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Israeli hostages freed, Iran hit, ceasefire held — 2025 shattered the idea the US was exiting the Middle East

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For years, Washington has spoken about reducing its Middle East footprint, yet analysts told Fox News Digital that 2025 proved the opposite: American force — not retreat — reshaped the region.
Blaise Misztal, vice president for policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA), said the past year confirmed a long-standing strategic lesson. «2025 underscored what Middle East watchers have long known, and U.S. policymakers never seemed to want to admit: that strength is the currency of the realm and there is no substitute for U.S. leadership,» he said.
Israeli political analyst Nadav Eyal said the shift was unmistakable. «What we have seen in 2025 is an increased role of the United States, rather than a withdrawal,» Eyal said. «It delivered a hostage deal and a ceasefire in Gaza. It brought a certain level of stability in Syria. We see increased cooperation with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE.»
«The idea that the U.S. is out of the Middle East is just out the window,» he added.
WHITE HOUSE TURNS TO EXPANDING ABRAHAM ACCORDS AFTER ISRAEL-HAMAS CEASEFIRE
U.S. President Donald Trump poses with the signed agreement at a world leaders’ summit on ending the Gaza war, amid a U.S.-brokered prisoner-hostage swap and ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, October 13, 2025. REUTERS/Suzanne Plunkett/Pool (Suzanne Plunkett/Reuters )
Gaza: The ceasefire and the hostages
During 2025, the Trump administration brokered a ceasefire that ended the two-year war in Gaza and returned all Israeli hostages except for the body of Ran Gvili, which still remains in Hamas’s hands. The deal was initially met with deep skepticism inside Israel.
President Trump traveled to both Israel — where he addressed the Knesset and Cairo to finalize the agreement, coordinating with Arab leaders and mediators in a complex process that included an exchange of Palestinian terrorists held in Israeli prisons for hostages.
«There is absolutely no doubt that without President Trump’s intervention, this could have lasted much longer, or maybe not have ended at all, or ended in tragedy,» Eyal said, adding that the administration fundamentally changed what had been considered possible.
«He expanded the realm of possibilities,» Eyal said. «If someone had told us six months earlier that this would be the framework of the deal, and that all the living hostages would be back home within 72 hours, we would have said it’s a great idea, but Hamas would never agree.»

Israeli hostages released in the Trump-brokered ceasefire deal met with U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. (The Hostages and Missing Families Forum)
According to Eyal, the breakthrough came from Israeli military pressure combined with U.S. insistence and regional coordination. «The military pressure put by Israel, enabled by the White House, together with the White House’s insistence and the enlistment of Qatar and Turkey, is what made the breakthrough,» he said.
Misztal also argued that the outcome was not the result of diplomacy alone. «The relative calm that the region is now enjoying, after two years of war, is not the result of diplomacy, which failed on its own to stop Iran’s nuclear advance or convince Hamas to return Israeli hostages,» Misztal said. «It is the result of Israeli and U.S. willingness to use force, and do so together in pursuit of common objectives.»
«Operations Rising Lion and Midnight Hammer, coupled with the Israeli strike in Doha, unlocked the path to peace,» he added.
The ceasefire remains fragile but intact, with the U.S. now deeply involved in shaping the postwar phase in Gaza.
US MILITARY TO OVERSEE NEXT PHASE OF PEACE DEAL FROM COORDINATION BASE IN ISRAEL

President Donald Trump met with seven hostages freed from Hamas captivity. 3/7/25 (Photo provided by Hostages Families Forum)
Regional shockwaves
On Dec. 8 last year, after Israel defeated Hezbollah, the Assad regime in Syria collapsed, signaling a dramatic shift in the regional balance of power.
That momentum carried into 2025. Operation Rising Lion known as the 12-day war, underscored Israel’s air superiority, with Israeli aircraft striking Iranian military infrastructure and eliminating senior IRGC commanders.
The campaign also highlighted the depth of U.S.-Israel coordination, culminating in a U.S. strike that targeted Iran’s nuclear program and curtailed Tehran’s ability to support its proxies.

