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Trump pushes F-35 sale to Turkey, but his own State Department says Erdoğan hasn’t met legal requirements
Trump’s Turkey stance sparks concern amid NATO summit, Netanyahu warning
Amidst the NATO summit, President Donald Trump asserts the U.S. relationship with Turkey is ‘better than it’s ever been’ despite F-35 concerns. However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warns Turkey supports Hamas. Wall Street Journal’s Olivia Beavers details Republican discomfort with Trump’s stance, noting backchannel pushback against potentially shifting the Middle East’s balance of power.
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President Donald Trump has opened the door to selling Turkey the U.S.’ prized F-35 fighter jet, praising Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and promising to remove sanctions imposed over Ankara’s purchase of a Russian missile defense system.
But a State Department letter to Congress makes clear that Turkey has not taken the steps legally required to receive the advanced fighter.
«Turkey has not yet met these conditions,» the department said in the July 22 letter, first obtained by the Greek newspaper Kathimerini.
TRUMP COULD HAND PRIZED STEALTH JETS TO NATO ALLY ONCE SEEN AS ALLIANCE HEADACHE
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan welcomes US President Donald Trump at Ankara Airport, who is paying an official visit to Turkey ahead of the 36th NATO Heads of State and Government Summit in Ankara, Turkey, on July 07, 2026. (Dogukan Keskinkilic/Pool via REUTERS)
The letter said U.S. law prohibits the transfer of F-35 aircraft to Turkey until Ankara no longer possesses the Russian-made S-400 system or associated equipment, promises not to acquire it again and satisfies the remaining certification requirements established by Congress.
The finding came weeks after Trump stood alongside Erdoğan at the NATO summit in Ankara and said his administration would lift sanctions on Turkey and consider selling it the aircraft.
Asked about Turkey’s continued possession of the S-400, Trump said, «I have no concerns about anything having to do with Turkey.»
Trump described relations with Ankara as «better probably than it’s ever been,» said Turkey had been «much more loyal» than some other countries and called a potential F-35 sale «certainly something we will consider.»
Erdoğan said Turkey previously has been promised five aircraft and expressed confidence in Trump.
«I know that Mr. Trump always keeps his promises,» Erdoğan said, according to Reuters.
The dispute matters far beyond a single weapons sale.
Turkey is a pivotal NATO ally controlling access between Europe and the Middle East, but its ties to Russia and Hamas have fueled doubts in Washington about whether Ankara can be trusted with America’s most sensitive military technology. The outcome will test whether Trump’s personal relationship with Erdoğan can bring Turkey back into the Western defense fold — or whether Congress and national security concerns will block the deal.
WHO IS TURKEY’S RECEP TAYYIP ERDOĞAN? HOW NATO’S MOST UNPREDICTABLE LEADER KEEPS REINVENTING HIMSELF
A U.S. airmen watches an Air Force F-35 Lightning II joint strike fighter aircraft approach for the first time on July 14, 2011 at Eglin Air Force Base in Florida. (Samuel King Jr./U.S. Air Force)
A State Department spokesperson told Fox News Digital on background that Trump «recognizes the strategic importance of Türkiye» and that his administration is encouraging Ankara «to resolve pending issues.»
«Türkiye is a valued NATO ally, and we continue to engage on all aspects of our important and multi-faceted relationship,» the spokesperson said.
James Jeffrey, a former U.S. ambassador to Turkey and former special representative for Syria engagement, said Trump’s position reflects both his trust in Erdoğan and their cooperation on regional security issues.
«Trump is very much for this as he works well with Erdoğan and trusts him and has succeeded together on a host of security issues from Libya to Syria to Caucasus to Ukraine and PKK ceasefire with Ankara,» Jeffrey, now a distinguished fellow at The Washington Institute, told Fox News Digital.
«He knows how important this is to Erdoğan and all Turks and doesn’t want Ankara to turn to Russia or China for weapons,» he said.
Turkey was removed from the F-35 development program in 2019 after purchasing the S-400 from Russia. The United States imposed sanctions the following year under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act.
U.S. officials have argued that operating the Russian system alongside the F-35 could allow Moscow to collect sensitive information about the stealth aircraft.
Jeffrey said Turkey would have to genuinely relinquish the S-400 but noted that the law does not specify exactly how.
«Certainly transferring to another country would meet the legal and technical requirement,» he said.
