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Fortnight to Election Day: 5 key 2025 races to watch

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With two weeks until Election Day, and the latest polls pointing to a potential photo finish in the battle for New Jersey governor, the two major party nominees are urging their supporters to get out and vote.

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«When we vote, we win,» Democratic nominee Rep. Mikie Sherrill said this past weekend at a rally.

And her Republican rival, Jack Ciattarelli, told his supporters that «championship teams finish strong… let’s win this race.»

New Jersey is just one of two states, along with Virginia, that hold statewide elections for governor this November. And the contests, which traditionally grab outsized national attention, are viewed as crucial early tests of President Donald Trump’s unprecedented and relentless second-term agenda, as well as key barometers ahead of next year’s midterm showdowns for the U.S. House and Senate.

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New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rep. Mikie Sherrill, right, and Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli, on the stage moments at the start of their second and final debate, on Oct. 8, 2025, in New Brunswick, N.J. (Paul Steinhauser/Fox News Digital)

Also in the political spotlight this November is New York City’s high-profile mayoral election, the ballot box proposition over congressional redistricting in California, and three state Supreme Court contests in battleground Pennsylvania.

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Democrats, who are aiming to exit the political wilderness following last year’s election setbacks when they lost control of the White House and Senate and failed to win back the House majority, are highlighting their success so far this year in special elections.

«There’s wind at our back,» Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chair Ken Martin recently touted. «We have overperformed in every single election that’s been on the ballot since Donald Trump was inaugurated.»

ONE OF THE TOP 2025 RACES MAY END UP IN A PHOTO FINISH

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But Republicans point to the multitude of problems facing the Democratic Party.

«Sadly for the DNC, the truth is that Democrats’ approval rating is at a 30-year low as the party has hemorrhaged more than 2 million voters over the past four years,» Republican National Committee communications director Zach Parkinson told Fox News Digital recently.

Here’s a closer look at 2025’s top elections.

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New Jersey

Ciattarelli, who’s making his third straight run for Garden State governor and who nearly upset Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy four years ago, has good reason to be optimistic he can pull off victory in blue-leaning New Jersey.

In a state where registered Democrats still outnumber Republicans despite a GOP surge in registration this decade, three public opinion polls released last week — from Fox News, Quinnipiac University and Fairleigh Dickinson University — indicated Ciattarelli narrowing the gap with Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rep. Mikie Sherrill in the race to succeed the term-limited Murphy.

Republican nominee for governor in New Jersey Jack Ciattarelli

Jack Ciattarelli, the Republican nominee for governor in New Jersey, speaks to a raucous crowd of supporters at a diner in Saddle Brook, N.J., on Oct. 15, 2025. (Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)

The Fox News poll, conducted Oct. 10 – 14, put Sherrill at 50% support among likely voters, with Ciattarelli at 45%. Sherrill’s 5-point advantage was down from an 8-point lead in Fox News’ September survey in New Jersey.

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While Democrats have long dominated federal and state legislative elections in blue-leaning New Jersey, Republicans are very competitive in gubernatorial contests, winning five out of the past 10 elections.

And Trump made major gains in New Jersey in last year’s presidential election, losing the state by only six percentage points, a major improvement over his 16-point deficit four years earlier.

THE POLITICAL BOMB TRUMP EXPLODED IN THE NEW JERSEY SHOWDOWN FOR GOVERNOR

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Multiple sources confirmed to Fox News that Trump will hold a tele-rally with Ciattarelli ahead of Election Day. Trump’s teaming up with Ciattarelli may help energize MAGA supporters, many of whom are low propensity voters who often skip casting ballots in non-presidential election years.

The race in New Jersey was rocked a couple of weeks ago by a report that the National Personnel Records Center, which is a branch of the National Archives and Records Administration, mistakenly released Sherrill’s improperly redacted military personnel files, which included private information like her Social Security number, to a Ciattarelli ally. 

