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Will gas prices give Trump and Republicans a political boost?

As Americans hit the road for the Memorial Day holiday weekend, they’re getting good news at the gas pumps.
While gas prices have risen roughly 20 cents per gallon since President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January, according to GasBuddy, a fuel savings platform, «all 50 states are lower than last Memorial Day.»
And GasBuddy notes that gas prices are at their «lowest seasonal (Memorial Day) level since 2021.»
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that when adjusted for inflation, the average U.S. retail gasoline prices going into Memorial Day weekend are 14% lower than last year, in large part because of falling crude oil prices.
FOX BUSINESS: GAS PRICES HIT 4-YEAR LOW AHEAD OF MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND
Gas prices at a station in the New Hampshire Seacoast at the start of Memorial Day weekend, in Newfields, N.H. on May 23, 2025. GasBuddy reports that gas prices nationwide are at the lowest Memorial Day level in four years. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)
As of Friday, AAA reported that the national average for regular gasoline stood at $3.20 per gallon.
And while gas prices traditionally increase heading into spring and summer, normally due to increased demand for summer travel and refineries switching to summer gasoline blends – which are less likely to evaporate but are more expensive to produce – GasBuddy expects prices to ease slightly during the next few months heading into Labor Day.
OIL PRICES ARE DOWN OVER LAST SIX MONTHS: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR GAS PRICES?
The falling prices at the pump could be good political news for Trump and Republicans aiming to defend their Senate and House majorities in next year’s midterm elections.
«Gas prices fell for the third month in a row,» the White House spotlighted last week, as it argued, «Workers See Relief in President Trump’s Economy.»
Four months into his second tour of duty in the White House, Trump’s poll numbers are slightly underwater, with most, but not all, of the latest national surveys placing the president’s approval rating in negative territory.
That wasn’t the case when Trump was inaugurated in January, when most polls indicated his approval ratings were above water.

President Donald Trump speaks to reporters after signing a proclamation in the Oval Office at the White House on April 17, 2025, in Washington, D.C. Four months into his second tour of duty in the White House, most polls indicate Trump’s approval ratings are slightly underwater. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Contributing to the slide over the past couple of months in Trump’s overall approval ratings was his performance on the economy and, in particular, inflation, which were pressing issues that kept former President Joe Biden’s approval ratings well below water for most of his presidency.
Trump’s blockbuster tariff announcement in early April sparked a trade war with some of the nation’s top trading partners and triggered a massive sell-off in the financial markets and increased concerns about a recession.
WHERE TRUMP STANDS IN THE POLLS FOUR MONTHS INTO HIS SECOND ADMINISTRATION
But the markets have rebounded, thanks in part to a truce between the U.S. and China in their tariff standoff as Trump tapped the brakes on his controversial tariff implementation.
Republican strategist Jesse Hunt told Fox News Digital that the current prices at the pump are «a positive development» and that «seeing gas prices where they are is a testament to the energy policy the administration wants to pursue, and it’s going to result in more money being kept in people’s pockets.»
But Daron Shaw, a politics professor and chair at the University of Texas who is the Republican partner on the Fox News poll, noted that «with the exception of gas prices, there hasn’t been much of a reduction in prices.»

Daron Shaw, a politics professor and chair at the University of Texas who is the Republican partner on the Fox News poll, pointing to the cost of grocery items, noted that «prices haven’t come down.» (iStock)
«Prices haven’t come down, and it’s not clear that people will say the absence of inflation is an economic victory. They still feel that an appreciable portion of their money is going to pay for basic things,» Shaw added. «What Trump is realizing is that prices have to come down for him to be able to declare success.»
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Hunt, a veteran of numerous GOP presidential and statewide campaigns, said that Republicans «still have to figure out a way to ease some of the strain on family budgets through everyday goods like groceries. They were able to get eggs under control, which was an issue that threatened them early on in the second administration.»
But pointing to Trump’s sweeping tax and spending cuts package, which narrowly passed the House on Thursday, Hunt said «there is a lot of hope and optimism» that the measure, if passed into law, «will help spur additional investment» and «will provide the sort of growth that you need across the economy.»
Fox Business’ Daniella Genovese contributed to this report.
Donald Trump,Trump’s First 100 Days,Economy,Inflation,Republicans,Energy In America
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Senate shuts down Kaine’s attempt to check Trump’s war powers

What is the War Powers Act?
UC Berkeley Law professor John Yoo discusses U.S. strikes on Iran and the War Powers Act on ‘Life, Liberty & Levin.’
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A Senate Democrat’s push to put a check on President Donald Trump’s powers and reaffirm the Senate’s war authority was shut down by lawmakers in the upper chamber Thursday.
Sen. Tim Kaine’s war powers resolution, which would have required Congress to debate and vote on whether the president could declare war, or strike Iran, was struck down in the Senate on a largely party-line vote, save for Sen. John Fetterman, D-Pa., a staunch advocate of Israel who supported Trump’s strike on the Islamic Republic, and Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., who has been vocal in his thoughts about congressional war powers in recent days.
Earlier in the week, the Virginia Democrat vowed to move ahead with the resolution despite a fragile ceasefire brokered between Israel and Iran following weekend strikes on the Islamic Republic’s key nuclear facilities that were not given the green-light by Congress.
DEM SENATOR PLOWS AHEAD WITH WAR POWERS RESOLUTION DESPITE CEASEFIRE
The White House said the president’s advisors would urge him to veto Kaine’s resolution. (Reuters)
Kaine argued that the ceasefire gave his resolution more credence and breathing room to properly debate the role that Congress plays when it comes to authorizing both war and attacks abroad.
He said ahead of the vote on the Senate floor that he came to Washington to ensure that the country does not again get into another «unnecessary» war, and invoked the rush to approve war powers for President George W. Bush over two decades ago to engage with Iraq.
«I think the events of this week have demonstrated that war is too big to consign to the decisions of any one person,» Kaine said.
‘NOT CONSTITUTIONAL’: CONGRESS EVOKES NEW WAR POWERS RESOLUTION TO REJECT TRUMP’S STRIKES ON IRAN

