administration’s willingness to take calculated risks and its ability to avoid immediate escalation have reinforced the perception of restored American assertiveness. Whether that assertiveness translates into lasting strategic gains will likely define Hegseth’s tenure far more than the rhetoric that preceded it.

Hegseth and the Pentagon did not respond to requests for comment. 

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