Smokes raises from a building of the Soroka hospital complex after it was hit by a missile fired from Iran in Be’er Sheva, Israel, Thursday, June 19, 2025. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) (AP Photo/Leo Correa)
Eyal said Iran now faces a period of profound uncertainty. «Iran will, without doubt, try to rebuild its influence after its proxy system was shattered,» he said. «It was defeated in war with Israel and lost most of its nuclear program.»
Two questions now dominate. «Can Iran rebuild its alliances, its prestige and its sources of power, like the nuclear program or air defenses, and stabilize itself again as a regional power?» Eyal asked. «The deeper question,» he added, «is what happens to the regime.»
He described Iran as increasingly unstable, with a devastated economy and growing public discontent. «It seems like almost everything is ripe for a substantial change in Iran,» he said. «Whether the Islamic Republic can survive without significant reform, or whether there will be a coup or counterrevolution, will take us well into 2026.»
FIVE POSSIBLE FUTURES FOR MIDDLE EAST FROM RENAISSANCE TO ROCKETS

This satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows damage at the Fordow enrichment facility in Iran after U.S. strikes, Sunday, June 22, 2025. (Maxar Technologies via AP)
«The sands of the Middle East are always shifting»: What to expect in 2026
Eyal said the past year forced a reckoning about Hamas’ future. «In 2025, Israelis, and to a certain extent countries in the Middle East, woke up from a fantasy that Hamas would cease to exist completely as a functioning body,» he said.
«Everybody understands there will be some sort of presence of Hamas, and unfortunately, they will hold some sort of armed power,» Eyal added. «The question is, to what level can you reduce it?»
WALTZ HAILS ‘NIGHT-AND-DAY’ MIDDLE EAST SHIFT AS TRUMP’S GAZA PLAN RESHAPES REGION

Palestinians continue their daily lives under harsh conditions amid the rubble of destroyed buildings in the Jabalia refugee camp in northern Gaza following the enforcement of a ceasefire agreement, on February 10, 2025. (Mahmoud ssa/Anadolu via Getty Images)
At the same time, he stressed the scale of Hamas’ losses. «In 2025 they suffered tremendous defeats and were wiped out as a functioning military body,» Eyal said. «This is the year in which it happened.»
«Even after losing half of Gaza, with Gaza devastated, and the hostages returned, they are still functioning as a military organization,» he added. «That means they are incredibly resistant or flexible.»
Misztal warned that the calm will not hold without sustained U.S. engagement. «The sands of the Middle East are always shifting,» he said. «Today’s calm will not last without consistent effort applied to uphold it.»
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Hamas terrorists stand in formation as Palestinians gather on a street to watch the handover of three Israeli hostages to a Red Cross team in Deir el-Balah, central Gaza, on Feb. 8, 2025. (Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
He warned that 2026 could see renewed pressure from multiple fronts. «Adversaries will seek to reassert themselves and find new advantages,» Misztal said. «Iran will test the boundaries of U.S. and Israeli patience and ISIS or other Sunni extremists may seek a spectacular attack to mark their comeback.»
«These will all be tests for the U.S. appetite to continue applying the ‘peace through strength’ approach,» Misztal said. «If Washington takes its eyes off the region, the progress of the last year might quickly be lost.»
israel,donald trump,national security,iran,hamas,terrorism
INTERNACIONAL
US judge orders suspect detained for threatening to kill Richard Grenell

