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Trump Iran framework gambles on diplomacy despite warning Tehran will ‘lie and cheat’

Details revealed about the US-Iran memorandum of understanding
The U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding, outlining a 60-day period for Iran to comply with nuclear program disposal in exchange for sanctions relief and access to frozen funds. President Donald Trump warned of military action if Iran misbehaves, while Fox News correspondent Trey Yingst and Middle East Forum strategist Jim Hanson analyze the deal’s performance-based conditions and the regime’s economic and military future.
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The Trump administration’s new framework with Iran grants Tehran immediate oil sanctions waivers while postponing the most consequential nuclear questions for future negotiations, a gamble officials acknowledge carries risks because they expect Iran may not comply.
«We come in with the full expectation that they will lie and they will cheat,» one senior U.S. official said on a call with reporters Wednesday, arguing that any final agreement would require a verification and enforcement mechanism capable of detecting violations.
The agreement, which establishes a 60-day negotiating period, rests on a bet that Iran can be deterred from violating its commitments through monitoring and enforcement. Administration officials say any sanctions waivers can be clawed back if Iran fails to comply, while critics argue the U.S. is giving up leverage before the toughest nuclear issues have been resolved.
The Trump administration’s new framework with Iran grants Tehran immediate oil sanctions waivers . (Ali Mohammadi/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
TRUMP ADMINISTRATION UNVEILS SWEEPING TERMS OF PROPOSED IRAN AGREEMENT
The memorandum of understanding, unveiled by administration officials on a call with reporters Wednesday, says the Treasury Department will immediately issue waivers allowing Iran to export crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives, as well as access associated banking, insurance and transportation services.
But the agreement does not immediately require Iran to dismantle its nuclear program, surrender its enriched uranium stockpile or end enrichment. Instead, the deal says the U.S. and Iran will negotiate the «disposition» of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, with down-blending on site under International Atomic Energy Agency supervision identified as the minimum methodology.
Administration officials defended that language as an early nuclear concession, saying the U.S. continues to push for more.
«Of course that’s a flaw and we will push for more than that. But the fact that they’re conceding to that is a major, major win for the United States of America,» one senior U.S. official said on the call. «They’re saying we will destroy the enriched stockpile, and this is how we’re going to do it at a minimum.»
Down-blending would reduce the enrichment level of the material, but would not remove it from Iran.
Trump has defended the framework as necessary to avoid a prolonged conflict, closed shipping lanes and a market shock.
«If we didn’t do this deal, we could have dropped more bombs for another three weeks, two weeks, four weeks, two years,» Trump said Wednesday at the G7 summit in Évian, France. «You would never have the Hormuz Strait open … Your market would have, instead of going up, would go down at levels that nobody ever saw before, maybe except for 1929.»

Trump has defended the framework as necessary to avoid a prolonged conflict, closed shipping lanes and a market shock. (Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters)
TRUMP DEFENDS WAR DEAL IN MARATHON PRESSER, USING SEMANTICS ON WHY IRAN IS GETTING $300 BILLION
«I did not want to see economic catastrophe,» Trump added.
The framework drew support from Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., a prominent Iran hawk who said after speaking with special envoy Steve Witkoff that he thought the 60-day agreement would be «beneficial.»
«Whether or not the United States can reach an acceptable, verifiable deal with Iran regarding its nuclear program and other issues is yet to be determined, but I see little downside to trying,» Graham said.
Others criticized the deal for offering sanctions relief before Iran had agreed to anything concrete on the nuclear front.
«How do you expect Iran to agree to anything in the future, let alone within 60 days, when you’ve given up all your leverage?» Blaise Misztal, vice president for policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, told Fox News Digital.
Broader sanctions relief, a withdrawal of U.S. forces and a $300 billion reconstruction fund are also contemplated as part of a final deal if both sides can reach one within 60 days.

