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Cómo el ecologismo histérico hundió a Europa
Europa está en una crisis energética en toda regla, y la verdad incómoda es que se la ha hecho a sí misma.
La guerra de Irán es el detonante. El 28 de febrero de 2026, Estados Unidos e Israel lanzaron ataques militares conjuntos contra Irán, Teherán cerró el estrecho de Ormuz y el 20% del petróleo mundial y una quinta parte del GNL global quedaron atrapados detrás de un cuello de botella de 21 millas náuticas. El Brent pasó de 66 a más de 100 dólares por barril. El queroseno europeo alcanzó un récord de 1.800 dólares por tonelada el 18 de marzo. El gas TTF subió alrededor del 60%. A Europa le quedan seis semanas de combustible de aviación según el director de la AIE, Fatih Birol, y algunos países ya están en reservas de ocho a diez días. La inflación de la eurozona saltó del 1,9% en febrero al 2,5% en marzo. Bruselas ahora recomienda teletrabajo obligatorio, transporte público gratuito, un límite de 110 km/h en autopistas y volar menos.
Hasta ahí los hechos. La pregunta real es por qué una guerra regional en Oriente Medio produce una crisis existencial en la segunda mayor economía del mundo. La respuesta no está en Teherán. Está en Bruselas, en Berlín y en Copenhague.
Europa tiene petróleo y gas. Los tiene bajo sus pies. El Mar del Norte sostuvo durante décadas la economía británica, noruega, holandesa y danesa. El Reino Unido llegó a ser exportador neto de energía. Dinamarca fue el mayor productor de petróleo de la Unión Europea tras el Brexit. Países Bajos operaba Groningen, uno de los mayores yacimientos de gas convencional del mundo. Europa tenía recursos propios, infraestructura propia y trabajadores cualificados propios.
Y decidió cerrar todo.
El Reino Unido extendió hasta 2030 un impuesto extraordinario que sitúa la carga fiscal efectiva sobre las compañías de petróleo y gas en el 78%, uno de los regímenes más punitivos del mundo. El gobierno laborista ha confirmado que no emitirá nuevas licencias de exploración en el Mar del Norte. La producción británica de crudo cayó un 40% en los últimos cinco años y un 77% desde su pico de 1999. La patronal del sector, Offshore Energies UK, lo define con precisión: un declive acelerado por decisión política, no por geología. El Reino Unido importará el 80% de su petróleo y gas en 2030, no porque no tenga, sino porque decidió no extraerlo.
Dinamarca, en diciembre de 2020, canceló su octava ronda de licencias y fijó el fin total de la producción de petróleo y gas en 2050. El ministro que firmó aquella decisión, Dan Jorgensen, es precisamente el mismo que ahora, como comisario europeo de Energía, propone el límite de 110 km/h en autopistas y compara la crisis con el inicio de la pandemia. Países Bajos clausuró Groningen el 1 de octubre de 2023, oficialmente por los terremotos inducidos por la extracción, pero con reservas recuperables aún estimadas en 450.000 millones de metros cúbicos, gas que podría haber sostenido a Europa durante años de crisis y que ahora está sellado bajo tierra.
El resultado es que Europa sustituyó producción doméstica controlada por importaciones de gas ruso por tubería. Cuando esa apuesta estalló en 2022 con la guerra de Ucrania, Europa sustituyó el gas ruso por GNL de Qatar y Oriente Medio. Esa segunda apuesta acaba de estallar en 2026 con la guerra de Irán. Cada vez que Europa decidió no producir en casa, transfirió su seguridad energética a un proveedor extranjero, y cada proveedor extranjero resultó ser, tarde o temprano, un problema geopolítico.
Lo nuclear es el segundo capítulo del mismo error. Alemania cerró Isar 2, Neckarwestheim 2 y Emsland, sus últimas tres centrales nucleares, el 15 de abril de 2023, en plena crisis energética posterior a la invasión de Ucrania, contra el consejo abierto de científicos de primer nivel incluyendo dos premios Nobel, contra la evidencia sobre emisiones y seguridad, y contra el sentido común más elemental. España mantiene un calendario de cierre programado por el acuerdo de 2019 que apagará Almaraz I en noviembre de 2027, Almaraz II en octubre de 2028, Ascó I y Cofrentes en 2030, Ascó II en 2032, y Vandellós II y Trillo en 2035, eliminando el conjunto del parque nuclear español en apenas ocho años. Italia renunció a lo nuclear en 1990 y nunca volvió. Suiza congeló la construcción de nuevos reactores.
