INTERNACIONAL
Tras el reconocimiento colectivo a Palestina, Israel quedó más aislado y bajo una fuerte presión internacional
El reconocimiento en bloque al Estado Palestino de distintos países del llamado primer mundo dejó a Israel más aislado que nunca en el contexto internacional y bajo una fuerte presión interna por derecha e izquierda.
Las consecuencias de esta doble presión aún no están claras. Dependerá de la respuesta del gobierno de Benjamin Netanyahu que parece decidido a continuar su ofensiva en Gaza y abrir las puertas a una eventual anexión unilateral de la Cisjordania ocupada.
En las últimas 48 horas algo cambió en la política internacional. Ya no son países en vías de desarrollo los que reconocen a Palestina. Esta vez lo hicieron aliados tradicionales de Israel y Estados Unidos, como Gran Bretaña, Francia, Portugal, Australia, Canadá, Bélgica, Luxemburgo, Malta, Andorra y San Marino,
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Unos 157 países -incluso la Argentina, más allá del claro posicionamiento del gobierno de Javier Milei a favor de Israel- reconocen al Estado Palestino. Se trata de más del 80% de las naciones que forman parte de las Naciones Unidas.
“Israel toma esto como una señal de hostilidad. En vez de aprovechar la situación, dice que estos países están dando una victoria a Hamas, que es un premio por la masacre del 7 de octubre y que esto refleja un prejuicio anti-israelí“, dijo a TN el analista Kevin Ary Levin, magister en estudios de Medio Oriente y profesor de la UBA.
¿Cómo reaccionará Israel ante la fuerte presión internacional?
La guerra actual, iniciada tras el brutal ataque de Hamas a Israel hace casi dos años, así como el drama humanitario de Gaza, están dejando secuelas graves no solo en el enclave palestino. También impactan en el gobierno de Netanyahu, en los israelíes y en el país. La ONU habla de genocidio y las protestas se extienden por toda Europa, el mundo árabe e incluso en territorio israelí.
Solo Estados Unidos, y sus satélites diplomáticos que giran alrededor del Departamento de Estado, mantienen su firme respaldo a Israel de la mano de Donald Trump.
Una profunda crisis humanitaria vive la Franja de Gaza (Foto: Saher Alghorra/The New York Times)
Pero Netanyahu no se muestra dispuesto a retroceder a pesar del aumento de la presión internacional y de los reclamos crecientes de familiares de los secuestrados en Gaza y la izquierda israelí por un acuerdo que permita el cese el fuego y la liberación de los rehenes.
“Pareciera haber una motivación de evitar las críticas en el interior de su coalición y en la base de la derecha israelí, y no aprovechar esto como una oportunidad diplomática y como una rampa de salida de la guerra. Por el contrario, mostraría una expresión de desafío ante lo que perciben son acciones de hostilidad hacia Israel”, afirmó el analista.
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Netanyahu planea dar un mensaje al país a su regreso de Nueva York, a donde asistirá a la asamblea general de la ONU. “Va a dar una respuesta en hebreo, lo que da indicios de que es más que nada un mensaje a su base electoral. Y todo parece indicar que va a haber algún tipo de declaración de soberanía sobre parte de Cisjordania”, apuntó Levin.
Este es un reclamo recurrente de la ultraderecha israelí que integra la coalición de gobierno. “El reconocimiento de (…) un estado ‘palestino’, como premio a los asesinos exige medidas de respuesta inmediatas: la aplicación ya de la soberanía en Judea y Samaria (Cisjordania) y la destrucción total de la autoridad terrorista ‘palestina’“, escribió en X el ministro de Seguridad Nacional, Itamar Ben Gvir, que vive en un asentamiento en Cisjordania, considerado ilegal por la ONU.
¿Cuáles serán las consecuencias del creciente aislamiento internacional de Israel?
Said Chaya, coordinador del Núcleo de Estudios de Medio Oriente de la Escuela de Política, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales de la Universidad Austral, dijo a TN que más allá del reconocimiento de varios países a Palestina falta ver si esta medida tendrá un correlato operativo.
“¿Cuáles serán las consecuencias? ¿Se va a sancionar a Israel? ¿Se va dejar de venderle armas? ¿La comunidad internacional va a intervenir en la región?“, se preguntó.
Para el analista, la medida se queda a mitad de camino. “Creo que junto con lo declarativo falta lo operativo. Falta ver cuál es la consecuencia que va a haber de ese reconocimiento y eso no está claro”, señaló.
