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Tras su triunfo en el balotaje, Daniel Noboa obtiene más poder para luchar contra el crimen organizado en Ecuador

Tras el contundente triunfo de Daniel Noboa en el balotaje de este domingo, Ecuador entró este lunes en un nuevo período político bajo la amenaza latente del crimen organizado y de una fuerte ofensiva del correísmo que denunció fraude y no reconoció su derrota.
El resultado fue tan inesperado como aplastante. Fueron más de 11 puntos de diferencia (55,87% a 44,13%) que el actual presidente le sacó a su rival de la Revolución Ciudadana, Luisa González, ahijada política del exmandatario Rafael Correa, exiliado en Bruselas.
Leé también: Ecuador azotado por el crimen organizado: amenazas a periodistas y la tasa de asesinatos más alta de la región
Noboa, un empresario heredero de una de las mayores fortunas del país y que ha gobernado desde la centroderecha en los últimos 16 meses tras la renuncia de Guillermo Lasso, no solo obtuvo su reelección por otros cuatro años. Además, le dio un durísimo golpe al correísmo y sus aspiraciones de volver al gobierno tras ocho años en la oposición.
“No entiendo nada. Esa diferencia ni ellos la tenían. Hay algo raro”, confió a TN una fuente de la Revolución Ciudadana muy cercana a Correa a medida que llegaban los primeros resultados. De hecho, González apenas sobrepasó el 44% de los votos alcanzados en la primera vuelta del 9 de febrero. Poco después, la candidata denunció fraude y anunció que no reconocerá su derrota.
La izquierda, más allá de sus denuncias, recibió un fuerte cachetazo que salpicó a las encuestadoras que vaticinaban un empate técnico y la elección más reñida de la historia democrática local.
Más poder para Noboa y lucha contra el crimen organizado
Noboa salió con un enorme poder de esta segunda vuelta, aunque deberá negociar en una dividida Asamblea (legislativo unicameral) para mantener la gobernabilidad y sortear el desconocimiento a su triunfo desde la izquierda correísta. Su partido ADN no tiene estructura ni mayoría en el Parlamento y deberá consensuar un pacto con el movimiento indígena u otras agrupaciones menores.
Ese será un punto clave antes del comienzo de su segundo mandato. Además, el temor a actos de violencia aún no se disipó del todo, aunque las elecciones se celebraron con normalidad y sin incidentes relevantes. Un eventual llamado a protestas desde la Revolución Ciudadana iniciaría una peligrosa escalada que pondría en jaque al gobierno, como ya ocurrió en 2019 y 2022.
Daniel Noboa fue reelecto por otros cuatro años (Foto: Reuters/David Diaz Arcos)
Mauricio Alarcón, Director Ejecutivo de Fundación Ciudadanía y Desarrollo y contacto de Transparencia Internacional en Ecuador, le dijo a TN que el correísmo no tiene justificación para denunciar fraude y mucho menos riesgos de violencia.
“No lo hay. Había riesgos reales si el resultado era apretado. Pero la diferencia es de más de 10 puntos. Cualquier llamado a la violencia no tiene asidero”, señaló.
El analista dijo que ahora “es el momento de darle vuelta a la página. El resultado afortunadamente ha sido claro. No da lugar a dudas ni a especulaciones. El Consejo Nacional Electoral ha estado a la altura”, indicó.
Leé también: “Nadie sale ileso de una guerra comercial”: fuerte advertencia de uno de los cancilleres de la Unión Europea
Para Alarcón, “hay que empezar un nuevo período de gobierno pensado en el país. No solo en una organización política, sino en cómo darle a los ecuatorianos seguridad, estabilidad económica y transparencia”.
¿Carta blanca para luchar contra el crimen organizado?
El contundente triunfo de Noboa le da un amplio poder para profundizar la guerra contra el narcotráfico y el crimen organizado que mantiene maniatado al país. Ecuador es hoy la nación más violenta de la región, con un índice de más de 38 asesinatos por cada 100.000 habitantes (Argentina tiene una tasa de 3,8).
El presidente le ha pedido ayuda al gobierno de Donald Trump para enfrentar al narco y a los grupos mafiosos que dominan amplias zonas del territorio. Se habla incluso de la posibilidad de que vuelvan las bases militares al país, como la de Manta, cerrada durante el gobierno de Correa.
Además, su triunfo le permitirá negociar un acuerdo de colaboración con el polémico empresario y exmilitar estadounidense Erik Prince, fundador de la empresa de seguridad privada Blackwater, ahora llamada Academi, que tiene varias denuncias de violaciones a los derechos humanos en Irak.

