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Future of Trump budget bill uncertain as House GOP rebels mutiny over Senate plan

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House Republicans are divided over how to proceed on a massive piece of legislation aimed at advancing President Donald Trump’s agenda as a possible vote on the measure looms Wednesday afternoon.

Fiscal hawks are rebelling against GOP leaders over plans to pass the Senate’s version of a sweeping framework that sets the stage for a Trump policy overhaul on the border, energy, defense and taxes.

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Their main concern has been the difference between the Senate and House’s required spending cuts, which conservatives want to offset the cost of the new policies and as an attempt to reduce the national deficit. The Senate’s plan calls for a minimum of $4 billion in cuts, while the House’s floor is much higher at $1.5 trillion.

«The problem is, I think a lot of people don’t trust the Senate and what their intentions are, and that they’ll mislead the president and that we won’t get done what we need to get done,» Rep. Rich McCormick, R-Ga., told reporters on Tuesday. «I’m a ‘no’ until we figure out how to get enough votes to pass it.»

SENATE GOP PUSHES TRUMP BUDGET FRAMEWORK THROUGH AFTER MARATHON VOTE SERIES

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Republicans aren’t necessarily on the same page just yet about budget reconciliation. (Reuters)

McCormick said there were as many as 40 GOP lawmakers who were undecided or opposed to the measure.

A meeting with a select group of holdouts at the White House on Tuesday appeared to budge a few people, but many conservatives signaled they were largely unmoved.

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«I wouldn’t put it on the floor,» Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, told reporters after the White House meeting. «I’ve got a bill in front of me, and it’s a budget, and that budget, in my opinion, will increase the deficit, and I didn’t come here to do that.»

Senate GOP leaders praised the bill as a victory for Trump’s agenda when it passed the upper chamber in the early hours of Saturday morning.

Trump urged all House Republicans to support it in a Truth Social post on Monday evening.

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Meanwhile, House Republican leaders like Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., have appealed to conservatives by arguing that passing the Senate version does not in any way impede the House from moving ahead with its steeper cuts.

The House passed its framework in late February.

Rep. Chip Roy

Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, who was at the White House meeting on Tuesday afternoon, is still skeptical about the Senate plan. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Congressional Republicans are working on a massive piece of legislation that Trump has dubbed «one big, beautiful bill» to advance his agenda on border security, defense, energy and taxes.

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Such a measure is largely only possible via the budget reconciliation process. Traditionally used when one party controls all three branches of government, reconciliation lowers the Senate’s threshold for passage of certain fiscal measures from 60 votes to 51. As a result, it has been used to pass broad policy changes in one or two massive pieces of legislation.

Passing frameworks in the House and Senate, which largely only include numbers indicating increases or decreases in funding, allows each chamber’s committees to then craft policy in line with those numbers under their specific jurisdictions. 

MEET THE TRUMP-PICKED LAWMAKERS GIVING SPEAKER JOHNSON A FULL HOUSE GOP CONFERENCE

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Members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus have pushed for Johnson to allow the House GOP to simply begin crafting its bill without passing the Senate version, though both chambers will need to eventually pass identical bills to send to Trump’s desk.

«Trump wants to reduce the interest rates. Trump wants to lower the deficits. The only way to accomplish those is to reduce spending. And $4 billion is not – that’s … anemic. That is really a joke,» Rep. Eric Burlison, R-Mo., told reporters.

He said «there’s no way» the legislation would pass the House this week.

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The measure will likely go through the House Rules Committee, which acts as the final gatekeeper for most legislation getting a chamber-wide vote.

Rep. Eric Burlison

Rep. Eric Burlison, R-Mo., who was not at the White House meeting, is also skeptical of the Senate plan. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call via Getty Images)

However, tentative plans for a late-afternoon House Rules Committee meeting on the framework, which would have set up a Wednesday vote, were scrapped by early evening on Tuesday.

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The legislation could still get a House-wide vote late on Wednesday if the committee meets in the morning.

