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Fox News Poll: Democrat Sherrill leads New Jersey governor’s race

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A Fox News survey of New Jersey voters finds Democrat Mikie Sherrill ahead of Republican Jack Ciattarelli by 8 percentage points among likely voters (50-42%) and 7 points among the larger sample of registered voters (48-41%) – both lead just outside the margin of sampling error.
The candidates are vying for the seat being vacated by term-limited Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy, who beat Ciattarelli in the 2021 gubernatorial election by only about 3 points.
This analysis uses registered voter results.
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Sherrill, a congresswoman, gets her biggest backing from Black and Hispanic voters, those with a college degree and voters under age 45. There is a 15-point gender gap with women preferring Sherrill by 14 points and men favoring Ciattarelli by 1.
Ciattarelli, a former state assemblyman, does best among MAGA supporters, White Catholics, White men without a college degree and voters ages 45-54.
Nearly equal numbers of Republicans back Ciattarelli (90%) as Democrats go for Sherrill (89%), and the preference among the small subgroup of independents splits. Sherrill is helped by more New Jersey voters identifying as Democrats than Republicans.
Both Sherrill and Ciattarelli supporters have a high degree of vote certainty (84% each). Still, the race has room for movement because about one voter in seven says they could change their mind before casting ballots.
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By an 8-point margin, a larger share of Ciattarelli supporters (50%) than Sherrill supporters (42%) say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year than usual.
The Fox News survey was completed after both the first gubernatorial debate on September 21 and news that the National Personnel Records Center at the National Archives had mistakenly released unredacted portions of Sherrill’s military file. That release, reported publicly on September 25, prompted complaints from Sherrill and other Democrats, while the Ciattarelli campaign began pressing her on the issue.
By a 6-point margin, more voters have a positive opinion of Sherrill (51%) than of Ciattarelli (45%) and, by a 7-point spread, more think she is honest and trustworthy (56%) than say the same about him (49%).
Murphy’s favorable rating is underwater by a single point (47% vs. 48%).
While more than half remain dissatisfied with the direction of their state, New Jersey voters are happier now than when Murphy was elected: 46% are satisfied with how things are going, up 9 percentage points from 37% who felt that way in 2017.
The New Jersey electorate is concerned about two main issues. In spontaneous, unprompted replies, 34% say taxes are the biggest problem facing the state and 20% cite the cost of living. Other issues like housing and energy costs are mentioned by 5% or fewer.
Sherrill is preferred by 16 points among those whose priority is the cost of living, while tax voters favor Ciattarelli by 5.
Only 4% of voters view President Donald Trump/the Republicans as the biggest problem for the state, but one-third say one reason for their vote is to express opposition to Trump (34%), more than double the number who are voting to show him support (16%).
Six in 10 Democrats say their vote is to express opposition to Trump compared to four in 10 Republicans who say theirs is to show support. More than half of Republicans say Trump is not a factor in their vote (56%).
Overall, 42% of New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 55% view him unfavorably. That’s a net negative of 13 points, which is an improvement since 2017, when his ratings were underwater by 26 points.
While former Vice President Kamala Harris won New Jersey by 6 points (52%), Trump received 46% of the vote in last year’s presidential election, up from the 41% he received in both 2020 and 2016.
Poll-pourri
A 54% majority of New Jersey voters think the way Republicans talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in violence, while just under half, 48%, say the same about Democrats.
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Conducted Sept. 25-28, 2025, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 New Jersey registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (120) and cellphones (638) or completed the survey online by following a link received via text message (244). There was a subsample of 822 likely voters. Results based on both the registered voter and likely voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points.
Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are identified based on past vote history and self-reported likelihood of voting. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
fox news poll,2025 2026 elections coverage,politics
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Israeli military arrests Greta Thunberg, flotilla activists after intercepting dozens of boats