Rep. Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey

Rep. Mikell Sherrill of New Jersey, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee, speaks at a news conference on Oct. 13, 2025, in Clifton, N.J. (Mikie Sherrill campaign)

But Sherrill’s military records indicated that the United States Naval Academy blocked her from taking part in her 1994 graduation amid a cheating scandal.

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Sherrill, who was never accused of cheating in the scandal, went on to serve nearly a decade in the Navy, flying helicopters.

The showdown was jolted again two weeks ago after Sherrill’s allegations that Ciattarelli was «complicit» with pharmaceutical companies in the opioid deaths of tens of thousands of New Jerseyans, as she pointed to the medical publishing company he owned that pushed content promoting the use of opioids as a low-risk treatment for chronic pain.

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Last week, Trump set off a political hand grenade in the race, as he «terminated» billions of federal dollars for the Gateway Project, which is funding a new train tunnel under the Hudson River connecting New Jersey and New York.

Sherrill, holding a news conference Thursday at a major commuter rail station just a few miles from the site of the tunnels in one of the busiest train corridors in the nation, called the project «critical» as she took aim at Trump and Ciattarelli.

Virginia

Explosive revelations in Virginia’s attorney general race that the GOP is aiming to leverage up and down the ballot recently shook up the race for governor, forcing Democratic Party nominee, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger, back on defense in a race where most polls indicated her enjoying a sizable lead over Republican rival Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears.

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A split of Winsome Earle-Sears and Abigail Spanberger.

The two major party gubernatorial nominees in Virginia: Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, left, and Democrat former Rep. Abigail Spanberger. (Getty Images)

Virginia attorney general Democratic nominee Jay Jones has been in crisis mode since his controversial texts were first reported a couple of weeks ago by the National Review.

Jones acknowledged and apologized for texts he sent in 2022, when he compared then-Virginia House Speaker Todd Gilbert to mass murderers Adolf Hitler and Pol Pot, adding that if he was given two bullets, he would use both against the GOP lawmaker to shoot him in the head.

But he’s facing a chorus of calls from Republicans to drop out of the race. 

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Earle-Sears hasn’t wasted an opportunity to link Spanberger to Jones.

And during this month’s chaotic and only gubernatorial debate, where Earle-Sears repeatedly interrupted Spanberger, the GOP gubernatorial nominee called on her Democratic rival to tell Jones to end his attorney general bid.

FOR THE LATEST FOX NEWS REPORTING ON THE VIRGINIA SHOWDOWN, HEAD HERE 

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«The comments that Jay Jones made are absolutely abhorrent,» Spanberger said at the debate. But she neither affirmed nor pulled back her support of Jones.

Earle-Sears has kept up the pressure.

«Abigail Spanberger should have been the first to call for Jay Jones to step down. Instead, she doubled down—because deep down, she’s OK with what he said,» Earle-Sears argued recently in a social media post.

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New York City

The mayoral election in the nation’s most populous city always grabs outsized attention, especially this year as New York City may elect its first Muslim and first millennial mayor.

Democratic socialist 33-year-old state lawmaker Zohran Mamdani’s victory in June’s Democratic Party mayoral primary sent political shock waves across the country. And he’s come under attack from Republicans and from his rivals on the ballot over his far-left proposals.

NYC debate candidates stand behind podiums

From left, independent mayoral candidate former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa and Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani participate in a mayoral debate, on Thursday, Oct. 16, 2025, in New York.  (Angelina Katsanis/Pool-AP Photo)

Mamdani is the clear polling and fundraising frontrunner in the heavily blue city as he faces off against former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who came in a distant second in the primary and is now running as an independent candidate. Cuomo is aiming for a political comeback after resigning as governor four years ago amid multiple scandals.

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THE LATEST FOX NEWS REPORTING ON THE NEW YORK CITY MAYORAL ELECTION IS RIGHT HERE 

Also running is two-time Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa, a co-founder of the Guardian Angels, the non-profit, a volunteer-based community safety group.

Embattled Mayor Eric Adams, a Democrat who was running for re-election as an independent, dropped out of the race last month, but his name remains on the ballot.

