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The nine key races that will decide who controls the Senate, and where they stand
Democrats have expanded their once-narrow path to reclaiming the Senate majority with just over two weeks until Election Day, but they’ll need to win several competitive races to take control of the chamber.
If Democrats ride a massive blue wave in the midterm elections, they could end up with 52 or even 53 seats in the next Senate. But if Republicans out-perform the polls, they could hold their majority, which currently stands at 53-47.
Here’s a look at the current battlefield and both parties’ routes to securing a Senate majority in the midterms.
The latest Power Rankings point to Democrats and Republicans each taking 47 seats in the midterms, leaving six races rated as true toss-ups. Additionally, three races are rated as leaners — one step shy of a toss-up. These nine showdowns will likely determine whether the Democrats make a net gain of four seats to win control of the Senate or if the GOP holds the majority.
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«Nine races will determine control of the Senate, and on the polling alone, you could call any of them toss-ups,» said Remy Numa, a contributor who steers the network’s Power Rankings.
The GOP is fighting political history, as the party in power in Washington has traditionally lost seats during midterm election years. Republicans also face a challenging political climate fueled by persistent inflation Americans see at the grocery store, high gas prices tied to what polls show is an unpopular war with Iran and President Donald Trump’s increasingly negative approval ratings.
With Republicans controlling the seats in six of the nine competitive races in the Power Rankings, the GOP is playing more defense than the Democrats.
The six toss-up states are Alaska, where Sen. Dan Sullivan is seeking re-election against Democratic challenger and former Rep. Mary Peltola; Iowa, where Rep. Ashley Hinson is trying to keep retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s seat in GOP hands against Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek; and Maine, where longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins is running for re-election against former state Senate President Troy Jackson, the Democratic challenger.
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Also on the list is Ohio, where appointed GOP Sen. Jon Husted is running to serve the final two years of the term won in 2022 by now-Vice President JD Vance. He’s facing former longtime Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. And in Texas, state Attorney General Ken Paxton is battling Democratic state Rep. James Talarico in the race to succeed longtime GOP Sen. John Cornyn, who was ousted by Paxton in a bitter Republican primary.
Democrats are playing defense in Michigan, the sixth toss-up, where nominee Abdul El-Sayed is trying to keep party control of retiring Democratic Sen. Gary Peters’ seat, as he faces former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers.
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Democrats are also on defense in New Hampshire, where Rep. Chris Pappas is aiming to keep retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen’s seat blue against former GOP Sen. John E. Sununu. The Power Rankings rate the race «Lean Democrat.»
It’s a similar story in Minnesota, where Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is trying to keep retiring Sen. Tina Smith’s seat in party hands.
But the Power Rankings this past week shifted the race in the blue-leaning state toward the GOP, from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat, as Republican nominee Michele Tafoya appears to gain traction.
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Meanwhile, the GOP is on defense in red-leaning Kansas, where Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces a difficult re-election fight against Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton, a pastor. The Power Rankings rate the race Lean Republican.
Numa, pointing to Kansas, Minnesota and New Hampshire, said that «the voter profiles and histories of those states are keeping them at ‘Lean D’ and ‘Lean R’ on the forecast, but this map has expanded, and with the exception of the North Star State, mostly into red territory.»
Meanwhile, two states are now pretty much off the table for the GOP.
Georgia was a top Republican target when the 2026 cycle began, but Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a solid lead over GOP challenger Rep. Mike Collins in the southeastern battleground. Republican outside groups have cut their spending significantly in Georgia, and the Power Rankings rate the race as Likely Democrat.
In neighboring North Carolina, Republicans appear to have conceded the seat held by retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis. Republican groups have pulled the plug on spending on behalf of GOP nominee Mike Whatley, who trails former Gov. Roy Cooper, the Democratic nominee, in polling. The Power Rankings also rate this race as Likely Democrat.
The Democrats win the majority if they run the table by holding Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire, and flip North Carolina as well as at least three of the five GOP-controlled toss-up states.
«Senate Democrats are in the strongest position yet to win the majority – with multiple paths to flip GOP-held seats and growing momentum across the map,» Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee chair, touted in a recent statement.
Conversely, Republicans would keep control of the chamber by holding at least three of the toss-ups where they’re playing defense. A 50-50 Senate would remain in GOP hands, thanks to the tie-breaking vote of Vice President JD Vance.
