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Leaked Iran report finds record public anger as regime focuses on holding power
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A confidential report prepared for Iran’s presidency is raising a consequential question for Washington and its allies: Do extraordinary levels of public anger and support for systemic change justify reassessing whether the Islamic Republic may be more vulnerable to regime change than previously believed?
The classified document, titled «What Iran Wants,» reportedly found that only 9% of respondents supported maintaining the status quo, with 53% calling for fundamental or structural reforms and more than 19% favoring changing the political system outright.
Taken together, nearly three-quarters of those surveyed reportedly supported either deep structural reform or replacement of the existing system — findings that could strengthen arguments that Iran’s political crisis has moved beyond dissatisfaction with individual leaders or policies.
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Protesters march in downtown Tehran, Iran, Monday, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP)
IranWire reported on July 13 that it had obtained the document, which was compiled by Ali Rabiei, President Masoud Pezeshkian’s social adviser and a former government spokesman. It was based on polling conducted by the Ara Opinion Research Center in May 2026 and circulated among institutions within Iran’s governing structure in June, according to the outlet.
Miad Maleki, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital that the report should prompt a fresh assessment of the potential for political upheaval inside Iran.
«If anything, this research understates the depth of Iranians’ rage,» Maleki said. «And that is what makes it remarkable: even a survey prepared for the regime’s own president, by its own pollsters, records anger levels above 63%, well beyond the highest rate Gallup has ever recorded anywhere in the world, alongside 81% struggling to put food on the table and a majority expressing hopelessness.»
Maleki cautioned that polling conducted under an authoritarian government cannot be treated as precise because respondents may fear the consequences of expressing opposition.
«In a police state where expressing the wrong opinion can cost you your job, your freedom, or your life, respondents self-censor, which means these findings are best read as a floor, not a ceiling,» he said.
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In this picture obtained from Iran’s ISNA news agency, Mojtaba Khamenei (C), son of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, walks along a street in Tehran on May 31, 2019. (Hamid FOROUTAN / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images)
The complete survey methodology was not included in the material obtained by IranWire. The report reportedly did not disclose how respondents were selected, who was questioned or whether the sample reflected Iran’s geographic and demographic makeup.
Its findings therefore cannot be independently verified or treated as definitive measurements of Iranian opinion. The report also cannot establish that dissatisfaction will translate into an organized movement capable of removing the government.
Still, its findings portray multiple pressures converging at once.
Approximately 64% of respondents reported persistent anger, up roughly 12% points from a previous government survey conducted in December 2025. Half reported hopelessness, approximately 48% reported sadness or depression and about 45% reported persistent fear or anxiety, according to IranWire.
Economic distress also appears central to the public anger.
More than 81% experienced severe or partial difficulty obtaining enough food, while 75% struggled to cover medical costs, IranWire reported. Fifty-four percent said their income did not cover current household expenses, and only 8% reported earning enough to save.
Respondents blamed domestic governance more frequently than international pressure. 46.9% cited government inefficiency as the cause of Iran’s economic problems, 26.3% blamed corruption and 20.7% cited foreign sanctions.
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Thousands gathered at Revolution Square in Tehran on May 30, 2026, to protest attacks by the US and Israel on Iran, carrying Iranian flags and posters of the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. (Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu)
That finding could be especially significant to the regime-change debate because it suggests many Iranians do not primarily blame outside powers for their deteriorating living conditions.
The document also points to a crisis of institutional confidence. Roughly 60% reportedly distrusted major government institutions, while 61.2% negatively assessed officials’ ability to solve Iran’s problems. Distrust of the government, parliament, judiciary and state television remained above 50%, IranWire reported.
The report’s recommendations, however, reportedly centered on managing dissatisfaction rather than addressing demands for systemic change.
Rabiei urged state institutions to better explain the impact of sanctions, moderate the rhetoric used by officials and religious platforms, present a more inclusive image through state television and avoid policies that place the government in direct confrontation with society.
Cars burn in a street during a protest over the collapse of the currency’s value in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8, 2026. (Stringer/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS)
IranWire’s follow-up analysis argued that the recommendations treated Iran’s crisis primarily as a communications and public-perception problem. The report offered few concrete proposals involving institutional accountability, political liberalization or fundamental economic reform, according to the outlet.
Maleki said the findings were consistent with the expanding scale of unrest, citing demonstrations that spread from more than 80 cities in 2017 to more than 200 cities across all 31 provinces this year, alongside what he described as a quadrupling of strikes.