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California

Voters in heavily blue California will vote in November on whether to set aside their popular nonpartisan redistricting commission for the rest of the decade and allow the Democrat-dominated legislature to determine congressional redistricting for the next three election cycles.

The vote will be the culmination of an effort by Gov. Gavin Newsom and California Democrats to create up to five left-leaning congressional seats in the Golden State to counter the new maps that conservative Gov. Greg Abbott signed into law last week, which will create up to five more right-leaning U.S. House districts in the red state of Texas.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom at Prop 50 event

Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom of California speaks during a congressional redistricting event, on Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, in Los Angeles.  (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

The redistricting in Texas, which came after Trump’s urging, is part of a broader effort by the GOP across the country to pad their razor-thin House majority to keep control of the chamber in the 2026 midterms, when the party in power traditionally faces political headwinds and loses seats.

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Polls suggest majority support for passage of what’s known as Proposition 50.

Pennsylvania

Democrats currently hold a 5-2 majority on the Supreme Court in the northeastern battleground of Pennsylvania.

But three Democrat-leaning justices on the state Supreme Court, following the completion of their 10-year terms, are running this year to keep their seats in «Yes» or «No» retention elections.

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The election could upend the court’s composition for the next decade, heavily influence whether Democrats or Republicans have an advantage in the state’s congressional delegation and legislature, and impact crucial cases including voting rights and reproductive rights.

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While state Supreme Court elections typically don’t grab much national attention, contests where the balance of a court in a key battleground state is up for grabs have attracted tons of outside money.

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The state Supreme Court showdown this spring in Wisconsin, where the 4-3 liberal majority was maintained, drew nearly $100 million in outside money as both parties poured resources into the election.

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UN Ambassador Waltz reveals Trump’s Middle East peace plan is ‘the only way forward’

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EXCLUSIVE: U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz told the U.N. that President Trump’s historic Middle East peace plan is «the only way forward» as he negotiates a resolution that would codify the Trump administration’s Gaza deal in the international body in a way that is «fully consistent with an America First agenda.»

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Fox News Digital spoke exclusively to Waltz after he convened partners and allies to discuss the United States’ intention to present a resolution to the U.N. Security Council on Gaza.

The resolution will endorse the Board of Peace, set parameters for Gaza’s transitional governance and launch the International Stabilization Force outlined in the president’s 20-point Gaza peace plan.

MIKE WALTZ SEES TRUMP’S GAZA PLAN AS ‘ONCE-IN-A-GENERATION OPPORTUNITY FOR PEACE’

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U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz (Getty Images)

«Only President Trump has the ability to bring all sides together, just as he did at Sharm El-Sheik,» Waltz told Fox News Digital. «He’s the only person who can truly bridge the divides between the Israelis, the Palestinians and others in the region.»

AS TRUMP ADMIN PUSHES GAZA PEACE PLAN, HISTORY SHOWS UN PEACEKEEPING’S MIXED RECORD

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Waltz said the president’s plan is «the best chance for real peace in the Middle East in a generation.»

«And, frankly, it’s a real test for the United Nations — to step up, support the president’s plan and start implementing it,» Waltz told Fox News Digital.

«We’ve seen the death and destruction the war in Gaza caused,» Waltz said. «If we can rally the international community to come together and resolve it using the tools of the U.N., that’s absolutely the right thing to do, and it’s fully consistent with an America First agenda.

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«This process of securing peace in Gaza with a Security Council resolution is really about getting the U.N. back to basics,» Waltz continued. «That’s what we’re calling it — back to basics. It’s about strictly focusing on establishing and keeping peace and, in this case, supporting what the president has already set in motion.»

middle east peace meeting

World leaders, including President Donald Trump and Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, pose for a photo at a world leaders summit on ending the Gaza war, in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, Oct. 13, 2025. (Suzanne Plunkett, Pool Photo via AP)

President Trump’s plan to end the Gaza conflict calls for Gaza to be a de-radicalized, terror-free zone that does not pose a threat to its neighbors. It also calls for Gaza to be redeveloped for the benefit of the people of Gaza and more.