As for the House speaker, he was optimistic returning from the White House meeting on Tuesday afternoon.

«Great meeting. The president was very helpful and engaged, and we had a lot of members whose questions were answered,» Johnson told reporters. «I think we’ll be moving forward this week.»

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Fox News’ Ryan Schmelz and Aishah Hasnie contributed to this report.

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More Dems work to join Sen. Van Hollen in El Salvador to push for alleged gang member’s return to US

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Several more congressional Democrats have made statements or issued requests to leadership to travel to El Salvador in hopes of bringing imprisoned deportee and accused MS-13 member Kilmar Abrego Garcia back to Maryland.

Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., remained in the Central American country as of Thursday morning, after Salvadoran Vice President Felix Ulloa rejected his entreaties to contact or free the alleged gang member on Wednesday.

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A representative for Rep. Yassamin Ansari, D-Ariz., confirmed to Fox News Digital on Thursday that the freshman lawmaker would be taking a trip to El Salvador to essentially aid Van Hollen’s efforts.

«Kilmar Abrego Garcia should be home in Maryland right now,» Ansari said in a separate statement. «His illegal abduction and the subsequent complete dismissal of the Supreme Court ruling is deeply disturbing. Our rights shouldn’t be revoked to propagate Trump’s authoritarian agenda. This is a constitutional crisis.»

DOJ INDICATES TRUMP ADMIN NOT OBLIGATED TO RETURN MAN DEPORTED TO EL SALVADOR, PUSHING BACK ON JUDICIARY

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From left, Sen. Cory Booker, Rep. Robert Garcia and Rep. Yassamin Ansari (Getty Images)

«He’s already said that he’s ready and willing to illegally deport ‘home-growns’ and American citizens. If this can happen to Mr. Garcia, it can happen to any of us. My parents fled an authoritarian regime in Iran where people ‘disappeared’ – I refuse to sit back and watch it happen here, too. That’s why I plan to join my colleagues in traveling to El Salvador to visit Mr. Garcia and make sure Trump’s war on our Constitution and due process stops here.»

Reps. Maxwell Frost, D-Fla., and Robert Garcia, D-Calif., also wrote to House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer, R-Ky., requesting a former CODEL (congressional delegation) authorization to visit Tecoluca, El Salvador, where the infamous El Salvadoran mega prison «Terrorism Confinement Center» (CECOT) is located.

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«Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national legally living and working in Maryland, was subject to a 2019 withholding order from an immigration judge prohibiting his removal to El Salvador,» Frost and Garcia wrote.

«A Congressional delegation would allow Committee Members to conduct a welfare check on Mr. Abrego Garcia, as well as others held at CECOT.»

Additionally, Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J., is reportedly planning to travel to CECOT, according to reports from Politico and Axios. His office did not respond to a Fox News Digital inquiry.

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NOT A MARYLAND MAN: GOP BLASTS DEMOCRAT SENATOR FIGHTING FOR RETURN OF SALVADORAN NATIONAL

Fox News Digital reached out to Comer’s office for comment, and whether other lawmakers had contacted him seeking CODEL authorization.

«Squad» member Rep. Delia Ramirez, D-Ill., also wrote to House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Mark Green, R-Tenn., demanding her own CODEL to El Salvador, «given that the Administration’s use of CECOT for illegal and unconstitutional deportations is rife with ‘administrative errors.’»

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While not party to the letter to Comer, Ansari tweeted Monday that «we need answers now» from either government.

She said she is ready to join Van Hollen – and Frost and Garcia if they go – to «demand» the man’s release.

BONDI DEFIANT, SAYS ABREGO GARCIA WILL STAY IN EL SALVADOR: ‘END OF THE STORY’

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Rep. Becca Balint, D-Vt., also suggested to Axios that travel to El Salvador may be necessary.

«We have to do similar kinds of things for the others who are victims of this dystopian attack on our Constitutional rights. This president is dangerous and we can’t let this go,» she said.

Meanwhile, at least two Republicans have also traveled to CECOT, albeit for different reasons.

