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Skies at stake: Inside the US-China race for air dominance

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From new stealth bombers to AI-enabled drones, the U.S. and China are reshaping airpower for a Pacific showdown – each betting its technology can keep the other out of the skies.

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The U.S. is charging ahead with its next-generation F-47 fighter, while China scrambles to catch up with jets designed to match the F-35 and F-22.

After a brief program pause in 2024, the Air Force awarded Boeing the contract in March for the F-47, a manned sixth-generation fighter meant to anchor America’s next air superiority fleet. The first flight is expected in 2028.

At the same time, the B-21 Raider, the stealth successor to the B-2, is deep into testing at Edwards Air Force Base. The Air Force plans to buy at least 100 Raiders – each built to survive inside heavily defended Chinese airspace.

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The Pentagon is also betting on Collaborative Combat Aircraft, or CCAs – drones designed to fly alongside fighters as «loyal wingmen.» Prototypes from Anduril and General Atomics are already in the air. Officials say CCAs will let one pilot control several drones at once.

China outpaces the rest of the world in the commercial drone market, but that doesn’t necessarily give it the advantage from a military perspective. 

Gen. David W. Allvin, Air Force chief of staff, President Donald Trump and War Secretary Pete Hegseth unveil the F-47 sixth-generation fighter jet in the Oval Office at the White House. (Reuters/Carlos Barria)

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«I’m not sure that’s really true. In terms of high-end military drones that are really important to this fight, the U.S. still has a pretty significant edge.» said Eric Heginbotham, a research scientist at MIT’s Center for International Studies. 

He pointed to the Air Force’s stealth reconnaissance platforms – the RQ-170 and RQ-180 – and upcoming «loyal wingman» drones designed to fly with fighters as proof that the U.S. still leads in advanced integration and stealth technology.

HIGH STAKES ON THE HIGH SEAS AS US, CHINA TEST LIMITS OF MILITARY POWER

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China’s leap forward

China’s airpower modernization has accelerated as the U.S. reshapes its force. Beijing has zeroed in on three priorities – stealth, engines and carriers – the areas that long held its military back.

The Chengdu J-20, China’s flagship stealth fighter, is being fitted with the new WS-15 engine, a home-built powerplant meant to rival U.S. engines.

«It took them a while to get out of the blocks on fifth generation, especially to get performance anywhere near where U.S. fifth gen was,» Heginbotham said. «The J-20 really does not have a lot of the performance features that even the F-22 does, and we’ve had the F-22 for a long time.»

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Meanwhile, China’s third aircraft carrier, the Fujian, was commissioned this fall – the first with electromagnetic catapults similar to U.S. Ford-class carriers. The move signals Beijing’s ambition to launch stealth jets from sea and project power well beyond its coast.

Together, the J-20, the carrier-based J-35, and the Fujian give China a layered airpower network – stealth jets on land and at sea backed by growing missile coverage.

Chinese military writings identify airfields as critical vulnerabilities. PLA campaign manuals call for striking runways early in a conflict to paralyze enemy air operations before they can begin. Analysts believe a few days of concentrated missile fire could cripple U.S. bases across Japan, Okinawa and Guam.

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«The U.S. bases that are forward deployed – particularly on Okinawa, but also on the Japanese mainland and on Guam – are exposed to Chinese missile attack,» said Mark Cancian, a retired Marine colonel and senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. «In our war games, the Chinese would periodically sweep these air bases with missiles and destroy dozens, in some cases even hundreds, of U.S. aircraft.»

Heginbotham said that missile-heavy strategy grew directly out of China’s early airpower weakness.

The B-21 Raider

The B-21 Raider is the Air Force’s next-generation nuclear-capable bomber. (U.S. Air Force photo)

«They didn’t think that they could gain air superiority in a straight-up air-to-air fight,» he said. «So you need another way to get missiles out – and that another way is by building a lot of ground launchers.»

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Different strategies, same goal

The two militaries are taking different paths to the same target: air dominance over the Pacific.

The U.S. approach relies on smaller numbers of highly advanced aircraft linked by sensors and artificial intelligence. The goal: strike first, from long range, and survive in contested skies.

China’s model depends on volume – mass-producing fighters, missiles, and carrier sorties to overwhelm U.S. defenses and logistics.

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«U.S. fighter aircraft – F-35s, F-15s, F-22s – are relatively short-legged, so they have to get close to Taiwan if they’re going to be part of the fight,» Cancian said. «They can’t fight from Guam, and they certainly can’t fight from further away. So if they’re going to fight, they have to be inside that Chinese defensive bubble.»

Both sides face the same challenge: surviving inside that bubble. China’s expanding missile range is pushing U.S. aircraft farther from the fight, while American bombers and drones are designed to break back in.