Under the peace plan, Israeli forces would withdraw from the region, and a temporary transitional governance of a technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, responsible for delivering the day-to-day running of public services and municipalities for the people of Gaza will be created.

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US MILITARY TO OVERSEE NEXT PHASE OF PEACE DEAL FROM COORDINATION BASE IN ISRAEL

That government will be under the oversight of a new international transitional body called the «Board of Peace,» chaired by President Trump and other members and heads of state.

The resolution would essentially make the plan international law, a U.N. source said.

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As for timing, a U.N. source told Fox News Digital that negotiations typically take months in the United Nations, but the U.S. Mission is hoping to get this done in «weeks.» 

«We are looking to move quickly,» the source said. «The ceasefire is fragile. We don’t want things to fall apart in any way, shape or form. The sooner we get this resolution done, the sooner countries can begin contributing troops to the stabilization force.»

Donald Trump holds up a signed agreement while posing for photos

U.S. President Donald Trump poses with a signed agreement during a world leaders summit focused on ending the Gaza war in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, Oct. 13. (Suzanne Plunkett/Getty Images)

The source also told Fox News Digital that representatives from the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Qatar — not members of the Security Council — presented the resolution with Waltz and the U.S. Mission to the broader Security Council.

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«We think that’s really strong,» the source said. «This is about getting humanitarian aid in, stabilizing, governing and rolling up our sleeves and getting to work and having the international community pay for it.» 

EXPERTS URGE TRUMP TO BAN TERROR-LINKED UN AGENCY FROM HIS GAZA PEACE PLAN

The source said the resolution would create a mechanism, led by Jared Kushner, Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff and Secretary of State Marco Rubio that would ensure «the dollars are going to be used efficiently with a private sector mentality in mind.»

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Rubio has said the Trump administration is «seeing things we never thought we’d see before, like the number of countries willing to participate in this effort, be it through money or personnel, or both or expertise.

«We’ve never seen this sort of international cohesion behind something,» Rubio said.  «So, we have to be pursuing those opportunities because they’re really great, historic and important.» 

Meanwhile, the source said the U.S. is «in the thick of negotiations» but is «moving lightening-fast by U.N. terms.» 

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio listens to a question

Secretary of State Marco Rubio listens to a question as he speaks to the media after visiting the Civil-Military Coordination Center in southern Israel Oct. 24, 2025. (Getty Images)

«They do not want to be part of opposing the best chance we’ve had for peace in a generation,» the source said. «And they don’t want to play the part of bureaucratizing and then being responsible for the fighting resuming.»

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The president has described the peace plan as «the start of a grand concord and lasting harmony for Israel and all the nations of what will soon be a truly magnificent region.»

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«I believe that so strongly,» Trump said of the plan. «This is the historic dawn of a new Middle East.» 

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Canadian spy chief warns of alarming rise in teen terror suspects, ‘potentially lethal’ threats by Iran

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Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) Director Daniel Rogers, during a rare public appearance Thursday, said nearly one in 10 of the agency’s terrorism investigations include at least one person under the age of 18, an alarming trend driven by online extremism.

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Since 2014, there have been nearly two dozen violent extremist attacks in Canada resulting in 29 deaths and at least 60 injuries, according to Rogers.

Worryingly, he said, nearly one in ten terrorism investigations at CSIS, the country’s domestic spy agency, include at least one «subject of investigation» under the age of 18.

In August, a minor was arrested in Montreal for allegedly planning an attack on behalf of the terrorist group Daesh, according to Rogers.

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Dan Rogers, a national security and intelligence advisor, made a rare speech Thursday. (Reuters/Blair Gable/File Photo)

THE NEW MAFIA: TRUMP, CIVIL RICO AND THE GLOBAL INTIFADA

Just a few months earlier, a 15-year-old Edmonton-area minor was charged with a terrorism-related offense, after Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) investigators feared the teen would commit serious violence related to COM/764, a transnational violent online network that manipulates children and youth across widely accessible online platforms.

