INTERNACIONAL
Guerra en Medio Oriente: exigencias “inaceptables” y amenazas alejan un acuerdo de paz entre Irán y Estados Unidos

La guerra en Medio Oriente empieza a entrar en un pantano que preocupa cada vez más a Donald Trump. Es un terreno en el que Irán se mueve más cómodo y que le sirve para desplegar toda su retórica belicista frente a los impredecibles movimientos del presidente estadounidense.
La Casa Blanca presentó una hoja de ruta de 15 puntos a Teherán, a través de Pakistán, para sellar un acuerdo que ponga fin a una guerra que en tres días cumplirá un mes, muchísimo más de lo proyectado por Washington y que hoy no muestra una salida viable.
La respuesta fue inmediata. El gobierno de los ayatollah rechazó la propuesta y contraofertó un plan más acotado, de cinco puntos, que a simple vista es una invitación a continuar las hostilidades.
Irán sabe que la guerra militar está perdida, pero también que su resistencia va por otro camino. Mientras mantenga el cierre de facto del estrecho de Ormuz y tenga a tiro la infraestructura petrolera, hídrica y gasística de los Países del Golfo, amenaza causar un enorme daño a la economía estadounidense, al mercado petrolero y al comercio internacional.
Trump tiene la fuerza militar, pero el tiempo le juega en contra. Si fracasa la opción diplomática solo le quedará la carta de una invasión, acotada pero con un contingente poderoso en el terreno.
No es la mejor imagen para una campaña electoral que se avecina en su país. En siete meses, el 3 de noviembre, se someterá a un virtual referéndum popular en las elecciones de medio término. Necesita cerrar el ‘capítulo Irán’ con un discurso victorioso. Los ayatollah, escondidos y debilitados, tienen tiempo para ojear sus cartas.
¿Es posible un acuerdo?
En ese escenario, las virtuales negociaciones empezaron con ofertas imposibles en ambos bandos.
“Todavía están lejos (de un arreglo). No creo que estén dadas las condiciones para llevar adelante un acuerdo de paz”, dijo a TN el analista Said Chaya, director del Núcleo de Estudios de Medio Oriente de la Universidad Austral.
El presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump (AP Foto/Alex Brandon)
Para el especialista, “eso no quita que exista la posibilidad de un alto el fuego en el contexto de las negociaciones. Puede ser que la guerra baje su ´momentum´ esta semana o la próxima, como para decir que hay un proceso de negociación. Pero eso no quiere decir que el problema se vaya a resolver. Esto va para largo“, indicó.
Es la peor opción de Trump. El despliegue de más de 5000 marines en la zona del Golfo marca el preludio de lo que sería una invasión, posiblemente a la isla de Kharg, el mayor centro de producción de crudo de Irán en el estrecho de Ormuz.
Leé también: Tensión en la frontera: así quedó un puente al sur del Líbano luego de los ataques de Israel
Se trata de un escenario preocupante para la dirigencia del Partido Republicano. Ningún aspirante a gobernador o congresista, o quienes buscan su reelección, quiere hacer campaña bajo ataúdes envueltos en la bandera estadounidense.
Cuáles son las exigencias de Estados Unidos
El documento de 15 puntos, o exigencias de la Casa Blanca, llegó a la capital iraní vía Pakistán, un aliado militar de Arabia Saudita y uno de los países atacados por Irán.
Según el sitio N12 News de Israel, Estados Unidos está considerando declarar un alto el fuego de un mes para celebrar negociaciones.
El contenido total del plan no trascendió, pero medios estadounidenses y el Canal 12 israelí puntualizaron que incluye:
- Un alivio de sanciones.
- Cooperación nuclear civil.
- La entrega del uranio enriquecido.
- Límites a las actividades nucleares.
- Supervisión por parte de la Agencia Internacional de Energía Atómica.
- Restricciones a misiles balísticos.
- Garantías para el acceso al transporte marítimo a través del Estrecho de Ormuz.
- El fin del respaldo a los grupos proxy de la región, como el Hezbollah libanés o el Hamas palestino.
Leé también: El petróleo cae casi 6% tras el plan de paz de Trump y crece la incertidumbre por la respuesta de Irán
En contrapartida, Estados Unidos levantaría las sanciones internacionales y apoyaría un programa nuclear civil.

