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Tensión bilateral: el chavismo liberó a 71 presos políticos y Trump redobla la presión al crudo venezolano

En medio de una liberación masiva de detenidos políticos dispuesta por el chavismo en Navidad, la crisis de Venezuela comienza a decantarse en una guerra de presión financiera que busca asfixiar al gobierno de Nicolás Maduro a través de un bloqueo petrolero total que ya tiene un fuerte impacto en Cuba.
Donald Trump ordenó a sus fuerzas militares concentrarse casi exclusivamente en hacer cumplir una “cuarentena” al crudo venezolano, principal fuente de ingresos del país caribeño, durante al menos los próximos dos meses, dijo un funcionario estadounidense citado por Reuters.
Leé también: El chavismo amenaza con 20 años de cárcel a quien respalde o promueva las acciones de Trump en Venezuela
El presidente estadounidense, después de casi cuatro meses de bombardear y hundir en aguas internacionales numerosas lanchas supuestamente cargadas de drogas, parece decidido a priorizar la presión económica y dejar de lado, al menos por ahora, su latente amenaza de lanzar ataques terrestres sobre el país caribeño.
“Si bien aún existen opciones militares, el objetivo es utilizar primero la presión económica mediante la aplicación de sanciones para alcanzar el resultado que busca la Casa Blanca”, dijo la fuente.
Se trata de una estrategia que podría derivar en un golpe letal para las alicaídas arcas de Venezuela y que ya está teniendo impacto en Cuba, aliada de Caracas y que sufre apagones masivos a causa de su crónica escasez de combustible.
El chavismo libera a detenidos políticos
Mientras Trump aumenta la presión para forzar la salida de Maduro, el chavismo liberó este jueves de Navidad a 71 detenidos durante las protestas que sucedieron a las contestadas elecciones de mediados de 2024 en las que fue reelecto el gobernante entre denuncias de fraude masivo.
Según el Comité de Madres en Defensa de la Verdad, se trata de 65 hombres, tres mujeres y tres adolescentes.
Un hombre protesta frente al centro de detención conocido como el «Helicoide», in Caracas (Foto de archivo: REUTERS/Gaby Oraa)
“No creo que (sea un gesto de buena voluntad) hacia Trump, porque este grupo de presos no son por los que Trump intercede. Tal vez sirve para bajar presión o como gesto ante la ONU o la iglesia”, dijo a TN el activista Antonio Plessman, codirector del movimiento de derechos humanos Surgentes, que rompió con el madurismo en 2019.
Los liberados estaban encarcelados en la prisión conocida como Tocorón, en el estado Aragua; en el Centro Penitenciario Femenino La Crisálida, en Miranda y en el penal de La Guaira, todos ubicados en el norte del país.
Leé también: Tensión en el Caribe: el chavismo aumenta la represión interna mientras crece la amenaza militar de EE.UU.
El organismo consideró que estas liberaciones son “insuficientes” y exigió “la libertad plena” de todos los detenidos poselectorales a través de una amnistía general. “La injusticia sigue afectando a centenares de familias en todo el país”, indicó.
“Este grupo de presos viene de los sectores populares. La mayoría no tiene militancia política. Estas liberaciones son consecuencia de movilización del Comité de Madres en Defensa de la Verdad y sectores aliados. Demostraron que la inmensa mayoría de los detenidos ni siquiera estaba protestando. Fueron apresados en sus casas o trabajos, en operativos masivos”, dijo Plessman.
Problemas para Venezuela y también para Cuba
El bloqueo naval estadounidense a los buques petroleros sancionados que entran y salen de Venezuela busca asfixiar financieramente al gobierno de Maduro y forzar su salida del país.
Venezuela, miembro fundador de la Organización de Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP), exportó más de 900.000 barriles de petróleo por día en noviembre, una cifra aún muy lejana de los 3.000.000 de barriles diarios de principios de siglo.
La actividad petrolera equival a un 10-12% del PIB. Se estima que esté año las exportaciones petroleras generen ingresos entre 15 mil y 17 mil millones de dólares.
“Los esfuerzos realizados hasta el momento han ejercido una enorme presión sobre Maduro, y se cree que a fines de enero Venezuela enfrentará una calamidad económica a menos que acepte hacer concesiones significativas a Estados Unidos”, dijo el funcionario cercano a Trump citado por Reuters. El presidente venezolano Nicolas Maduro habla en la Expo Motores Productivo en Caracas (Foto: Palacio de Miraflores/vía Reuters)
La estrategia de Trump es privar a Maduro de recursos, mientras guarda bajo la manga la baraja militar.
Pero estas acciones no solo afectan a Venezuela. También a su aliado ideológico Cuba, que depende del petróleo venezolano para hacer andar su alicaída economía y sus centrales energéticas.
“Las consecuencias para Cuba serían desastrosas”, afirmó el economista cubano Ricardo Torres, autor de la publicación especializada Cuba Economic Review citado por EFE.
Leé también: María Corina Machado dijo que pronto regresará a Venezuela y denunció amenazas de muerte a presos políticos
Venezuela entrega petróleo a Cuba a cambio de servicios de salud y expertos en seguridad y defensa.
Analistas calculan que La Habana necesita entre 110.000 y 120.000 barriles de petróleo diarios, pero solo produce unos 40.000. La agencia Reuters estima que Venezuela envió este año un promedio de 27.000 barriles diarios a la isla, una cifra insuficiente para paliar el déficit crónico.
Esa falta de crudo provocó una crisis sin precedentes en Cuba con apagones diarios y masivos en toda la isla que han derivado en protestas viralizadas en redes sociales. El gobierno de Miguel Díaz Canel confía en la ayuda de su socio Vladimir Putin. En la isla se habla de la llegada inminente de un petróleo ruso con un importante cargamento de crudo.
También México, un tradicional aliado, envió el año pasado unos 23.000 barriles diarios a la isla, aunque el número sufrió un brusco descenso este año hasta apenas 2.500, según la petrolera estatal mexicana Pemex.
La estrategia de Trump parece basada en la idea de matar dos pájaros de un tiro y poner contra las cuerdas a Cuba y Venezuela, como ha insistido en los últimos meses su secretario de Estado, Marco Rubio, cuyos abuelos migrantes salieron de la isla tras la el triunfo de la Revolución castrista.
Donald Trump, Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro
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Estados Unidos: los millonarios se mudan a Miami para pagar menos impuestos y atraídos por el «glamour» de la ciudad