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Rep. Riley Moore, R-W.Va., tweeted a photo from the prison, saying he just finished a tour and that many inmates were «extremely violent» recent U.S.-deportees.

«I leave now even more determined to support President Trump’s efforts to secure our homeland,» Moore said.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith, R-Mo., appeared to comment on Van Hollen’s trip in his own post from the prison, writing:

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«It is unconscionable that Democrats in Congress are urging the release of more foreign criminals back into our country.»

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Homeland Security released new documents this week that it says definitively prove Abrego Garcia, who is imprisoned at CECOT after his deportation from the U.S., is a member of the notorious MS-13 gang, which his lawyers deny.

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Abrego Garcia also allegedly has a record of being a «violent» repeat wife beater, according to records filed in a Prince George’s County, Maryland, district court by his wife.

Fox News Digital reached out to Booker, Frost, Balint, Ramirez and Garcia for further comment.

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Trump takes center stage in Canada’s prime minister election debate

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President Donald Trump is the greatest challenge Canada is facing, Prime Minister Mark Carney said during a Wednesday night electoral debate with conservative challenger Pierre Poilievre.

«This election [is about] the question of who will succeed, and who will face up to Trump,» Carney said in French, according to a Reuters translation.

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His comments came in retort to Poilievre, who moments prior, had accused him of being too similar to Justin Trudeau, who stepped down from the top job earlier this year following a rapid decline in approval ratings. 

Mark Carney, Canada’s prime minister, speaks during a news conference in Ottawa, Canada, on March 27, 2025. (David Kawai/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

SENATE APPROVES PETER HOEKSTRA AS NEXT US AMBASSADOR TO CANADA

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«We are in a crisis. The most serious crisis of our lives,» Carney reportedly added. «We have to react with strength, which will allow us to succeed with Trump.»

Carney, who was voted into the role by the governing Liberal Party last month in a landslide win, is believed to be the favored candidate to win the prime minister’s seat in a nationwide election later this month, though recent polling suggests polling margins could be narrowing.

Just prior to Trudeau’s exit, the Liberal Party was expected to take a nosedive in the federal election against Poiliervre’s Conservative Party – but Trump appears to have changed all that. 

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Immense concern over a trade war with the U.S. and Trump’s threats to annex Canada as the 51st state have rallied support once again for the Liberal Party under Carney. 

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 09: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters as he signs executive orders in the Oval Office of the White House on April 09, 2025 in Washington, DC. President Trump signed several executive orders including directing the

President Donald Trump speaks to reporters as he signs executive orders in the Oval Office of the White House on April 9, 2025. (Getty Images)

HERE’S A CLOSER LOOK AT TRUMP’S TARIFF PLAN: WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT THE NEW DUTIES

Reports suggest that Carney is now viewed as the candidate more equipped to take on the tough negotiations that Canada will face to ease the steep tariffs Trump implemented this year. 

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Poilievre has also reportedly faced a drop in support for his Canada First message, which some reports suggest may be too similar a message to Trump’s America First agenda. 

The conservative candidate has also reportedly faced criticism within his own party for not responding fast enough to the threat posed by the U.S. president. 

Some reporting has suggested the race to be Canada’s next prime minister could be narrowing between Poilievre and Carney. 

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Canadians concerned by cost-of-living tend to back Poilievere, according to a Politico report, while voters concerned with the economy and relations with the U.S. tend to back Carney.

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Canada Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre holds a news conference in Ottawa, on Dec. 1, 2024. (Justin Tang/The Canadian Press via AP)

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Poilievere has been in the political sphere since 2004, when he entered Canada’s Parliament.

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Carney’s background is in running first the Bank of Canada in 2008 and then the Bank of England in 2013 – prompting some to believe he may be best suited to take on the financial crisis looming over Canada amid Trump’s tariff war. 


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Las cinco claves que explican por qué Wall Street no puede escapar de la tendencia bajista

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La incertidumbre por la «guerra» de aranceles incentivó la venta de activos financieros.

