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Fox News Poll: Unhappy with NYC’s direction, voters favor Mamdani for mayor by a wide margin

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New York City voters across all demographic groups are dissatisfied with the direction of the city, and most are looking for significant change in the city’s government. That sentiment has propelled Democrat Zohran Mamdani to the lead in the mayoral race despite concerns that his proposed tax increases may chase people out of the city.

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A new Fox News survey of New York City registered voters finds Mamdani, the Democratic Party’s nominee and self-proclaimed Democratic Socialist, leading the race by 18 percentage points with 45% support. 

Former New York governor and independent candidate Andrew Cuomo comes in second with 27%, Republican Party nominee Curtis Sliwa gets 11% and current mayor and independent candidate Eric Adams garners 8%. Among likely voters, the race looks largely the same: 47% Mamdani, 29% Cuomo, 11% Sliwa and 7% Adams.

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The analysis below focuses on preferences and opinions among registered voters.

Some of Mamdani’s best groups include very liberal voters (79%), those under age 35 (61%), women under 45 (60%), Democrats (57%), and Black and Hispanic voters (49% each).

Cuomo receives strong support from Jewish voters (40%), White voters ages 45+ (37%), voters ages 65 and higher (33%) and moderates (31%).

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Republicans prefer Sliwa (41%), while five times as many back Cuomo (32%) as Mamdani (6%). Independents are split: 26% Mamdani, 23% Cuomo and 14% each to Adams and Sliwa.

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The Big Apple has problems: 62% are dissatisfied with the direction it’s headed, with at least six in 10 Democrats (61%), Republicans (70%) and independents (59%) saying they are unhappy. 

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That frustration results in three-quarters of voters wanting either substantial (37%), dramatic (20%) or revolutionary change (18%) in how the city’s government is run. Mamdani has a significant lead among both those wanting at least substantial change and those dissatisfied with the city’s trajectory. His advantage is so considerable he also holds an edge with voters satisfied with how things are going.

Mamdani supporters are more enthusiastic about voting this year (63%) and more certain they will back him (83%) compared to the other candidates. Plus, most describe their support as for him (86%) rather than against his opponents (12%). 

For Cuomo, 32% of his backers are enthusiastic, 65% are certain and 59% say their vote is for him rather than against his opponents (39%).

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Voters say the top three problems facing New York City are crime (25%), followed by the cost of living (20%) and the lack of affordable housing (17%). 

Crime is the No. 1 concern for Republicans (50%) and independents (29%) while for Democrats it’s divided across costs (23%), crime (19%) and housing (19%).

Cuomo is narrowly favored (+12 points) among those who prioritize crime, while Mamdani has wide advantages among those citing the cost of living (+40) and housing (+41).

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Concerns about the high cost of living, the need for better city services and a heavy tax burden produce nuanced policy opinions. For example, seven in 10 New York City voters think raising taxes will cause a mass exodus of businesses and people that will leave the city more cash strapped. At the same time, another seven in 10 favor raising taxes on residents with an annual income greater than $1 million. There is widespread agreement on both questions among Democrats, Republicans and independents. 

There’s a reason Mamdani is campaigning with Bernie Sanders. New Yorkers like the Independent senator from Vermont. Sanders is the most popular individual tested on the survey (61% favorable opinion), followed by New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (53%), Mamdani (50%) and Cuomo (45%). Adams (29%), Sliwa (28%) and President Donald Trump (24%) are viewed positively by around one-quarter of voters.

When voters are asked to say in their own words why they like or dislike the candidates, the top positives for Mamdani are liking his policies generally, feeling he cares, change/having new ideas and his focus on affordability. The main reasons given for disliking him are he’s a communist/socialist, his position on Israel, not liking his policies, lack of experience and unrealistic policies.

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Are Mamdani’s left-leaning economic policies a potential Achilles heel? Probably not. In a city where more than twice as many voters are registered as Democrats than Republicans, capitalism is viewed more favorably than socialism by just seven points (48% vs. 41%).

Experience is the top reason voters like Cuomo, while sexual harassment allegations are the main reason he is disliked. For Adams, voters also give him the thumbs-up for experience, whereas his detractors mainly focus on allegations of corruption. For Sliwa, his main positive trait is that he’s tough on crime (a top issue for voters), but his main negative is that voters don’t think he is a serious candidate.

«Mamdani is the change candidate in a change election,» says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps run the Fox News Poll along with Democrat Chris Anderson. «And, like many voters for change candidates, his supporters are enthusiastic.»

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Immigration and the Middle East

Only 3% mention illegal immigration as the city’s No. 1 problem, and when it comes to policy options, most (67%) favor only deporting those charged with crimes but allowing others to stay in the U.S. and apply for citizenship.

