INTERNACIONAL
Trump brokers Iran ceasefire as experts say regime’s arsenal is shattered but threat remains
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In a historic turn of events, Iran agreed to a ceasefire Monday following a limited strike on a U.S. military base in Qatar.
The agreement, brokered by President Donald Trump, marks a dramatic de-escalation after 12 days of war.
Even as the ceasefire deal seems to be teetering, experts say Iran’s decision to step back reflects the heavy toll its military infrastructure has taken in the wake of coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, missile stockpiles and key production facilities.
«Iran cannot win this war,» said Danny Orbach, a military historian at Hebrew University. «They’ve lost roughly 60% of their launchers. Even if they still have around 1,000 long-range missiles, without enough functioning launchers, they can’t deploy them effectively.»
TRUMP ANNOUNCES HISTORIC IRAN AND ISRAEL CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT TO END ’12 DAY WAR’
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, left, and President Donald Trump.
According to U.S. and Israeli officials, the attack on the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar — the largest U.S. base in the Middle East — caused no casualties and only minor damage. The strike appears to have been carefully calibrated.
«The strike in Qatar was coordinated with the Americans and was not intended to impress or cause real harm,» claimed Sima Shine, a former Mossad official and senior Iran expert at Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies. «Iran still has weapons, but it doesn’t want to draw the U.S. into an all-out war. And they know closing the Strait of Hormuz will end badly for them.»
«What has largely remained intact is Iran’s short-range capability,» said Blaise Misztal, vice president of policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA). «These are thousands of rockets, missiles, and drones that can’t reach Israel, but can absolutely hit U.S. bases in Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain, and the UAE. That’s what we saw in the strike on Al Udeid.»
Misztal added that Iran’s remaining arsenal is «well-developed and available in far greater quantities» than its long-range weapons. «The danger isn’t just to U.S. forces. Iran can still target energy infrastructure, major cities, and commercial shipping across the Gulf.»
Supporters of Iraqi pro-Iran groups hold pictures of Iranian Revolutionary Guard commanders killed in the Israeli airstrikes in Tehran, Iran, during a protest in Baghdad near the green zone, the ultra-secured neighborhood hosting the U.S. Embassy, on June 16, 2025, amid the Israel-Iran escalating conflict. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images)
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In a 2024 report for JINSA, retired General Frank McKenzie, former commander of U.S. Central Command, warned that American bases in the Gulf are critically vulnerable to Iranian missile and drone saturation attacks. He noted that installations like Al Udeid are just minutes from Iranian launch sites, leaving little time to react — and called for a strategic shift westward and stronger missile defense integration with regional allies to overcome the «tyranny of geography.»
As the U.S. repositioned some aircraft and ships ahead of the expected Iranian retaliation, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine confirmed that defense measures had been bolstered across Iraq and Syria.
Analysts say the real reason for Iran’s climbdown is the sheer scale of its losses.
A massive plume of smoke and fire rises from an oil refinery in southern Tehran, Iran, following reports that an overnight Israeli strike targeted the site on June 15, 2025. (ATTA KENARE/AFP)
Orbach explained that Iran is now facing what military theorist William Tecumseh Sherman once described as «a range of bad choices.» «They don’t have the money to rebuild everything,» he said. «They’ll have to choose between restoring their missile program, supporting proxies, or reviving their nuclear infrastructure. They can’t do it all.»
«Iran remains the world’s leading state sponsor of terror,» Misztal added, «They’ve plotted assassinations on U.S. soil before. They’ve carried out attacks globally,» Misztal said. «And they’ve invested heavily in cyber since the Stuxnet attack in 2010. Energy infrastructure, regional systems, even U.S. targets — they’re all vulnerable.»
Members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) march during a parade. The IRGC is designated as a foreign terrorist organization by the State Department. A large part of its work is to covertly operate outside of Iran. (Reuters)
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«Will Iran learn enough of a lesson from these attacks to moderate its behavior? It seems unlikely,» Misztal added, «I think their hope is that, regardless of how this ends or what happens to their nuclear program, they can return to their usual pattern of aggression — using proxies and indirect attacks throughout the region and beyond. This regime is built on ‘Death to America, Death to Israel.’ That hostility is central to its identity, and it can’t abandon it without losing legitimacy.»
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President Trump told Brian Glenn of the conservative Real America’s Voice that he didn’t want to answer his question because it was «off-topic» as he stood there with Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders.