Militares ecuatorianos realizan un operativo antidrogas en Guayaquil (Foto: AFP)
“Veo con preocupación que no hay una propuesta clara del candidato ganador. Ha habido propuestas políticas. El traer a un mercenario cuestionado internacionalmente o destinar a mansalva fondos sin una hoja de ruta especifica, tiene que ser replanteado”, dijo Alarcón.
El temor a la violencia se palpa en cada rincón del país, incluso en Quito, donde la situación es más tranquila que en el corredor costero, en especial Guayaquil, bastión de las bandas narcos y del crimen organizado que han irrumpido con fuerza en los gobiernos locales.
En ese marco, Alarcón alertó: “La inseguridad no se combate con acciones aisladas o de campaña. Es necesario que el país presente un plan que se aplique en los próximos cuatro años para enfrentar el fenómeno del narcotráfico y el crimen organizado”.
Steve Dudley, codirector de Insight Crime, una fundación dedicada a la investigación sobre las amenazas a la seguridad nacional de América Latina y el Caribe, dijo a TN en Quito que la seguridad privada podría llegar a Ecuador a través de Prince, pero no con fuerzas en el terreno.
“Hay posibilidad de que entre de manera fuerte en ciertas partes como el área de inteligencia, el mayor uso de drones y cuestiones más tecnológicas y de Inteligencia Artificial. Pero no veo riesgo de que entren mercenarios en el terreno”, precisó.
Para Dudley, “la privatización nunca resuelve los grandes problemas. Lo que resuelve estos problemas son instituciones fuertes, desde la parte judicial hasta la policial, y la pacificación de las cárceles. No se resuelve con la participación de empresas privadas” en la lucha contra la inseguridad.
Ecuador, Luisa González, Daniel Noboa
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Former French President Sarkozy begins a 5-year prison sentence for campaign finance conspiracy

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Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy entered a prison in Paris on Tuesday to begin serving a 5-year sentence for a criminal conspiracy to finance his 2007 election campaign with funds from Libya — a historic moment that makes him the first ex-leader of modern France to be imprisoned.
Sarkozy, 70, was greeted by hundreds of supporters when he walked out of his Paris home earlier in the day hand-in-hand with his wife, supermodel-turned-singer Carla Bruni-Sarkozy. He embraced her before getting into a police car.
Minutes later, the vehicle passed through the gates of the notorious La Santé prison — where Sarkozy will now serve his sentence in solitary confinement.
Sarkozy was convicted last month of criminal conspiracy in a scheme to finance his 2007 election campaign with funds from Libya.
He contests both the conviction and a judge’s unusual decision to incarcerate him pending appeal. His lawyers said Tuesday that they filed an immediate request for his release.
FORMER FRENCH PRESIDENT NICOLAS SARKOZY SENTENCED TO FIVE YEARS IN LIBYA CORRUPTION CASE
Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy and his wife Carla Bruni-Sarkozy leave their home on Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2025, in Paris as Nicolas Sarkozy heads to prison to serve time for a criminal conspiracy to finance his 2007 election campaign with funds from Libya. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)
A show of defiance
«It’s an ominous day for him, for France and for our institutions, because this incarceration is a disgrace,» Sarkozy’s lawyer Jean-Michel Darrois told reporters soon after his incarceration.
In a show of defiance and while on his way to the prison, Sarkozy released a statement on social media declaring that «an innocent man» was being locked up.
«I will continue to denounce this judicial scandal,» he wrote. «The truth will prevail.»
Sarkozy told Le Figaro newspaper that he would bring three books to prison — the maximum allowed — including Alexandre Dumas’ «The Count of Monte Cristo,″ in which the hero escapes from an island prison before seeking revenge. He also picked a biography of Jesus Christ.
«I’m not afraid of prison. I’ll hold my head high, including in front of the doors of La Santé,» he told La Tribune Dimanche newspaper last week. «I’ll fight till the end.»
Sarkozy has repeatedly said he is the victim of «a plot» staged by some people linked to the Libyan government and denounced the Sept. 25 verdict as a «scandal.»
TRUMP COMMUTES GEORGE SANTOS’ SENTENCE, PARDON BLITZ WIPES OUT COSTLY FEDERAL INVESTIGATIONS

Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy, center, arrives at La Sante prison to serve time for a criminal conspiracy to finance his 2007 election campaign with funds from Libya, on Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2025, in Paris. (AP Photo/Emma Da Silva)
Solitary confinement
Sarkozy’s lawyers said he will be kept away from all other prisoners for security reasons. They said he packed a bag with a few sweaters because the prison is cold and earplugs because it’s noisy.
Christophe Ingrain, another of Sarkozy’s lawyers, denounced «a serious injustice.»
«It’s a very difficult time, but the president has stood strong,» Ingrain said. «He doesn’t complain, hasn’t asked for anything, no special treatment.»
Solitary confinement implies that Sarkozy will never see other inmates and will spend most of his time alone in his cell, Ingrain said.
He will be allowed to go outdoors one hour per day alone in the prison yard and to get three visits per week from his family, Ingrain said, adding that he is planning to write a book about his prison experience.
BRAZIL’S EX-PRESIDENT AND MAJOR TRUMP ALLY BOLSONARO PLACED ON HOUSE ARREST