La energía nuclear es la fuente más densa, más estable y con menor huella de carbono jamás desarrollada a escala industrial. Francia la tiene y genera alrededor del 65% de su electricidad con ella, y no es casualidad que su inflación de marzo quedara casi un punto porcentual por debajo de la media de la eurozona. El resto del continente decidió, por razones puramente ideológicas, que era preferible depender de turbinas que solo funcionan cuando sopla el viento y paneles que solo producen con sol, respaldados por gas importado desde regímenes que no comparten los valores que Bruselas dice defender.
Se añade un tercer elemento: la política climática europea exportada vía regulación. El sistema ETS, el mecanismo CBAM, los objetivos Fit for 55, la taxonomía verde y la red de directivas que encarece deliberadamente los combustibles fósiles para forzar una transición. Todo ello construido sobre el supuesto de que el resto del mundo seguiría el ejemplo europeo. No lo siguió. Estados Unidos produce más petróleo y gas que nunca. China construye centrales de carbón y nucleares al mismo tiempo. India ni siquiera finge. Europa se ató las manos en solitario y llamó a eso liderazgo moral.
El resultado está en los números. El BCE recortó el crecimiento de la eurozona para 2026 al 0,9%, el de Alemania al 0,6%. Los productores químicos y siderúrgicos europeos han impuesto recargos de hasta el 30% sobre sus precios, y buena parte de esa capacidad industrial no va a volver. El Instituto Ifo sitúa a Alemania y Países Bajos en riesgo alto de recesión. La desindustrialización que durante años fue una preocupación teórica es ahora un hecho medible. Las fábricas que cierran en Alemania no se trasladan a Francia ni a España. Se trasladan a Texas, a Luisiana y a Jiangsu, donde la energía es barata porque alguien sí la produce.
Nada de esto era inevitable. Europa no fue golpeada por el destino. Fue golpeada por sus propias decisiones, tomadas en un momento de prosperidad y paz aparente, bajo la creencia de que el resto del mundo compartía su jerarquía de prioridades. No la compartía. Rusia invadió Ucrania. Irán cerró Ormuz. Qatar apagó Ras Laffan. Y Europa descubrió que las políticas que parecían virtuosas cuando el petróleo estaba a 60 dólares se convierten en catastróficas cuando está a 100 y el combustible de aviación escasea.
La guerra de Irán no creó la vulnerabilidad europea. Solo la reveló. La vulnerabilidad la construyeron veinte años de decisiones políticas deliberadas que confundieron moralidad con estrategia, señalización con política pública, y deseo con realidad.
Europa tiene petróleo en el Mar del Norte. Tiene gas bajo sus pies. Tuvo una flota nuclear de primer nivel. Eligió no usarlos. Ahora pide a sus ciudadanos que trabajen desde casa, que no cojan el coche, que no vuelen y que conduzcan a 110. Lo llaman AccelerateEU. En realidad es el acta notarial de una rendición que empezó mucho antes de que cayera el primer misil sobre Natanz.
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Vance takes lead selling Trump’s Iran gamble as Rubio, Hegseth and Ratcliffe cede spotlight on fragile deal
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Vice President JD Vance arrived in Switzerland this week as the Trump administration’s most visible defender of a fragile Iran memorandum of understanding, even as officials moved to tamp down reports of internal concern over whether Tehran can be trusted to follow through on nuclear concessions.
«If it doesn’t happen, I’m blaming JD Vance. If it does happen, I’m taking full credit,» joked President Donald Trump this month of the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Iran.
The MOU, signed last week, has not resolved the core dispute over Iran’s nuclear program, but instead opened a 60-day negotiating window aimed at turning broad commitments into enforceable terms — leaving Vance to defend a framework that supporters call a diplomatic opening for sustained stability in the region and skeptics fear could give Tehran room to stall.
While Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth and CIA Director John Ratcliffe have been central to previous high-profile foreign policy missions, Vance spent last week as one of the administration’s chief public advocates for the Iran deal, repeatedly fielding questions about the negotiations during a media blitz for his new book.
JD VANCE REVEALS DETAILS OF US-IRAN DEAL, ADDRESSES WHETHER TAXPAYER MONEY WILL GO TO TEHRAN
Trump addresses the media alongside United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, US Commerce secretary Howard Lutnick , US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and US Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent during a closing press conference at the G7 summit. (Mandel NGAN / AFP via Getty Images)
A senior U.S. official told Fox News Digital earlier this month that there was a «split» inside the administration on support of the Iran MOU but wouldn’t say which officials did not support the decision. The talks have been fragile for weeks, with the MOU serving less as a breakthrough than a temporary framework while U.S. officials continue to wrestle with whether Iran can be trusted to follow through on nuclear commitments.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe reportedly emerged as a key intelligence leader who expressed doubt about the intelligence behind the Iran deal to Trump and other senior officials, Axios reported. Rubio and Hegseth also reportedly held reservations, while Vance and other officials advocated for the MOU, according to the outlet.