Others criticized the deal for offering sanctions relief before Iran had agreed to anything concrete on the nuclear front. (Photo by IIPA via Getty Images)
Those who opposed the war now argue that the memorandum is the best deal the U.S. can get after the conflict and blockade.
«The U.S. bargaining position was hurt by the war, not helped by it,» Rosemary Kelanic, director of the Middle East program at Defense Priorities, told Fox News Digital.
Kelanic said Trump is now «buying off Iran to return to something approaching the pre-war status quo» by offering immediate sanctions waivers and unfreezing assets tied to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
She argued that the immediate waivers are the price Trump has to pay to convince Iran he is serious about diplomacy after launching strikes during negotiations.
«This is like earnest money, right?» Kelanic said. «It’s like upfront cash that shows that he really means it. It’s a costly signal that Trump essentially forced himself to have to make by breaking off negotiations and bombing Iran in the middle of them.»
Iran has framed the memorandum as a test of whether Washington is prepared to act first, rather than simply offer assurances.
«Unfortunately, it must be acknowledged that Iran’s deep mistrust of the United States stems from a long history of wrongdoing by American leaders,» Iran foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said Monday in a press briefing. «The United States still has a long way to go before it can earn the trust of the Iranian people.»
The memorandum leaves the key nuclear mechanics to be worked out during the 60-day period, as well as key issues like ballistic missile production and proxy funding.
«What we have in this deal already suggests that if there is a deal in 60 days on the nuclear issue, that deal is going to be weaker than the JCPOA,» Misztal said, referring to the Obama-era nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
Under the JCPOA, Iran was required to sharply reduce its uranium stockpile, including by removing excess material from the country. Misztal said the new agreement’s minimum standard of down-blending on site suggests Iranian uranium may remain inside Iran.
«That means first of all, no uranium is leaving Iran, which happened under the JCPOA,» he said.
The agreement also guarantees toll-free commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days while Iran, Oman and Gulf states discuss a longer-term framework for administration and maritime services in the waterway.
Behnam Taleblu, senior director at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, warned that the provision raises concerns that Iran could gain a role in regulating a critical international waterway after demonstrating its ability to disrupt global shipping.
«I mean, not just charge a toll, but regulate the crucial international waterway,» Taleblu said. «There can be no doubt over the fact that the Strait of Hormuz needs to be open and open to all, not just whomever Iran and Iran plus its friends can pressure others into.»
«If there is no guarantee of freedom of navigation, the Islamic Republic is going to salami slice the resolve of the Gulf countries and basically try to throw its weight around in this strait again,» he added.
The agreement also calls for the U.S. and regional partners to develop a reconstruction and economic development plan for Iran worth at least $300 billion. U.S. officials have stressed that the provision does not require American taxpayer money, but critics said any funding stream could free up regime resources for other priorities.
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«It doesn’t matter if it’s Chinese money or American money or [United Arab Emirates] money,» Taleblu said. «The more they have access, the less they have to compete over resources and more they can fund what they want to fund.»
If negotiations collapse during the 60 days, Trump has left resuming military pressure back on the table. «If we think that they’re just dragging us along and kind of bulls**ting us, then we’ll be very quick to pull the plug,» a senior administration official said.
war with iran, sanctions, administration, iran, nuclear proliferation
INTERNACIONAL
No solo la sequía mata a los árboles: descubren en Europa el efecto letal de las primaveras favorables

La mortalidad prematura de los árboles en Europa no responde solo a las sequías extremas: un estudio sobre bosques de Francia encontró que primaveras inusualmente cálidas o húmedas, incluso cuando parecen favorables para el crecimiento, también elevan el riesgo de muerte en los años siguientes.
El trabajo analizó datos del inventario forestal francés entre 2015 y 2023 y se apoyó en una base de 500.000 árboles de 52 especies.
Según el equipo de investigadores, esa cobertura permite detectar patrones que van más allá de episodios aislados y trasladar las conclusiones a otras regiones europeas.
La investigación fue codirigida por el Laboratorio de Ciencias del Clima y el Medio Ambiente y el Instituto Federal Suizo de Investigación sobre Bosques, Nieve y Paisaje. Sus resultados, publicados en Nature Communications, apuntan a una combinación de anomalías climáticas estacionales como detonante de la pérdida de árboles.

Pascal Schneider, doctorando del Instituto Federal Suizo de Investigación sobre Bosques, Nieve y Paisaje y autor principal del estudio, explicó que esto “aumenta su demanda de agua y las vuelve más vulnerables en cuanto las condiciones se vuelven secas”. El investigador agregó que, si después llega un verano seco, las reservas del suelo ya están agotadas y el estrés hídrico aparece antes.
El estudio encontró que las condiciones de crecimiento que suelen considerarse ideales también pueden tener un costo posterior. Los árboles altos como el abeto plateado murieron en mayor número después de primaveras cálidas y húmedas.