Sinan Ciddi, director of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, agreed that a third-country transfer could begin the process of restoring Turkey to the program. But he said Ankara would also have to provide guarantees that it would not again seek major Russian military equipment or maintain ties that could compromise the aircraft.
TRUMP BETS ON FORMER NATO TROUBLEMAKER AS TURKEY’S STRATEGIC VALUE SURGES
– Russia’s President Vladimir Putin meets with Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the sidelines of the BRICS summit in Kazan on October 23, 2024. (ALEXANDER ZEMLIANICHENKO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
Reports have suggested the United Arab Emirates as a possible destination for the S-400. Ciddi said, however, that there is no confirmation Abu Dhabi would accept it.
The UAE would have to consider whether acquiring the Russian system could trigger U.S. penalties or jeopardize access to other American weapons, he said. Russia could also object to Turkey transferring the system without Moscow’s approval.
Jeffrey said Erdoğan is likely prepared to resist Russian pressure because the F-35 is both a prestige issue and an important military need for Turkey, whose air force relies heavily on F-16 aircraft.
Ciddi argued that resolving the S-400 dispute should not automatically clear the way for a sale.
«The S-400 issue that led to Turkey’s removal from the F-35 program is the floor, not the ceiling,» Ciddi said, pointing to Ankara’s relationship with Hamas, continued ties with Russia, use of Chinese telecommunications technology and tensions with U.S. partners including Greece, Cyprus and Israel as additional obstacles.
The State Department letter reflected the administration’s competing views of Ankara.
While reiterating that Turkey remains legally ineligible for the F-35, the department credited it with supporting US diplomatic efforts involving Russia and Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Armenia, Gaza and counter-ISIS operations.
The letter said Turkey used its relationship with Hamas’ political leadership to help secure acceptance of Trump’s Gaza peace plan and advance the first phase of a ceasefire.
At the same time, it warned that Hamas continues to use financial channels operating from Turkish territory.
«Hamas’ use of informal financial networks and unlicensed exchange houses in Turkey to access funds remains a concern, and we are committed to disrupting these illicit financing streams,» the State Department said.
Jeffrey said those Hamas ties could generate opposition in Congress but may carry less weight with Trump because his administration has relied on Ankara in Gaza diplomacy.
Ciddi interpreted the letter not as a rejection of Turkey’s return, but as a signal that the administration is prepared to move forward if Ankara meets the legal requirements.
«I think the letter is trying to convey to Congress, ‘Look, once Turkey makes good on the legal requirements of the NDAA, we can proceed with the sale,’» he said.
Congress could still be the most significant obstacle. Lawmakers have prohibited the transfer while Turkey possesses the S-400, and a bipartisan group of 18 House members recently urged congressional leaders to block any sale under current conditions, according to Axios.
The issue also has regional implications. Israel reportedly has pressed Trump not to provide Turkey with the aircraft, amid fears that a sale could weaken Israel’s qualitative military edge as tensions between Erdoğan and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu deepen.
F-35 fighter aircrafts fly over the White House during Polish President Karol Nawrocki’s visit in Washington, DC on September 3, 2025. Trump and Nawrocki discussed the flyover in memory of a Polish pilot who recently died in training, calling him a «legend.» (Oliver Contreras/AFP via Getty Images.))
For now, the State Department’s message is clear: Trump may favor the sale, but Erdoğan must first surrender the Russian system that caused Turkey’s expulsion from the program.
The State Department and Turkish Embassy in Washington did not respond to Fox News Digital’s requests for comment.
turkey, recep tayyip erdogan, foreign affairs, world
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Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s presence at Friday’s 9/11 remembrance at Ground Zero drew criticism from some in the city, including one former police officer who said the mayor «probably should have skipped it» and another mourner who called his appearance «disrespectful» and «very offensive.»
Mamdani has faced criticism over his associations with controversial political and online figures, as well as his decision to appoint Ramzi Kassem as his administration’s chief counsel. Kassem previously represented a Guantánamo detainee linked to an al Qaeda terrorist plot.
Former New York Republican Gov. George Pataki, 9/11-era FDNY Commissioner Thomas von Essen and others called on Mamdani to skip the ceremony.
«He showed up anyway. It does bother us,» Walter Matuza, whose father Walter was killed that day, told Fox News Digital.
