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Trump administration takes on new battle shutting down initial Iran strike assessments

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A leaked Defense Intelligence Agency report is casting doubt on President Donald Trump’s claim that recent U.S. airstrikes «completely and totally obliterated» three Iranian nuclear facilities, instead concluding the mission only set back Iran’s program by several months.

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The report, published by CNN and The New York Times, comes just days after Trump approved the strikes amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. In a national address immediately following the operation, Trump declared the sites «completely and totally obliterated.» 

While members of the Trump administration have waged a new war to discredit the initial report from the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, multiple experts told Fox News Digital that there is too little information available right now to accurately determine how much damage the strikes did. 

Piecing together a thorough intelligence assessment is complex and time-consuming, they said. 

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FBI INVESTIGATING IRAN STRIKE LEAKER, LEAVITT SAYS: ‘THEY SHOULD BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE’

Trump said Saturday that the U.S. completed a «very successful» strike against Iranian nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, saying that Iran’s nuclear enrichment installations have been «obliterated.»  (Fox News)

Dan Shapiro, who previously served as the deputy assistant secretary of Defense for the Middle East and the U.S. ambassador to Israel, said he didn’t put a lot of stock in both overly pessimistic or overly optimistic assessments that emerged quickly, and said that the initial assessment from DIA was likely only based on satellite imagery. 

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«That’s one piece of the puzzle of how you would really make this assessment,» Shapiro, now a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, told Fox News Digital. «You’d really want to have to test all the other streams of intelligence, from signals intelligence, human intelligence, other forms of monitoring the site, potentially visits by International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors, potentially visits by other people. So that’s going to take days to weeks to get a real assessment.» 

«But I think it’s likely that if the munitions performed as expected, that significant damage was done, and would set back the program significantly,» Shapiro said. 

Gen. Dan Caine, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said Sunday that initial battle damage assessments suggested «all three sites sustained extremely severe damage and destruction,» but he acknowledged that a final assessment would «take some time.» 

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Still, media reports based on the DIA report painted a different picture, and CNN’s reporting on the initial report said that Iran’s stash of enriched uranium was not destroyed in the strikes, citing seven people who had been briefed on the report. The findings were based on a battle damage assessment from U.S. Central Command, according to CNN. 

Other members of the Trump administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, have subsequently pushed back on the DIA report’s conclusions, claiming that the report was labeled «low confidence.» 

TRUMP SLAMS RUSSIA’S CASUAL THREAT TO ARM IRAN WITH NUCLEAR WEAPONS: ‘THAT’S WHY PUTIN’S THE BOSS’

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Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth wearing a blue suit and gesturing with his hand

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaks during a news conference at the Pentagon, Thursday, June 26, 2025, in Washington.  (AP Photo/Kevin Wolf)

The term is commonly used when labeling initial assessments, and means that conclusions are based on limited data, according to experts. 

Retired Navy Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery, who previously served as the director for transnational threats at the National Security Council for former President Bill Clinton, said the low confidence description is commonly used in early assessments. 

«Low confidence means the analyst is not sure of the accuracy of their assessment,» said Montgomery, now a senior fellow at the Washington think tank the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. «This is frequent when with a Quick Look 24-hour assessment like this one.»

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Montgomery’s colleague, Craig Singleton, also a senior fellow with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said that the low confidence label is used in cases with thin evidence and serves as a warning to policy-makers to seek additional information. 

«Most importantly, low confidence assessments are usually issued when key facts have yet to be verified, which certainly applies in this case,» Singleton said.

Rob Greenway, former deputy assistant to the president on Trump’s National Security Council, told Fox News Digital that it will take one or two months to get a more thorough assessment with higher confidence. 

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IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER REITERATES ‘SERIOUS DAMAGE’ TO NUCLEAR FACILITIES, DESPITE AYATOLLAH’S COMMENTS 

Donald Trump attends a meeting

U.S. President Donald Trump holds a meeting alongside Vice President J.D. Vance in the Situation Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., on June 21, 2025.  (The White House/Handout via Reuters)

Greenway also said that the strikes were designed to create damage underground, which will complicate the assessment of damage, because it is not immediately available and will require multiple sources of intelligence, such as signals or human intelligence, to draw conclusions. 

Israel had also previously conducted strikes targeting the sites, adding to the web of analysis that must be evaluated, Greenway said. 