Según Schneider, en esos períodos, los árboles crecen con más vigor del habitual y consumen más agua desde comienzos de año. Ese mayor gasto anticipado reduce el margen de respuesta cuando la estación siguiente trae escasez hídrica.
El equipo también planteó que las primaveras húmedas pueden favorecer la expansión de patógenos como los hongos. Ese factor añade presión sobre ejemplares que ya llegan debilitados a los meses secos.
El problema no es un solo evento extremo sino la suma de anomalías climáticas. “Nuestros resultados muestran que no es solo una ‘sequía de verano’ la que causa problemas a los árboles. Según la especie, una escasez de agua que aumenta lentamente puede tener más impacto que una sequía breve e intensa, o al revés”, describió Schneider.
Esa conclusión modifica la lectura más extendida sobre el deterioro forestal. El estudio sostiene que la muerte de los árboles no depende únicamente de un episodio extremo individual, sino de la combinación entre desvíos estacionales respecto del clima habitual.
En ese encadenamiento también aparecen los inviernos inusualmente suaves. Con temperaturas invernales más altas, las plagas sobreviven mejor, y las primaveras cálidas adelantan la brotación, lo que deja a las hojas jóvenes más expuestas a heladas tardías.
Los investigadores llegaron a esas conclusiones con una combinación de modelos informáticos y aprendizaje automático. El enfoque comparó distintos subconjuntos de datos del inventario para medir cómo las desviaciones estacionales del clima influyen en la mortalidad de los árboles.

Schneider sostuvo que la práctica forestal deberá dar más peso a árboles resistentes a la sequía procedentes de regiones del sur. Esa selección, indicó, puede aplicarse tanto a poblaciones de especies ya utilizadas como a la elección de otras nuevas.
El trabajo también plantea intervenir antes sobre los árboles grandes que consumen mucha agua. La idea es retirarlos algo más temprano para que los ejemplares restantes dispongan de una porción suficiente del recurso en verano.
El aclareo de masas forestales aparece como otra medida central, sobre todo después de períodos que, en apariencia, fueron buenos para el crecimiento. Según el estudio, esa gestión puede ayudar a que el agua disponible alcance para el rodal remanente.

El análisis se concentró en Francia porque su inventario forestal reúne una variedad de condiciones geográficas y climáticas que van del ambiente mediterráneo al alpino.
Para los investigadores, esa diversidad permite aplicar los resultados al resto de Europa, donde desde hace unos 20 años se multiplican las señales de muerte prematura de árboles, con un deterioro que en algunas regiones ya supera al observado en la década de 1980 por la contaminación del aire.
bosque,árboles muertos,Europa,daño forestal,laderas
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Who is Valli Geiger? Meet the Maine Dem that Platner is urging to run for Senate

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Maine state Rep. Valli Geiger, a Rockland Democrat, former nurse and former mayor, is drawing sudden national attention after saying embattled Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner encouraged her to consider taking his place on the ballot in the Maine Senate race if he withdraws.
Geiger has not been named the replacement nominee, and Platner has not formally dropped out. However, her name entered the Maine Senate scramble after she told local outlet WMTW that Platner called her Monday night, praised her as a «fighter» and asked whether he could put her name forward. Platner’s campaign told the outlet he had not made an endorsement decision but confirmed he encouraged Geiger to consider running if he stepped aside.
After Geiger said Platner called her about potentially putting her name forward, Geiger posted Tuesday she would not «throw Graham under the bus,» while also saying she would not «slander or accuse» Jenny Racicot, the woman who accused Platner of rape, «of anything more than telling the truth as she experienced it.»
By Wednesday, local outlets were reporting that Geiger said Platner had encouraged her to consider running if he withdrew. Platner has denied the claim.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT IF PLATNER DROPS OUT? HERE’S WHO COULD REPLACE HIM ON THE BALLOT AND HOW IT COULD WORK
Graham Platner Maine State Rep. Valli Geiger (Maine State Legislature/Getty Images)
Geiger is a third-term Democratic state representative from Rockland, according to her legislative biography, representing a coastal House district in Maine that includes Rockland, Criehaven Township, Matinicus Isle Plantation, the Muscle Ridge Islands, North Haven and part of Owls Head. Her biography says she serves on the Labor Committee and the Energy, Utilities and Technology Committee.
Before entering the state legislature, Geiger served six years on the Rockland City Council, including one year as mayor and four years on the Rockland Comprehensive Planning Commission, three of them as chair.
Her biography says she holds a master’s degree in sustainable design and built her own passive-solar, net-zero-energy house. It also describes her as a former nurse at Pen Bay Medical Center who later worked as a health policy analyst and health administrator, including as director of the Healthreach Hospice program and clinical director for Federally Qualified Health Centers around Maine.