The fight to survive

Heginbotham said survivability – not dogfighting – will define the next decade of air competition.

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«We keep talking about aircraft as if it’s going to be like World War II – they go up, they fight each other. That’s not really our problem,» he said. «Our problem is the air bases themselves and the fact that aircraft can be destroyed on the air base.»

US NAVY SEA HAWK HELICOPTER, F/A-18F SUPER HORNET FIGHTER JET GO DOWN IN SEPARATE SOUTH CHINA SEA INCIDENTS

China, he warned, is preparing for that reality while the U.S. is not.

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«They practice runway strikes in exercises, they’re modeling this stuff constantly,» Heginbotham said. «Unlike the United States, China is hardening its air bases. The U.S. is criminally negligent in its refusal to harden its air bases.»

Cancian’s war-game findings echo that vulnerability. He said U.S. surface ships and aircraft would likely have to fall back under missile fire in the opening days of a conflict.

A J-20 stealth fighter jet of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force performs at the China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, or Airshow China, in Zhuhai, Guangdong province, China November 9, 2022

The Chengdu J-20, China’s flagship stealth fighter, is being fitted with the new WS-15 engine, a home-built powerplant meant to rival U.S. engines. (China Daily via Reuters )

«At the initial stages of a conflict, China would have a distinct advantage,» Cancian said. «Now, over time, the U.S. would be able to reinforce its forces, and that would change.»

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Looking ahead

The Pentagon’s fiscal 2026–27 budget will determine how fast the U.S. can build out its F-47s, B-21s and CCAs – systems that will shape American airpower through the 2030s.

China’s rapid modernization is closing what was once a wide gap, but the U.S. still holds advantages in stealth integration, combat experience and autonomous systems.

«The ability to protect our aircraft, whatever form those aircraft take, on the ground is going to be central to our ability to fight in the Asia theater,» Heginbotham said.

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«Survivability is going to be key… The ability to protect and disperse your firepower is going to be central to whether we can really stay in this game.»

For decades, U.S. air dominance was taken for granted. In the Pacific, that advantage is no longer guaranteed. 

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Una mujer fue acusada de haber asesinado a su hija, dio una declaración falsa, pero fue beneficiada con un fallo polémico: el caso de «la madre más odiada» de EE.UU.

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El 11 de diciembre de 2008, casi seis meses después de la desaparición de Caylee Anthony, un trabajador que recorría una zona de bosques en Orlando, Florida, hizo un hallazgo estremecedor: había restos humanos dentro de una bolsa de basura, a pocos metros de la casa de la familia de la nena.

El lugar, que había sido rastrillado en operativos previos, estaba inundado por las lluvias, lo que había dificultado la revisión. Con el correr de los días, los peritajes confirmaron lo peor. Se trataba de la nena de dos años, que había sido buscada desde julio de ese año, cuando su abuela hizo la denuncia.

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Leé también: El caso de la maestra que abusó de su alumno de 12 años, fue presa y terminó casándose con él

Poco después, con el avance de la investigación, la madre de la menor, Casey Anthony, quedó en el centro de la sospecha al dar una versión contradictoria a la Policía.

La desaparición

El caso se inició en junio de 2008 cuando Caylee Anthony desapareció. En un primer momento, no hubo denuncia ni búsqueda oficial, lo que hizo que su ausencia pasara inadvertida fuera del entorno de su familia. Sin embargo, con el paso de las semanas, las respuestas evasivas de su mamá comenzaron a generar sospechas.

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Durante 31 días, Casey Anthony, una joven de 22 años, no reportó el hecho que involucraba a su hija ni acudió a las autoridades. La situación salió a la luz recién el 15 de julio de ese año, cuando Cindy Anthony, la abuela de la nena, decidió llamar al 911.

Desesperada, aseguró que hacía más de un mes que no veía a su nieta y que su hija le daba explicaciones contradictorias sobre su paradero. En ese mismo contacto, aportó un dato clave que cambiaría el rumbo de la investigación: había retirado el auto de Casey de un depósito judicial y, al abrirlo, percibió un olor penetrante que, según describió, era similar al de un cuerpo en descomposición. Ese elemento encendió las alarmas y colocó rápidamente a Anthony en el centro de la investigación.

La denuncia por la desaparición la realizó la abuela de la nena un mes después de que se le perdiera el rastro. (Foto: CBS News)

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En sus primeras declaraciones, la mujer aseguró que su hija había sido secuestrada por una niñera llamada Zenaida Fernández-González. Sin embargo, los investigadores comprobaron rápidamente que esa persona no tenía vínculo alguno con la familia y que la historia había sido inventada.

Las inconsistencias no terminaron ahí. Casey también afirmó que trabajaba en el parque de Universal Studios, pero cuando los policías la acompañaron hasta el lugar para verificar su versión, terminó admitiendo que no tenía un puesto ahí y que nunca lo había tenido. Estas mentiras reforzaron aún más las sospechas en su contra.