MAMDANI HEADS TO 9/11 MEMORIAL DESPITE 110,000-SIGNATURE PUSH FROM VICTIMS’ FAMILIES TO STAY AWAY
New York first gentleman William Hochul Jr., New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Mikie Sherrill (Hiroko Masuike/Getty Images)
Matuza said he was part of the group of victims’ families that initiated the petition to keep Mamdani away.
He cited Mamdani’s association with streamer Hasan Piker, who once said America «deserved 9/11,» as well as Mamdani’s appointment of Kassem.
MAMDANI UNDER FIRE AFTER SYMBOLIC 9/11 PEN GOES TO FORMER AL QAEDA DEFENSE LAWYER
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch announce a new memorial honoring victims of 9/11 inside 1 Police Plaza in New York, N.Y., Sept. 9, 2026. (Cristina Matuozzi/Sipa USA via Reuters Connect)
Matuza, of Staten Island, said his father was one of dozens at Carr Futures brokerage who died after American Airlines Flight 11 struck the north tower just above their 92nd floor offices.
Mike, a former New Jersey police officer, told Fox News Digital he recalled watching the terror unfold on television from across the Hudson – and later came to Manhattan to help relieve exhausted NYPD officers stuck at their posts.
«Based on the rhetoric that he’s used in the past. Yeah, he probably should have skipped it,» Mike said of Mamdani.
He added that Mamdani’s appointment of Kassem also troubled him, saying the mayor could’ve handled the situation in a «whole different way.»
FAMILIES OF 9/11 VICTIMS’ MESSAGE TO MAMDANI: ‘PLEASE DO NOT COME’ TO MEMORIAL CEREMONY
«But, he did it and unfortunately people aren’t going to forget it.»
Another mourner called Mamdani a «communist» when asked about his appearance on Friday, adding that the memorial was «not supposed to be a political event.»
Steven, who traveled all the way to New York from Hobe Sound, Florida, to attend the remembrance, lambasted Mamdani’s presence as «disrespectful» and «offensive.»
ZOHRAN MAMDANI URGED TO SKIP NEW YORK CITY’S 9/11 MEMORIAL: ‘VILE ANTISEMITE’
«I’ve been following that over the past couple weeks and I saw that I think they had upwards of 700,000 New Yorkers requesting him not to be here. I mean, as the mayor, I would assume he has the right to be here…. But who he represents and the people he’s affiliated with… I feel that he should stay away. I don’t feel that his presence here is wanted, and I think he should honor that as a human being.»
The petition had garnered more than 110,000 signatures at the time, according to the petition’s tally.
Steven called Kassem’s appointment «hideous» and added that the youngest generation who does not remember or did not live through 9/11 are suffering from «incorrect information» and do not understand the reality of the terror attack.
He said he will educate his children on 9/11 so that they do not go down the same ideological road.
Attendee John told Fox News Digital that Mamdani does have a right to attend.
John said he lost friends including at now-Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s Cantor-Fitzgerald firm – which lost more than 650 people; the most of any company in the Twin Towers that day – and that as long as Mamdani is respectful to the fallen Americans being remembered, he is «fine» with the Democrat attending.
Fox News Digital reached out to Mamdani for comment.
In a prior statement, the mayor said he is proud of New York and «love[s] this city [and] country.»
«[W]hat I want this week to be a focus on is on the families whose loved ones were stolen from them 25 years ago in the horrific act of terror of September 11, and a focus also on the first responders who gave everything they could to this city and to the people who came together to try and help their fellow New Yorkers.»
During the ceremony, footage captured Mamdani approaching and greeting his 9/11-era predecessor, Republican Rudolph Giuliani.
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The two could be seen appearing to exchange brief pleasantries before Giuliani turned and sat down and an aide began speaking to the incumbent mayor.
All living former presidents reportedly attended the ceremony, as President Donald Trump instead visited the Pentagon’s remembrance before departing for County Clare, Ireland from nearby Andrews Air Force Base.
zohran mamdani, september 11, new york city, politics, new york, republicans elections, democrats senate
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On a cloudy morning at the site where two sprawling towers once stood, the loved ones of New Yorkers killed on 9/11 gathered with a message for President Donald Trump: Release the unredacted files they believe could implicate Saudi Arabia.
Vice President JD Vance attended the ceremony alongside former presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Joe Biden and Bill Clinton, as well as former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and former Gov. Andrew Cuomo were also among those in attendance.
The message was delivered on the main stage by Terry Strada, whose husband, Tom, was killed in the attacks. Speaking from the memorial stage, Strada accused successive administrations of protecting Saudi Arabia instead of supporting the 9/11 families.