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Israeli naval forces intercepted 39 vessels from a Gaza-bound aid flotilla on Thursday, detaining dozens of activists — including international climate activist Greta Thunberg and several European lawmakers, The Associated Press reported.
The Global Sumud Flotilla, which set out across the Mediterranean with more than 40 boats carrying about 500 activists, was the largest yet to attempt to break Israel’s blockade of the enclave, according to the AP.
The flotilla has since been reduced to a single vessel still headed toward Gaza. Organizers with the Global Sumud Flotilla said on X that the boat was last tracked only a few miles off Gaza’s coast before contact was lost. Activists told the AP that they believed the flotilla’s size would make it harder for Israeli forces to intercept every vessel.
Photos and surveillance footage captured the moment Israeli soldiers in helmets and night vision goggles boarded the flotilla. A photo from Israel’s foreign ministry showed Thunberg, the most prominent of the flotilla’s passengers, accompanied by soldiers following the interception. Israeli officials said those detained included Thunberg, former Barcelona Mayor Ada Colau and European Parliament member Rima Hassan, according to the AP.
ISRAEL CLAIMS GRETA THUNBERG’S FLOTILLA SEEKING TO BREAK GAZA BLOCKADE HAS HAMAS TIES, CITES DOCUMENTS
Climate activist Greta Thunberg sits near an Israeli soldier after Israeli naval forces intercepted a Gaza-bound flotilla. (Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs )
Israel’s foreign ministry said on X that the activists were «safe and in good health» and would be transferred to Israel to be deported to Europe.
«The Hamas-Sumud provocation is over,» the Israel’s foreign ministry said in a post on X Thursday. «None of the Hamas-Sumud provocation yachts has succeeded in its attempt to enter an active combat zone or breach the lawful naval blockade. All the passengers are safe and in good health. They are making their way safely to Israel, from where they will be deported to Europe.»
«One last vessel of this provocation remains at a distance,» the post added. «If it approaches, its attempt to enter an active combat zone and breach the blockade will also be prevented.»
ITALY’S MELONI SAYS GAZA FLOTILLA RISKS ESCALATION, COULD ‘BLOW UP’ POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE DEAL

Israeli forces stormed a Global Sumud Flotilla vessel on Oct. 2, 2025, as the boat attempted to sail toward Gaza. (Global Sumud Flotilla via AP)
News of the interception also drew condemnation and sparked demonstrations in cities including Rome, Naples, Istanbul, Athens and Buenos Aires, the AP said. Italy’s largest trade union announced a one-day general strike for Friday in protest, while more rallies were expected across the globe on Thursday, the outlet added.

Anti-Israel activists aboard the Global Sumud Flotilla, including climate activist Greta Thunberg, before the vessels were intercepted by Israeli forces. (Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs)
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The flotilla is part of a series of international efforts to challenge Israel’s blockade, which has been in place since 2007 after Hamas took control of Gaza. Previous attempts by activist flotillas to break the blockade have largely failed and sometimes sparked deadly clashes, including during the 2010 Gaza Freedom Flotilla raid.
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the Global Sumud Flotilla did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Fox News Digital.
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El éxodo de la ciudad de Gaza está desbordando los esfuerzos de socorro, según las agencias de ayuda

Actitud
Organización
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Media bashes Trump admin messaging for pinning shutdown on Dems, White House fires back

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EXCLUSIVE: The White House responded to various reports that President Donald Trump’s administration is breaking federal law by including commentary that blames Senate Democrats for the government shutdown in out-of-office emails and letters furloughing federal employees.
A number of reports suggested that including partisan messaging in official emails and communication channels could be a violation of the Anti-Lobbying Act, which prevents federal funding from being used in lobbying efforts.
«The Trump Administration is committed to sharing the truth with the American people, and it’s simply a fact that the Democrats shut down the government,» White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson told Fox News Digital. «Democrats opposed the clean CR that they supported just 6 months ago and 13 times under the Biden Administration because they want free health care for illegal aliens.»
President Trump’s White House denied claims that blaming Democrats for the shutdown breaks federal law. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
WHITE HOUSE PREPARES FOR ‘IMMINENT’ FEDERAL LAYOFFS AFTER DEMOCRATS FORCE GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
«And now, the Democrats are upset the Administration is sharing the truth — they are desperately trying to lie to the American people because they know their shutdown is hurting families and workers around the country,» Jackson added. «Unfortunately for the Democrats, facts are facts.»
Atop the Department of Justice website, a red banner reads: «Democrats have shut down the government. Department of Justice websites are not currently regularly updated.»
Fox News Digital obtained a DOJ memo which was sent to all employees of the agency outlining the plan for furloughing federal employees in the event of a shutdown, stating DOJ «has contingency plans in place for executing an orderly shutdown of activities that would be affected by any lapse in appropriations forced by Congressional Democrats.»