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Rogers also noted two 15-year-olds were arrested in Ottawa for allegedly conspiring to conduct a mass casualty attack targeting the Jewish community in Canada’s capital in late 2023 and early 2024.

«Clearly, radicalized youth can cause the same harms as radicalized adults, but the societal supports for youth may help us catch radicalization early and prevent it,» Rogers said. «These tragic numbers would have been higher if not for disruptive actions taken by CSIS and our law enforcement partners.»

Police in Ottawa, Ontario walk through the crowd at the "Freedom Convoy"

Multiple attacks over the last year were intercepted by Canadian authorities, officials said. (Fox News Digital/Lisa Bennatan)

The CSIS joined the RCMP and intelligence partners from the U.S., United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand in releasing a joint public report in December, highlighting the evolving issue of young people and violent extremism. 

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The report provides advice to parents, guardians and others with information to help them identify early concerns and address youth radicalization before it’s too late. 

«Since 2022, CSIS has been involved in the disruption of no fewer than 24 violent extremist actions, each resulting in arrests or terrorism peace bond charges,» Rogers said. «In 2024, CSIS played an integral role in the disruption of two Daesh-inspired plots. 

«In one case, a father and son were allegedly in the advanced stages of planning an attack in the Toronto area. In another, an individual was arrested before allegedly attempting to illegally enter the United States to attack members of the Jewish community in New York. In these examples, and in many others I can’t discuss publicly, our counter-terrorism teams have partnered with law enforcement and saved lives.»

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Mountains near Trout Lake, Canada

Canadian officials said they also blocked potentially ‘lethal threats’ by Iran. (Mert Alper Dervis/Anadolu Agency)

ONLINE ‘GORE’ FORUMS ARE ‘GATEWAY TO EXTREMISM’ IN MASS SHOOTINGS, NORMALIZING HORROR FOR KIDS: EXPERTS

He attributed the radicalization to «eroding social cohesion, increasing polarization and significant global events,» which he said «provide fertile ground for radicalization.»

«Many who turn to violence radicalize exclusively online, often without direction from others,» Rogers said. «They use technology to do so secretly and anonymously, seriously challenging the ability of our investigators to keep pace and to identify and prevent acts of violence.»

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Rogers also noted the CSIS collects intelligence and defends against transnational repression, previously focusing on transnational repression by the People’s Republic of China, India and others. 

«In particularly alarming cases over the last year, we’ve had to reprioritize our operations to counter the actions of Iranian intelligence services and their proxies who have targeted individuals they perceive as threats to their regime,» he said. «In more than one case, this involved detecting, investigating and disrupting potentially lethal threats against individuals in Canada.»

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Tensión entre israelíes y palestinos: el asalto a una mezquita, la última muestra de la creciente violencia colona en Cisjordania

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El asalto a la mezquita Hajja Hamida, durante el cual un grupo de colonos israelíes quemaron la entrada del recinto sagrado y pintaron eslóganes racistas en sus paredes, es la última muestra de la creciente violencia de colonos israelíes en Cisjordania, donde en octubre se contabilizaron más de 500 ataques.

Los colonos vertieron durante la madrugada de este jueves materiales inflamables en la entrada de la mezquita, ubicada entre las localidades de Deir Istiya y Kafr Haris, en la gobernación de Nablus (Cisjordania ocupada), según contó el activista Nazmi al Salman a la agencia palestina Wafa.

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La rápida intervención de los residentes evitó que el fuego se expendiera por todo el edificio, donde los colonos también pintaron eslóganes con mensajes racistas contra árabes y musulmanes.

Al igual que en los últimos días, los ataques se repitieron en distintas localidades. En Turmus Ayya (centro) los colonos arrancaron de raíz los olivos de Abdullah Awad, según denunció este mismo en WhatsApp. También residentes de la ciudad de Faraata (noroeste de Cisjordania) aseguraron que los colonos arrancaron sus árboles.