Benjamin Netanyahu hablará en la ONU (Foto: Debbie Hill/Pool via REUTERS)
En la práctica, este reconocimiento colectivo a Palestina por parte de aliados históricos de Israel muestra un cambio en la política internacional.
“Hace cinco años Israel celebraba, a través de los Acuerdos de Abraham, que la cuestión palestina ya no era en la practica un impedimento para normalizar sus relaciones con los vecinos y no tan vecinos”, recordó Levin. Así, Israel acordó el establecimiento de vínculos diplomáticas con países árabes, como Emiratos Árabes Unidos (EAU), Bahréin, Sudán y Marruecos.
Ahora todo cambió. “Hoy en día podemos ver que el conflicto con Israel ya no es un impedimento para el reconocimiento del Estado palestino”, afirmó el analista.
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Por el contrario, la guerra aleja cada vez más la posibilidad de un acuerdo entre Israel y la influyente Arabia Saudita, aliada de Estados Unidos y que acaba de firmar un pacto de defensa mutuo con Pakistán, que extendió así su paraguas nuclear hacia Ryad. Qatar, otro socio de Washington en la región y que sufrió un ataque israelí en Doha contra los negociadores de Hamas, no descarta seguir el mismo camino.
Levin opinó que el reconocimiento colectivo a Palestina “representa una oportunidad para aislar a Hamas y fortalecer el lugar de la Autoridad Nacional Palestina (ANP, que gobierna un sector de la Cisjordania) y del moderado grupo Fatah. Además, es una buena ocasión para retomar el camino diplomático que asegure varias condiciones como garantías de seguridad por parte de Israel, la vuelta de los secuestrados, una retirada israelí de Gaza y el desarrollo de las zonas destruidas de la Franja”, sostuvo.
Ahora, todo dependerá de la decisión que tome Trump. “Hasta hoy, más allá de algunas expresiones verbales de incomodidad sobre la forma en que Israel maneja la guerra, no puso ningún límite real. Y mientras no ponga un límite real y siga permitiendo la guerra a través de transferencias de dinero y entregando las armas necesarias, no va a cambiar nada”, concluyó Levin.
gaza, Israel
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Vietnam’s trade ministry is urging businesses to encourage employees to work from home to curb fuel consumption as the country grapples with supply disruptions and sharp price increases triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war involving Iran.
In a statement on Tuesday, the government said Vietnam has been among the nations hardest hit by the turmoil due to its heavy reliance on energy imports from the Middle East. Citing a report from the Ministry of Industry and Trade, it called on companies to «encourage work-from-home when possible to reduce the need for travel and transportation.»
Fuel prices have surged since the end of last month, with gasoline up 32%, diesel rising 56% and kerosene climbing 80%, according to data from Petrolimex, the country’s top fuel trader. Long lines of cars and motorbikes were seen at petrol stations in Hanoi on Tuesday.
The ministry also urged businesses and individuals not to hoard or speculate on fuel.
People queue to buy petrol at a petrol station after Vietnam’s trade ministry called on local businesses to encourage their employees to work from home to save fuel amid disruptions in supply and price surges triggered by the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Hanoi, Vietnam, March 10, 2026. (REUTERS/Khanh Vu)
GAS PRICES COULD JUMP AS MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS THREATEN GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY
Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh on Monday held calls with leaders of Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates to secure additional fuel and crude oil supplies. The government has also removed import tariffs on fuels through the end of April in a bid to ease pressure on the market.
President Donald Trump’s strikes on Iran have made for volatile crude markets, with prices surging to $120 a barrel in the U.S. over the weekend before dipping back to just over $80 on Monday night as Trump spoke to a Republican retreat in Florida.
Prices have stabilized after Trump assured investors the Strait of Hormuz will be safe for oil tankers in the Middle East, a notorious choke point for the largely dismantled Iranian regime.
President Donald Trump addresses reporters aboard Air Force One last week as War Secretary Pete Hegseth looks on. (SAUL LOEB / AFP via Getty Images)
TRUMP IS REALIGNING WORLD ENERGY MARKETS AND THE IRAN STRIKES ARE ACTUALLY HELPING
The situation in the region remains tenuous as Iran has announced Mojtaba Khamenei as the next supreme leader, a decision that Trump told Fox News that he «was not happy» about.