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«Each of these are one piece of a much larger puzzle, and you’re trying to gauge the ultimate effect of the entirety of the puzzle, not just one particular strike,» said Greenway, now the director of the Allison Center for National Security at The Heritage Foundation. «All of that means it’s going to take time in order to do it.» 

Even so, Greenway said that the amount of ordnance dropped on the sites – including more than 14 30,000-lb. bombs – means that the targeted facilities have been so heavily compromised they are no longer serviceable. 

«We were putting twice the amount of ordnance required to achieve the desired effect, just to make sure that we didn’t have to go back,» Greenway said. 

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EX-CLINTON OFFICIAL APPLAUDS TRUMP’S ‘COURAGEOUS’ IRAN CALL, DOUBTS HARRIS WOULD’VE HAD THE NERVE

Trump in the Situation Room with a MAGA hat

President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (R) sit in the Situation Room as they monitor the mission that took out three Iranian nuclear enrichment sites, at the White House on June 21, 2025, in Washington, D.C.  (Daniel Torok/The White House via Getty Images)

«There’s virtually no mathematical probability in which either facility can be used again by Iran for the intended purpose, if at all, which again means that everything now is within Israel’s capability to strike if that’s required,» Greenway said. 

And Michael Allen, a former National Security Council senior director in the George W. Bush administration, said that even though a final judgment from the intelligence community won’t be ready soon, the intelligence portrait will become «richer» in the coming days. 

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«Stuff is pouring in, and we’re out there collecting it, and they’re trying to hustle it to the White House as soon as possible,» Allen, now the managing director of advisory firm Beacon Global Strategies, told Fox News Digital. 

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that very few people had access to this report, and those who leaked it to the media will be held accountable as the FBI investigates who shared the document with the press. 

«That person was irresponsible with it,» Leavitt told reporters Thursday. «And we need to get to the bottom of it. And we need to strengthen that process to protect our national security and protect the American public.»

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Causa AMIA: Irán criticó a la Justicia argentina por avanzar con un juicio en ausencia y acusó a Milei por sus vínculos con Israel y EEUU

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El gobierno de Irán repudió la decisión de la Justicia argentina de avanzar con un juicio en ausencia contra diez ciudadanos iraníes y libaneses acusados de haber planificado el atentado terrorista contra la AMIA en 1994, y calificó la medida como una “acción ilegal, politizada y contraria al derecho internacional”.

En un duro comunicado, señaló que Javier Milei está alineado con Israel y Estados Unidos en una “conspiración” para proteger a “funcionarios argentinos corruptos” que serían —según su visión— los verdaderos responsables del ataque.

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Leé también: Milei se reúne con sus ministros para analizar el fallo de la justicia de EEUU por la expropiación de YPF

La declaración fue emitida por Issa Kameli, director general para América del Ministerio de Relaciones Exteriores de Irán y asistente del canciller. El funcionario exigió una “explicación oficial” por parte del gobierno argentino ante lo que consideró una “insistencia en acusaciones infundadas” y denunció que detrás del fallo del juez federal Daniel Rafecas se esconde una “maniobra hostil” destinada a deteriorar las relaciones bilaterales.

La respuesta iraní se produjo días después de que Rafecas resolviera que se juzgue en ausencia a los diez acusados —entre ellos exfuncionarios del régimen iraní y miembros de Hezbollah—, todos prófugos de la Justicia argentina desde hace casi dos décadas, bajo la nueva figura incorporada este año al Código Procesal Penal.

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Leé también: Israel y Siria avanzan en conversaciones para cerrar un acuerdo histórico de seguridad

La medida, impulsada por la Unidad Fiscal AMIA, habilita por primera vez en la historia del país la realización de un juicio oral sin la presencia física de los imputados, en casos de terrorismo, crímenes de lesa humanidad u otros delitos graves.

“Las amplias desviaciones en el caso conocido como AMIA, incluyendo el encubrimiento sistemático de los hechos, la destrucción de pruebas, la negativa a implementar el memorando de entendimiento entre Irán y Argentina y el rechazo a cooperar judicialmente demuestran que este juicio es parte de un diseño político hostil influenciado por círculos sionistas”, señaló Kameli.

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Javier Milei se abraza con el primer ministro israelí, Benjamin Netanyahu. (Foto: Reuters)

En el mismo sentido, criticó el fracaso de las autoridades argentinas para identificar a los autores “reales” del atentado, que dejó 85 muertos y más de 150 heridos.

