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Iran’s attack on Israel shines spotlight on Tehran’s advancing nuclear weapons program

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JERUSALEM — With all eyes focused on a brewing high-intensity war between Israel and the Islamic Republic of Iran, the state of Tehran’s illicit nuclear weapons program has come under the microscope.

Iran’s sprawling aerial attack, with over 300 suicide drones and missiles, on Israel has raised pressing new questions about the Islamic Republic’s capability to fire a nuclear weapon at the Jewish state. For Israel, as the country’s former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon said, Iran with an atomic weapon would mean a «nuclear Holocaust» for the Jewish state.

On Sunday, after rejecting calls that the Biden administration was too soft on Tehran, the White House National Security Communication spokesperson, John Kirby told Fox News’ Shannon Bream that «Iran is so much dramatically closer to a potential nuclear weapon capability than they were before Mr. Trump was elected.»

David Albright, a physicist who is the founder and president of the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington, D.C., told Fox News Digital that «Iran would need a year or more to build a semi-reliable warhead for a ballistic missile and about two years to reconstitute the Amad Plan so as to be able to serially produce reliable warheads for ballistic missiles, i.e., have a fully developed nuclear weapons production complex.» 

Iran’s regime pursued an atomic weapons program code named the Amad Plan from the late 1990s to early 2003.

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TOPSHOT – A man walks past a banner depicting missiles launching from a representation of the map of Iran coloured with the Iranian flag in central Tehran on April 15, 2024. Iran on April 14 urged Israel not to retaliate militarily to an unprecedented attack overnight, which Tehran presented as a justified response to a deadly strike on its consulate building in Damascus. (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

In February, Reuters exclusively reported that Iran had enriched uranium well beyond the need for commercial nuclear use. The IAEA chief Rafael Grossi told Reuters that while the pace of uranium enrichment had slowed slightly since the end of last year, Iran was still enriching at an elevated rate of around 7 kg of uranium per month to 60% purity.

Commenting on the presidential blame game, Albright said, «Neither Trump nor Biden did well dealing with Iran’s nuclear program. Biden has done worse due to his policy of avoidance and his fear of taking any steps that could create a crisis. This risk-averse strategy has utterly failed to stop Iran’s progress on its nuclear program and left the West far weaker to fashion a policy to stop Iran’s progress either diplomatically or militarily.»

Albright warned that «Iran can make a crude nuclear explosive in about six months, able to be tested underground or delivered by truck, ship or cargo plane. This accomplishment would be enough to establish Iran as a nuclear weapons power.»

President Joe Biden, right, and Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, left

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Biden (Getty Images/File)

Fox News Digital revealed last year that European intelligence reports showed Iran continued to work on the construction of a nuclear weapon.

When asked about Iran’s regime firing a nuclear missile at Israel, Albright said, «The recent attack would not be a good way to cover an attack with a nuclear weapon. But it shows that to have confidence in getting one nuclear weapon to target, Iran would need to fire several, if not many, nuclear-tipped missiles.»

He cautioned that «A sneak attack with a nuclear weapon, more like a terrorist attack, using highly trusted proxies and transport to Israel via land or sea, may have more chance of success in the next few years.»

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Iranians walk past a billboard displaying Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini in the capital Tehran, on July 31 2022. – Iran’s ultraconservative President Ebrahim Raisi came to power a year ago, amid attempts to revive a 2015 nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers. The accord gave Iran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program to guarantee that it could not develop an atomic weapon — something it has always denied seeking. (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

With President Biden urging Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to not retaliate against Iran, the Jewish state is facing one of the most existential security questions since the rebirth of the nation in 1948.

Israeli war planners believe they need to reestablish deterrence against the Iranian regime. 

Albright said, «It is critical to stop Iran from deciding to build nuclear weapons. The best short-term strategy is to make sure Iran understands that any movement to build nuclear weapons will be met with a rapid, large-scale military strike by Israel, backed by the United States, followed by additional strikes against its infrastructure if Iran moves to rebuild its nuclear weapons capabilities.» 

The White House has ruled out participation in military strikes against what the State Department recently told Fox News Digital is the world’s worst international state-sponsor of terrorism, Iran’s regime.

Iranian reactor

Begin said the world «powers have failed» to stop Iran’s drive to build a nuclear weapon device. (Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty Images/File)

Benny Begin, a veteran former Israeli lawmaker with expertise in Iran’s nuclear weapons program, told Fox News Digital that «Iran has already reached a status of a nuclear threshold state – if left unhindered, it will produce a bomb within a year or two after the order is given. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director Rafael Grossi has recently announced that Iran has amassed enough highly enriched uranium that would suffice for the production of several nuclear bombs. It should be noted that Iran’s professional discourse is very open about it.»

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Begin, who held cabinet member status in a previous Netanyahu administration, said the world «powers have failed» to stop Iran’s drive to build a nuclear weapon device.

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The United States and other world powers reached an atomic accord with Iran called the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015. The agreement merely imposed temporary restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program and the uranium enrichment process that is a pre-condition for building an atomic bomb.

Iran military parade

An Iranian military truck carries surface-to-air missiles past a portrait of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during a parade on April 18, 2018, in Tehran. (Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty Images)

Devastating U.S., EU and U.N. energy and missile sanctions were imposed on Iran to compel the regime to agree to concessions. In 2018, former President Trump withdrew from the JCPOA because, he argued, it did not stop Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions and global terrorism. Trump’s re-imposition of sanctions on Iran would be termed his administration’s «maximum pressure» campaign.