«I don’t believe he can live in peace,» Trump said from Air Force One.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard said Tuesday they would not let any oil out of the Middle East until U.S. and Israeli attacks cease, a threat that had prompted Trump to threaten to hit Iran «20 times harder» if it blocked exports.
US SIGNALS READINESS TO ESCORT TANKERS THROUGH HORMUZ AS TRAFFIC THINS BUT NO MISSION LAUNCHED
Strikes on the Iranian leadership, the IRGC, and Iranian naval vessels and oil infrastructure have roiled the markets. ( Sasan / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)
Despite the defiant rhetoric from both sides, investors placed strong bets Tuesday that Trump would call off his war soon, before the unprecedented disruption it has caused to energy supplies causes a global economic meltdown.
«I’m hearing they want to talk badly,» Trump said, as the Department of War has claimed 50 Iranian naval vessels have been sunk and Trump is suggesting the war objections are weeks ahead of schedule, if not nearly «complete.»
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«It’s possible,» Trump added of engaging the new Iranian leadership, descendants of the deceased leaders, but said it «depends on what terms, possible, only possible.»
«You know, we sort of don’t have to speak anymore, you know, if you really think about it, but it’s possible,» he said.
Fox News’ Trey Yingst and Reuters contributed to this report.
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INTERNACIONAL
Iran war, 11 days in: US controls skies, oil surges and the region braces for what’s next
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One week into the war with Iran, U.S. officials say American and Israeli forces are moving toward «complete control» of Iranian airspace — clearing the way for deeper strikes, a broader target list and a conflict that appears to be expanding rather than winding down.
In briefings this week, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine described what they called near-uncontested airspace over key corridors, a shift that allows sustained bombing operations deep inside Iran.
«We are winning with an overwhelming and unrelenting focus on our objectives,» Hegseth said in a press briefing Tuesday morning.
AFTER THE STRIKES, HOW WOULD THE US SECURE IRAN’S ENRICHED URANIUM?
Caine said U.S. forces have now struck more than 5,000 targets in the first 10 days of operations, including dozens of deeply buried missile launchers hit with 2,000-pound penetrating bombs.
The message from Washington is one of overwhelming military advantage.
But the broader picture, rising oil prices, expanding drone warfare, strikes on energy and civilian infrastructure, and regional spillover touching NATO territory, suggests a conflict that is growing in scope even as U.S. officials project confidence in its trajectory.
Leadership hardens in Tehran
Amid the intensifying conflict, Iran’s Assembly of Experts has selected Mojtaba Khamenei — son of the recently deceased Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — as the country’s new supreme leader, consolidating authority within the clerical establishment and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps at a pivotal moment.
The succession, only the second since the 1979 revolution, signals continuity rather than recalibration in Iran’s posture. Mojtaba Khamenei had long been viewed as a potential successor and is closely aligned with hard-line factions inside Iran’s security apparatus.
President Donald Trump criticized the selection, saying the leadership change would not alter U.S. objectives and suggesting it reflects the same entrenched power structure Washington has sought to weaken. The administration has made clear that military operations will continue regardless of who occupies the supreme leader’s office.
Rather than opening a diplomatic off-ramp, the transition appears to reinforce the likelihood of a prolonged confrontation.
‘Uncontested airspace’
Hegseth said Tuesday that the U.S. and Israel had achieved «total air dominance» over Iran and were «winning decisively with brutal efficiency.»
«That doesn’t mean they won’t be able to project,» Hegseth said. «It doesn’t mean our air defenders still don’t have to defend. They do. But that is strong evidence of degradation.»
«Most of their higher-end surface-to-air missile systems are not factors at this point in time,» Caine said.
«Fighters are moving deeper with relative impunity,» he added, noting there is «always some risk.»
One week into the war with Iran, U.S. officials say American and Israeli forces are moving toward «complete control» of Iranian airspace. ( Sasan / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)
Adm. Brad Cooper, head of the U.S. military’s Central Command, also reported that Iranian ballistic missile launches had dropped by roughly 90% from the opening days of the conflict, while drone attacks had fallen by more than 80%, attributing the decline to sustained strikes on launchers and infrastructure.
Still, officials have cautioned that air superiority does not mean every threat can be stopped. Iranian missiles and drones continue to be launched, and some have required interception across the region.
A shift in munitions and message
Hegseth said the campaign is transitioning from expensive standoff weapons like Tomahawk cruise missiles to 500-, 1,000- and 2,000-pound precision gravity bombs — a shift he said reflects confidence that Iranian surface-to-air missile systems have been suppressed in key areas.