Then he proceeded to answer it at great length.
The idea, it turns out, began with Vladimir Putin, who has a bit of experience at keeping himself in power, which isn’t all that hard if you’re a dictator.
My source? Donald Trump.
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President Trump’s Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, reportedly told him «it’s impossible to have mail-in voting and have honest elections.» (Photo by SERGEY BOBYLEV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
He said Putin told him that «it’s impossible to have mail-in voting and have honest elections,» in an interview with Fox’s Sean Hannity. He said Putin told him he won the 2020 election «by so much,» as Trump has long claimed, «and you lost it because of mail-in voting. It was a rigged election.»
Music to the president’s ears.
So Trump was ready when a friendly reporter asked the question.
Trump slammed mail-in ballots as «corrupt» when asked by a reporter, a position he’s maintained since his re-election defeat in 2020. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig, File)
«Mail-in ballots are corrupt,» he declared. «Mail-in ballots, you can never have a real democracy with mail-in ballots, and we as a Republican Party are going to do everything possible that we get rid of mail-in ballots. We’re going to start with an executive order that’s being written right now by the best lawyers in the country to end mail-in ballots because they’re corrupt.»
He was just warming up.
And, you know, that we’re the only country in the world, I believe I may be wrong, but just about the only country in the world that uses [mail-in ballots] because of what’s happened, massive fraud all over the place. The other thing we want, change of the machines. For all of the money they spend, it’s approximately 10 times more expensive than paper ballots. And paper ballots are very sophisticated with the watermark paper and everything else, we would get secure elections. We get much faster results, the machines, I mean, they say we’re going to have the results in two weeks with paper ballots. You have the results that night. Most people almost have, but most people in many countries use paper ballots. It’s the most secure form.»
A little fact-checking is in order.
As Axios points out, many countries around the world have some form of mail-in voting. And millions of Americans who live overseas, such as military families, are eligible for mailing in their ballots.
Trump actually doesn’t have the power to do this. While he says the states are an «agent» of the feds, the Constitution says the mechanics of holding elections «shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof.» But Congress can change those requirements. Could the president get this through the narrow majorities in both chambers?
«It’s a fraud,» Trump said, adding: «It’s time that the Republicans get tough and stop it because the Democrats want it, it’s the only way they can get elected.»
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Trump even invoked Jimmy Carter. In 2004, a commission set up by the former president and ex-Reagan aide James Baker III concluded that «absentee ballots remain the largest source of potential voter fraud.»
In 2020, Trump went all-out in favor of mail-in ballots, arguing that they would help Republicans. Of course, he may just have been trying to make the best of the tools already in place. No party believes in unilateral disarmament.
But his enthusiasm for mail-in ballots in that election stands in stark contrast to his current stance that they are corrupt and should be banned.
Trump wound up telling Brian Glenn, who is dating Marjorie Taylor Greene, «I’m glad you asked that question.»
In 2020, Trump favored mail-in ballots under the impression they’d help Republicans – a far cry from his current stance. (Getty Images)
The president doesn’t let himself be tied down by the rules of consistency that most conventional politicians have to obey. Until last Friday, he was insisting on a cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine as a precondition for any peace agreement. After the Alaska summit, he dropped the cease-fire idea that Zelensky had been demanding, given that his country is being bombarded every day, with significant civilian casualties, and adopted the Putin stance of allowing the war to continue to further freeze his military gains in the crucial Donbas region.
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But that flexibility – what critics call flip-flopping – has put the president in the position where he has a shot at hammering out a peace agreement, though major obstacles remain.
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So I expect we’ll hear a lot more about how mail-in ballots are horrible and evil in the coming months, though whether he can get his Hill allies to go along is very much an open question.
media buzz,donald trump,vladimir putin,elections,voting,voter fraud concerns
INTERNACIONAL
La asombrosa vida de las Haenyeo, las “sirenas” surcoreanas que bucean 20 metros hasta el fondo del mar sin asistencia de oxígeno
Las buceadoras tradicionales de Corea del Sur conocidas como Haenyeo pasan un asombroso 56 por ciento de su jornada laboral bajo el agua conteniendo la respiración, superando en tiempo subacuático a algunos mamíferos marinos como los castores e incluso rivalizando con nutrias y leones marinos. Por primera vez, un estudio científico ha logrado medir el comportamiento y la fisiología de estas extraordinarias mujeres mientras bucean hasta 20 metros de profundidad sin equipo respiratorio alguno.