Impuestos y Trump, los factores
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Rick Scott says Prince Andrew ‘absolutely’ must face US trial in Epstein case if American laws were broken

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A top Senate Republican demanded that if former Prince Andrew is found to have broken American laws with his ties to Jeffrey Epstein, he should stand trial in the U.S.
«If he’s violated American law, absolutely,» Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., told Fox News Digital.
Scott’s comments came after the news that the former prince, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, who is linked to the late pedophile Jeffrey Epstein, was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office in the United Kingdom on Thursday.
EPSTEIN PROBE LEADER COMER SAYS ‘NO ONE IS ABOVE THE LAW’ AFTER EX-PRINCE ANDREW ARREST
Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., said that former Prince Andrew, who was arrested under suspicion of misconduct in public office in the United Kingdom on Thursday, should «absolutely» stand trial in the U.S. if he was found to have broken any American laws with his ties to Jeffrey Epstein. (Aaron Schwartz/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
British authorities were reportedly investigating whether Mountbatten-Windsor had shared confidential trade information with Epstein while acting as Britain’s special envoy for trade over a decade ago, the Associated Press reported.
Mountbatten-Windsor has denied any wrongdoing in relation to Epstein, despite being one of his most well-known associates. He was also accused by the late Virginia Giuffre — one of Epstein’s most prominent accusers — in her memoir of having sex with her when she was a minor.
The list of co-conspirators and those connected to Epstein continues to grow, following Congress’ move to force the Department of Justice (DOJ) to release millions of documents related to him, known as the «Epstein Files.»
MASSIE, TOP OVERSIGHT DEMOCRAT CALL FOR SECRETARY LUTNICK TO RESIGN FOR ‘LYING’ ABOUT ALLEGED EPSTEIN TIES