Senate Majority Leader John Thune speaks during a news conference following the weekly Senate Republican policy luncheon at the U.S. Capitol on June 17, 2025. (Getty Images)
Indeed, his resolution became a focal point for a debate that has raged on Capitol Hill since Israel began its bombing campaign against Iran: whether the strikes like those carried out during Operation Midnight Hammer constituted an act of war that required congressional approval, or if Trump’s decision was under his constitutional authority as commander in chief.
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Senate Republicans have widely argued that Trump was well within his purview, while most Senate Democrats raised constitutional concerns about the president’s ability to carry out a strike without lawmakers weighing in.
Experts have argued, too, that Trump was within his executive authority to strike Iran.
The Constitution divides war powers between Congress and the White House, giving lawmakers the sole power to declare war, while the president acts as the commander in chief directing the military.
And nearly two centuries later, at the height of the Vietnam War, the War Powers Resolution of 1973 was born, which sought to further define those roles.
But the most impact lawmakers could have is through the power of the purse, and Sen. Mitch McConnell, R-Ky, who plays a large role in controlling the purse strings as the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense, had a sharp message against Kaine’s resolution.
McConnell used instances where Democratic presidents over the last three decades have used their authority for limited engagements in Kosovo, Libya, Syria and Yemen, and questioned why «isolationists» would consider the strike on Iran to kneecap its nuclear program a mistake.
«I have not heard the frequent flyers on War Powers resolutions reckon seriously with these questions,» he said. «Until they do, efforts like this will remain divorced from both strategic and constitutional reality.»
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Iran warns of ‘real capabilities’ if Trump doesn’t drop ‘disrespectful’ tone toward supreme leader

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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned President Donald Trump Friday to drop what he called a «disrespectful» tone toward Tehran’s supreme leader or face serious consequences.
In a blunt post on X, Araghchi said if Trump truly wants a deal with Iran, he must show respect instead of insulting Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Araghchi wrote that Trump should «put aside the disrespectful and unacceptable tone» toward Khamenei and «stop hurting [Khamenei’s] millions of heartfelt followers.»
IRAN’S SUPREME LEADER SLAMS TRUMP JUST DAYS AFTER US STRIKES ON NUCLEAR SITES
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks Thursday in a televised speech under a portrait of the late revolutionary founder Ayatollah Khomeini. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)
Araghchi wrote, «The complexity and tenacity of Iranians is famously known in our magnificent carpets, woven through countless hours of hard work and patience. But as a people, our basic premise is very simple and straightforward: we know our worth, value our independence, and never allow anyone else to decide our destiny.»
Araghchi’s most provocative line came as he mocked Israel’s reliance on the U.S. during the recent military confrontation.
«The Great and Powerful Iranian People, who showed the world that the Israeli regime had NO CHOICE but to RUN to ‘Daddy’ to avoid being flattened by our Missiles,» he wrote, referring to U.S. intervention in striking Iranian nuclear sites.
The jab was a pointed reference to the longstanding U.S. and Israeli alliance and a not-so-subtle attempt to portray Israel as weak and dependent.
The post concluded with a clear threat.
«If Illusions lead to worse mistakes, Iran will not hesitate to unveil its Real Capabilities, which will certainly END any Delusion about the Power of Iran. Good will begets good will, and respect begets respect.»
IRAN’S KHAMENEI LAUNCHES BLISTERING ATTACK ON TRUMP AFTER MIDDLE EAST VISIT

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi took to X Friday with a message for President Trump. (Alexander Kazakov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)
Araghchi’s broadside comes just days after the war between Iran and Israel ended and less than a week after U.S. airstrikes ordered by Trump destroyed Iran’s key nuclear sites of Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.
The 12-day conflict ended June 24 under a U.S.-brokered ceasefire, yet postwar tensions remain high. Khamenei declared that Tehran had beaten Israel and even dealt Washington a «slap» in the confrontation.
Trump rejected Khamenei’s victory claims as false and «foolish.» He promptly froze any talk of sanctions relief for Iran in response and claimed he personally stopped Khamenei from being killed during the conflict, writing on Truth Social that he refused to let U.S. or Israeli forces «terminate» the ayatollah despite knowing his secret location.

A satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows damage at the Fordow enrichment site in Iran after U.S. strikes last weekend. (Maxar Technologies via AP)
Araghchi also rejected President Trump’s recent claim that new nuclear talks were imminent, telling reporters that «there are no negotiations underway» and that Tehran would make decisions «based on our national interests.»
According to Reuters, the foreign minister flatly denied any plans to meet with U.S. officials next week, contradicting Trump’s earlier remarks suggesting diplomacy was back on track.
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«I wish the leadership of Iran would realize that you often get more with HONEY than you do with VINEGAR,» wrote Trump on Truth Social. «PEACE!!!»
The White House did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
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