Irán también acusó al gobierno de Milei de estar “comprometido con el régimen sionista genocida” y con Estados Unidos y aseguró que el juicio es parte de una estrategia para encubrir los crímenes de “exfuncionarios argentinos corruptos”. “Esta vil acción ocurre tras el fracaso del régimen sionista en su agresión militar contra la República Islámica de Irán y evidencia la alianza y complicidad del actual gobierno argentino con Israel”, insistió Kameli.

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Leé también: Podrán volver a sus casas los habitantes de siete kibutz israelíes desalojados tras el brutal ataque de Hamas

En otro tramo del comunicado, el funcionario expresó su agradecimiento a los gobiernos de Venezuela, Cuba, Nicaragua, Brasil, Bolivia, Chile y Colombia por haber repudiado la reciente ofensiva militar contra Irán, y consideró que la postura de Argentina y Paraguay —a quienes acusó de respaldar los ataques de Estados Unidos e Israel— es “vergonzosa” y “repugnante”.

“Apoyar a un régimen ocupante y racista, que solo en los últimos dos años ha masacrado a casi 60.000 palestinos inocentes, no traerá ningún prestigio a sus defensores”, declaró el director general para América de la Cancillería iraní, al tiempo que afirmó que su país se reserva el derecho de adoptar “medidas firmes” para proteger a sus ciudadanos.

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Leé también: La dura respuesta de Estados Unidos a Irán por las amenazas contra el argentino Rafael Grossi

La reacción iraní se produce en el marco de una causa judicial que acumula más de tres décadas de demoras, encubrimientos y fracasos, y que recientemente derivó en una condena internacional contra el Estado argentino por su deficiente investigación.

El juicio en ausencia —aún apelable— apunta contra diez acusados que tienen pedido de captura internacional desde 2006 pero nunca fueron detenidos, en su mayoría por residir en Irán, que se niega a extraditarlos. Entre ellos se encuentran el exministro de Inteligencia Alí Fallahijan, el excanciller Alí Akbar Velayati y el exjefe de la fuerza Al Quds Ahmad Vahidi, todos señalados como piezas clave en la planificación del ataque.

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Irán, AMIA, Atentado a la AMIA

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Democrats take page from conservative playbook with new Project 2029

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Democrats are taking a page from the conservative playbook.

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A group of leading Democratic Party thinkers is beginning to collaborate on a policy agenda for their eventual presidential nominee in the 2028 election cycle. 

And, as first reported by the New York Times, they’re calling it Project 2029. It’s an obvious play on the notorious Project 2025, the more than 900-page policy blueprint assembled by the conservative powerhouse Heritage Foundation think tank for the Republican Party’s 2024 presidential nominee.

HEAD HERE FOR THE LATEST FOX NEWS REPORTING, ANALYSIS, AND OPINION ON THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY

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A Stop Project 2025 sign during the Democratic National Convention at the United Center in Chicago on Aug. 19, 2024. (Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Democrats repeatedly attacked Project 2025 during the previous White House race as a far-right threat to the nation. Then-GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump and his campaign distanced themselves from the document, even as many Trump allies helped draft it. 

But Trump, during the opening months of his second tour of duty in the White House, executed much of what was proposed in Project 2025. And Russell T. Vought, who was a key member of the team that produced the document, now leads the Office of Management and Budget.

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Russell Vought

Russell T. Vought, a key member of the team that produced Project 2025, now leads the Office of Management and Budget. (Kayla Bartkowski/Getty Images)

The Democrats behind Project 2029 hope to rally White House hopefuls behind their policy framework as the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race heats up following the 2026 midterm elections.

The project is being spearheaded by Andrei Cherny, a onetime Democratic speechwriter and state party leader.

«Avengers… Assemble!» he wrote in a social media post, as he spotlighted the New York Times story on Project 2029.

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MAJORITY OF DEMOCRATS GIVE THEIR CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS THUMBS DOWN: POLL 

Democrats are aiming to escape the political wilderness following 2024 election setbacks, when the party lost control of the White House and the Senate, and failed to win back the House majority. And 2025 polls have indicated the Democratic Party brand sinking to new lows.

«After several Democratic presidential runs that featured the old guard, there is a hunger for the next generation of candidates and ideas,» Jim Kessler, executive vice president for policy at the center-left Third Way, told Fox News.