Strada called out President Barack Obama, who was at the memorial, for vetoing the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act, or JASTA, in 2016. Congress later overrode the veto, allowing 9/11 families to sue Saudi Arabia over its alleged role in the attacks.
TRUMP SET TO HONOR 9/11 VICTIMS, FIRST RESPONDERS AT PENTAGON ON 25TH ANNIVERSARY
Dr. Jill Biden, former President Joe Biden, Laura Bush, former President George W. Bush, Michael Bloomberg and Vice President JD Vance attend the ceremony to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center. (Hiroko Masuike/Pool/Getty Images)
«Administration after administration, including leaders in front of us here today, chose to protect the Saudis instead of standing with the 9/11 families,» Strada said. «They withheld evidence. They vetoed JASTA. They broke promises, both public and private. It has been one betrayal after another.
«President Trump can still change that»
She urged the president to tell Saudi leaders «that if they want to be friends with the USA, they cannot continue to deny all of this, all of the pain, all of the destruction that we have all been suffering through.»
«Please carry that message back,» another speaker said, addressing Vance. «Stand with the families. Stand with the survivors.»
The remarks drew applause from the crowd.
«Administration after administration has not done anything for us. In fact, they’ve blocked, blocked us every step of the way of getting justice,» Dennis McGinley, whose older brother Danny worked on the 89th floor of the South Tower, told Fox News Digital.
«President Trump has a unique, historic opportunity here to be a hero, be our champion, finally close the books on this American nightmare, which is now becoming an American embarrassment. It’s got to start.»
The appeal came as families marked the 25th anniversary of the attacks with a renewed push for accountability from Saudi Arabia, which they accuse of helping two of the hijackers establish themselves in the United States. The kingdom has repeatedly denied involvement.
The families’ claims center on Omar al-Bayoumi, a Saudi national who helped hijackers Nawaf al-Hazmi and Khalid al-Mihdhar obtain an apartment in San Diego, and Fahad al-Thumairy, an accredited Saudi diplomat and imam at the King Fahd Mosque in California who had numerous contacts with al-Bayoumi.
The 9/11 Commission documented the men’s connections but did not conclude that the Saudi government or senior Saudi officials supported the plot. Its report also said investigators found no evidence that another Saudi national, Osama Bassnan, gave money to the hijackers.
Newly released investigative material and evidence presented in a long-running civil case have intensified scrutiny of those connections. In August 2025, U.S. District Judge George Daniels allowed claims against Saudi Arabia to proceed, finding that the families had presented enough evidence to move toward trial. The ruling did not determine that Saudi Arabia was responsible for the attacks.
The families say that legal ruling, along with additional FBI and British intelligence material, gives Trump an opportunity to release more records and help resolve what they view as a 25-year-old betrayal.
SON WHO LOST FATHER IN 9/11 ATTACKS SHARES POWERFUL LESSONS 25 YEARS LATER: ‘I’M STILL HERE’
For Passananti, the demand was inseparable from his own loss. His father, Horace Robert Passananti, was working on the 100th floor of the North Tower. Passananti was 32 when he called his father after hearing that a plane had struck the building.
He never heard from him again.
New York first gentleman William Hochul Jr., New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani and New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill (Hiroko Masuike/Getty Images)
Passananti said he has attended the ceremony every year but one since the attacks.
«I wish I wasn’t here, obviously, but I feel like I have to be here every year,» he told Fox News Digital.
Passananti, who is affiliated with the group 9/11 Justice, said families want those responsible for the attacks held accountable.
«We’ve really been on our own — the families — trying to obtain evidence,» Passananti said. «We’ve gotten really no help from our government. We feel like they’ve put Saudi Arabia ahead of the 9/11 families, and we’re hoping that will change.»
TRUMP CONFIRMS PENTAGON PLANS FOR 25TH ANNIVERSARY OF 9/11 ATTACKS, DISPUTES REPORT ON GROUND ZERO ABSENCE
He described the delays in the case as «a twilight zone.»
«It feels really like a twilight zone and unbelievable that we have to fight for justice for the worst terrorist attack that ever happened on our soil,» Passananti said. «It doesn’t feel real. It’s unexplainable.»
Trump has previously acknowledged that questions remain unanswered about the attacks. In 2022, while defending his decision to host a Saudi-backed LIV Golf tournament at his New Jersey club amid protests from 9/11 families, Trump said, «Nobody has gotten to the bottom of 9/11.»