Los precios de las acciones mantienen la tendencia negativa en la Bolsa de Valores de Nueva York, un sesgo que se acentuó en las últimas semanas por el endurecimiento de la disputa por los aranceles cruzados declarada por el presidente norteamericano Donald Trump, pero que puede extenderse hasta el inicio del 2025.

Entre los fundamentos de este pesimismo que nubla el horizonte financiero destaca en principio el efecto de una inesperada escalada geopolítica por la imposición de tarifas comerciales que fue más allá de lo previsto y produjo una volatilidad sin precedentes en cinco años, desde el impacto de la clausura de actividades por la pandemia de COVID-19.

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El piso de las cotizaciones aún no puede ser calibrado por los agentes del mercado. En la última semana el índice Dow Jones de Wall Street se encaminó a una baja de 2,4%, que se estira a un 7,5% en el recorrido del año en curso. El panel tecnológico Nasdaq decae un 4,9% semanal y un impactante 15,6% en el año, mientras que el más abarcativo S&P 500 restó un 1,4% semanal y un 9,9% en menos de cuatro meses.

1) Guerra comercial. El 3 de abril Estados Unidos conmovió al comercio global con una ola de aranceles que afectan a más de 180 países y territorios. En un evento en la Casa Blanca, Donald Trump firmó una orden presidencial que impuso tarifas a socios comerciales clave, bajo el argumento de que la nación fue “estafada por más de 50 años”. La medida, que incluyó un arancel universal base del 10%, mientras que países como China y los miembros de la Unión Europea fueron aun más damnificados.

“Los mercados financieros atraviesan una fase crítica marcada por la escalada en la guerra comercial entre Estados Unidos y China, luego de que la administración Trump impusiera aranceles de hasta 245% a importaciones clave del gigante asiático” indicó Felipe Mendoza, Analista de mercados financieros ATFX Latam.

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La volatilidad de los mercados internacionales es la más marcada en cinco años, desde el impacto de la pandemia

“El entorno económico global entra en una fase crítica donde las tensiones geopolíticas, los aranceles comerciales y la incertidumbre política reconfiguran el tablero macroeconómico. Estados Unidos, al intensificar su postura proteccionista, pone en riesgo su credibilidad internacional y la estabilidad del dólar como activo de reserva. Europa enfrenta presiones desinflacionarias y una desaceleración industrial, mientras Asia busca reequilibrar su modelo de crecimiento en medio del distanciamiento con Washington”, añadió Mendoza.

La OMC (Organización Mundial de Comercio) señaló el miércoles que prevé que los aranceles causen una disminución del 0,2% en el volumen del comercio mundial de mercancías para 2025. Eso es si la situación arancelaria se mantiene como estaba el lunes. El comercio podría reducirse en un 1,5% este año si las condiciones empeoran, dijo la OMC.

“La persistente incertidumbre amenaza con actuar como un freno al crecimiento global, con severas consecuencias negativas para el mundo, especialmente para las economías más vulnerables”, dijo la directora general de la OMC, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.

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2) Temor por una recesión económica. Por otro lado, las restricciones comerciales pueden estrangular la demanda global de bienes y servicios, en una inevitable desaceleración económica que puede desembocar en una recesión de largo alcance. No escapa al análisis que la principal disputa está planteada entre EEUU y China, las economías más grandes del mundo que, en conjunto, representan casi la mitad del PBI global.

Muchos inversores se están preparando para una posible recesión debido a los aranceles de Estados Unidos, que Trump ha dicho que espera que traigan de vuelta empleos de manufactura a Estados Unidos y reduzcan su déficit comercial. Una encuesta de administradores de fondos globales realizada por Bank of America encontró que las expectativas de recesión están en el cuarto nivel más alto en los últimos 20 años.

El comercio podría internacional reducirse en un 1,5% este año si las condiciones geopolíticas empeoran

Encuestas recientes que los hogares estadounidenses se sienten más pesimistas sobre la economía debido a los aranceles, y un temor es que podría llevarlos a reducir eventualmente su gasto, lo que podría causar una recesión por sí mismo.