On the Middle East, more voters back the Palestinians (46%) than the Israelis (38%). That’s the opposite of results nationally. In line with Mamdani’s criticism of Israel and Cuomo’s support, those backing Mamdani side with the Palestinians by a 49-point margin, while those favoring Cuomo side with the Israelis by 16 points. More Jewish voters prefer Cuomo (40%) than Mamdani (27%) or Adams (12%). 

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One more thing…

Twice as many NYC voters say the way Republicans talk about politics is leading to an increase in violence (68%) than feel the same about Democrats (32%). Democrats and Republicans are equally likely to think their counterparts’ words lead to violence, while independents are more likely to cite Republican rhetoric as dangerous.

CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE

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Conducted September 18-22, 2025 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,003 New York City registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (150) and cellphones (598) or completed the survey online by following a link received via text message (255). Results based on the registered voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. There was a subsample of 814 likely voters and the margin of sampling error was ±3.5 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Likely voters are identified based on past vote history and self-reported likelihood of voting.

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Fighter jet crashes at Dubai Air Show, pilot dead

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An Indian fighter jet crashed Friday at the Dubai Air Show in the United Arab Emirates, killing the pilot onboard, officials said. 

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Videos circulating on social media showed the IAF Tejas aircraft bursting into flames as it struck the ground, drawing gasps from crowds gathered at the event. 

«The pilot sustained fatal injuries in the accident,» the Indian Air Force wrote on X, noting that an investigation is underway to determine the cause of the crash. «IAF deeply regrets the loss of life and stands firmly with the bereaved family in this time of grief.» 

«A Tejas fighter aircraft from India participating in today’s flying display at the Dubai Airshow has crashed, resulting in the tragic death of the pilot,» added the Dubai Media Office. «Firefighting and emergency teams responded rapidly to the incident and are currently managing the situation on-site.»

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US NAVY SEA HAWK HELICOPTER, F/A-18F SUPER HORNET FIGHTER JET GO DOWN IN SEPARATE SOUTH CHINA SEA INCIDENTS 

Emergency services attend the scene after an Indian Tejas fighter jet crashed during a demonstration at the Dubai Air Show, at Al Maktoum International Airport in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on Friday, Nov. 21, 2025.  (Dubai Media Office via AP)

An SUV bearing diplomatic plates flying the Indian flag was seen at the crash site, along with police and emergency personnel. 

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The air show later resumed flight demonstrations, with the Russian Knights aerobatics team flying overhead as emergency crews still worked the crash site, the Associated Press reported. 

Tejas is India’s indigenous fighter aircraft, built by state-run Hindustan Aeronautics Limited.

SKIES AT STAKE: INSIDE THE U.S.–CHINA RACE FOR AIR DOMINANCE 

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Crowd watches smoke rise into the air following crash at Dubai Air Show

Smoke billows following a crash of an Indian Tejas fighter jet, after it lost altitude and crashed during an aerial display at the Dubai Air Show in this screengrab obtained from an eyewitness video.  (Jignesh Variya/Reuters)

The lightweight, single-engine jet is expected to bolster India’s depleted fighter fleet as China expands its military presence in South Asia, including by strengthening defense ties with India’s rival Pakistan, according to the AP. 

In September, India’s Defense Ministry signed a contract with Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, or HAL, to procure 97 Tejas jets for the air force. Deliveries are expected to begin in 2027.

Indian fighter jet flies during Dubai air show

The Indian fighter jet is seen flying during a demonstration moments before crashing at the Dubai Air Show on Friday, Nov. 21, 2025.  (Jon Gambrell/AP)

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A Tejas fighter jet crashed in the western Indian state of Rajasthan last year, but the pilot ejected safely in that incident. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

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Uno por uno, los 28 puntos del polémico plan de Donald Trump para Ucrania

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El plan presentado por Estados Unidos a Ucrania para terminar la guerra que lanzó Rusia en febrero de 2022 contempla, entre otras, la cesión de las regiones orientales de Donetsk y Lugansk a Moscú o la reincorporación de Rusia al G8, del que fue expulsada en 2014.


Según la portavoz de la Casa Blanca, Karoline Leavitt, el emisario diplomático Steve Witkoff y el secretario de Estado estadounidense Marco Rubio trabajaron «discretamente» en ese plan durante un mes aproximadamente.

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El presidente ucraniano, Volodimir Zelenski, rechazó el plan y aseguró que no «traicionará» a su país.