The CIA did not comment when asked by Fox News Digital if Ratcliffe was skeptical about the deal.
A second senior U.S. official told Fox News Digital that Trump officials were all aligned in supporting the deal and viewed it as the appropriate path forward.
While a White House official added that Vance emerged as a lead negotiator because Trump tasked him with the role from the outset, arguing his position as vice president gives him the stature to bring key players from countries such as Qatar and Pakistan to the negotiating table.
When asked about the reports of an alleged «split,» the White House fired back that the MOU meets all the previous requirements expressed by the administration and the president would only sign a «good deal.»
«President Trump listens to all opinions on any given issue — but everyone understands he is the final decisionmaker,» a White House official told Fox News Digital.
RUBIO, RATCLIFFE TO DELIVER CLASSIFIED IRAN BRIEFING TO ‘GANG OF EIGHT’ AHEAD OF TRUMP’S STATE OF THE UNION
Vice President JD Vance took questions from reporters during the daily press briefing in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on Oct. 1, 2025, in Washington, D.C. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
While Ratcliffe has historically kept a more reserved role as CIA chief, Rubio and Hegseth have embraced the spotlight repeatedly during high-level missions, hosting press briefings and posting on social media – even sharing memes surrounding major policy wins.
Rubio has publicly backed the MOU, but his support has been noticeably more restrained than his advocacy for past foreign policy efforts. The secretary has reposted clips of the deal signing and Vance’s media appearance discussing Iran, but has not directly made a statement. His latest post on X was congratulating Colombian President-Elect Abelardo De La Espriella on his victory.
Rubio was also part of the president’s delegation in France at the G7, seen standing behind him during Trump’s sideline presser on the deal. Rubio did not make any comments during the press conference.
Hegseth also has remained active on social media during the NATO summit, posting updates on alliance-related meetings and highlighting various War Department initiatives, while notably refraining from commenting directly on the Iran agreement.
His last public remarks directly addressing U.S.-Iran relations came more than a month ago on May 5 during a Pentagon briefing alongside Caine. Hegseth discussed Project Freedom, which was a strike against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure – separate and distinct from Operation Epic Fury.
Since then, Hegseth’s public appearances have focused largely on NATO and defense diplomacy, including bilateral meetings with foreign counterparts and engagements with leaders from Italy, Singapore, South Korea and Ecuador.
READ IT: THE FULL TEXT OF THE US-IRAN MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING
CIA Director John Ratcliffe meets with officials in Havana, Cuba, on May 14, 2026, to discuss intelligence matters. (CIA)
The framework has come under fire from conservatives and liberals alike who have drawn comparisons to former President Barack Obama’s JCPOA, a politically toxic benchmark for many Republicans that the president and Vance have rejected in public remarks.
During an appearance on Fox News’ «The Five» last week, Vance argued the JCPOA comparison stems from a misconception because the proverbial carrot-and-stick positions from the Obama-era deal have been reversed.
The Pentagon doubled down on their backing of the Iranian deal when asked by Fox News Digital if there were any doubts.
«Of course, Secretary Hegseth supports the Peace Deal with Iran and all of President Trump’s objectives,» Chief Pentagon Spokesperson Sean Parnell told Fox News Digital when asked if there was any friction about the Iran agreement.
State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott offered Fox News Digital administration a similar statement backing the Iran deal.
«Secretary Rubio and the entire administration is 100% in lockstep behind President Trump. The President has taken unprecedented action to prevent the Iranian regime from obtaining a nuclear weapon, making the U.S. and the entire world safer,» Pigott said.
Rubio is heading to Geneva Monday after Vance has already been engaged in discussions with Iranians alongside Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff since Sunday.
HEGSETH ONCE WARNED AGAINST ENDLESS WARS. NOW HE’S LEADING TRUMP’S STRIKE-FIRST DOCTRINE
Rubio, Hegseth and Ratcliffe have previously been at the center of some of the Trump administration’s most significant foreign policy engagements and achievements, from high-stakes talks with Vladimir Putin in Alaska to G7 summits and NATO conferences.
Vance’s absence from Trump’s January Mar-a-Lago announcement following the capture of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro drew notice at the time, particularly as Rubio, Hegseth, Ratcliffe, Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine and senior adviser Stephen Miller appeared alongside the president for the administration’s victory-lap moment.
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Fox News Digital reached out to the Office of the Vice President for comment.
Vance stayed late into the night Sunday evening to push the deal to the finish line in an attempt to get nuclear inspections to start as soon as possible.
«It’s funny, we were trying to call some of the inspectors last night around two in the morning. As you can expect, not many people are answering their phone at two in the morning,» said Vance Monday.
«I expect that will happen at the minimum this week, but we think even some of those conversations with the inspectors and with the IAEA could happen as soon as today,» Vance added.