«Iranians have moved from being skeptical of what another revolution might bring to concluding there is no alternative to one, because reform has proven impossible,» Maleki said.
Yet the report does not resolve one of the largest obstacles to regime change: The Islamic Republic has spent decades building institutions designed to monitor, deter and violently suppress organized opposition.
«This regime was born of revolution, by revolutionaries,» Maleki said. «Preventing and crushing the next one is the one thing they genuinely know how to do.»
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Buses that were burned during Iran’s protests, in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 21, 2026. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters)
He nevertheless argued that further unrest was inevitable.
«So the discontent will translate into renewed protest,» Maleki said. «The question is not if, but when, and whether anyone is prepared to stand with the Iranian people when it does.»
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INTERNACIONAL
Sismo de 7.4 sacude a Guatemala: Autoridades declaran alerta anaranjada por daños y descartan tsunami
Un potente sismo de magnitud 7.4 con epicentro en las costas de Chiapas, México, provocó fuertes sacudidas en Guatemala y El Salvador. (Infobae Centroamérica/Emerson Del Cid)
La mañana de este viernes, 17 de julio, la Costa del Pacífico y la región sur-occidente del territorio guatemalteco se vieron sacudidas por un potente movimiento telúrico.
De acuerdo con el reporte oficial de la Red Sismológica Nacional del Instituto Nacional de Sismología, Vulcanología, Meteorología e Hidrología (INSIVUMEH), el evento sísmico se registró inicialmente a las 08:48 horas.
Aunque en un principio los sistemas automatizados arrojaron una magnitud preliminar de 5.8 con un supuesto epicentro dentro de la soberanía nacional, los expertos de la Sección de Sismología procedieron a realizar la revisión manual de los datos.
Tras analizar el volumen completo de la información a disposición, el instituto actualizó los parámetros oficiales, confirmando que el sismo tuvo una magnitud definitiva de 7.4 y que su epicentro se localizó realmente en las costas del Pacífico, en territorio de México, muy cercano a la frontera con Guatemala.
A raíz de la considerable magnitud de este terremoto y de su ubicación marítima, el Centro de Alerta de Tsunamis del Pacífico emitió una notificación preliminar para la región centroamericana.
No obstante, las autoridades científicas del INSIVUMEH, en su boletín de seguimiento técnico, aclararon que la clasificación de la amenaza para las costas de Guatemala es estrictamente Baja.
Los expertos detallaron que, si bien se descarta por completo un fenómeno de tsunami devastador o destructivo para el país, la población costera debe comprender el comportamiento de la naturaleza.
Un tsunami consiste en una serie de olas sucesivas y, aunque en esta ocasión no se presentará una catástrofe, los modelos hidrológicos prevén fluctuaciones en el nivel de la marea que no superarán los 100 centímetros (1 metro) de altura, viniendo acompañadas de un incremento en la fuerza de las corrientes y del oleaje convencional.
Las estimaciones de arribo de la primera perturbación marina comenzaron a registrarse a partir de las 09:35 horas en el departamento de San Marcos, extendiéndose de manera paulatina hacia Suchitepéquez, Escuintla, Santa Rosa, Retalhuleu y el puerto de Champerico.
Como parte de las acciones inmediatas de respuesta ante el potente sismo de las 08:48 horas, las autoridades han declarado formalmente la alerta anaranjada institucional.
Esta medida busca agilizar la movilización de recursos y la coordinación interinstitucional, dado que ya se reportan daños materiales en distintas partes del país. De manera preliminar, el sistema de emergencia contabiliza hasta el momento un total de 20 emergencias registradas. La distribución geográfica de estos incidentes se concentra principalmente en el occidente y centro de la República:
- Siete emergencias en el departamento de Quetzaltenango
- Cinco en Sololá
- Tres en San Marcos
- teres en Guatemala
- Una en Totonicapán
- Una en Retalhuleu.
Ante este escenario, la recomendación principal hacia las comunidades costeras y el sector pesquero artesanal es mantener la prudencia y alejarse temporalmente de la línea de playa hasta nuevo aviso, con el fin de evitar percances por los cambios súbitos en la fuerza del mar. Mientras tanto, en el territorio mexicano, las réplicas del sismo principal no han cesado; los servicios geológicos del vecino país del norte ya contabilizan más de 30 réplicas en las zonas colindantes al epicentro original, manteniendo en alerta a los cuerpos de socorro de ambos lados de la frontera.
En seguimiento directo al sismo registrado esta mañana y con el firme objetivo de salvaguardar la vida de los estudiantes guatemaltecos, el Ministerio de Educación (Mineduc), liderado por sus autoridades centrales, ha tomado medidas drásticas de carácter preventivo.