«Ucrania podría enfrentarse a una elección muy difícil: la pérdida de dignidad o el riesgo de perder a un socio clave», Estados Unidos, declaró en un mensaje a la nación. «Estamos atravesando uno de los momentos más difíciles de nuestra historia», añadió.


Estos son los 28 puntos del plan, según el borrador consultado y traducido por la AFP:

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1. Se confirmará la soberanía de Ucrania.

2. Se concluirá un acuerdo global de no agresión entre Rusia, Ucrania y Europa. Se considerarán resueltas todas las ambigüedades de los últimos 30 años.

Un edificio destruido por un ataque aéreo de Rusia, en la ciudad de Ternopil, en el oeste de Ucrania, este viernes. Foto: EFE

3. Se espera que Rusia no invada países vecinos y que la OTAN no se expanda más.

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4. Se mantendrá un diálogo entre Rusia y la Alianza Atlántica, con la mediación de Estados Unidos, para resolver todos los temas de seguridad y crear las condiciones para una desescalada.


5. Ucrania recibirá garantías de seguridad fiables.


6. El tamaño de las fuerzas armadas ucranianas se limitará a 600.000 efectivos.

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7. Kiev acepta recoger en su Constitución que no se unirá a la OTAN y la Alianza Atlántica acepta incluir en sus estatutos una cláusula de que Ucrania no será admitida en el futuro.


8. La OTAN acepta no posicionar tropas en Ucrania.


9. Los aviones de combate europeos quedarán estacionados en Polonia.

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10. Estados Unidos recibirá una compensación por las garantías de seguridad. Si Ucrania invade Rusia, perderá la garantía. Si Rusia invade Ucrania, además de una respuesta militar coordinada y firme, se reinstaurarán todas las sanciones globales, se revocarán el reconocimiento de los nuevos territorios y todos los demás beneficios de este acuerdo. Si Ucrania lanza un misil contra Moscú o San Petersburgo sin razón alguna, la garantía de seguridad se considerará inválida.

Soldados ucranianos disparan contra posiciones de Rusia cerca de la ciudad de Pokrovsk, en la región de Donetsk, Ucrania. Foto: REUTERS   Soldados ucranianos disparan contra posiciones de Rusia cerca de la ciudad de Pokrovsk, en la región de Donetsk, Ucrania. Foto: REUTERS

12. Un potente paquete global de medidas para reconstruir Ucrania, incluyendo la creación de un Fondo de Desarrollo de Ucrania, la reconstrucción de las infraestructuras gasísticas de Ucrania, la rehabilitación de áreas dañadas por la guerra, el desarrollo de una nueva infraestructura y la reanudación de la extracción de recursos minerales y naturales, todo con paquete especial de financiación elaborado por el Banco Mundial.

13. Rusia volverá a formar parte de la economía global, con conversaciones sobre un levantamiento de sanciones, la reintegración en el grupo G8 y la firma de un acuerdo de cooperación económica a largo plazo con Estados Unidos.

14. Se invertirán 100.000 millones de dólares en activos congelados rusos en iniciativas lideradas por Estados Unidos para reconstruir e invertir en Ucrania. Washington recibirá el 50% de los beneficios de esta operación. Europa añadirá 100.000 millones de dólares para incrementar el monto de la inversión disponible para la reconstrucción de Ucrania. Se descongelarán los fondos europeos congelados y el remanente de los fondos rusos congelados se invertirá en otro vehículo de inversión ruso-estadounidense.

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Amanecer bajo la niebla en Kiev, en medio de un bombardeo de Rusia. Foto: REUTERS  Amanecer bajo la niebla en Kiev, en medio de un bombardeo de Rusia. Foto: REUTERS

15. Se establecerá un grupo de trabajo conjunto ruso-estadounidense sobre temas de seguridad, para promocionar y garantizar el cumplimiento de todas las cláusulas de este acuerdo.

16. Rusia recogerá en su legislación su política de no agresión hacia Europa y Ucrania.


17. Estados Unidos y Rusia acordarán extender la validez de los tratados sobre no proliferación y control de armas nucleares, incluyendo el Tratado START I.


18. Ucrania acepta ser un Estado no nuclear de acuerdo con el Tratado de No Proliferación de Armas Nucleares.

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19. La central nuclear de Zaporiyia se reactivará bajo la supervisión de la Agencia Internacional de la Energía Atómica (AIEA), y la electricidad producida se distribuirá de forma equitativa entre Rusia y Ucrania.


20. Ambos países se comprometen a implementar programas educativos en las escuelas y la sociedad destinados a promover el entendimiento y la tolerancia.