El guía supremo iraní Mojtaba Jamenei (Foto: EFE)
“Si Irán no entiende que ha sido derrotado militarmente y que seguirá siéndolo, Trump se asegurará de que reciba golpes más duros que cualquiera que haya recibido antes. El presidente no fanfarronea y está preparado para desatar el infierno. Irán no debería equivocarse de nuevo”, dijo la vocera de la Casa Blanca, Karoline Leavitt.
Cuál fue la respuesta de Irán
Irán rechazó las exigencias de Trump como “inaceptables” y respondió con un plan de cinco puntos, según una fuente citada por el gubernamental Press TV. El detalle es el siguiente:
- Cese total de las “agresiones y asesinatos” por parte de Estados Unidos e Israel en Irán.
- El fin de los combates en todos los frentes en los que participen grupos aliados (como Hezbollah en el Líbano y las milicias proiraníes en Irak).
- El pago de reparaciones de guerra.
- Garantías contra futuros conflictos.
- Reconocimiento de la soberanía de Irán sobre el estrecho de Ormuz como “un derecho natural y legal de Irán”.
The Wall Street Journal agregó otra exigencia: el desmantelamiento de las bases estadounidenses en el Golfo.
“Irán pondrá fin a la guerra cuando lo decida y cuando se cumplan sus condiciones. No se celebrarán negociaciones antes de ese momento”, concluyó la fuente.
Irán, Israel, Donald Trump
INTERNACIONAL
Tensión con Estados Unidos: un Castro podría ser el sucesor de Díaz-Canel en Cuba

Dos primos Castro
Uno de los primos Castro es descrito como tecnócrata
Raulito, una figura habitual en la escena del partido en Cuba
“No es objeto de negociación”
INTERNACIONAL
US troops brace for ‘hit-and-run’ guerilla attacks as 82nd Airborne deploys to Iran, military analyst warns

US deploying 1,500 troops from 82nd Airborne
Chief national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin reports the latest on the conflict with Iran as about 1,500 additional troops and key staff are deployed to the Middle East.
NEWYou can now listen to Fox News articles!
Iran could significantly increase U.S. casualties if its elite military and proxy forces shift to guerrilla-style hit-and-run attacks in the region, a leading military analyst has warned.
Michael Eisenstadt of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy spoke as the Pentagon moved elements of the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division into the Middle East amid a new escalation in the conflict, according to reports.
«Iran has large infantry units in its military that are equivalent to the brigade combat team of the 82nd Airborne,» Eisenstadt, a former U.S. Army Reserve officer, told Fox News Digital.
«The 82nd Force is too small to cause significant harm to Iran, but it is large enough to be vulnerable to Iranian strikes, and this would enable Iran to significantly increase U.S. casualties,» he said.
HEGSETH WARNS ‘MORE CASUALTIES’ EXPECTED IN OPERATION EPIC FURY AGAINST IRAN
The 82nd Airborne Division deployment to the Middle East is intended to pressure Iran into accepting U.S. ceasefire terms, military analyst Michael Eisenstadt says. (Sarah Blake Morgan/AP Photo)
Eisenstadt, who has worked as a U.S. government military analyst, claimed that, even if major conventional operations begin to wind down in the Middle East region, the danger may only evolve rather than disappear.
«We could see an end to major combat operations, with activity shifting to guerrilla-style hit-and-run attacks in the Gulf and other gray-zone activities by Iran,» he said.
«Think of the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf War with Iraq, in which we had to contain the Iraqis for a decade after a very successful war.»
US COULD TAKE IRAN’S MAIN OIL EXPORT HUB ‘AT A TIME OF OUR CHOOSING,’ JACK KEANE SAYS

Naval units from Iran and Russia simulate the rescue of a hijacked vessel during joint drills, Feb. 19, at the Port of Bandar Abbas in Hormozgan, Iran. (Iranian Army/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Fox News chief national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin reported Wednesday that the U.S. has ordered the deployment of an additional 82nd Airborne forces to the region.
The contingent is expected to include Maj. Gen. Brandon R. Tegtmeier, the division commander, elements of his headquarters staff, and infantry battalions from the division’s Immediate Response Force.
Officials also indicated that the total number of troops ultimately sent could still change.
Eisenstadt said this new deployment is intended to increase pressure on Tehran as the U.S. pushes for new ceasefire terms, set in place by President Donald Trump.
WINNING THE BATTLES, LOSING THE WAR? AMERICA MUST DEFINE THE ENDGAME IN IRAN