But Trump has not publicly said whether he supports releasing additional files concerning Saudi Arabia’s alleged ties to the hijackers.
«President Trump is leading the most transparent administration in history, which is why he authorized the declassification and release of hundreds of pages of documents related to the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001. The President will always pay tribute to the American heroes we lost in the tragic September 11 attacks, their beautiful family members, and to the acts of heroism that defined that fateful day when the unbreakable spirit of the American people prevailed,» White House spokesperson Olivia Wales said in a statement to Fox News Digital.
People stand next to the reflecting pools before a ceremony to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center at the National 9/11 Memorial & Museum on Sept. 11, 2026, in New York City. (Jeenah Moon/Pool/Getty Images)
McGinley worked across the Hudson River and called his brother after seeing the first plane hit, believing it was a small aircraft. His brother told him it was a passenger jet and described seeing people jumping from the neighboring tower. McGinley asked Danny if he was evacuating, and he said he’d been told to remain in place just before the South Tower was hit.
McGinley never spoke to him again.
«It is like the wound never healed, and every year we get salt poured back into that wound,» McGinley said.
The families’ calls for answers extended beyond those killed on the day of the attacks. Relatives of first responders who later died from cancer and other illnesses linked to toxic exposure also gathered at the memorial to honor their loved ones.
Jen Nilsen, whose husband died in the attacks, said the pain remains as strong as ever 25 years later.
«It doesn’t change at the 25th year,» Nilsen said. «The pain is still there.»
Nilsen said she returns to the memorial because «this is where he is.»
Her message to younger generations was simple.
«Never forget,» she said. «Even though years go on, you never forget. You never get over it. The hurt is always there. The pain is always here.»
september 11, new york city, saudi arabia, andrew cuomo
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Científicos alertan que los próximos desastres climáticos podrían ser mucho más graves de lo previsto: las 3 claves para entender el riesgo
Una sola tormenta tropical puede alterar durante horas la vida de una región y dejar una cifra de víctimas que tarda años en dimensionarse. En Myanmar, el ciclón Nargis causó cerca de 140.000 muertes en 2008. Para científicos del King’s College London, ese antecedente no marca el límite conocido de la destrucción: los registros históricos pueden subestimar de forma grave el daño que causarán futuras olas de calor y ciclones.
La advertencia figura en un trabajo de perspectiva publicado en Nature Sustainability, cuyos autores revisaron las muertes atribuidas a todos los ciclones tropicales y episodios de calor extremo registrados en el mundo entre 2000 y 2025. El análisis sostiene que los métodos habituales para calcular riesgos climáticos suelen imaginar escenarios intensos, pero conocidos, y dejan fuera combinaciones de fenómenos que todavía no tienen precedentes.
El foco del estudio está puesto en las olas de calor, los ciclones tropicales y la posibilidad de desastres con impactos mucho mayores que los observados hasta ahora. Los investigadores aclaran que un evento con millones de víctimas no puede descartarse por completo, aunque esa posibilidad no implica que vaya a ocurrir.
Un ciclón en Myanmar concentró más muertes que cientos de tormentas
Los datos examinados muestran que la mortalidad vinculada a fenómenos meteorológicos extremos no se distribuye de forma pareja. Una cantidad reducida de catástrofes concentra la mayoría de las víctimas, una característica que, según los autores, dificulta proyectar cuál podría ser el verdadero peor escenario.
El caso más marcado fue el del ciclón Nargis, que golpeó Myanmar en 2008 y dejó alrededor de 140.000 muertos. De acuerdo con el análisis, esa cifra superó por más del doble el total de muertes provocado por los otros 675 ciclones tropicales mortales incluidos en el período 2000-2025.
La diferencia ayuda a explicar una de las preocupaciones centrales de la investigación. Si la experiencia reciente está dominada por pocos episodios excepcionales, utilizar únicamente los antecedentes disponibles puede transmitir una sensación engañosa sobre el techo de riesgo. El peor evento registrado no necesariamente es el peor evento posible.
“El pasado casi con seguridad nos hará subestimar el riesgo futuro”, afirmó Tom Matthews, profesor titular de Geografía Ambiental en el King’s College London y autor principal del trabajo. “Los hechos que moldearon nuestra idea de lo que puede hacer el clima extremo no son lo peor que puede suceder. Son lo peor que ha sucedido hasta ahora, en un registro corto y en un clima que ya no existe”.