Fox News Digital’s Charles Crietz contributed to this report.
pete hegseth, cia, iran, jd vance, marco rubio
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The Department of Justice (DOJ) says it has opened an investigation into a New York City coffee shop after it blasted Rep. Dan Goldman, D-N.Y., in a social media post, saying it should not have served him, and he should never come back due to his support of Israel.
Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Harmeet Dhillon said the DOJ has opened an investigation into the Poetica Coffee Shop in Brooklyn.
Dhillon says the department is aware of the «denial of service taunts» directed at Goldman and says federal law prohibits public accommodations, including coffee shops, from discriminating against patrons based on race, religion, or national origin. Dhillon says the alleged denial of service could violate federal anti-discrimination law and says enforcement action is possible.
In a now-deleted Facebook post, Poetica Coffee said it issued a refund to Goldman after learning that he had stopped by the location with his young daughter. The shop added that it would have simply turned Goldman away if staff had recognized him at the time.
SMOOTHIE KING FIRES EMPLOYEES WHO REFUSED TO SERVE CUSTOMERS OVER TRUMP SWEATSHIRT
Rep. Dan Goldman, D, N.Y., was criticized by Poetica, a left-leaning coffee shop in Brooklyn, which called scolded him over his support for Israel. (Dan Goldman)
«Hey Congressman Dan Goldman, we see that you stopped by our shop today for a coffee. Do you see how it doesn’t taste like genocide juice? Or are you still having a hard time telling the difference?» the post stated, referring to Goldman’s support for Israel and accusations that the Jewish state has committed genocide against Palestinians during the war in Gaza.
«See, here at Poetica, we don’t serve racists, fascists, homophobes, genocide enablers, or anyone in between,» the post continued. «Too bad we didn’t recognize you right away, or we would have turned you away. We issued you a refund—we don’t need your money (it’s probably coming from AIPAC anyways). Enjoy your loss on Tuesday. Don’t ever come to Poetica.»
A Brooklyn, N.Y., coffee shop refunded a purchase made by Rep. Dan Goldman, D-N.Y., over the weekend over his support for Israel, saying the company doesn’t serve «genocide enablers.» (Getty Images; Google Maps)
In a statement on social media, Goldman said he was disappointed by the shop’s remarks.
«I’m sorry to see this post,» he said. «The barista could not have been nicer to my 7-year-old daughter and me—allowing her to use the bathroom even though we had not purchased anything. I made sure to buy a coffee in return for her kindness. I hope you at least make sure she gets the tip that she deserved.»
In response, the shop said it was the barista’s idea to refund Goldman’s purchase. The poster added that they will be voting against Goldman, who faces a Democratic primary challenge from former city Comptroller Brad Lander.
DEMOCRATIC REP FEARS PARTY TURNING ANTISEMITIC PROTESTERS INTO ‘MARTYRS’ IN BATTLE AGAINST TRUMP DEPORTATIONS
Fox News Digital has reached out to Goldman and the coffee shop, as well as the offices of New York State Attorney General Letitia James and Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and the city’s Department of Consumer and Worker Protection.
«No comment. We stand against genocide,» a staffer told the New York Post.
The shop’s social media post was quickly criticized online.
Mark Treyger, the CEO of the Jewish Community Relations Council of New York, said the incident warrants a review under city and state human rights laws.
MAMDANI IN THE HOT SEAT AFTER FIRST VETO DERAILS BIPARTISAN EFFORT TO COMBAT ANTISEMITISM: ‘DISAPPOINTED’
Poetica Coffee in Brooklyn, N.Y., criticized Rep. Dan Goldman, N.Y., over his support for Israel. (Dan Goldman)
«Turning a cup of coffee into a Jewish identity litmus test is an affront to the law, our values, and every New Yorker who rejects discrimination,» he wrote on X. «If an identifiable Jewish customer walks into a coffee shop wearing a kippah or Magen David, are they expected to first disclose their views on Middle East policy before being served?»
The incident appears to contradict the opening statement on Poetica Coffee’s website by its owner, Parviz Mukhamadkulov, an Uzbek immigrant who opened his first location in 2020.
«In practice, it looks like a café where the door doesn’t close on anyone, where tea gets poured before anyone asks who you are,» the website states. «The guest is sacred because the act of welcoming is how a community keeps itself intact.»
Rep. Dan Goldman, D-N.Y., stands outside the Delaney Hall Detention Center in Newark, New Jersey, on May 28, 2026. (Rashid Umar Abbasi for Fox News Digital.)
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The shop also claims on its site that «whoever walks through the door is treated with unconditional dignity.»
«Not as a customer. Not as a transaction. As someone who arrived and deserves to be welcomed,» the site reads.
new york, coffee, anti semitism, zohran mamdani, judaism
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