Gillibrand’s counterpart, National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, remains optimistic.
«I think it’s going very well for us,» Scott said Thursday in an interview on «America Reports.» «The momentum, frankly, is with us, not against us.»
The GOP majority could be bolstered if the party goes on offense. While chances of Sununu flipping New Hampshire appear to be receding, Republicans are optimistic Rogers can top El-Sayed in Michigan. Trump is expected to hold a rally with Rogers in the Great Lakes battleground later this month.
Meanwhile, Scott has his eyes on a flip in Minnesota.
«Michele Tafoya is running a very independent campaign, lots of traction,» he told Fox News. «I think we close that gap. And if there’s an October surprise, Minnesota goes Republican.»
power rankings, midterm elections, politics, senate, republicans elections, elections, polls
Some Senate Republicans are open to revisiting immigration policy after President Donald Trump floated a possible deal with Democrats, but they insist amnesty remains off the table.
Republicans, after sweeping midterm losses, are willing to open up the immigration policy debate after voters made clear that they didn’t support the administration’s approach: a poll published in September found that 53% of voters believed that Trump’s immigration policy had gone too far.
But there’s one thing that Senate Republicans won’t agree to: amnesty.
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«I trust President Trump,» Sen. Jim Banks, R-Ind., told Digital. «He’s gonna do what’s right, but as far as I’m concerned, amnesty is off the table. I’ll never go for it.»
The door creaked open on the idea when Trump, during an interview with «60 Minutes» that aired over the weekend, said that his administration’s mass deportation and enforcement policies might be «too tough.»
«Get the killers out, get the rapists out, get all the rough ones out, get the drug dealers out,» Trump said. «But let the people that are here — and in some cases here for 10 and 15 years — work a deal for them.»
The administration quickly sought to clarify Trump’s comments, with Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin affirming that there would be «no amnesty» shortly after.
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Still, Republicans are willing to navigate the complex issue as Democrats gear up to take power next year. Some have been calling for action on the matter for months.
Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., one of the administration’s sharper Republican critics on immigration policy who is retiring at the end of the year, told Digital that as early as March he texted Trump and suggested it would be the «perfect time» to codify «all the stuff that has effectively sealed the border and used it as an opportunity to get merit-based immigration reform.»
«I also said in that text, though, was, in order for this to be successful, Stephen Miller either needs to be out of the room or on his meds,» Tillis said. «And so he’s the reason they’re walking it back is because they don’t want to do it, because they have some false assumption that that’s gonna hurt our base.»
«Our base is fine with merit-based immigration reform. President Trump is fine with merit-based immigration reform,» he continued. «And if we don’t get the stuff codified that has effectively sealed the border, it’s gonna be on them when the border gets opened up if a Democrat wins in ‘28.»
The Senate, just before Trump won the 2024 election, was on the cusp of a bipartisan immigration deal when Democrats controlled the chamber. The deal collapsed after Trump criticized it and Senate Republicans withdrew support.
«There’s a lot of scar tissue on this issue, but, you know, the president, because he secured the borders, he has credibility on the issue, and he has expressed a willingness,» Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said. «I have not seen anything yet that’s being proposed, but we will certainly hear them out, and if there’s something he wants to do there, have a conversation about it.»
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The bipartisan deal was the product of negotiations among Sens. James Lankford, R-Okla., Chris Murphy, D-Conn., and former Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, and would have funneled billions for border security and shuttered the border to most asylum seekers, among several other policy changes. But conservatives balked at the deal, and Trump’s influence from the campaign trail ultimately killed it.
Years later, Lankford is again in a prime position to work on a deal with Democrats, given that he is expected to become the ranking Republican on the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee next year.
«If I’m ranking on Homeland Security, I’m right in the thick of it, whether you like it or not,» Lankford said.
Though opinions vary on what exactly the GOP’s approach would be going forward, many Republicans agree that the administration’s enforcement policies, particularly under former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, should not make a comeback.
«I think you have to make sure, first and foremost, that how you do your enforcement is not like the administration started under Kristi Noem,» Sen. Ted Budd, R-N.C., told Digital.
«I think people are for some enforcement, but not in a cruel way. And there were so many, there was a lack of training, lack of proper methodologies, and I think people want to take enforcement seriously.»
