El cierre del estrecho de Ormuz y la guerra con Irán provocaron una caída abrupta en la oferta mundial de petróleo, llevando los precios a niveles que duplican los valores previos al conflicto. Mientras los ministros de la Organización de Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP) y otros invitados se preparan para discutir un posible aumento de cuotas este domingo, las expectativas de un impacto real en el mercado son bajas.

La reunión de los 21 países miembros del cártel se desarrolla en línea en un clima de presión internacional. Se espera que se anuncie un incremento de alrededor de 188.000 barriles diarios, una cifra similar a la de los últimos ajustes, según anticipó Jorge León, analista de Rystad Energy, en diálogo a la agencia AFP.

Sin embargo, solo una fracción de los miembros —Arabia Saudita, Rusia, Irak, Kuwait, Kazajistán, Argelia y Omán— cuenta con la capacidad para aumentar la producción de manera efectiva.

Las restricciones en la exportación tras los ataques de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Irán dejaron fuera del mercado a los principales productores del Golfo. A diario, cerca de 20 millones de barriles que normalmente cruzarían Ormuz quedaron bloqueados por el régimen persa, lo que agrava la presión sobre los precios y genera consecuencias inflacionarias a escala global.

En este contexto, la OPEP+ vio cómo su producción diaria cayó a 33 millones de barriles, una diferencia drástica respecto a los casi 43 millones previos al conflicto. El bloqueo estadounidense a puertos iraníes ha comprimido aún más la cifra, advirtió Homayoun Falakshahi, jefe de análisis de crudo en Kpler, a AFP.

La decisión de los Emiratos Árabes Unidos de abandonar la OPEP debilitó todavía más la influencia del grupo. Abu Dhabi manifestó su intención de incrementar su producción sin restricciones. “No quieren que les impongan cosas, quieren maximizar sus ingresos”, explicó Lawrence Haar, de la Universidad de Brighton.

Mientras tanto, la salida emiratí podría sentar un precedente peligroso. “Si Irak se marchara, podría suponer el fin de la OPEP+”, alertó Falakshahi. Consciente de ese riesgo, Arabia Saudita busca evitar cualquier deserción adicional, lo que podría traducirse en cuotas más flexibles y una reducción de sanciones por sobreproducción.

En palabras de Ole Hansen, analista de materias primas de Saxo Bank, “cualquier aumento de producción anunciado o cambio en los objetivos de producción tendrá un valor práctico limitado”. Hansen fue tajante: “La OPEP poco puede hacer”.

La propia organización reconoce que, con las plantas de producción cerradas y los buques petroleros varados, el sistema de penalizaciones quedó en suspenso: “Por ahora, el marco de compensación se ha vuelto prácticamente irrelevante debido a los cierres generalizados de plantas de producción”, sostuvo Hansen.

La guerra en Irán neutralizó la misión original del cártel —garantizar un suministro eficiente y regular—. El único freno visible a nuevos aumentos en los precios es el comportamiento de China, que “está comprando menos petróleo de lo normal” al hacer uso de sus reservas estratégicas, según Falakshahi.

La OPEP+ enfrenta una de sus mayores crisis de relevancia, en un momento donde ni las promesas de mayor producción ni la presión diplomática logran frenar la escalada de precios. La incertidumbre sobre la estabilidad del cártel y la posibilidad de nuevas salidas marcan el pulso de un mercado que parece cada vez más condicionado por la geopolítica y las rupturas internas.

(Con información de AFP)

Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., cursed out a Fox News Digital reporter after he began asking about allegations of a sexual relationship between her and Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., that were recently raised by a woman identifying herself as Massie’s ex-girlfriend.

«F – – – you, first of all!’ Boebert said to a Fox News Digital reporter when bringing up claims from Massie’s alleged ex-girlfriend.

«If you’re gonna bring me into this, like, the sexist stuff is like out of control,» she continued. «So there’s your clickbait that you were looking for.»

FIVE TIMES NANCY PELOSI LOST HER COOL WITH THE MEDIA

Boebert then declined to discuss the allegations further.

The exchange came after Boebert had been discussing President Donald Trump’s efforts to unseat Republican incumbents and Massie’s political future.

The former congressional staffer Cynthia West, who previously worked for Rep. Victoria Spartz, R-Ind., accused Massie of bragging to her about an alleged sexual encounter with Boebert within weeks of his wife’s death.

West also accused Massie of offering her $5,000 to drop a wrongful termination lawsuit she was pursuing against Spartz, an ally of Massie. The allegations surfaced just a week before Massie lost his House seat in the May 19 Republican primary.