A través de una disposición oficial de última hora, la cartera educativa anunció la suspensión total de las clases presenciales para este viernes 17 de julio de 2026.
Esta orden de restricción temporal aplica estrictamente para los departamentos de San Marcos, Quetzaltenango, Suchitepéquez y Retalhuleu, las regiones del país que percibieron el movimiento telúrico con mayor intensidad y donde se concentra el mayor riesgo de réplicas.
La autoridad ministerial enfatizó que la medida de suspensión posee un carácter integral, por lo que abarca de forma obligatoria a todos los centros educativos que operan en las jurisdicciones mencionadas. Esto incluye a los establecimientos del sector público, del sector privado, los institutos por cooperativa, las escuelas municipales y todos los programas del sistema de educación extraescolar.
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Democrat scrambles to meet Angel Mom after she blasts lawmakers to their faces for ignoring families’ pleas
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Senate Judiciary Committee ranking member Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., offered to promptly meet with an Angel Mom after she said during the second day of Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s confirmation hearing that she and other Angel Parents have been «completely ignored» in their push for immigration reform.
«Miss Bos, anxious to meet with you,» Durbin said. «I hope we can do it soon, maybe right after this.»
Jennifer Bos, whose daughter’s body was found in a bleach-filled container in a case in which an illegal immigrant was charged with concealing her death, appeared before the Senate Judiciary Committee in support of Blanche’s nomination, underscoring the Trump administration’s focus on violent crime and immigration enforcement.
Bos is among the Angel Families — relatives of people killed or harmed in crimes involving illegal immigrants — who have pushed lawmakers for stricter immigration enforcement.
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Jennifer Bos, mother of Megan Bos, dries her tears as she speaks during the second day of acting US Attorney General Todd Blanche’s Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing on his nomination to be attorney general, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on July 16, 2026. President Donald Trump’s pick to be the next US attorney general — his former personal defense lawyer Todd Blanche. (Ken Cedeno / AFP via Getty Images)
Durbin’s offer to meet with Bos, one of his constituents, came as Bos revealed during an exchange with Sen. Katie Britt, R-Ala., that it was very difficult for Angel Moms to meet with their lawmakers.
«This is the first time I’ve ever spoken with him,» Bos said. «I haven’t spoken with them. He spoke to me.»
«Well, I hope—and I’m sure that—I hope I heard the ranking member yesterday talked about the need for the attorney general to meet with victims, which I support,» Britt said in response. «And I certainly am hopeful that he will, and others, will meet with you.»
Bos went on to say that several pieces of legislation introduced last session have been ignored by Democratic officials.
Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) during a hearing to examine the abduction of Ukrainian children by the Russian Federation on Capitol Hill on Wednesday December 3, 2025 (Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
«And there hasn’t been any way to really get in and talk to anybody, especially those who are opposed to those legislations for whatever reason,» said Bos.
At the end of the hearing, Durbin addressed Bos for a second time, offering to meet with her immediately after the hearing ended.
«I didn’t know it was a hardship for you to make this journey here, testify, from Illinois,» Durbin continued in his remarks to Bos, offering to meet her. «And I don’t want you to have to wait to see me. I want to meet with you now, and we can talk as soon as this meeting adjourns, if it’s okay with you, if it fits in your schedule.»
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Megan Bos was allegedly found dead in Luis Mendoza-Gonzalez’ backyard in Illinois in April 2025. (Fox News)
Bos told senators during the second day of Blanche’s confirmation hearing about the «unbearable agony» her family endured after her daughter, Megan Bos, was found partially decomposed inside of a garbage can in April 2025, following a 51-day search. The Lake County Coroner’s Office ruled Bos’ cause of death «undetermined,» saying the autopsy could not determine how she died or whether her death was a homicide or drug-related.
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Jose Luis Mendoza-Gonzalez, an illegal immigrant from Mexico charged in the case, was initially released from local custody after an Illinois judge determined the state charges against him — including two counts of concealment of a death, abuse of a corpse and obstruction of justice — did not qualify for pretrial detention under state law.
ICE then arrested Mendoza-Gonzalez in Chicago in July 2025, after federal authorities said he was in the country illegally.
Bos praised Blanche for stepping in after local officials failed to secure justice.
Jennifer Bos said ICE’s VOICE office comforted her after her daughter’s alleged killer was temporarily let free under Illinois sanctuary law. (Fox News)
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«I’m asking the committee not to wait until another mother is sitting where I am,» Bos said during her opening remarks. «Confirm Todd Blanche. He is a leader who will uphold the law, honor victims, confront dangerous criminal organizations, and fight to give other American families the safety and lasting protection that came too late for mine.»