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Kessler, who’s involved with the project, added that the effort «is a chance for those candidates to see and test out new policy ideas. The advisory group runs the gamut of the Democratic ideological perspective, so these new ideas may not bring a consensus, but it can act as a showroom for presidential candidates to test drive.»

Democratic National Convention

The Democrats are aiming to escape the political wilderness following setbacks in the 2024 elections, when they lost control of the White House and Senate, and fell short in their bid to recapture the House majority. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville, asked about Project 2029, welcomed more ideas to the party’s conversation.

But Carville told Fox News Digital that «the person Democrats need to look to, whose ideas will count, is the next presidential nominee. People can throw ideas out and the different candidates can respond in one way or another, but the idea that a political party can develop a message outside of having some power – it’s been done before, but it’s quite difficult.»

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Word of Project 2029 comes amid continued divisions in the Democratic Party between its establishment and progressive wins.

And it comes as the stunning victory in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary by outsider and 33-year-old democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani over former three-term Gov. Andrew Cuomo has reignited the party’s argument over whether the Democrats’ problem is their policy or their messaging.

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Iran, following Trump strikes, says ‘the doors of diplomacy will never slam shut’

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Iran’s foreign minister is vowing that «the doors of diplomacy will never slam shut» following the Trump administration’s airstrikes — a statement an Iran expert says shows that Tehran is trying to buy time. 

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Abbas Araghchi was quoted as making the remark to CBS News after President Donald Trump told reporters last Wednesday that the U.S. would meet with Iranian officials this week. 

«I don’t think negotiations will restart as quickly as that,» Araghchi added. «In order for us to decide to reengage, we will have to first ensure that America will not revert back to targeting us in a military attack during the negotiations. And I think with all these considerations, we still need more time.»  

Behnam Ben Taleblu, the senior director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies Iran Program, told Fox News Digital on Tuesday that «Tehran’s strongest weapon when it is weak is actually diplomacy. 

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EXILED IRANIAN PRINCE TELLS TRUMP HE CAN BE ‘ONE OF HISTORY’S GREAT PEACEMAKERS’ AMID TALK OF REGIME CHANGE 

This satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows a close view of the Isfahan nuclear site in Iran on Monday, June 22, 2025, after U.S. strikes ordered by President Donald Trump. (Joe McNally/Getty Images; Maxar Technologies via AP)

«Negotiating to buy time and bail out the regime is an art form for Iranian political elites. Even when done from a position of weakness, one reason Tehran will not shut the door on talks is because it seeks to prevent widening military action from stiffening the spine of domestic dissidents at home. 

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«No doubt, the Islamic Republic will cause a ruckus about engaging in negotiations post-strike, but ultimately agreeing to talk when it has been conventionally bested on the battlefield does mean its mission accomplished,» Taleblu added. 

The State Department did not immediately respond Tuesday to a request for comment from Fox News Digital.

Trump said following the conclusion of a NATO summit in the Netherlands last week that «I could get a statement» that Iran is «not going to go nuclear.» 

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«We’re probably going to ask for that… but they’re not going to be doing it anyway. They’ve had it,» Trump added.  

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stands waiting to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin for the talks at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, on Monday, June 23, 2025. (Alexander Kazakov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)

IRAN’S NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES CRUSHED, BUT REGIME’S DESIRE FOR THE BOMB MAY PERSIST 

«We’re going to talk to them next week, with Iran. We may sign an agreement, I don’t know. To me, I don’t think it’s that necessary. I mean, they had a war. They fought. Now they’re going back to their world. I don’t care if I have an agreement or not. The only thing we would be asking for is what we’re asking for before about, we want no nuclear [program]. But we destroyed the nuclear,» Trump also said.  

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«If we got a document, it wouldn’t be bad. We’re going to meet with them. Actually, we’re going to meet with them,» the president continued. 

However, Trump then wrote on Truth Social Monday that he is not talking to Iran. 

Fordow enrichment complex

New high-resolution photos show significant damage to Iran’s Fordow nuclear site after recent Israeli and U.S. airstrikes, with visible destruction to tunnels and access roads. (Maxar Technologies)

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«The administration and namely our special envoy, Steve Witkoff, has been in communication both directly and indirectly with the Iranians. That communication continues. The president himself has not talked to Iran, which he pointed out in his Truth statement,» White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt added later Monday. 


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