He described the U.S. stockpile of such bombs as «nearly unlimited» and warned that Washington’s timeline «is ours and ours alone to control.»
The emphasis on gravity bombs is more than rhetorical. It signals a move toward sustained, high-tempo operations designed not only to hit active threats but to degrade Iran’s ability to regenerate its missile force.
US SIGNALS READINESS TO ESCORT TANKERS THROUGH HORMUZ AS TRAFFIC THINS, BUT NO MISSION HAS BEEN LAUNCHED
Drones redefine the fight
Even as missile launches decline, unmanned systems remain central to the war.
Iran has leaned heavily on drones — including Shahed-style loitering munitions — to strike energy facilities, pressure U.S. bases and disrupt shipping near the Strait of Hormuz. Compared to ballistic missiles, drones are cheaper and easier to deploy in volume, allowing Tehran to sustain pressure despite losses elsewhere.
In response, the United States has deployed a Ukraine-tested counter-drone interceptor system to the region. Ukrainian specialists, drawing on experience defending against Iranian-designed drones used in the Russia-Ukraine war, are assisting in strengthening base protection.
The drone fight underscores a key dynamic: while U.S. forces may dominate the skies, lower-cost unmanned systems can still impose risk and strain air defenses.
Energy at risk
The Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil and major liquefied natural gas shipments transit — has become one of the most consequential flashpoints of the war.
Drone attacks and Iranian threats sharply have reduced commercial traffic, driving up insurance costs and forcing some vessels to reroute. Oil prices have climbed above $100 per barrel amid fears that disruptions could persist.
Israeli strikes on Iranian oil facilities, and Iran’s retaliatory targeting of regional energy infrastructure, signal that energy assets are now active targets. Reports of strikes affecting water and desalination plants further suggest the war is expanding beyond strictly military sites.
Iran’s Assembly of Experts has selected Mojtaba Khamenei — son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — as the country’s new supreme leader. (Photo by Reza B / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)
If instability in Hormuz stretches for weeks, analysts warn, global energy markets could tighten quickly, translating into higher gasoline prices and renewed inflation pressure in the United States.
Trump warned Monday that Iran will be hit «20 times harder» than it already has if it threatens ships in the Strait.
NATO proximity and regional backlash
The war has edged closer to NATO territory. Two Iranian ballistic missiles were intercepted near Turkish airspace, raising the risk of broader alliance involvement.
Iran has also struck Azerbaijan, drawing sharp condemnation from Baku and angering Turkey, Azerbaijan’s closest ally. Notably, Iran has not seen a unified regional bloc mobilize in its defense, highlighting its relative diplomatic isolation even as it escalates militarily.
Industrial mobilization
Despite Hegseth’s assertion that certain offensive munitions are plentiful, sustaining air and missile defense operations is resource-intensive, and inventories of high-end interceptors were already under strain before the conflict began.
Iran has attempted to degrade radar systems tied to platforms such as THAAD and Patriot batteries. (Reuters/U.S. Army/Capt. Adan Cazarez)
Iran has attempted to degrade radar systems tied to platforms such as THAAD and Patriot batteries. While U.S. commanders say launch rates have declined sharply, interceptors are expensive and produced in limited quantities.
Trump convened major defense contractors last week to press for accelerated production of interceptors and related systems. Expanding output could require congressional funding if the campaign continues at its current pace.
The battlefield now extends beyond launch sites and into supply chains.
Rising casualties
The Pentagon has confirmed seven U.S. service members have been killed and eight seriously injured in Iranian strikes.
In Iran, the U.S. claims over 50 top Iranian leaders, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have been taken out. Iran claims more than 1,000 people have been killed in the strikes and approximately 175 people, including many schoolchildren, were killed in an attack on a girls’ elementary school in Minab.
No group has claimed responsibility, and investigations are ongoing.
The incident has intensified scrutiny over civilian protection as the conflict widens.
No quick off-ramp
A little more than one week in, the trajectory points toward expansion rather than containment.
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U.S. officials project confidence in air dominance and sustained strike capacity. Iranian leadership has consolidated under a hard-line successor. Energy markets are volatile. Drone warfare continues to test defenses. The conflict has brushed NATO territory and struck civilian infrastructure.
The central question is how far the conflict will spread, and whether military momentum can outpace the economic and geopolitical costs mounting across the region.
war with iran,iran,conflicts defense,middle east foreign policy,energy
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