The Department of Justice sent out an internal memo blaming Democrats for the shutdown and detailing what furloughing employees would look like. (DOJ)
JOHNSON SAYS SCHUMER HANDED TRUMP ‘KEYS TO THE KINGDOM’ WITH GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN DECISION
«Unfortunately, Democrats are blocking this Continuing Resolution in the U.S. Senate due to unrelated policy demands,» the memo continues. «A funding lapse will result in certain Department activities ceasing due to a lack of appropriated funding, and designated pre-notified employees will be furloughed subject to certain laws and regulations.»
On visiting the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) website, a pop-up appears on the center page reading that reads: «The Radical Left in Congress shut down the government. HUD will use available resources to help Americans in need.»
Reports also suggested that the administration may be in violation of the Hatch Act, a federal law that prevents tax dollars from being spent in a partisan or politically biased manner, as a result of the messaging.

The HUD website directs blame to Democrats for the government shutdown. (HUD)
SHUTDOWN EXPLAINED: WHO WORKS, WHO DOESN’T AND HOW MUCH IT COSTS
Legal expert Andrew Cherkasy, co-founder of Golden Law, Inc. and former Air Force JAG, told Fox News Digital that «the Hatch Act does not apply to the President or Vice President. It does apply to most other federal employees.»
«The law is intended to prohibit government officials from using their official authority to interfere with, or affect elections,» Cherkasky explained. «The President of the United States and his agents under his authority have an unquestionable constitutional right to speak directly to the American people about what is happening in their government and who is responsible for it.»
The Hatch Act, which was signed into law in 1939, is enforced by the U.S. Office of Special Counsel (OSC), and is also designed to keep federal employees from influencing or interfering with elections while working in any official capacity.

A demonstrator holds a sign protesting the government shutdown at the James V. Hansen Federal Building on Jan. 10, 2019, in Ogden, Utah. (Natalie Behring/Getty Images)
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«For years, unelected bureaucrats and left-leaning agencies openly leaked, editorialized, and interfered in policy debates without consequence,» Cherkasky told Fox. «The Hatch Act does not prohibit the President from holding democrats accountable for shutting down the government.»
The Biden Administration also partook in messaging that pushed certain legislation. Biden’s Office of Management and Budget issued a statement regarding the Right to IVF Act last June, stating: «When the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade nearly two years ago, it paved the way for Republican elected officials’ extreme, out-of-touch agenda, which has eroded access to reproductive health care for families across the country.»
The Obama Administration issued similar messaging in 2013 specifically blaming Republicans for a government shutdown threat, saying «House Republicans are pushing the Government toward shutdown.»
The federal government entered a partial shutdown at midnight Wednesday morning after a bill that would fund the government through Nov. 21 failed in the Senate.
Senate Democrats pushed for Obamacare subsidies that were set to expire to be included in the legislation, and reportedly felt sidelined in negotiations surrounding government funding.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., attends a news conference about the government shutdown, Tuesday, Sept. 30, 2025, on Capitol Hill, in Washington. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin) (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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Despite a Republican majority in both the House and the Senate, the spending bill requires 60 votes to pass in the Senate, meaning some Democrat senators will need to break ranks with Minority Leader Chuck Schumer to prevent the bill from failing.
Preston Mizell is a writer with Fox News Digital covering breaking news. Story tips can be sent to Preston.Mizell@fox.com and on X @MizellPreston
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