«But, again, I would say no amnesty at all,» he continued. «We don’t want to go there. Ronald Reagan, a great president, one of his few regrets, but significant regrets, was amnesty. And I don’t think Trump wants to make that mistake.»
politics, donald trump, immigration, amnesty, senate
El hormigueo en las manos puede aparecer después de dormir sobre un brazo, mantener la muñeca doblada o sostener una misma postura durante varios minutos. En muchos casos, la sensación desaparece al cambiar de posición. Pero si se repite con frecuencia, despierta durante la noche o se acompaña de dolor, debilidad o pérdida de sensibilidad, puede estar relacionado con una alteración de los nervios o de la circulación y requiere una evaluación médica.
La sensación de “pinchazos”, cosquilleo o manos dormidas se conoce como parestesia. Puede afectar unos pocos dedos, una mano completa o extenderse hacia el antebrazo. Para identificar una posible causa, los profesionales consideran la duración de los episodios, la zona afectada, las actividades que los desencadenan y otros síntomas asociados.
Por qué sentimos hormigueo en las manos
Las manos cuentan con una red de nervios que envía al cerebro información sobre el tacto, la temperatura y el dolor. También intervienen en el movimiento de los dedos y la fuerza de agarre. Cuando uno de esos nervios queda sometido a presión, se irrita o sufre una lesión, la transmisión de señales se altera y puede aparecer entumecimiento, hormigueo o ardor.
La compresión no siempre ocurre en la mano. Una lesión en el cuello, la presión sobre nervios que salen de la columna o problemas a lo largo del brazo pueden producir síntomas en los dedos. También puede influir una reducción temporal del flujo sanguíneo. La enciclopedia médica de MedlinePlus señala que las alteraciones de nervios y circulación figuran entre las causas posibles de esta sensación.
El cuadro puede incluir ardor, dolor punzante, torpeza al manipular objetos o debilidad muscular. Si se dañan nervios periféricos, los síntomas pueden comenzar de modo gradual y avanzar desde las manos hacia los brazos; en otros casos, la molestia se concentra en una zona precisa. Por eso, la ubicación de la parestesia aporta datos relevantes para el diagnóstico.
Posibles causas del hormigueo en las manos
Una de las causas más frecuentes es el síndrome del túnel carpiano, que se produce cuando el nervio mediano se comprime al atravesar un conducto estrecho de la muñeca. Puede causar adormecimiento, dolor u hormigueo en el pulgar, el índice, el dedo medio y parte del anular. Las molestias suelen empeorar durante la noche o al mantener la muñeca flexionada.
Los movimientos repetitivos, el uso de herramientas que vibran, lesiones de muñeca y algunas enfermedades pueden favorecer esa compresión. No obstante, la relación entre el uso habitual de computadora y el túnel carpiano no está establecida de forma concluyente, según MedlinePlus. También existe el síndrome del túnel cubital, vinculado a la presión sobre el nervio cubital cerca del codo, que suele sentirse sobre todo en el meñique y el anular.
La neuropatía periférica es otro grupo de causas. Se produce cuando los nervios situados fuera del cerebro y la médula espinal sufren daño. La diabetes es una de las condiciones más asociadas, especialmente cuando la glucosa se mantiene elevada durante un tiempo prolongado. Mayo Clinic indica que más de la mitad de las personas con diabetes desarrollan algún tipo de neuropatía.
También deben considerarse la deficiencia de vitamina B12 y de otras vitaminas del grupo B, el consumo problemático de alcohol, las enfermedades de tiroides, trastornos renales o hepáticos, algunas infecciones y enfermedades autoinmunes. Ciertos medicamentos, entre ellos algunos tratamientos de quimioterapia, pueden dañar los nervios como efecto adverso. Una lesión, un traumatismo o la presencia de una estructura que comprima un nervio son otras posibilidades que el profesional puede valorar.
Los episodios vinculados al frío o al estrés, acompañados de dedos blancos o azulados y sensación de frío, pueden relacionarse con el fenómeno de Raynaud. En esta afección, los vasos sanguíneos se estrechan de forma exagerada y disminuye el flujo de sangre hacia los dedos. Al recuperarse la circulación, puede sentirse hormigueo, latido o enrojecimiento, de acuerdo con MedlinePlus.