21. Crimea, Lugansk y Donetsk serán reconocidos de facto como rusos, incluso por Estados Unidos. Jersón y Zaporiyia quedarán congelados en la línea de contacto, lo que comporta un reconocimiento de facto de esa línea de contacto. Rusia renunciará a otros territorios acordados que controla fuera de las cinco regiones. Las fuerzas ucranianas se retirarán de la parte del óblast de Donetsk que controlan actualmente, que será usada después para crear una zona de amortiguamiento.

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22. Tras ponerse de acuerdo sobre futuras disposiciones territoriales, tanto la Federación de Rusia como Ucrania se comprometen a no cambiar esas disposiciones por la fuerza. Ninguna garantía de seguridad será aplicable si se rompe ese compromiso.


23. Rusia no evitará que Ucrania se sirva del río Dniéper para sus actividades comerciales y se alcanzarán acuerdos sobre el libre transporte de grano en el mar Negro.


24. Se establecerá un comité humanitario para resolver sobre intercambios de prisioneros, la devolución de restos mortales, rehenes y civiles detenidos, y se instaurará un programa de reunificación familiar.

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25. Ucrania celebrará elecciones dentro de 100 días.

26. Todas las partes involucradas en este conflicto recibirán una amnistía completa por sus acciones durante la guerra y aceptan no hacer ninguna reclamación o considerar ninguna queja en el futuro.


27. Este acuerdo será legalmente vinculante. El Consejo de Paz, dirigido por el presidente estadounidense Donald Trump, se encargará de supervisar su implementación. Se impondrán sanciones si se viola.

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28. En cuanto todas las partes hayan aceptado este memorando, el alto al fuego entrará en vigor inmediatamente después de que ambas partes se hayan retirado a los puntos acordados para empezar a implementar el acuerdo.

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Minnesota taxpayer dollars funneled to Al-Shabaab terror group, report alleges

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A new investigation found that Minnesota taxpayer dollars were going far beyond the North Star State’s borders and ending up in the hands of Al-Shabaab, an al Qaeda-linked terror group.

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Ryan Thorpe and Christopher F. Rufo of the Manhattan Institute uncovered a web of fraud involving Minnesota’s Medicaid Housing Stabilization Services program, Feeding Our Future and other organizations in a bombshell report. Thorpe and Rufo noted that, in many cases, members of Minnesota’s Somali community were perpetrators of fraud. They added that federal counterterrorism sources confirmed that millions of dollars in stolen funds were sent back to Somalia, which is how Al-Shabaab got the cash.

Thorpe and Rufo sought to answer a bigger question when looking into the schemes: «Where did the money go?» 

As it turned out, the Somali fraud rings sent money transfers from Minnesota to Somalia and, according to reports, approximately 40% of households in Somalia get remittances from abroad. Thorpe and Rufo state that in 2023, the Somali diaspora sent $1.7 billion to the country, which was higher than the Somali government’s budget that same year.

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FOOD-STAMP FRAUD NUMBERS EXPOSE WHICH STATES ARE DRAINING THE MOST TAXPAYER DOLLARS

Women walk along a tree-lined street in Minneapolis’ Cedar–Riverside neighborhood, home to one of the largest Somali communities in the U.S. (Michael Dorgan/Fox News Digital)

Thorpe and Rufo discovered that the funds were being funneled to Al-Shabaab, an al Qaeda-linked terror organization. Multiple law enforcement sources informed the duo that Minnesota’s Somali community sent millions of dollars through a network of money traders known as «hawalas» that wound up in the hands of the terror group.

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Glenn Kerns, a retired Seattle Police Department detective who spent 14 years on a federal Joint Terrorism Task Force, told Thorpe and Rufo that the Somalis ran a complex money network and were routing cash on commercial flights from the Seattle airport to the hawala networks in Somalia.

«We had sources going into the hawalas to send money. I went down to [Minnesota] and pulled all of their records and, well s—, all these Somalis sending out money are on DHS benefits,» Kerns told Thorpe and Rufo.

A confidential source told Thorpe and Rufo that «The largest funder of Al-Shabaab is the Minnesota taxpayer.»

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«Every scrap of economic activity, in the Twin Cities, in America, throughout Western Europe, anywhere Somalis are concentrated, every cent that is sent back to Somalia benefits Al-Shabaab in some way,» a former official who worked on the Minneapolis Joint Terrorism Task Force told Thorpe and Rufo.

The HSS program was launched with the goal of helping those in need, but it turned into a fraud scheme. The program was initially estimated to cost $2.6 million, but in its first year it paid out more than $21 million in claims, according to Thorpe and Rufo. The costs only grew from there with the program paying out $61 million in claims in the first six months of 2025. 