President Donald Trump speaks with the media before boarding Air Force One, Monday, at Palm Beach International Airport in West Palm Beach, Fla. (Mark Schiefelbein/AP Photo)
«This deployment is intended to create leverage over Iran and pressure it to accept U.S. terms for a ceasefire agreement. It would also create military options if Iran rejects those terms,» he said.
In that scenario, he said, the 82nd could potentially operate alongside Marine expeditionary units in operations to seize and hold terrain, including Kharg Island, located roughly 20 miles off Iran’s Gulf coast.
U.S. forces struck military targets there March 13, destroying more than 90 Iranian military sites while deliberately sparing key oil infrastructure, according to multiple reports.
IRAN’S REMAINING WEAPONS: HOW TEHRAN CAN STILL DISRUPT THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ

Satellite view of Kharg Island, located in the Persian Gulf off the coast of Iran. (Gallo Images/Orbital Horizon/Copernicus Sentinel Data 2024)
«The brigade combat team of the 82nd could work with the 11th and 31st MEUs, or independently, to seize and hold terrain — such as Kharg Island,» Eisenstadt said.
«This would provide leverage over Iran by denying it the ability to export oil and helping end the war on terms favorable to the U.S.»
«There are risks involved though, because Iranian units on the mainland could bombard Kharg Island and inflict casualties on U.S. troops there also,» Eisenstadt said.
JACK KEANE WARNS CEASEFIRE WITH IRAN WOULD ‘PLAY RIGHT INTO THEIR HANDS’ AS TRUMP SIGNALS DEAL PROGRESS

President Donald Trump warned on Saturday that the U.S. could strike Iranian power plants if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened. (Aaron Schwartz/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images; Gallo Images/Orbital Horizon/Copernicus Sentinel Data 2025 via Getty Images)
The latest military buildup comes as the conflict that began with Operation Epic Fury on Feb. 28, has also centered on the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran restricting access.
«The 82nd deployment is intended to increase psychological pressure on Iran and support efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz so it can once again be used by all countries,» Eisenstadt explained.
The 82nd Airborne is one of the U.S. military’s premier rapid-response units, trained to parachute into hostile or contested territory to secure key ground and airfields.
CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP
Portions of the division have also spent recent days at the Joint Readiness Training Center, sharpening infiltration, surveillance, combat and resupply skills, Axios reported.
«Iranian military officials have welcomed news of the dispatch of these units to the Gulf because it potentially creates options for them to impose costs on the U.S.,» Eisenstadt said.
war with iran, wars, iran, us marines, military, pentagon, world
INTERNACIONAL
Fox News Poll: Voters oppose action in Iran but give US military positive marks

