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Fox News Poll: Democrat Sherrill leads New Jersey governor’s race
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A Fox News survey of New Jersey voters finds Democrat Mikie Sherrill ahead of Republican Jack Ciattarelli by 8 percentage points among likely voters (50-42%) and 7 points among the larger sample of registered voters (48-41%) – both lead just outside the margin of sampling error.
The candidates are vying for the seat being vacated by term-limited Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy, who beat Ciattarelli in the 2021 gubernatorial election by only about 3 points.
This analysis uses registered voter results.
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Sherrill, a congresswoman, gets her biggest backing from Black and Hispanic voters, those with a college degree and voters under age 45. There is a 15-point gender gap with women preferring Sherrill by 14 points and men favoring Ciattarelli by 1.
Ciattarelli, a former state assemblyman, does best among MAGA supporters, White Catholics, White men without a college degree and voters ages 45-54.
Nearly equal numbers of Republicans back Ciattarelli (90%) as Democrats go for Sherrill (89%), and the preference among the small subgroup of independents splits. Sherrill is helped by more New Jersey voters identifying as Democrats than Republicans.
Both Sherrill and Ciattarelli supporters have a high degree of vote certainty (84% each). Still, the race has room for movement because about one voter in seven says they could change their mind before casting ballots.
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By an 8-point margin, a larger share of Ciattarelli supporters (50%) than Sherrill supporters (42%) say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year than usual.
The Fox News survey was completed after both the first gubernatorial debate on September 21 and news that the National Personnel Records Center at the National Archives had mistakenly released unredacted portions of Sherrill’s military file. That release, reported publicly on September 25, prompted complaints from Sherrill and other Democrats, while the Ciattarelli campaign began pressing her on the issue.
By a 6-point margin, more voters have a positive opinion of Sherrill (51%) than of Ciattarelli (45%) and, by a 7-point spread, more think she is honest and trustworthy (56%) than say the same about him (49%).
Murphy’s favorable rating is underwater by a single point (47% vs. 48%).
While more than half remain dissatisfied with the direction of their state, New Jersey voters are happier now than when Murphy was elected: 46% are satisfied with how things are going, up 9 percentage points from 37% who felt that way in 2017.
The New Jersey electorate is concerned about two main issues. In spontaneous, unprompted replies, 34% say taxes are the biggest problem facing the state and 20% cite the cost of living. Other issues like housing and energy costs are mentioned by 5% or fewer.
Sherrill is preferred by 16 points among those whose priority is the cost of living, while tax voters favor Ciattarelli by 5.
Only 4% of voters view President Donald Trump/the Republicans as the biggest problem for the state, but one-third say one reason for their vote is to express opposition to Trump (34%), more than double the number who are voting to show him support (16%).
Six in 10 Democrats say their vote is to express opposition to Trump compared to four in 10 Republicans who say theirs is to show support. More than half of Republicans say Trump is not a factor in their vote (56%).
Overall, 42% of New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 55% view him unfavorably. That’s a net negative of 13 points, which is an improvement since 2017, when his ratings were underwater by 26 points.
While former Vice President Kamala Harris won New Jersey by 6 points (52%), Trump received 46% of the vote in last year’s presidential election, up from the 41% he received in both 2020 and 2016.
Poll-pourri
A 54% majority of New Jersey voters think the way Republicans talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in violence, while just under half, 48%, say the same about Democrats.
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Conducted Sept. 25-28, 2025, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,002 New Jersey registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (120) and cellphones (638) or completed the survey online by following a link received via text message (244). There was a subsample of 822 likely voters. Results based on both the registered voter and likely voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points.
Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are identified based on past vote history and self-reported likelihood of voting. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
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El Índice de Confianza de la Actividad Económica de Honduras sube a 63.2 puntos en febrero, según el Banco Central
El índice de Confianza de la Actividad Económica (ICAE) de Honduras experimentó una mejora significativa en febrero de 2026, alcanzando los 63.2 puntos según la más reciente Encuesta de Expectativas de Analistas Macroeconómicos (EEAM), publicada por el Banco Central de Honduras (BCH). Este resultado representa un salto notable respecto al mes anterior, cuando el índice se situó en 53,8 puntos, y evidencia una percepción marcadamente optimista sobre el desempeño presente y futuro de la economía hondureña.
De acuerdo con el informe, “el índice de Confianza de la Actividad Económica alcanzó 63.2 puntos, ubicándose en zona de expansión (mayor a 50.0 puntos) por segundo mes consecutivo, explicado en 47.1% por el resultado de la actividad económica actual y en 52.9% por la actividad económica futura”. Esto implica que la confianza no solo está sustentada por la coyuntura actual, sino también por una expectativa positiva hacia los próximos meses.
La encuesta fue compilada por el BCH entre el 9 y 17 de febrero de 2026 y, aunque reúne opiniones de analistas independientes y no constituye una proyección oficial del banco emisor, es una herramienta clave para medir el pulso macroeconómico del país. Según los analistas consultados, el dinamismo económico de este año se fundamenta en varios factores: “la dinámica del consumo privado -apoyada en parte por la captación de remesas familiares-, mayor inversión pública y privada, inflación baja y estable, reservas internacionales en niveles sólidos y la reducción en la medición del riesgo país son elementos que brindan certidumbre sobre el desempeño esperado de la economía nacional”.
En este sentido, los consultados prevén que el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) hondureño podría crecer alrededor del 3,7% en 2026, lo que se mantendría dentro del rango de estimación de la Revisión del Programa Monetario 2025-2026. Para 2027, las expectativas también son positivas, con una proyección de crecimiento del 3,8%. Estas cifras se sustentan en la valoración de los analistas respecto a las políticas macroeconómicas implementadas, que han favorecido la captación de inversión y la recuperación de la actividad económica.
Respecto a la estabilidad de precios, la encuesta indica que las expectativas de inflación para cierre de año se ubican en torno al 4,37%, es decir, dentro del rango de tolerancia de 4.0% ± 1.0 pp establecido por el BCH. Los consultados consideran que “la tendencia decreciente de la inflación para los horizontes analizados se explicaría por la aplicación oportuna de medidas de política monetaria y menores presiones inflacionarias externas”. Sin embargo, advierten que factores como “el incremento de precios de los alimentos, de los combustibles y su impacto en las tarifas de la energía eléctrica, y de ciertos bienes importados” aún podrían incidir en la evolución de los precios durante el año.
En cuanto a riesgos y posibles desafíos, los analistas señalan que la reducción en los precios internacionales del café, los efectos adversos del cambio climático y los actuales conflictos internacionales podrían afectar las perspectivas económicas. Sin embargo, se mantiene la expectativa de que las autoridades continúen priorizando la calidad del gasto y la inversión pública, lo cual podría amortiguar parte de estos impactos.
Finalmente, es de destacar que la mayor confianza también está ligada a “los acercamientos con el gobierno de los Estados Unidos de América”, pues los analistas esperan que ello “logre beneficios para Honduras en términos de política arancelaria y migratoria”. Así, el repunte del ICAE en febrero de 2026 representa no solo un reflejo del entorno actual, sino también de las apuestas a futuro en política económica e integración internacional del país.
Cabe recordar que la opinión de los analistas consultados por la EEAM refleja exclusivamente el consenso de expertos del sector privado, financiero y académico del país. Sin embargo, la solidez de la mejora registrada en el índice constituye una señal relevante para inversionistas, empresarios y tomadores de decisiones sobre la ruta hacia la consolidación económica de Honduras para los próximos años.
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The suspect authorities say killed an ROTC instructor at Old Dominion University had previously been convicted of providing material support to ISIS but received a shorter prison sentence than federal prosecutors sought before his release in 2024, according to court records.