People stand behind French flags with inscription reading «Courage Nicolas, come back soon,» right, and «True France with Nicolas» outside former French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s home, on Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2025, in Paris. (AP Photo/Masha Macpherson)
An outpouring of support for the ex-president
Sarkozy’s journey from the presidential Elysée Palace to La Santé prison has captivated France.
After leaving their home, Sarkozy and his wife walked slowly to join family members, including his children and grandchildren, outside his home.
«I’m very proud to share his name, and very proud of how he’s reacting,» said his brother, Guillaume Sarkozy. «I’m truly convinced that he is innocent.»
Hundreds of supporters applauded and chanted «Nicolas, Nicolas» and sang the French anthem. Two French flags were hung on a nearby fence, with the words «Courage Nicolas, return soon» and «true France with Nicolas.»
Parisian resident Virginie Rochon, 44, came in support of Sarkozy, calling it «scandalous» to see «a former president being taken away while still presumed innocent.»
Another supporter, Véronique Maurey, 50, said: «it’s just not possible. And on top of that, calling it a ‘criminal conspiracy’ kind of makes all of us feel like criminals too, because we voted for him. It’s not right to say that.»
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Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy reacts before entering a police car on Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2025, in Paris as he heads to prison to serve time for a criminal conspiracy to finance his 2007 election campaign with funds from Libya. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)
Meeting with Macron
Embattled centrist President Emmanuel Macron hosted the conservative Sarkozy at the presidential palace last week, explaining it was «normal on a human level» to receive one of his predecessors in this context.
On Tuesday, Macron said he would not comment on a justice decision. «Nevertheless, it’s normal that the image of a president being imprisoned … may prompt comments,» he said.
«We must distinguish emotion, including the legitimate emotion of relatives and part of the country … and the proper functioning of justice,» Macron added.
Sarkozy has been retired from active politics for years but remains very influential, especially in conservative circles.
France’s top magistrate Rémy Heitz, Prosecutor-General at the Court of Cassation, warned Tuesday about a risk of «hindering (justice) serenity» and of «undermining the independence of judges,» including when the justice minister — a former conservative who joined Macron’s party — plans to visit Sarkozy in prison.
«The goal for everyone must be serenity, to allow justice to truly rule independently… free from any pressure,» Heitz said.
The Paris court ruled last month that Sarkozy would start to serve prison time without waiting for his appeal to be heard, due to «the seriousness of the disruption to public order caused by the offense.»
The court said Sarkozy, as a presidential candidate and interior minister, used his position «to prepare corruption at the highest level» from 2005 to 2007, to finance his presidential campaign with funds from Libya — then led by longtime ruler Moammar Gadhafi.
Under the ruling, Sarkozy was able to file a request for release to the appeals court only once behind bars. Judges have up to two months to process it.
france,associated press,world
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Una hora de gimnasia diaria, lectura, escritura y tres visitas por semana: la nueva rutina de Nicolas Sarkozy en la cárcel

La Santé, una prisión muy antigua
Preso VIP
El último acto mediático antes de entrar a prisión
Carla Bruni, imputada
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US military buildup in Caribbean sees bombers, Marines and warships converge near Venezuela