Aumento desbordado de la violencia

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El asalto a esta mezquita se suma a una serie de ataques de gran escala que han marcado el último mes en Cisjordania, coincidiendo con la temporada de recolección de la aceituna, un período que históricamente ha sido un foco de altercados.

El asalto a esta mezquita se suma a una serie de ataques de gran escala que han marcado el último mes en Cisjordania. Foto EFE

Justamente ayer otro grupo de colonos lanzó un ataque masivo contra instalaciones industriales y agrícolas cerca de la ciudad de Beit Lid, al norte de Cisjordania, dejando a su paso incendios e hiriendo a varios palestinos.

El martes, colonos también quemaron al menos cuatro camiones e hirieron a varias personas al este de la ciudad cisjordana de Tulkarem. Además, en días anteriores se registraron ataques contra varias aldeas de la castigada comunidad de Masafer Yatta, al sur de Hebrón.

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Octubre fue el mes más violento desde 2013, ya que se registraron, según cifras de la ONU, 536 agresiones, incluidas ataques físicos, quema de campos, destrucción de olivos y restricciones de acceso a los olivares.

Los agresores son a menudo los mismos colonos uniformados, muchos de ellos reservistas del Ejército que viven en los asentamientos ilegales, quienes atacan a las poblaciones palestinas sin que haya intervención del Ejército o la policía israelí que, por el contrario, se ponen habitualmente del lado de estos colonos, según el relato de palestinos y activistas,

Además, este nuevo ataque se produce después de que el jefe del Estado Mayor israelí, Eyal Zamir, asegurara ayer que el Ejército está decidido a «detener» los ataques de colonos israelíes a civiles palestinos, activistas, periodistas y paramédicos, que se han intensificado en diferentes puntos de la Cisjordania ocupada.

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Un hombre observa los daños causados ​​a la mezquita Al-Hajja Hamida tras un ataque de colonos israelíes en la aldea de Der Estya, cerca de Salfitt, Cisjordania. Foto EFEUn hombre observa los daños causados ​​a la mezquita Al-Hajja Hamida tras un ataque de colonos israelíes en la aldea de Der Estya, cerca de Salfitt, Cisjordania. Foto EFE

«Estos actos contradicen nuestros valores, traspasan una línea roja y desvían la atención de nuestras tropas de su misión: defender a las comunidades y llevar a cabo operaciones. Estamos decididos a detener este fenómeno y actuaremos con firmeza hasta que se haga justicia», dijo Zamir tras visitar Cisjordania ayer.

Condenas al ataque

El comandante del Ejército israelí a cargo de Cisjordania, Avi Bluth, pidió a los soldados que intervengan e intenten prevenir «cualquier acto de delincuencia nacionalista».

Sin embargo, en septiembre se filtraron a la prensa declaraciones de Bluth en las que supuestamente decía que cada vez que un palestino atacase o hiriese a un colono, su aldea sería castigada, una afirmación que pone en entredicho el enfoque del alto mando en ocasiones.

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El ataque a la mezquita ha provocado la condena desde la izquierda israelí, y el líder del Partido Demócrata, Yair Golan, calificó los hechos como «una escalada del terrorismo judío».

Golan denunció la actitud «indulgente y permisiva» con los colonos de los ministros radicales de Seguridad Nacional, Itamar Ben Gvir, y de Finanzas, Bezalel Smotrich, ambos colonos, e instó al Shin Bet (agencia de seguridad interna) y a la policía a «actuar con firmeza contra los criminales y llevarlos ante la justicia».

Hamas denunció también el asalto apuntando que el ataque «revela, una vez más, el sadismo y el racismo de la ocupación contra nuestro pueblo» y lo calificó como «un crimen atroz y un ataque flagrante contra los sentimientos de los musulmanes y la libertad de culto».

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El Ministerio de Exteriores de la Autoridad Palestina condenó el «crimen odioso» cometido por los colonos contra la mezquita de Deir Istiya, e hizo al Gobierno israelí responsable de la «peligrosa escalada y la ola de creciente terrorismo colono».

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