El macabro hallazgo

El hallazgo del cuerpo de Caylee conmocionó a la sociedad estadounidense, ya que sus restos estaban dentro de una bolsa de basura, en una zona que estaba muy cerca de la casa de los padres de Casey, donde también vivía con su hija. El cadáver se encontraba en un estado avanzado de descomposición, lo cual complicó el trabajo de los peritos.

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Cerca del cráneo se encontró cinta adhesiva, un elemento que fue interpretado por la fiscalía como un signo de asfixia. Sin embargo, los forenses no pudieron determinar de manera concluyente la causa de muerte.

A pesar de esa limitación, los fiscales elaboraron una hipótesis: Casey Anthony había asesinado a su hija para liberarse de sus responsabilidades. En esta línea, la nena habría sido sedada -posiblemente con cloroformo- y luego asfixiada.

Para sostener esa acusación, presentaron distintos elementos. Entre ellos, búsquedas en la computadora familiar relacionadas con sustancias químicas y métodos para provocar la muerte, además de peritajes que sugerían la presencia de descomposición en el auto de la acusada.

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Casey Anthony se convirtió en la principal sospechosa por la muerte de su hija de dos años. (Foto: The Guardian)

Casey Anthony se convirtió en la principal sospechosa por la muerte de su hija de dos años. (Foto: The Guardian)

Otro punto clave para la fiscalía fue el comportamiento de Casey durante las semanas en que Caylee estaba desaparecida. De acuerdo al testimonio de varios testigos, la joven de 22 años salía a bailar, asistía a fiestas y llevaba una vida social activa. Esto contrastaba con la imagen de una madre desesperada por encontrar a su hija.

Frente a esa acusación, la defensa planteó un escenario completamente distinto. Según sus abogados, la muerte de Caylee no había sido un homicidio, sino un accidente.

La principal hipótesis fue que la nena se había ahogado en la pileta de la casa de sus abuelos y que el padre de Casey había encontrado el cuerpo. Siempre según esta versión, el hombre decidió ocultar lo que había pasado para proteger a su hija.

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En ese contexto, las mentiras de Casey -incluida la historia de la niñera- fueron presentadas como intentos desesperados de encubrir una situación traumática, más que como parte de un plan criminal.

El problema central del caso era la falta de evidencia concluyente. Sin una causa de muerte determinada, la acusación dependía en gran medida de indicios y de la interpretación del comportamiento de la imputada.

Un juicio mediático y un fallo que causó polémica

El juicio comenzó en mayo de 2011 y se convirtió en uno de los más seguidos en la historia reciente de Estados Unidos. Durante semanas, los testimonos de peritos, investigadores y familiares ocuparon horas de transmisión en vivo y generaron un intenso debate público.

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La fiscalía insistió en que Casey Anthony había matado a su hija y luego había construido una red de mentiras para encubrir el crimen. La defensa, en cambio, logró instalar dudas sobre la solidez de las pruebas.

El juicio contra Casey Anthony fue uno de los más mediáticos en la historia reciente de Estados Unidos. (Foto: CNN)

El juicio contra Casey Anthony fue uno de los más mediáticos en la historia reciente de Estados Unidos. (Foto: CNN)

El 5 de julio de 2011, después de días de deliberación, el jurado dio a conocer su decisión: Casey Anthony fue declarada no culpable de asesinato en primer grado, homicidio involuntario agravado y abuso infantil.

La única condena que recibió fue por proporcionar información falsa a la Policía, pero como ya había pasado tiempo en prisión preventiva, recuperó la libertad pocos días después.

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El fallo provocó controversia en la sociedad estadounidense que, en su mayoría, opinaba que la mujer era la única responsable en la muerte de Caylee. Por eso, su caso quedó apodado como el de “la madre más odiada” de Estados Unidos.

Leé también: Dos nenas de 12 años apuñalaron 19 veces a una amiga tras obsesionarse con un personaje de Internet

Seis años después de ser absuelta, Casey Anthony rompió el silencio en una entrevista con AP y aseguró que nunca supo qué le pasó a Caylee. “No me importa lo que la gente piense de mí. Nunca me importará. Estoy bien conmigo misma. Duermo bastante bien por las noches”, sostuvo.

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Fiery aftermath of Iran missile strike near Tel Aviv caught on video after 2 killed

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Video footage captured the fiery aftermath of a ballistic missile strike that hit Ramat Gan, a neighborhood east of Tel Aviv, overnight Tuesday, killing at least two people, according to Israeli officials.

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The footage shows a car engulfed in flames, with wreckage scattered across the street as emergency responders assess the scene and ambulance sirens sound in the background.