The former Prince Andrew, Duke of York attends the Easter service at St. George’s Chapel on April 20, 2025, in Windsor, England. He lost his princely title in October of that year. (Samir Hussein/WireImage/Getty Images)
But criminal action against those alleged to have ties with Epstein has remained scarce, given that appearing in the files doesn’t directly translate to criminal charges. Scott argued that if people «violate the law, you should be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.»
«It’s as simple as that. It’s despicable what Epstein did,» Scott said. «I can’t imagine these people who had relationships with Epstein, especially after he was convicted the first time, and they kept their relationship.»
«If they’ve done anything wrong, they should be held accountable,» he continued. «I don’t know if Prince Andrew has done anything wrong, but everybody who has should be held accountable. What you read that happened to these young girls is just like — I’ve got two daughters, I’ve got a granddaughter, and I can’t imagine, you know, the position that Epstein and, it seems like, some other people put these young women in.»
The Senate voted unanimously last year in favor of legislation that President Donald Trump signed into law that required the DOJ to release all unclassified records, documents, communications and investigative materials «publicly available in a searchable and downloadable format» related to the late financier and his accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell.
STARMER CALLS ON EX-PRINCE ANDREW TO TESTIFY BEFORE CONGRESS AFTER LATEST EPSTEIN RELEASE

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., speaks during a news conference at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Feb. 12, 2026. (Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Several names of prominent Americans, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, were revealed in the trove of unredacted documents.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., when asked if Lutnick or others should face consequences, said earlier this month that «transparency is something we all ought to aspire to here.»
«And if there are folks who are, you know, named in there or discussed in there in some way, they’re going to have to answer for that,» Thune said.
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Millions of files and a handful of months later, Attorney General Pam Bondi announced earlier this week that the DOJ had unloaded all the documents. But lawmakers have said it’s not enough.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., charged that the DOJ’s handling of the Epstein files «is a travesty.»
«But in France, the Paris prosecutor’s office just opened two investigations based on new leads from the released files,» Schumer said on X. «And in Britain, former Prince Andrew has been arrested over ties to Epstein. When will there be justice in America?»
politics,senate,jeffrey epstein,british royals,crime world
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Iraq War flashbacks? Experts say Trump’s Iran buildup signals pressure campaign, not regime change