La ola de calor europea de 2003 dejó unas 70.000 víctimas
La revisión también encontró una concentración similar en los episodios de temperaturas extremas. Las muertes por calor estuvieron agrupadas en unos pocos eventos de gran magnitud, con la ola de calor europea de 2003 como el caso más letal del conjunto analizado.
Aquel episodio provocó alrededor de 70.000 muertes en Europa, según los datos citados por los científicos. Cerca de la mitad se produjo durante las primeras dos semanas de agosto, cuando las temperaturas se mantuvieron elevadas durante varios días en distintos países del continente.
Una ola de calor no es simplemente una jornada con máximas altas. Se trata de un período prolongado de temperaturas inusualmente elevadas que puede impedir que el cuerpo se recupere, sobre todo por la noche. El peligro aumenta para personas mayores, niños, pacientes con enfermedades previas, trabajadores expuestos al exterior y hogares sin acceso a refrigeración.
La acumulación de calor también presiona los sistemas de salud, la provisión eléctrica, el transporte y el abastecimiento de agua. Por eso, el estudio plantea que medir el riesgo solo a partir de un número de muertes puede dejar en segundo plano otros daños que ocurren al mismo tiempo y pueden agravar una emergencia.
Los científicos plantean escenarios climáticos que aún no tienen antecedente
Los sistemas actuales de evaluación suelen contemplar amenazas reconocibles en una escala más intensa. Por ejemplo, un huracán con vientos más fuertes que los documentados en el pasado. Sin embargo, los autores advierten que esas herramientas son menos eficaces cuando deben anticipar una cadena de sucesos inédita.
Uno de los ejemplos expuestos es una ola de calor devastadora que ocurra justo antes de un huracán intenso. Millones de personas podrían encontrarse en proceso de evacuación, sin aire acondicionado ni otras formas de protección frente a temperaturas peligrosas. La simultaneidad de ambos fenómenos pondría a prueba la respuesta sanitaria, la capacidad de los refugios, las comunicaciones y la infraestructura.
Matthews propuso que la comunidad científica trate la identificación de desastres catastróficos desconocidos como un objetivo específico de investigación. “Significa trabajar hacia atrás desde un resultado que nadie quiere y preguntar qué podría producirlo”, señaló. También pidió sumar a especialistas que habitualmente no participan de estas evaluaciones, entre ellos expertos en riesgos existenciales y autores de ficción climática.
La idea consiste en partir de un daño hipotético —por ejemplo, un colapso prolongado de servicios esenciales o una mortalidad masiva— y reconstruir las condiciones meteorológicas, sociales y de infraestructura que podrían desencadenarlo. En términos simples, se busca imaginar antes de tiempo una crisis para identificar qué medidas pueden impedirla o reducir sus consecuencias.
Tres prioridades para anticipar desastres meteorológicos de gran escala
El equipo del King’s College London propuso tres líneas de trabajo para mejorar la prevención ante eventos de impacto extremo. La primera son los análisis prospectivos con participantes de distintas áreas, incluidas comunidades de primera línea, aseguradoras, modeladores del clima, investigadores de riesgos y escritores especializados en escenarios climáticos.
La segunda prioridad es comprender mejor los umbrales a partir de los cuales los daños aumentan de forma muy rápida. Un umbral es el punto en que un cambio adicional, aunque parezca pequeño, genera consecuencias mucho mayores. Por ejemplo, unos días extra de calor intenso pueden multiplicar los problemas de salud si coinciden con cortes eléctricos o con hospitales saturados.
La tercera propuesta es establecer cuáles son los límites físicos del tiempo meteorológico en climas bastante más cálidos o más fríos que el actual. Esa tarea apunta a conocer qué fenómenos pueden producirse bajo condiciones que las sociedades modernas todavía no han enfrentado.
El trabajo fue difundido después de un verano con miles de muertes adicionales registradas en Europa durante las olas de calor de junio y mientras se analizaban los posibles efectos globales de El Niño, un fenómeno climático que puede modificar los patrones de lluvias y temperaturas en varias regiones. Para los autores, la preparación frente al clima extremo debe considerar tanto los antecedentes conocidos como los escenarios que todavía no figuran en los archivos históricos.
ciclón,océano Pacífico,Baja California,México,meteorología,Huracán Karina
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