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Los analistas del Grupo IEB (Invertir en Bolsa) definieron que “Trump enfría a propósito” y “la Fed se acomoda”, pues “la concepción que Wall Street tiene es que a los republicanos les conviene romper primero para rebotar después”. Y se preguntaron: ”¿Será que el plan es pasar de la heladera al freezer para lograr un prolongado efecto riqueza que enfríe el consumo y baje los yields?”, en referencia a las tasas de interés que el gobierno norteamericano paga por su voluminosa deuda.

3) Presiones inflacionarias. La imposición de aranceles cruzados trae un incremento de los precios internos de los países, ante la discriminación de la competencia de productos que ingresan con precios más bajos y en muchos casos, de mejor calidad. En el mismo sentido, una mayor demanda por producción local -ante la ausencia de competencia extranjera- empuja los precios domésticos al alza.

Los aranceles también podrían impulsar la inflación, al menos temporalmente, al empujar a los importadores estadounidenses a trasladar los costos más altos a sus clientes.

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El presidente de la Fed exacerbó la incertidumbre al declarar que la entidad necesitará más tiempo antes de decidir si baja las tasas de interés

Associated Press dio cuenta de que “los temores sobre tales aumentos de precios impulsaron una ola de consumo el mes pasado, y las ventas en los minoristas de Estados Unidos se aceleraron más de lo que los economistas esperaban. Los economistas dijeron que gran parte de eso probablemente se debió a que los consumidores estadounidenses compraron automóviles, electrónicos y otros artículos antes de que sus precios pudieran subir debido a posibles aranceles.

“El viernes 25 se publicarán en EEUU los datos finales de confianza del consumidor y expectativas de inflación de la encuesta de la Universidad de Michigan de abril. Este dato fue relevante la semana previa porque las expectativas de inflación a un año saltaron a 6,7% anual, un máximo desde 1981″, precisaron los analistas de Balanz Capital.

4) Balances corporativos en la mira. En el centro del foco inversor los datos financieros más relevantes son los resultados corporativos, pues los precios de las acciones de las compañías se resienten en cuanto a que los resultados de las empresas serán afectados. Las empresas de diversas partes del mundo adelantaron a sus accionistas que la guerra comercial de Estados Unidos está oscureciendo las previsiones sobre cómo les irá a ellas y a la economía este año.

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“En la continuidad de la temporada de balances en EEUU, la semana que viene reportarán 127 compañías del S&P 500, las cuales representan el 23,7% de la capitalización de mercado. Se destacan los reportes de Tesla el martes y de Alphabet el viernes”, detalló Balanz Capital.

5) Muchas dudas por las tasas de la Fed. Las pérdidas se aceleraron después de que el presidente de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos, Jerome Powell, dijo este miércoles que los aranceles impuestos por Trump parecen ser mayores de lo esperado, lo que podría ralentizar la economía y aumentar la inflación más de lo que se pensaba anteriormente. Pero Powell también dijo nuevamente que la Fed necesitará más tiempo antes de decidir si baja las tasas de interés. Un recorte más rápido de tasas podría ayudar a la economía pero empeorar la inflación, pero de no producirse, inducirá al efecto inverso.

“Todo esto es muy incierto”, comentó Powell. “Estamos pensando ahora, realmente antes de que los aranceles tengan sus efectos, en cómo podrían afectar a la economía. Por eso estamos esperando para ver cuáles son las políticas en última instancia, y luego podemos hacer una mejor evaluación de cuáles serán los efectos económicos”.

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“Powell afirmó que la Fed debería mantener su actual política monetaria sin cambios hasta tener mayor claridad sobre el impacto de las políticas de Trump. Además, advirtió que podría surgir un escenario desafiante en el que el doble mandato de estabilidad de precios y pleno empleo de la Fed podrían entrar en conflicto”, indicó Balanz Capital.



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