La investigación, publicada en la revista Current Biology, monitoreó a siete Haenyeo de entre 62 y 80 años mientras recolectaban erizos de mar en las aguas que rodean la isla de Jeju. Los resultados revelan capacidades que desafían los límites humanos conocidos: estas buceadoras realizan hasta 100 inmersiones diarias y pueden mantener la respiración durante dos minutos consecutivos.
“Las Haenyeo son seres humanos increíbles», declaró Chris McKnight de la Universidad de St Andrews, autor principal del estudio. “Sus habilidades de buceo son reconocidamente excepcionales, pero poder medir tanto su comportamiento como su fisiología mientras realizan sus inmersiones diarias de rutina es realmente único.”
El equipo de investigación utilizó instrumentos diseñados originalmente para medir el comportamiento y la fisiología de mamíferos marinos salvajes para rastrear las actividades de buceo y natación de las mujeres. También midieron sus ritmos cardíacos y niveles de oxígeno en sangre a lo largo de toda su jornada laboral, que puede extenderse entre dos y diez horas diarias.
Los hallazgos científicos demuestran que estas mujeres pasan más tiempo bajo el agua que los célebres buceadores Bajau de Indonesia, un grupo de individuos mucho más jóvenes reconocidos mundialmente por sus capacidades de contención respiratoria. El estudio determinó que las Haenyeo dedican una mayor proporción de tiempo diario en el mar que los osos polares. Tras cada inmersión, las buceadoras se recuperan en promedio apenas nueve segundos en la superficie antes de sumergirse nuevamente.
De manera sorprendente, las mujeres no muestran la clásica “respuesta de buceo” mamífera, que consiste en una desaceleración del corazón y reducción del flujo sanguíneo a los músculos durante las inmersiones. En su lugar, exhiben ritmos cardíacos acelerados y solo reducciones leves de oxígeno en el cerebro y músculos. Esta respuesta fisiológica única sugiere que su estilo particular de inmersiones cortas, poco profundas y frecuentes puede activar adaptaciones diferentes a las de sus contrapartes mamíferas.
Las Haenyeo bucean únicamente con trajes de neopreno, aletas, gafas y chalecos o cinturones con peso para facilitar el descenso. Su equipo también incluye un dispositivo de flotación circular llamado tewak, del cual cuelga una red para capturar los alimentos recolectados, que incluyen caracolas, abulón y diversas criaturas marinas. Trabajan individualmente pero siempre permanecen al menos dos personas en el agua simultáneamente para cuidarse mutuamente.
Esta tradición excepcional tiene raíces que se remontan al siglo XVII, cuando los hombres de la isla fueron reclutados para el ejército o perdieron la vida en el mar, dejando a las mujeres como principales proveedoras de sus familias. La isla de Jeju, ubicada a 80 kilómetros de la costa coreana, es el hogar de este grupo exclusivamente femenino de buceadoras.
El término Haenyeo, o jawmnye en idioma de Jeju, significa literalmente «mujeres del mar“. Las buceadoras y el buceo en apnea son elementos integrales de la cultura de Jeju. La influencia de esta práctica es tan prominente que la característica abreviación del idioma de Jeju se atribuye coloquialmente a la necesidad de las buceadoras de comunicarse rápidamente en la superficie del agua.
Las Haenyeo están reconocidas por la UNESCO como Patrimonio Cultural Inmaterial de la Humanidad, pero representan un grupo en peligro de extinción. El 90 por ciento de estas buceadoras supera actualmente los 60 años de edad. Sus números han experimentado una caída dramática en décadas recientes, disminuyendo de 14.000 en los años setenta a apenas entre 3.000 y 4.000 en la actualidad.
“Creo que usar animales que consideramos como animales acuáticos para contextualizar y dar perspectiva sobre las buceadoras Haenyeo realmente ayuda a demostrar lo increíbles que son”, explicó McKnight al Daily Mail. La investigación confirma que estas mujeres aprenden la técnica desde adolescentes y continúan trabajando hasta los 90 años de edad.
Los expertos advierten que estas buceadoras podrían representar la última generación de Haenyeo, con la posibilidad de que el grupo desaparezca completamente en los próximos veinte años.
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