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Histórico balotaje en Chile: el ultraderechista José Antonio Kast se enfrenta a la candidata comunista Jeannete Jara

Chile elige este domingo entre un candidato de ultraderecha y una candidata comunista.
José Antonio Kast, candidato del Partido Republicano, es el gran favorito de todas las encuestas para ganar el balotaje tras el notorio giro ideológico que dio el electorado chileno a la derecha en la primera vuelta celebrada el 16 de noviembre.
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Su rival, Jeannete Jara, es la heredera de Gabriel Boric, del que buscó despegarse en campaña frente a la pérdida de popularidad del presidente saliente. Además, intentó mostrar una faceta ideológica moderada para disipar temores del electorado independiente por su afiliación al Partido Comunista, el ala más radicalizada de la vasta coalición oficialista.
“Kast ganará las elecciones. La única variable pendiente es la cantidad de votos nulos. Será sin duda la elección en que la derecha tendrá más votos en toda la historia de Chile y al mismo tiempo será la elección con más votos nulos y blancos de toda la historia”, dijo a TN la analista chilena Marta Lagos, fundadora de la consultora Latinobarómetro y la encuestadora MORI Chile.
Qué dicen las encuestas
Cinco millones de electores están habilitados para votar este domingo. El voto es obligatorio, una imposición inaugurada en este proceso.
En primera vuelta, Jara obtuvo el 26,84% de los votos, seguido por Kast con el 23,94%. Otros tres candidatos de derecha y centroderecha sumaron en conjunto 45%. En total, siete de cada 10 votos fueron para opciones de derecha o centroderecha. Jose Antonio Kast es el gran favorito para suceder a Gabriel Boric (Foto: REUTERS/Pablo Sanhueza)
“El porcentaje que saque Kast puede ir de 60/40% a 55/45%. Claramente, no da lo mismo con cuanto gana, y eso lo determinará la cantidad de votos nulos. Esta es también la elección en que más chilenos han declarado que no les gusta ninguno de los candidatos de la primera vuelta. Por eso la novedad estará en los votos nulos que determinaran el resultado final porque hay voto obligatorio”, dijo Lagos.
El favoritismo de Kast se recuesta en la escasa popularidad de Boric, quien no puede optar por la reelección, tras cuatro años de gobierno.
“La popularidad de Boric cayó drásticamente poco después de asumir el cargo, en un reflejo de los errores iniciales y las preocupaciones sobre la seguridad y la economía. Su índice de aprobación nunca se recuperó de forma significativa y se estabilizó en torno al 30 por ciento”, resumió el diario estadounidense The New York Times.
De nada le sirvieron algunas políticas sociales aprobadas durante su gobierno, como el aumento del salario y las pensiones, la gratuidad de la salud pública para los más pobres y la reducción de la semana laboral de 45 a 40 horas.
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Los chilenos tienen hoy como su principal preocupación el aumento de la violencia y la migración, a la que asocian el crecimiento de la inseguridad. Un reciente sondeo de Ipsos reveló que un 64% de los chilenos considera la violencia como su mayor inquietud, seguido por el tema migratorio y el desempleo.
Si bien los índices vienen cayendo, Chile cerró 2024 con 6 asesinatos por cada 100.000 habitantes (frente a 3,8 de la Argentina, el más bajo de Sudamérica). La irrupción de la banda venezolana Tren de Aragua es considerada por muchos votantes de Kast como el detonante del crecimiento del crimen y el narcotráfico.
En ese contexto, creció la xenofobia hacia la comunidad venezolana, de unas 730.000 personas (frente a unos 200.000 en la Argentina). El discurso de mano dura de Kast contra los migrantes y su promesa de expulsiones masivas de 300.000 extranjeros sin documentos logró sumar adhesiones para el candidato del ala más dura de la derecha nacional.
Así, en las últimas semanas, cientos de migrantes sin papeles intentaron salir del país por la frontera peruana, lo que llevó al gobierno de José Jeri a militarizar el área limítrofe para impedir su llegada.
En tanto, Jara presentó una propuesta bautizada Plan Chile Seguro, que plantea levantar el secreto bancario para rastrear el origen de los fondos del narcotráfico. Además, propuso fortalecer a Carabineros y la Policía de Investigaciones (PDI), así como emplear tecnologías como drones e inteligencia artificial para mejorar la vigilancia territorial.
Sobre el tema migratorio, planteó una “regularización acotada” de extranjeros sin papeles que tengan trabajo, estén libres de antecedentes criminales y mantengan vínculos familiares.
Jose Antonio Kast, Chile, Jeannette Jara , Sumario
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ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting

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Two Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers are under criminal investigation after federal prosecutors moved to dismiss felony assault charges against Venezuelan migrants stemming from a January shooting in Minneapolis.
ICE Director Todd Lyons said Friday that newly reviewed video evidence suggests the officers may have made «untruthful statements» under oath about the Jan. 14 confrontation, during which a Venezuelan national was shot, The Associated Press reported. The officers have been placed on administrative leave and could face termination and possible criminal prosecution, according to Lyons and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) assistant secretary Tricia McLaughlin.
«A joint review by ICE and the Department of Justice (DOJ) of video evidence has revealed that sworn testimony provided by two separate officers appears to have made untruthful statements,» McLaughlin told Fox News Digital in an email. «Both officers have been immediately placed on administrative leave pending the completion of a thorough internal investigation.»
«Lying under oath is a serious federal offense. The U.S. Attorney’s Office is actively investigating these false statements,» McLaughlin added. «Upon conclusion of the investigation, the officers may face termination of employment, as well as potential criminal prosecution. The men and women of ICE are entrusted with upholding the rule of law and are held to the highest standards of professionalism, integrity, and ethical conduct. Violations of this sacred sworn oath will not be tolerated.»
MINNESOTA POLICE CHIEFS ALLEGE SOME ICE AGENTS RACIALLY PROFILED US CITIZENS, INCLUDING OFF-DUTY OFFICERS
Federal law enforcement agents confront anti-ICE protesters during a demonstration outside the Bishop Whipple Federal Building in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on Jan. 15, 2026. (Getty Images)
The case centered on Alfredo Alejandro Aljorna and Julio Cesar Sosa-Celis, two Venezuelan nationals initially accused of attacking an ICE officer during what authorities described as a targeted traffic stop.
U.S. Attorney Daniel N. Rosen moved to dismiss the charges, citing «newly discovered evidence» that was «materially inconsistent» with allegations outlined in the criminal complaint and earlier court testimony. A federal judge granted the motion on Friday. In court, video footage and witness testimony reportedly failed to support claims that the ICE agent had been assaulted with a shovel and broom, according to the AP.
JUDGE BLOCKS TRUMP ADMIN FROM ‘DESTROYING OR ALTERING’ EVIDENCE IN DEADLY MINNEAPOLIS SHOOTING