Cuándo consultar al médico
Es conveniente solicitar una consulta si el hormigueo persiste, empeora, reaparece sin una causa evidente o se extiende a otras partes del cuerpo. También conviene hacerlo si afecta las dos manos, interrumpe el descanso, se vincula con movimientos repetitivos o se acompaña de dolor en el cuello, el antebrazo o los dedos.
La consulta permite valorar antecedentes médicos, hábitos laborales, lesiones previas y medicamentos en uso. De acuerdo con los síntomas, el profesional puede solicitar análisis de sangre para evaluar glucosa, función tiroidea o niveles de vitaminas, además de otros estudios que permitan identificar una compresión nerviosa u otra enfermedad de base.
Hay señales que exigen atención de urgencia. El adormecimiento de inicio repentino junto con debilidad o parálisis, dificultad para hablar, confusión, alteraciones visuales, pérdida de coordinación, mareos intensos o dolor de cabeza súbito e intenso debe motivar una consulta inmediata. Mayo Clinic advierte que estos síntomas pueden relacionarse con una afección neurológica aguda.
El tratamiento dependerá de la causa identificada. Por ese motivo, no es recomendable automedicarse, suspender fármacos ni consumir suplementos en dosis elevadas sin indicación profesional. Un diagnóstico temprano puede ayudar a tratar el origen del síntoma y a prevenir un daño nervioso persistente.
sistema nervioso periférico,anatomía de la mano,neurología
INTERNACIONAL
Iran’s shadow operations stretch across Europe as chilling spy convictions expose Tehran’s reach
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Two Iranian men were convicted in Britain on Thursday of spying on journalists and critics of Tehran, the latest case raising alarm over Iranian operations beyond the Middle East, as France accuses the IRGC of unprecedented cyberattacks and a senior UAE official warns of Iranian sleeper cells abroad.
The developments come as the Trump administration continues its campaign of economic pressure against Tehran while leaving the door open to diplomatic negotiations, raising questions about how Iran’s overseas intelligence networks and alleged covert activities might factor into any future agreement.
A jury at Woolwich Crown Court in London found Mostafa Sepahvand, 41, and Farhad Javadi Manesh, 46, guilty of engaging in conduct likely to assist a foreign intelligence service after prosecutors said they carried out surveillance of journalists and other individuals critical of the Iranian government, according to Reuters.
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EU designates Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization as Ursula von der Leyen pledges rapid implementation following a violent crackdown. (Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
The targets included journalists working for Iran International, a London-based Persian-language news outlet critical of Tehran, and a prominent figure associated with UK Lawyers for Israel.
According to prosecutors, the surveillance operation took place between August 2024 and March 2025 and involved visits to locations associated with the targets, photographs, videos and online research.
Sepahvand was also convicted of engaging in preparatory conduct with the intention of committing serious violence against a person in Britain, while Manesh was acquitted of that charge and a third defendant was cleared of all charges.
British authorities described the case as the first convictions of Iranian nationals under the National Security Act of 2023, warning that the verdicts underscored an ongoing threat from Iranian intelligence operations. Iran has denied involvement.
Similar concerns have emerged in the United States. Just two days before the British verdicts, the U.S. Justice Department announced terrorism charges against three alleged Iranian-backed operatives accused of involvement in nearly 20 attacks and attempted attacks across Europe and the United States.
The three men allegedly supported Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Kata’ib Hezbollah, targeting Jewish communities and plotting an attack on RAF Fairford, a British air base housing American military personnel, according to the Nov. 10 indictment. Prosecutors allege that one defendant, Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood al-Saadi, continued coordinating terrorist activities through coded messages while imprisoned in New York. The network was also allegedly involved in planning an attack on a Manhattan synagogue.
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Mohammad Ali Al-Hassani, left, and Mohsen Mohajeri appear in an April 2026 video that prosecutors say shows them planning terrorist attacks. (Department of Justice)
In France, authorities on Monday accused Iran’s IRGC of orchestrating a major cyberattack against the country’s food supply infrastructure.
According to a Nov. 9 report by France’s Cyber Crisis Coordination Centre, Iranian-linked hackers targeted refrigeration controllers at approximately 700 retail locations across France on Oct. 11 and 12.
Investigators said the attackers remotely altered defrost settings, causing refrigeration equipment to reach abnormally high temperatures, spoiling significant quantities of food and triggering at least 15 reported fire outbreaks.