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The United States has significantly increased its military presence across the Caribbean under U.S. Southern Command, deploying bombers, warships, and Marines as part of an expanded campaign targeting drug-trafficking and so-called «narco-terrorist» networks operating near Venezuela.
In addition to seven strikes on boats believed to be carrying narcotics, the Trump administration has built up thousands of troops in the region.
War Secretary Pete Hegseth this month announced the creation of a new counter-narcotics Joint Task Force operating near Southern Command, saying it was established «to crush the cartels, stop the poison, and keep America safe.» The task force will coordinate air, maritime, and special-operations missions across the region — marking the largest U.S. military effort in the Caribbean in decades.
U.S. Air Force B-52H Stratofortress bombers and Marine Corps F-35B Lightning II fighters recently conducted a bomber attack demonstration over the region — a show of force captured in Defense Department imagery. For four hours on Wednesday, B-52s from Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana patrolled near Venezuela’s coast in a display of military might aimed at Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro.
TRUMP UNLEASHES US MILITARY POWER ON CARTELS. IS A WIDER WAR LOOMING?
President Donald Trump directed a deadly strike on a suspected drug-running boat, War Secretary Pete Hegseth said. (SecWar/X)
At least seven U.S. Naval warships and one nuclear submarine are believed to be patrolling the region.
The USS Iwo Jima Amphibious Ready Group is also operating in the Caribbean Sea. Ship spotters photographed the flagship USS Iwo Jima (LHD-7) off the coast of Ponce, Puerto Rico, on Friday. The group includes USS Fort Lauderdale (LPD-28), USS San Antonio (LPD-17) and the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit, based at Camp Lejeune and Marine Corps Air Station New River, N.C. The 22nd MEU comprises Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron 263 (Reinforced), Combat Logistics Battalion 26 and Battalion Landing Team 3/6.
Three U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers — USS Jason Dunham (DDG-109), USS Gravely (DDG-107), and USS Stockdale (DDG-106) — are currently deployed in the Caribbean, joined by the guided-missile cruiser USS Lake Erie (CG-70) and the littoral combat ship USS Wichita (LCS-13), which has been operating near Cuba.
Open-source reporting indicates that a U.S. nuclear-powered attack submarine has been deployed near Venezuela, although the exact number of nuclear vessels and their precise locations have not been confirmed by the Pentagon.
WAR DEPARTMENT LAUNCHES NEW COUNTER-NARCOTICS TASK FORCE UNDER TRUMP DIRECTIVE TO CRUSH CARTELS
In Puerto Rico, the U.S. has deployed ten F-35 fighter jets and at least three MQ-9 Reaper drones, transforming the island into a key logistics and surveillance hub for operations in the region. Reuters imagery from Aguadilla, Puerto Rico, shows the drones staged for use.
Recent photos also show that Naval Station Roosevelt Roads, a major U.S. facility closed in 2004, has been reactivated. Satellite images and on-site photos reveal aircraft and personnel operating from the base, including at least one AC-130J Ghostrider gunship equipped with Hellfire missiles parked at José Aponte de la Torre Airport, which serves the installation.
Special-operations aviation has increased as well. In early October, MH-6 «Little Bird» light-attack helicopters — typically used by U.S. Army Special Operations Forces — and MH-60M Black Hawks were spotted training off the coast of Trinidad and Tobago, according to images first published by The Washington Post.
The Pentagon has not detailed how long the buildup will last, but a New York Times report estimates about 10,000 U.S. troops are currently operating in the theater — the largest American presence in the region in decades.
U.S. defense officials have linked the deployments to ongoing counter-narcotics and counter-terrorism missions tied to recent strikes on vessels accused of trafficking drugs from Venezuela. The moves come as tensions escalate following Colombia’s claim that one of the U.S. strikes killed a fisherman, not a trafficker — an accusation the White House has denied.
SECRETARY OF WAR HEGSETH LANDS IN PUERTO RICO AS US RAMPS UP CARIBBEAN CARTEL FIGHT WITH NAVAL FORCES
Analysts say the combination of heavy bombers, stealth fighters, Marines, and Navy surface combatants underscores a shift from law-enforcement interdiction to a broader show of force aimed at deterring state-linked trafficking networks.

A U.S. Air Force B-52H Stratofortress bomber assigned to the 2nd Bomb Wing, integrates with a U.S. Marine Corps F-35B Lightning II aircraft assigned to the Marine Fighter Attack Squadron 225, in the U.S. Southern Command area. (U.S. Air Force)
«This is a posture we haven’t seen in the Caribbean since the early 2000s,» said one defense analyst familiar with U.S. operations in the region. «It’s clearly meant to send a message — not just to traffickers, but to governments accused of enabling them.»
Experts generally agree the U.S. buildup does not suggest preparations for all-out war.
Mark Cancian, a senior defense adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told Fox News Digital that such a campaign would require between 50,000 and 100,000 U.S. troops — far more than the roughly 10,000 currently in theater.
«What I think they’ve put in place is the capability to launch strikes at either the cartels or the Maduro regime,» Cancian said. «If I had to bet, it’s probably against the cartels — but I wouldn’t rule out something against the regime.»
That limited but flexible posture reflects what some experts describe as a modern form of coercive diplomacy.

A U.S. Marine Corps F-35 fighter jet taxies on the tarmac past U.S. Marine Corps Ospreys and helicopters are now parked at the former Roosevelt Roads military base in Ceiba, Puerto Rico, which had been closed for decades. (Ricardo Arduengo/Reuters)
«It sort of looks like we’re in the throes of a 21st-century version of gunboat diplomacy,» said Brandan Buck, a foreign policy analyst at the Cato Institute. «The Trump administration is doing what it can to force some sort of transition [of] power — out of Maduro’s hands and into someone else’s — without a classic invasion.»
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Ryan Berg, director of the Americas Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the current deployment gives Washington strike options without committing to a major ground war.
«The force posture currently in the southern Caribbean is consonant with the potential for precision strikes using Tomahawk missiles or other weapons, but without risking the lives of U.S. service personnel,» Berg said.
latin america,pentagon,defense,military,caribbean
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