Mohamed Jalloh, a naturalized U.S. citizen originally from Sierra Leone, entered a classroom Thursday at the Norfolk school and opened fire after confirming it was an ROTC class, killing Lt. Col. Brandon Shah, authorities said. The FBI’s Norfolk Field Office said ROTC cadets physically subdued Jalloh and stopped the attack, adding that their actions «rendered [him] no longer alive.»
«The horrific tragedy that occurred today on ODU’s campus never should have happened,» Rep. Jennifer Kiggans, R-Va., said following the attack.
Court records show Jalloh was arrested in 2016 for providing material support to ISIS.
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Mohamed Bailor Jalloh was identified by authorities as the shooter at Old Dominion University on Thursday, March 12, 2026. (AP Photo)
Federal prosecutors sought a 20-year prison sentence, but Senior U.S. District Judge Liam O’Grady ultimately sentenced him to 132 months — roughly 11 years.
According to prosecutors, a now-deceased ISIS member overseas arranged contact between Jalloh and an individual he believed to be a fellow supporter but who was actually an FBI confidential human source. Investigators said Jalloh also traveled to Nigeria in connection with the plot.
The overseas terrorist wanted an attack carried out, while Jalloh told the FBI source he decided not to renew his enlistment with the Virginia Army National Guard after listening to lectures from Al Qaeda terrorist Anwar al-Awlaki — a New Mexico native against whom President Barack Obama ordered a fatal drone strike in 2011.
«The defendant was fully aware of what he was doing, and the consequences of those actions. His only misgivings seemed to be a fear that he would waver at the critical moment,» prosecutors wrote in a sentencing memorandum obtained by the Associated Press.
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O’Grady later handed down an 11-year sentence that included mental health treatment and substance abuse testing, according to the wire service, and Jalloh was ultimately released in 2024.
Jalloh’s release also required no contact with any terrorist organizations and computer monitoring during probation.
«Jalloh was sentenced in 2017 to 132 months in prison for providing material support to ISIS. The [government] had asked for a sentence of 240 months, the statutory maximum,» former federal prosecutor William Shipley wrote on X.
«The Judge who imposed the reduced sentence was Senior Judge Liam O’Grady, in the Eastern District of Virginia, a GWB appointee. Judge O’Grady announced he was taking Senior Status in June 2020 — right in the heart of the start of COVID, meaning there was no chance that Pres[ident] Trump would be able to get his replacement confirmed.»
«Joe Biden ended up nominating his replacement — Judge Patricia Giles.» Giles, he said, controversially ruled in 2024 that Virginia had illegally purged noncitizens from the voter rolls too close to that year’s election and ordered their restoration.
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Asked whether the spate of recent attacks shows a resurgence of ISIS threats to the homeland or if previously lax immigration policies have played a role, a spokesperson for National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent pointed to recent comments he made after the Iran mission began:
«As the Iran conflict continues to unfold, ODNI’s National Counterterrorism Center is engaged and operating at full capacity, 24/7. We are tracking developments in real time, assessing any potential risks to the homeland, identifying emerging threats, and providing timely, actionable intelligence to the White House, law enforcement, and interagency partners to detect and prevent attacks against the American people,» Kent said.
Old Dominion University campus in Norfolk, Virginia, features academic buildings and landscaped grounds as a public research university serving southeastern Virginia and beyond. (John Greim/LightRocket)
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Kent said counterterrorism officials are «acutely aware» and focused on eliminating «persistent» threats posed by thousands of people with terror ties who «poured into our nation unchecked during four years of open borders under Biden.»
«Constant vigilance is a must. Stay aware of your surroundings, and if you see something suspicious, report it immediately to local law enforcement. Every one of us has a role to play in keeping this nation secure,» Kent said.
A DOJ spokesperson told Fox News Digital there are «no known or credible threats to the homeland» at this time and that federal agents are «maintaining a constant state of vigilance to keep Americans safe.»
Fox News Digital reached out to ODNI, the FBI and O’Grady for comment.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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