Mendoza-Gonzalez remains in federal immigration custody after being arrested by ICE in July 2025.
He was arrested on charges related to his immigration status.
He also faces state charges stemming from Bos’ death.
Fox News Digital reached out to Durbin’s office for comment.
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Un fuerte sismo azotó el viernes la costa del Pacífico Sur mexicano justo en la frontera con Guatemala y fue sentido desde Ciudad de México hasta El Salvador, aunque en la capital mexicana no hizo sonar el alerta sísmica.
El Centro de Alerta de Tsunamis de Estados Unidos emitió dos alertas de tsunami para México y Guatemala.
Según el Servicio Geológico de Estados Unidos (USGS, por sus siglas en inglés), el terremoto tuvo una magnitud de 7,3 con epicentro cerca de la costa de Chiapas y a 15 kilómetros de profundidad.
Las autoridades no han informado de daños de manera inmediata.
Guatemala earthquake and tsunami threat LATEST
A magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck the coast of Chiapas state in southern Mexico, near the border with Guatemala.
A tsunami warning was issued in the area. Eyewitnesses told Reuters news agency that in Guatemala ‘buildings shook.’… pic.twitter.com/6JVBs1CfTJ
— Abhijit Pathak (@aajtakabhijit) July 17, 2026
El terremoto tuvo lugar a las 11:48, hora argentina, según notificó el Servicio Sismológico Nacional.
Minutos después, se registró una réplica perceptible para la población, lo que prolongó la incertidumbre y llevó a muchas personas a permanecer fuera de sus viviendas, en amplias zonas de Chiapas.
La Secretaría de Protección Civil de Chiapas explicó, en su cuenta de X, que se encuentra «activa» y en «constante monitoreo» sobre la situación en las distintas regiones del estado, sin ofrecer por el momento más detalles.
En la localidad mexicana de Suchiate, junto al río que separa México de Guatemala, se realizaban monitoreos en las zonas costeras por peligro de tsunami, confirmó su alcalde Elmer Vázquez Gallardo.
En Tapachula, la principal ciudad de la frontera sur mexicana, el temblor empezó leve pero se fue intensificando.
“Estábamos arriba en el segundo piso cuando empezó a temblar, pensamos que iba pasar pero de ahí se sintió más fuerte y bajamos todos, evacuamos ordenados al patio frontal”, dijo a The Associated Press Alejandra Mendoza, una empleada administrativa de un hospital público de la ciudad.
En la capital mexicana, donde edificios de ciertas zonas crujieron y cimbraron, no sonó el alerta sísmica porque, según explicó el gobierno, “la energía radiada por el sismo durante los primeros segundos no superó los niveles de activación”.
Entre las recomendaciones difundidas por las autoridades destacan la revisión de instalaciones de gas y energía eléctrica, mantenerse alejados de estructuras que pudieran representar un riesgo y reportar cualquier incidente al número de emergencias 911.
Uno de los aspectos que generó inquietud entre habitantes de San Cristóbal de Las Casas fue la ausencia de una alerta sísmica audible, por lo que muchas personas reaccionaron únicamente al percibir el movimiento telúrico.
México se encuentra en una de las regiones sísmicas más activas del mundo debido a la interacción de las placas tectónicas de Cocos, Norteamérica, Rivera, Pacífico y Caribe. Los estados del sur y la costa del Pacífico, como Chiapas, Oaxaca y Guerrero, registran con frecuencia movimientos telúricos de intensidad considerable.
El sismo ocurre además en una zona históricamente vulnerable a este tipo de fenómenos. En septiembre de 2017, un terremoto de magnitud 8,2 con epicentro frente a las costas de Chiapas dejó decenas de muertos y severos daños en el sur del país, siendo uno de los más fuertes registrados en la historia reciente de México.
En la Ciudad de Guatemala, el terremoto sacudió los edificios y provocó que algunos residentes salieran corriendo de sus casas a la calle. Medios locales de Guatemala mostraron imágenes del personal evacuando un edificio gubernamental mientras se activaban los protocolos de seguridad.
El temblor también se sintió en El Salvador, según informó la agencias Reuters.
En el estado sureño mexicano de Oaxaca, el gobernador Salomón Jara dijo en las redes sociales que el terremoto se sintió con intensidad moderada en la capital del estado, pero no se reportaron daños graves de inmediato.
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