On Aug. 1, Minnesota’s Department of Human Services ended the program after finding that payment to 77 housing-stabilization providers were terminated over «credible allegations of fraud,» Thorpe and Rufo reported.

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Just over a month after the program was shut down, then-acting U.S. Attorney for the District of Minnesota Joe Thompson announced criminal indictments for HSS fraud against Moktar Hassan Aden, Mustafa Dayib Ali, Khalid Ahmed Dayib, Abdifitah Mohamud Mohamed, Christopher Adesoji Falade, Emmanuel Oluwademilade Falade, Asad Ahmed Adow and Anwar Ahmed Adow. A U.S. Attorney’s Office spokesperson told Thorpe and Rufo that all six are members of Minnesota’s Somali community.

Soldiers' feet shown next to a hole that is allegedly a terror group's hideout

Somali national army soldiers escort members of the press to hideouts used by the terrorist group al-Shabaab in the Sabiid-Aanole areas, Somalia on June 23, 2025. (Abuukar Mohamed Muhidin/Anadolu via Getty Images)

SOCIAL MEDIA ERUPTS AFTER FAR-LEFT MAYOR GIVES VICTORY SPEECH IN FOREIGN LANGUAGE: ‘HUMILIATING’

Thompson said at a September news conference that the issue went beyond overbilling, rather they often involve «purely fictitious companies solely created to defraud the system.» Furthermore, those perpetrating the scam often targeted vulnerable individuals, such as people recently released from rehab, and signed them up for services that they allegedly did not plan to provide.

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On Sept. 18, the same day the HSS indictments were announced, the U.S. Attorney’s Office announced a 56th defendant pleaded guilty in the Feeding Our Future fraud scheme. The number of defendants has only grown, with the U.S. Attorney’s Office announcing charges against a 77th defendant on Nov. 20.

Feeding Our Future received $3.4 million in federal funds disbursed by the state in 2019, but as COVID-19 hit, the organization rapidly expanded its number of sponsored sites, according to Thorpe and Rufo, who added that in 2021, Feeding Our Future received almost $200 million in funding.

«Using fake meal counts, doctored attendance records, and fabricated invoices, the perpetrators of the fraud ring claimed to be serving thousands of meals a day, seven days a week, to underprivileged children,» Thorpe and Rufo wrote in their report.

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The funds were not going to the needy; rather, the money was being used to pay for luxury vehicles and real estate in the U.S., Turkey and Kenya, among other things.

When officials became suspicious of the nonprofit in 2020, Feeding Our Futures filed a lawsuit alleging racial discrimination related to outstanding site applications. In the suit, the nonprofit notes that it «caters to» foreign nationals, according to Thorpe and Rufo. They also note that «several individuals» involved in the scheme donated to Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and that Omar’s deputy district director advocated for the group.

Somali Street sign with Riverside Plaza buildings behind it in Minneapolis

A street sign for «Somali St» is pictured with Riverside Plaza in the background in Minneapolis’ Cedar–Riverside neighborhood. (Michael Dorgan/Fox News Digital)

‘SQUAD’ DEM DISHES OUT CAMPAIGN CASH TO ANTI-ISRAEL NONPROFIT TIED TO ‘TERRORIST UNIVERSITY’

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A few days later, Thompson announced an indictment in another fraud scheme, this time involving autism services for children.

Asha Farhan Hassan, a member of Minnesota’s Somali community, who has also been charged in the Feeding Our Future scam, is accused of playing a role in a $14 million scheme against Minnesota’s Early Intensive Developmental and Behavioral Intervention program. According to Thorpe and Rufo, Hassan and her co-conspirators allegedly recruited children from the Somali community for autism therapy services. Prosecutors suggested that Hassan would facilitate fraudulent autism diagnoses for children who did not have one.

The U.S. Attorney’s Office said that Hassan would use monthly cash kickbacks to drive enrollment and that payments ranged from $300 to $1,500 per month, per child.

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«To be clear, this is not an isolated scheme. From Feeding Our Future to Housing Stabilization Services and now Autism Services, these massive fraud schemes form a web that has stolen billions of dollars in taxpayer money. Each case we bring exposes another strand of this network. The challenge is immense, but our work continues,» Thompson said in a statement.

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz speaks to reporters after a meeting with then-President Joe Biden at the White House on July 3, 2024, in Washington, D.C. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

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Minnesota State Rep. Kristin Robbins, who is running to unseat Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, shared Thorpe and Rufo’s report on X, writing, «Billions of our tax dollars have been stolen under [Tim Walz]. We need help from [Attorney General Pam Bondi, FBI Director Kash Patel] and our partners at [the U.S. Attorney’s Office] to find out if our state dollars are funding terrorism.»

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Walz’s office did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.

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