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A federal judge in Alexandria, Virginia, on Tuesday ordered the detention of a 33-year-old man charged with threatening to kill President Donald Trump ally and Kennedy Center President Richard Grenell, in what Justice Department officials described as a win for the Trump administration – and for Lindsey Halligan, the acting U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia.
Grenell, a former U.S. ambassador to Germany, was not in court for the arraignment Tuesday afternoon, and was identified in a press release only as a «federal employee.»
The Justice Department identified Grenell to Fox News Digital as the individual in question.
The suspect, Scott Allen Bolger, was charged with transmitting threats in interstate commerce, and with making false statements to federal officers, who later used phone evidence to trace the threats back to him. He was arraigned in federal court in Alexandria.
Justice Department officials told Fox News Digital that the decision to hold an individual in pretrial detention is somewhat rare, and described the win as a victory for the Justice Department.
According to court documents, Bolger used Google Voice to send threatening messages to Grenell, including allegedly threatening to kill him. Google Voice allows users to make calls and send messages to phone numbers that are not tied to their primary devices.
Bolger is also accused of lying to members of a federal task force who went to his residence in McLean to question him, falsely identifying himself as «Brian Black.»
COMEY SEEKS TO TOSS CRIMINAL CASE CALLING TRUMP PROSECUTOR ‘UNLAWFUL’ APPOINTEE
If convicted, he faces up to five years in prison.
Ambassador Richard Grenell, Kennedy Center president, speaks at the 48th Kennedy Center Honors Medallion Reception at the U.S. Department of State on Dec. 6, 2025, in Washington, D.C. (Paul Morigi/Getty Images)
They also noted that Halligan, who Trump installed as U.S. attorney for EDVA earlier this year, attended the arraignment.
Halligan attended the proceedings, but did not play a formal role, Fox News Digital confirmed.
The Justice Department also shared a victim statement from Grenell with Fox News Digital that was read aloud in court.
«In my current role as a presidential envoy, I have been attacked and harassed by people who don’t know me and who simply want to leave nasty, rude and angry messages because I don’t share their political viewpoint,» Grenell said in the statement.
«But I strongly believe it is their right to be bitter and angry. I understand the passion. And I think the freedom to be rude and angry is a cherished right.»
«But today is much different,» he said. «Today we are dealing with someone who went far beyond sharing his angry opinion. Today we see a man who wants to kill someone because of their political differences.»
«And as we have sadly learned from my friend Charlie Kirk’s death, we must take talk of violence and calls for death seriously. «
«This individual crossed the line from sharing his viewpoint to wanting to shoot someone in the face because he disagrees with them politically. It is very troubling,» he said, adding, «The people doing what he is doing, and there are many, must be given clear instructions from community leaders that their calls for shooting people in the head will have swift and severe consequences. Unstable people are watching what we do today.»
SCOTUS TO REVIEW TRUMP EXECUTIVE ORDER ON BIRTHRIGHT CITIZENSHIP

Former Acting Director of National Intelligence of the U.S. Richard Grenell, Sen. Mike Lee, former President Trump, and Glenn Beck participate in a private roundtable discussion on Oct. 13, 2024, in Prescott Valley, Arizona. (Rebecca Noble/Getty Images)
Notably, the determination to hold Bolger in pretrial detention was made by U.S. Magistrate Judge William Fitzpatrick.
Fitzpatrick most recently made headlines for issuing scathing broadsides against DOJ for its handling of grand jury materials in the Comey case, which he said, last month, presented «irregularities» that «may rise to the level of government misconduct.»
The suspect’s arrest comes at a time when threats and intimidation aimed at high-profile figures across all three branches of government have appeared to escalate.
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Polls have shown that people believe political violence is on the rise in the wake of Kirk’s assassination, the murder of two Minnesota Democratic lawmakers and violence toward immigration enforcement officials.
Brooke Singman contributed to this report.
This story is developing. Check back for updates.
donald trump,fbi,politics,justice department,washington dc,federal courts
INTERNACIONAL
Michael Ignatieff, historiador y ex político canadiense: “El genocidio comenzó como un concepto legal y ahora es simplemente un instrumento para deslegitimar»

«Lo que está sucediendo es una catástrofe para los derechos humanos. Es una catástrofe para los palestinos. Y como alguien que ha apoyado al Estado de Israel toda su vida, es una catástrofe para Israel».
INTERNACIONAL
China launches largest military drills off Taiwan in 8 months with live-fire exercises caught on camera