Todd Lyons, acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, is pictured on Feb. 12, 2026. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
According to a previous announcement from DHS, officers attempted to arrest Sosa-Celis on Jan. 14 when he allegedly fled the scene in his vehicle, crashed into a parked car and ran on foot.
DHS said at the time that an agent caught up with him and that Sosa-Celis resisted and assaulted him.
The agency alleged that two additional men — Aljorna and Gabriel Alejandro Hernandez-Ledezma — then struck the officer with a snow shovel and broom handle before the agent fired a shot, striking Sosa-Celis in the leg.
All three men were taken into custody after retreating into an apartment, and both the officer and Sosa-Celis were hospitalized, according to authorities.
FEDERAL JUDGE BACKS AWAY FROM THREAT TO HOLD ICE LEADER IN CONTEMPT

ICE arrested three men who were allegedly involved in hitting an agent with a shovel during an enforcement operation. (DHS and Jeff Wheeler/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
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The officers’ names were not released. It remains unclear whether the Venezuelan nationals could face possible deportation.
Fox News Digital’s Michael Dorgan and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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Starmer sends UK strike group to Arctic, cites rising Russia threat as Trump pushes Greenland deal

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British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the United Kingdom will deploy its aircraft carrier strike group to the North Atlantic and the High North later this year, marking a show of force as security tensions escalate across Europe.
Speaking on Saturday at the annual Munich Security Conference in Germany, Starmer said the mission would be led by HMS Prince of Wales and carried out alongside the U.S., Canada and other NATO allies.
«I can announce today that the U.K. will deploy our carrier strike group to the North Atlantic and the High North this year, led by HMS Prince of Wales, operating alongside the U.S., Canada and other NATO allies, in a powerful show of our commitment to Euro-atlantic security,» Starmer told the high-profile forum aimed at strengthening European defense and diplomatic ties.
NATO LAUNCHES ARCTIC SECURITY PUSH AS TRUMP EYES GREENLAND TAKEOVER
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer takes part in a panel discussion with President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen during the Munich Security Conference in Munich, Germany, Feb. 14, 2026. (Stefan Rousseau/Pool via REUTERS)
The High North — a term referring to the Arctic and surrounding regions — has become increasingly strategic amid growing Russian military activity.
The deployment is intended to bolster security against potential Russian threats, according to BBC News.
The announcement comes as President Donald Trump has repeatedly reiterated interest in the U.S. acquiring Greenland, citing national security concerns in the Arctic regarding Russia and China.
Starmer warned that Moscow’s military buildup could intensify even if a peace agreement is reached in Ukraine, arguing that Russian rearmament would «only accelerate.»
UK PRIME MINISTER OUTRAGED AFTER MANCHESTER UNITED CO-OWNER WARNS COUNTRY IS BEING ‘COLONIZED’ BY MIGRANTS

People with umbrellas walk past a pedestrian bridge with the logo of the Munich Security Conference in Munich, southern Germany on Feb. 12, 2026. (THOMAS KIENZLE / AFP via Getty Images)
Europe, he said, must be prepared to «deter aggression» and, if necessary, be ready to fight.
«We must build our hard power, because that is the currency of the age,» he said.
The carrier strike group is an international naval task force led by the Royal Navy. It consists of one aircraft carrier, about 40 aircraft, a frigate, a destroyer, a submarine and a supply ship, according to BBC News.
HMS Prince of Wales, a roughly $3.5 billion aircraft carrier, serves as the Royal Navy’s flagship, BBC News reported.
TROOPS FROM EUROPE DEPLOY TO GREENLAND IN RAPID 2-DAY MISSION AS TRUMP EYES US TAKEOVER
Trump has previously threatened tariffs on Britain and other European countries unless an agreement is reached allowing the U.S. to take control of the Danish territory.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer takes part in a panel discussion with President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen during the Munich Security Conference in Munich, Germany, on Feb. 14, 2026. (Stefan Rousseau/Pool via REUTERS)
After meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in late January, Trump announced that he would not impose tariffs that were set to take effect Feb. 1 given they formed the «framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland and, in fact, the entire Arctic Region.»
Trump told reporters outside the White House on Friday that the administration is «negotiating right now for Greenland,» adding that, «We get along very well with Europe.»
The president was also asked about the Munich Security Conference.
«If it wasn’t for me, they’d be paying 2% and not paying,» Trump said of NATO allies. «They’re paying 5% and they’re paying. We have a very good relationship with NATO.»
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The three-day Munich conference brings together world leaders, defense chiefs and security officials.
Starmer did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
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La retirada de Trump en Minnesota refleja el poder del descontento popular

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