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As U.S. forces surge into the Middle East amid escalating tensions with Iran, the military posture is drawing comparisons to the 2003 Iraq War buildup. But military experts and former officials say that while the scale of visible force may look similar, the design and intent are fundamentally different.
In early 2003, the United States assembled more than 300,000 U.S. personnel in the region, backed by roughly 1,800 coalition aircraft and multiple Army and Marine divisions staged in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia ahead of Operation Iraqi Freedom. The force was built for invasion, regime removal and occupation.
Today’s deployment tells a different story, as the absence of massed ground forces remains the clearest contrast with 2003.
«I believe there is absolutely no intention to put ground forces into Iran. So the buildup is very different,» retired Gen. Philip Breedlove, former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, told Fox News Digital.
IRAN DRAWS MISSILE RED LINE AS ANALYSTS WARN TEHRAN IS STALLING US TALKS
The world’s largest aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford is seen in the North Sea during Exercise Neptune Strike 2025. The photo was taken in the North Sea in September 2025. (Jonathan Klein/AFP via Getty Images)
«What is happening is that both firepower and supplies are being moved to the right places … Amateurs talk tactics; professionals talk logistics. And right now we are getting logistics right, not only in the form of shooters but supplies to sustain an effort,» he said.
John Spencer, executive director of the Urban Warfare Institute, told Fox News Digital that «the strategic objective in both cases is coercion, shaping an adversary’s decision calculus through visible military power, but while the scale of the buildup may appear comparable, what is being mobilized and threatened is fundamentally different.»
«In 2003, the United States assembled a ground-centric force built for regime removal, territorial seizure and occupation,» he said. «Today’s posture is maritime and air-heavy, centered on carrier strike groups, long-range precision strike and layered air defense, signaling clear readiness to act while also sending an equally clear message that there are no boots on the ground planned.»
«The recent U.S. military buildup against Iran — which now includes two aircraft carrier battle groups, in addition to dozens of other U.S. planes that have been sent to bases in the region and air and missile defense systems — provides President Trump with a significant amount of military capability should he authorize military operations against Iran,» said Javed Ali, associate professor at the University of Michigan’s Ford School and former senior counterterrorism official.
Ali noted that U.S. capabilities already in the region at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean and other locations give Washington multiple strike options.
If ordered, he said, operations «would very likely be broad in scope against a range of targets like the ruling clerical establishment, senior officials in the IRGC, key ballistic missile and drone production, storage and launch facilities, and elements of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, and last for days if not longer.»
IRAN RAMPS UP REGIONAL THREATS AS TRUMP CONSIDERS TALKS, EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS OF REGIME VIOLENCE EMERGE

Soldiers of the British Light Infantry distribute aid packages to locals at Zubayr near Basra, southern Iraq. Britain, a key ally in the U.S.-coalition, was in charge of security in Iraq’s southern region until its withdrawal in 2007.
Breedlove said the incremental deployment of carriers and air assets appears designed to increase pressure, not trigger immediate war.
«We brought in one carrier battle group that did not change the rhetoric in Iran… so now the president has started sailing a second carrier battle group to the area. I think all of these things are increasing the pressure slowly on Iran to help them come to the right decision… Let’s sit down at the table and figure this out.»
Ali emphasized another major difference: legal authority and coalition structure. The 2003 Iraq War was authorized by a congressional Authorization for Use of Military Force and backed by a large international coalition, including tens of thousands of British troops. «Currently, no similar AUMF has been approved by Congress for military operations against Iran, which might mean President Trump may invoke his standing authority under Article II of the US Constitution as Commander in Chief as a substitute legal basis, given the threats Iran poses to the United States,» he said.

The aircraft carrier Pre-Commissioning Unit (PCU) Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) pulls into Naval Station Norfolk for the first time. The first-of-class ship — the first new U.S. aircraft carrier design in 40 years — spent several days conducting builder’s sea trials, a comprehensive test of many of the ship’s key systems and technologies. (U.S. Navy photo by Matt Hildreth courtesy of Huntington Ingalls Industries/Released) (©Newport News Shipbuilding 2017)
That does not mean escalation is risk-free. Ali warned Iran could respond with «ballistic missile attacks» in far greater frequency than past strikes, along with drones, cyber operations and maritime disruption in the Persian Gulf.
Breedlove pointed to lessons learned from Iraq. «We want to have a clear set of objectives… we do not want to enter an endless sort of battle with Iran… we need to have a plan for what’s day plus one,» he said, warning against repeating past mistakes where military success was not matched by post-conflict planning.
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The world’s largest aircraft carrier, the U.S. Navy nuclear-powered Ford-class aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) arrives in St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, Dec. 1, 2025. (Seaman Abigail Reyes/U.S. Navy/Handout via Reuters)
The central military distinction, analysts say, is this: 2003 was an invasion architecture. Today is a deterrence and strike architecture.
The force now in place is optimized for air superiority, long-range precision strikes and sustained naval operations — not for seizing and holding territory. Whether that posture succeeds in compelling Iran back to negotiations without crossing into open conflict may depend less on numbers than on how each side calculates the cost of escalation.
iran,iraq,military,pentagon,national security,wars,middle east
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