The operation affected major supermarket chains, including Carrefour, Leclerc and Intermarché, as well as other businesses in the food industry.
French investigators attributed the operation to Shahid Kaveh, a cyber-offensive unit operating under the IRGC’s electronic and cyber command.
French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot described the attack as unprecedented in its scale and aggression, while authorities announced plans to pursue European sanctions against those responsible.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry rejected what it described as baseless and malicious allegations in a statement issued Tuesday strongly condemning the «persistent practice» of directing accusations toward Tehran.
‘KEEP A LOW PROFILE’: STATE DEPARTMENT WARNS AMERICANS OVERSEAS THEY COULD BE TARGETED
A woman walks past empty fresh-food refrigerators at an Intermarché supermarket in Névez, western France, on Oct. 12, 2026, following a cyberattack that caused supermarket refrigerators to defrost. Some 150 to 200 Intermarché stores were targeted, along with nearly 100 Coopérative U outlets. (Fred Tanneau/AFP via Getty Images)
The European cases echo warnings from the Gulf, where officials have raised concerns that Iran’s regional operations extend beyond missiles, drones and armed proxy groups.
Dr. Ali Rashid Al Nuaimi, chairman of the Defense, Interior and Foreign Affairs Committee of the UAE’s Federal National Council, told Fox News Digital in an exclusive interview that Iranian-linked sleeper cells were operating both within the region and elsewhere.
«They created these sleeping cells in the region and also in other places,» Al Nuaimi said. «We were fortunate to find out about these cells, to act and to implement the law, our law, the UAE law, against them.»
Al Nuaimi previously disclosed during an Oct. 15 briefing that hundreds of suspected Iranian sleeper-cell members had been arrested in the UAE, including individuals he said helped direct Iranian missile and drone attacks against the country.
Speaking separately to Fox News Digital, Al Nuaimi argued that negotiations with Tehran should address not only its nuclear program and regional proxies, but also covert networks operating in other countries.
«This is where it should be part of the negotiation with the Iranians: you have to stop not only the proxies that we know, but also using these sleeping cells in other countries,» he said.
Beyond the criminal investigations, Iranian-American journalist and foreign policy analyst Lisa Daftari described the personal toll of what she believes to be Iranian intelligence operations on U.S. soil. In an earlier interview with Fox News Digital, Daftari said she had been followed in Los Angeles and New York, repeatedly hacked and approached in person. She said the FBI informed her that she was on a list of potential Iranian regime targets after hackers gained access to her accounts. «The message they want to send is very clear, that we know where you are, we can reach you,» she said.
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A 2024 photo released by the Justice Department shows Mohammad Baqer Saad Dawood Al-Saadi in a conference room with weapons and a map of the United States. (Department of Justice)
In a joint declaration issued Wednesday following a meeting in Paris, G7 foreign ministers expressed grave concern about Iranian involvement in violent plots targeting people and territory in their countries.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking to reporters following the G7 meeting on Tuesday, accused Tehran of being responsible for much of the instability across the Middle East.
«They are behind all the instability in the region; they are the source of instability in the region,» Rubio said, referring to Iran’s support for armed groups, including Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthis.
Rubio argued that the Trump administration’s economic pressure campaign was significantly weakening the Iranian government and reducing its ability to finance activities abroad, including terrorism and cyber operations.
He said Washington remained open to diplomacy but would not accept what he described as unrealistic Iranian demands.
The G7 declaration also pledged to continue coordinating economic and political measures designed to constrain Tehran’s ability to destabilize countries both inside and outside the Middle East.
The British convictions, French cyberattack findings and UAE allegations involve different types of activity, and no evidence has been presented establishing that they formed part of a single coordinated operation.
G7 foreign ministers and officials pose for a photograph at the start of their summit in Paris, where they are gathered to discuss support for Ukraine and stabilization efforts in the Middle East, on Nov. 9, 2026. (Christophe Petit Tesson/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)
Taken together, however, they illustrate the range of threats Western and Gulf authorities are attributing to Iran — from surveillance of dissidents and alleged sleeper networks to attacks on civilian infrastructure — even as diplomatic efforts seek to prevent another round of military escalation.
war with iran, iran, foreign affairs, world, terrorism, national security
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