«I don’t want to talk about anybody’s exes and their crazy s– – – that they do,» Boebert said to the reporter.

Before the exchange turned contentious, Boebert was answering questions about whether Trump’s strategy of backing primary challengers against Republican incumbents is backfiring on the GOP agenda.

MTG SAYS GOP’S FUTURE ‘DESTROYED’ AFTER TRUMP-BACKED PRIMARY CHALLENGER DEFEATS THOMAS MASSIE IN PRIMARY

Rep. Lauren Boebert defended her support for Rep. Thomas Massie after criticism from President Donald Trump. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images; Salwan Georges/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

«I think most of the folks that have lost their primaries, they were backfiring on the GOP agenda — Cassidy, Cornyn,» Boebert replied.

«I mean, obviously Thomas Massie is the only one that I’m a little sad about,» she said. 

Boebert was also asked about Massie’s recent announcement that he is filing for re-election in 2028. Many are speculating that Massie could make a 2028 presidential run as he said he is unsure which position he will be seeking re-election for.

«I haven’t made a final decision about which office to seek, if I run,» he wrote in a post on X announcing his re-election filing with the Federal Election Commission.  

TRUMP CALLS OUT REP THOMAS MASSIE: ‘KENTUCKY, GET THIS LOSER OUT OF POLITICS’ TUESDAY

Rep. Thomas Massie speaks with supporters after his concession speech in Hebron, Ky., on May 19, 2026. (Jon Cherry/Getty Images)

Boebert shared that she was unsure of Massie’s next move, before she reprimanded the reporter for shifting the conversation to allegations raised by West.

«He filed for something,» she said. «He didn’t specify what and I don’t know if he’s going to move forward with that or not. I don’t know.» «Hopefully he leaves here and makes some money,» Boebert added.

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Moments later, the reporter began asking about the allegations from Massie’s alleged ex-girlfriend, prompting Boebert’s expletive-laced response.

Boebert declined to discuss the allegations further and walked away from the interview.

Pope Leo XIV joked Saturday that he knows who would win if young people had to choose between seeing him or Latin pop singer Bad Bunny this weekend.

The Pope, who began a weeklong visit to Spain on Saturday, acknowledged that he is competing for attention with the Puerto Rican superstar while in Madrid. Many young Spaniards, he suggested, would likely choose the Grammy-winning artist over the pontiff.

«If they are confronted with the question ‘Do you want to go see Bad Bunny or do you want to go to see the pope?’ I think many will see Bad Bunny,» Leo told reporters aboard the papal plane before his arrival.

«But I think there will also be a few here to see the pope,» he added. «And that says something, you know.»

WHY BAD BUNNY’S ‘GOD BLESS AMERICA’ MOMENT AT THE SUPER BOWL SPARKED CONTROVERSY

Bad Bunny, whose real name is Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio, is currently performing a 10-show run in Madrid as part of his Spanish tour.

Leo raised the comparison while discussing what he described as signs of a spiritual awakening among some young people in Spain.

The pope said many young adults appear to be searching for meaning and expressed hope that his visit could help «awaken» something within them.

POPE LEO XIV GIVES 1ST HOMILY AS AMERICAN PONTIFF, SAYS LOSS IN FAITH HAS LED TO CRISIS IN HUMANITY

Pope Leo XIV was first brought to the Vatican by Francis to serve as prefect of the Dicastery for Bishops in January 2023, which is one of the most important positions in the Catholic Church as it vets bishop nominations issued globally. (Alberto Pizzoli/AFP)

Despite his remarks, thousands of young Catholics turned out to greet the pope.

An estimated 500,000 people gathered in a Madrid plaza Saturday evening for a prayer vigil, chanting, «This is the youth of the pope!»

Leo later rode through the crowd in his popemobile while a Spanish rendition of the 1970s musical «Godspell» played.

POPE LEO XIV’S SPORTS FANDOM COMING TO LIGHT WITH WHITE SOX WORLD SERIES APPEARANCE, VILLANOVA-KNICKS TIES

Bad Bunny speaks during the Super Bowl LX halftime show press conference at Moscone Center on Feb. 5, 2026. (Kirby Lee/Imagn Images)

The Chicago-born pope was also asked about reports that the Chicago Bears could soon move out of Illinois.

The team’s board of directors voted Thursday to advance a proposed stadium development project in Hammond, Indiana.

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«That’s out of my pay (scale),» Leo quipped when asked about the potential relocation.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.