Begin said «the ‘maximum pressure’ policy was a good idea, and was actually implemented before 2015, with this or another degree of success. The problem was that the parties to the agreement did not react to Iran’s reaction to the renewed sanctions. Apart from IAEA reports and hollow warnings, Iran took the opportunity, broke the agreement and enriched uranium in an unprecedented quantity and pace.»

When questioned about Iran’s swarming drone and missile attacks on Israel, Begin said that «when a regime decides to launch a nuclear warhead (most probably on a ballistic missile warhead) against its enemy, it must be certain that it will reach its target. Reports since yesterday speak about a high percentage of failed launches of those missile types that Iran was trying to launch against Israel. So, in a peculiar way, this is an important (though negative) lesson they can draw from the attack. Another lesson would be the ability of Israel and its allies to thwart such attacks away from Israel.»

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei views Iranian nuclear achievements. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA/Reuters)

Jason Brodsky, the policy director of the U.S.-based United Against a Nuclear Iran, told Fox News Digital, «After the Trump administration withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018, Iran only took an incremental and modest expansion of its nuclear program. But after the Biden administration took office, it grew dramatically, especially enriching to 60%. Iran’s risk tolerance increased under the Biden administration because of its perceived desperation for diplomacy. That has resulted in failed negotiations and an adrift Iran policy.»

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He said the «U.S. should support the E3 [Britain, France and Germany] triggering the snapback sanctions mechanism at the U.N. Security Council and participate in a joint military action with Israel against the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Iran. This would build deterrence against Tehran which has been dangerously eroded over years.»

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The U.S. State Department did not immediately respond to a Fox News Digital press query.

Reuters contributed to this report. 

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INTERNACIONAL

Arremetió con su camioneta dentro un shopping en Estados Unidos y atropelló gente: cinco heridos

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Un hombre atropelló e hirió a cinco personas al ingresar con su camioneta a un shopping en la ciudad de Killeen, estado de Texas, Estados Unidos, y estrellarse contra el frente de una gran tienda de ropa. El conductor manejaba «erráticamente», según consignaron desde la investigación, y murió tras un tiroteo con la policía.

El atropello ocurrió este sábado, cerca de las 5 de la tarde, hora local, y las autoridades informaron que salió de la autopista y se dirigió al centro comercial Killeen Mall, donde la escena tuvo el desenlace.

Este domingo, casi 24 horas después del hecho, el hombre fue identificado como John Darrel Schultz, de 53 años, de Kempner, Texas y, según las autoridades, venía conduciendo «erráticamente» desde unos 30 kilómetros.

Tras impactar contra la entrada de vidrio del predio comercial, tuvo lugar un tiroteo con la policía local y agentes de seguridad del shopping. En el intercambio de disparos, el hombre murió, mientras que los heridos fueron trasladados a un hospital de la zona.

Las edades de las víctimas oscilan entre los 6 y los 75 años, y hasta ahora se desconocen detalles de su estado de salud.

«Cuatro de las personas heridas fueron trasladadas desde el centro comercial de Killeen a hospitales y la quinta llegó al hospital por su cuenta!, dijo el sargento Bryan Washko del Departamento de Seguridad Pública de Texas en una rueda de prensa que reprodujo la agencia AP.

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Ofelia Miramontez, del Departamento de Policía de Killeen, dijo que el incidente comenzó cuando recibieron llamadas sobre un conductor errático en una camioneta negra en Belton, a unos 30 kilómetros de distancia.

La persecución comenzó alrededor de las 5 de la tarde en la autopista Interestatal 14, dijo Washko. El conductor salió de la autopista y condujo hacia el estacionamiento del centro comercial, se estrelló contra la tienda departamental y siguió manejando, reconstruyó el policía a cargo.

Los agentes locales en el centro comercial —uno de los cuales cuidaba la seguridad del recinto y otros dos que se encontraban fuera de servicio— también intercambiaron disparos con el sospechoso, según la versión oficial.

Inicialmente, se pensó que se trataba de un «tirador activo» en el lugar y luego de un conductor ebrio. Las autoridades desmintieron la primera teoría y aseguraron que la zona ya no estaba bajo amenaza, aunque no dieron detalles sobre si efectivamente Schultz estaba alcoholizado.

La prensa local, por su parte, publicó registros de que el hombre había sido arrestado por conducir en estado de ebriedad en el condado de Williamson el 25 de octubre de 2022 y sentenciado a cuatro días en la cárcel el 30 de mayo de 2023, según los registros judiciales.

Killeen está ubicada al norte de San Antonio y tiene una población cercana a los 160 mil habitantes.

«Fue un desastre», los testimonios de los compradores del shopping impactado con una camioneta

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La cadena de noticias CNN publicó testimonios de personas que estuvieron en el centro comercial cuando Schultz ingresó al centro comercial con su camioneta e hirió a cinco personas.

La policía Killeen, Texas, donde un hombre arremetió con su camioneta contra un shopping. Foto KXXV / AP

Nathan Carrasco dijo que estaba en su auto con sus amigos en el estacionamiento del centro comercial Killeen cuando presenciaron un camión atravesar la puerta de la marca de ropa JC Penney y atropellar a la gente.

“Había gente tirada en el suelo con vidrios por todos lados”, agregó.

Catherine Dedden, por su parte, vio el camión estrellarse contra el centro comercial y fue testigo de cómo un policía atendía a una niña herida: «Le sangraba la cabeza y temblaba«, describió.

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