The missile was launched by Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, which said it targeted central Israel to avenge the killing of Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and one of the country’s most powerful figures.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard said it launched Khorramshahr-4 and Qadr multiple-warhead missiles, which it claims have an increased chance of evading missile defense systems and can overwhelm radar tracking. 

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ISRAEL HITS BACK AFTER COORDINATED IRAN-HEZBOLLAH MISSILE, DRONE STRIKES, URGES BEIRUT TO REIN IN TERRORISTS

Emergency workers respond to a ballistic missile attack in which a couple in their 70s were killed, according to published reports, on March 18, 2026 in the Tel Aviv suburb of Ramat Gan, Israel.  (Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images)

Israel said the two victims killed in the overnight strike were a couple in their 70s.

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The attack is part of a rapidly escalating tit-for-tat conflict that began Feb. 28 following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which have since killed multiple senior Iranian officials. Those include Larijani and Gen. Gholam Reza Soleimani, head of the Revolutionary Guard’s Basij militia, who was killed Tuesday.

fiery aftermath of iranian ballistic missile attack

A first responder on scene after a deadly Iranian ballistic missile attack lands near Tel Aviv.  (Magen David Adom)

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz also said Iran’s Intelligence Minister Esmaeil Khatib was killed in an overnight strike, though Iran has not confirmed his death.

fiery aftermath in the Israeli neighborhood of RAMAT GAN, ISRAEL

Iran launched a retaliatory missile against Israel overnight Tuesday. (Magen David Adom)

Iran has responded with a widening campaign of missile and drone attacks targeting Israel, U.S.-linked positions and energy infrastructure across the Persian Gulf, including strikes reported in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Bahrain.

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The broader conflict has raised fears of a regional war and potential disruptions to global energy supplies, as Iran has also threatened shipping through the Strait of Hormuz — a critical transit route for the world’s oil. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Senate to question Trump intel leaders on Iran war after top official quits in protest

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Lawmakers will get to grill President Donald Trump’s top intelligence and spying officials on the Iran war publicly for the first time, just a day after the nation’s top counterterrorism official resigned in protest over the conflict.

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Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, FBI Director Kash Patel, National Security Agency chief Lt. Gen. William Hartman and Defense Intelligence Agency Director Lt. Gen. James Adams are all set to testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee on Wednesday.

The hearing comes after Joe Kent, Trump’s pick to lead the National Counterterrorism Center under Gabbard, suddenly exited the job on Tuesday.

TOP COUNTERTERRORISM OFFICIAL RESIGNS IN PROTEST OF US WAR AGAINST IRAN

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Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard talks to reporters in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on July 23, 2025. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

«I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran,» Kent said on X. «Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby.»

While Venezuela and Cuba could be points of discussion, Iran will likely be a major topic during the annual Worldwide Threats hearing, given that Senate Democrats have clamored for public hearings from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth on the ongoing war.

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Gabbard, who built her political career bucking war with Iran and the U.S. getting involved in regime change, will likely be grilled over Kent’s resignation from his post.

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Joe Kent

Joe Kent, director of the National Counterterrorism Center, is sworn in to the House Homeland Security Committee hearing titled, «Worldwide Threats to the Homeland,» in the Cannon building on Dec. 11, 2025. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images)

Following his announcement, Gabbard said that her job as DNI chief is to help «coordinate and integrate all intelligence to provide the President and Commander in Chief with the best information available to inform his decisions.»

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«After carefully reviewing all the information before him, President Trump concluded that the terrorist Islamist regime in Iran posed an imminent threat, and he took action based on that conclusion,» Gabbard said on X.

The hearing will be led by Senate Intelligence Committee Chair Tom Cotton, R-Ark., and Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., who is the top-ranking Democrat on the panel.

DEMOCRATS THREATEN TO GRIND SENATE TO A HALT TO FORCE PUBLIC IRAN HEARINGS

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Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark.

Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., argued that the war with Iran would continue for weeks, not days, as the U.S. continues to kneecap its offensive abilities.  (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images)

Both have been at odds in their view of the war — Cotton fervently backs Trump’s decision, while Warner argued that Iran posed no «imminent threat» to the U.S.

«So the decision to put our service members in harm’s way and bases around the region in harm’s way was entirely based upon the president’s decision, not an imminent threat to America,» Warner told CNN earlier this month.

Cotton speculated that the conflict would end in a matter of weeks, and reaffirmed that position when pressed.

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«I’ve said that, based on my conversations with the President and my understanding of Iran’s military capabilities, I would expect it to take weeks, not days, and we’re only a couple weeks into it,» Cotton said.

«And again, every single day brings hundreds, if not 1000s, of strikes into Iran that steadily and methodically degrade their military, and the end state will be a country … without the offensive capabilities to continue to terrorize the United States, Israel, our Arab friends and the civilized world,» he continued.

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