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China fired rockets into waters near Taiwan during large-scale live-fire drills Tuesday, staging its biggest military encirclement of the island in eight months while warning «separatist» forces and outside powers.
A video released by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Eastern Theater Command showed forces firing rockets into waters north of Taiwan and bomber aircraft taking off at night as part of the encirclement.
The footage was released on the second day of the large-scale exercise «Justice Mission 2025.»
China launched the exercise Monday, surrounding Taiwan with warships, aircraft and live-fire drills as tensions rose following a record U.S. arms sale to Taipei.
CHINA SHARPENS CONFRONTATION WITH JAPAN FOLLOWING REPORTED RADAR RUN-IN
China launched rockets near Taiwan during massive live-fire drills, surrounding the island with warships, aircraft and military pressure as tensions rise. (PLA Eastern Theater Command via Reuters)
«Justice Mission 2025» includes coordinated deployments of ground forces, naval vessels, fighter jets, drones and artillery across seven maritime zones encircling Taiwan.
Tuesday’s drills included long-range live-fire exercises in waters north of Taiwan, PLA Eastern Theater Command spokesperson Li Xi said, according to state-run Xinhua News. Li said the drills achieved their intended results.
Other drills included assaults on maritime targets and anti-air and anti-submarine operations. Destroyers, frigates, fighter jets and bombers also carried out simulated strikes on maritime targets.
TAIWAN UNVEILS $40B DEFENSE SPENDING PLAN TO COUNTER CHINA MILITARY THREAT OVER NEXT DECADE

China launched rockets near Taiwan during massive live-fire drills, surrounding the island with warships, aircraft and military pressure as tensions rise. (PLA Eastern Theater Command via Reuters)
Rockets fired by Chinese forces landed inside Taiwan’s 24-nautical-mile line, Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said.
Taiwanese leader William Lai Ching-te said Tuesday that Beijing «has continued to escalate military tension in the region, which is not the behavior of a responsible world power,» according to Focus Taiwan. He added that «Taiwan will not provoke a confrontation, nor seek conflict with China.»
Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said on X that 130 PLA aircraft, 14 naval vessels and eight official ships were operating around the island as of 6 a.m. local time.
«Ninety of the 130 sorties crossed the median line and entered Taiwan’s northern, central, southwestern and eastern air defense identification zone,» the statement said. «We monitored the situation and responded.»
CHINA LAUNCHES THIRD AIRCRAFT CARRIER AS XI PUSHES MILITARY MODERNIZATION AGAINST US INFLUENCE

China launched rockets near Taiwan during massive live-fire drills, surrounding the island with warships, aircraft and military pressure as tensions rise. (PLA Eastern Theater Command via Reuters)
The PLA said on X that a Chinese military drone captured aerial footage of Taipei 101, which Taiwan’s Defense Ministry described as a typical example of psychological warfare. «So close, so beautiful, go to Taipei at any time,» the PLA said in the post.
President Donald Trump said Monday that Chinese President Xi Jinping did not inform him of the drills, adding that the exercises did not concern him.
As the drills unfolded, Taiwan’s Defense Ministry said Chinese military aircraft and naval vessels were operating near the island, with some engaging in close stand-offs near Taiwan’s contiguous zone, about 24 nautical miles from shore.
BIPARTISAN HOUSE CHINA PANEL SLAMS BEIJING’S TAIWAN DRILLS AS ‘DELIBERATE ESCALATION’

Military exercises mobilize the Chinese PLA Navy, Army, Air Force and the Chinese Coast Guards, which are deemed as a punishment to Taiwan’s call for independence. (Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty Images)
«Conducting live-fire exercises around the Taiwan Strait would not only constitute military pressure on us, but could also pose broader risks to the international community and neighboring countries,» said Hsieh Jih-sheng, Taiwan’s deputy chief of the general staff for intelligence.
Taiwan placed its military on high alert and said it was prepared to conduct rapid-response exercises if the drills escalated. The ministry released video highlighting its own capabilities, including U.S.-made HIMARS systems, while the coast guard deployed large patrol ships to monitor Chinese vessels near its waters.
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China claims Taiwan as its territory and has not ruled out using force to bring the island under its control. Taiwan rejects that claim, maintaining that only its people can decide the island’s future.
Fox News Digital’s Morgan Phillips and Reuters contributed to this report.
china,taiwan,conflicts,xi jinping,bombings,world,asia world regions
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