NEWYou can now listen to Fox News articles!
Voters are split on what role the United States should play in the world, while attitudes on the military action in Iran reflect sharp partisanship, according to a new Fox News national survey.
Forty-two percent support the current U.S. military action against Iran, and 58% oppose it, including nearly 4 in 10 who are strongly opposed.
The partisan divide is stark: 77% of Republicans support the effort compared to 12% of Democrats and 28% of independents. Within the GOP, support ranges from 90% among MAGA supporters to 52% of non-MAGA Republicans.
FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS EXPECT AI TO TRANSFORM OUR LIVES — BUT TODAY IS NOT THAT DAY
The gender divide is less pronounced, with support at 38% among women and 45% among men.
Support is tempered by doubts about the long-term outcome, as more voters believe it will make the United States less safe rather than safer (44% vs. 33%). Another quarter think it won’t make much difference.
On the broader question of what U.S. foreign policy should be, half (50%) say the U.S. should be more engaged and take the lead in world events, while 48% prefer a less engaged, more reactive approach. Republicans favor engagement (72%), while Democrats prefer a less-engaged posture (64%). MAGA supporters are the most pro-engagement (80%), followed by voters who have served in the U.S. military (70%).
FOX NEWS POLL: SOCIALISM GAINING GROUND AMONG VOTERS
Voters largely agree that the most important U.S. objectives in Iran should be reducing its ability to support terrorism in the region (70%), ending Iran’s nuclear weapons program (69%), and protecting the flow of oil from the region (66%). A slim majority says the same about bringing about regime change (53%).
Some 64% of voters disapprove of how President Trump is handling Iran, up from 57% disapproval in January. On foreign policy, 62% disapprove, up from 60% last month.
Trump’s overall job rating stands at 41% approve and 59% disapprove. For comparison, former President Barack Obama’s job rating at this same point in his second term was 40% approve vs. 53% disapprove (March 2014).
The president’s 59% disapproval rating is the highest for either term. Nearly half, 47%, strongly disapprove. Last month, his rating was 43% approve vs. 57% disapprove. A year ago, his marks were underwater by only 2 points: 49% vs. 51%.
Approval of Trump among Republicans has slipped to a second-term low of 84%, down from 92% last March. At the same time, an all-time high 16% of Republicans disapprove. This shift can be attributed, at least in part, to declining support among non-MAGA Republicans, as approval dropped 11 points in the last year among this group (70% in March 2025 to 59% today). Virtually all MAGA Republicans continue to approve of Trump, with 98% approving a year ago and 97% now.
Among Democrats, 95% disapprove — marking the fourth time this term disapproval of Trump reached a record high. Among independents, 25% approve, 75% disapprove.
Evaluations of the U.S. military’s performance in the Iranian conflict are more positive than negative: 58% rate it as excellent or good, but a substantial 41% say only fair or poor.
When asked how things are going in Iran, 47% of voters say the effort is going well, while a larger 52% disagrees. Only one in five say things are going «very» well (19%).
Most Democrats say things are going badly in Iran (79%) and rate the military negatively (63% only fair or poor), while most Republicans say things are going well (81%) and rate U.S. forces positively (86% excellent or good).
«Historically, foreign policy attitudes have been notoriously context dependent,» says Republican Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson. «Today, it seems many partisans rate the Iranian conflict based on their broader perceptions of Trump. Facts on the ground are interpreted to conform to partisan predispositions.»
As the conflict enters its fourth week, few expect the swift conclusion Trump predicted. Only 13% believe it will be over in a matter of weeks, while 37% expect it to last months, and 15% anticipate a full year. Some 35% think the end is more than a year away.
Republicans are more likely to expect a quick resolution, while Democrats think it will be a long haul.
On specific goals of the operation, half or more voters gave the U.S. positive marks for disrupting Iran’s leadership structure (55% excellent/good), reducing its ability to develop nuclear weapons (53%), and limiting U.S. troop casualties (50%). At the same time, majorities are more negative on setting clear goals for the operation (54% only fair/poor), limiting civilian casualties (55%), and gaining support from key countries (61%).
Veterans are more supportive than voters overall. They back the current action in Iran (61%), say it is going well (67%), and more of them think it will make the country safer (45%) than less safe (31%). Veterans are also more likely to approve of the president’s job performance overall (55%) and on Iran (53%).
Poll-pourri
How do voters view the White House’s current approach to world affairs? By a 20-point margin, more say it is focused on issues outside of U.S. security than on U.S. national security.
Concern about Iran obtaining nuclear weapons stands at 66%, back to where it was in April 2025, after rising to 78% following the U.S. strikes on Iran in June 2025.
For comparison, more voters are worried about attacks in the U.S. by non-Islamic (70%) and Islamic terrorists (73%). Even larger numbers are concerned about political divisions within the country (80%), gas prices (80%), and healthcare (81%). And of course, inflation remains the biggest worry, with 86% expressing concern about high prices.
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE
Conducted March 20-23, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,001 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (104) and cellphones (641) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (256). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
politics, fox news poll, republicans, democratic party, war with iran, iran, defense, national security, donald trump
POLITICA2 días agoEl mensaje de Milei sobre la “traición” que llamó la atención en el Gobierno y también en la oposición
POLITICA1 día ago24 DE MARZO: La historia completa que el relato omitió sobre el golpe de 1976 y el Juicio a las Juntas
ECONOMIA2 días agoA cuánto llegará el dólar en abril de 2026, según los principales analistas de mercado


