The Maine State Capitol May 18, 2026, in Augusta, Maine. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)
PLATNER CAMPAIGN PUTTING ‘THUMB ON SCALE’ TO INFLUENCE POSSIBLE REPLACEMENT, MAINE DEM ALLEGES
Geiger’s connection to Platner predates the latest replacement speculation. Local reporting has described her as a close Platner supporter, and WMTW reported she previously stood with him and credited him with helping secure funding for rape kit tracking in Maine.
In her Facebook post responding to Racicot’s allegation, Geiger wrote that Racicot’s story «seems credible» but added that «none of us knows the truth nor will we ever.» She also described Platner as «a man becoming a better man» and said she had hoped he would lead the political movement his campaign had built and will not «throw Graham under the bus.»
In the post, Geiger also praised Platner’s «passion for economic populism» and said she had granted him «an enormous amount of grace» for his behavior during what she described as his «dark years» after multiple deployments.

Dr. Nirav D. Shah, director of the Maine Center for Disease Control and Prevention, speaks during a news conference about COVID-19 at Maine Emergency Management Agency in Augusta. (Derek Davis/Portland Press Herald via Getty Images)
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The Maine state representative is not the only Democrat whose name has surfaced as Maine Democrats prepare for the possibility that Platner exits the race against Republican Sen. Susan Collins.
Several Democrats have expressed interest or are considering bids, including former gubernatorial candidate Troy Jackson, Secretary of State Shenna Bellows and former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah.
Under Maine law, if Platner formally withdraws as the Democratic nominee by 5 p.m. on July 13, the Maine Democratic Party can replace him on the general election ballot by selecting a new nominee through its party process, with the replacement required to be chosen by July 27.
Fox News Digital’s Andrew Mark Miller and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.
democrats senate, graham platner, senate elections, maine
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Guatemala: La Policía captura al sexto sospechoso en el caso por el secuestro del odontólogo Julio Martínez

La captura de Andrés Alcázar Crespo, de 19 años, abrió una nueva línea en el caso por el secuestro del odontólogo Julio Amílcar Martínez Murillo: según la hipótesis que manejan las autoridades, el sexto detenido habría obtenido y entregado los chips telefónicos usados para llamadas y mensajes durante la negociación del rescate, por un plagio ocurrido el 28 de mayo de 2025 cuyo desenlace sigue sin resolverse porque la víctima no ha sido liberada.
El nuevo arresto fue anunciado la mañana del miércoles 8 de julio. De acuerdo con la Policía Nacional Civil (PNC) de Guatemala, Alcázar integra la estructura a la que ahora identifican como “Escorpión”, la primera vez que las autoridades emplean ese nombre para referirse al grupo que supuestamente cometió el secuestro.
Según La Hora, el joven fue detenido en un residencial de Carretera a El Salvador. En ese mismo lugar Vivían Martínez Murillo y Julio Leonardo Alejandro Girón Castañeda, señalado como el presunto líder de la estructura criminal.
Hasta ahora, las autoridades no han detallado por completo cuál habría sido la participación de Alcázar durante el secuestro. Los primeros indicios, según la información recopilada en el caso, apuntan a que su papel habría estado vinculado al suministro de los chips utilizados por otros implicados para comunicarse durante la exigencia del rescate.

Si esa hipótesis se sostiene, el Ministerio Público (MP) buscará imputarle el delito de plagio y secuestro en la audiencia fijada por el Juzgado de Mayor Riesgo B para el miércoles 15 de julio. Mientras tanto, quedó detenido y fue enviado a la cárcel de la base militar Mariscal Zavala, donde esperará su primera declaración.
Julio Martínez fue secuestrado el 28 de mayo de 2025, alrededor de las 9:00, en el ingreso de la aldea Jocotillo, en Villa Canales, después de hacer compras en un supermercado cercano. Según la denuncia y la investigación del MP, el odontólogo estaba en una llamada por WhatsApp con su secretaria cuando la comunicación se interrumpió.
La investigación sostiene que, antes de que la llamada se cortara, un hombre les gritó al odontólogo y le ordenó: “¡Manejá, manejá!”. Ese fue el último momento en que se tuvo noticia de la víctima.

Un día después, la esposa de Martínez Murillo recibió una llamada de un hombre que le informó que el odontólogo había sido secuestrado. Para liberarlo, exigieron 5 millones de quetzales (más de medio millón de dólares) en efectivo y advirtieron que, si no se entregaba el dinero, lo matarían.
La familia finalmente logró pactar una reducción del pago. El rescate quedó en Q763 mil (casi 100 mil dólares) y la entrega se acordó para el 5 de junio de 2025 en una gasolinera ubicada al final de la avenida Hincapié, en la zona 13 de la capital.
Ese dato resume el núcleo del caso: la familia pagó el rescate, pero Julio Amílcar Martínez Murillo no fue liberado. Hasta la fecha, se desconoce su paradero.
El 29 de agosto de 2025, tras investigaciones preliminares y con autorización judicial, las autoridades realizaron una serie de allanamientos que concluyeron con la captura de cinco personas. Entre ellas estaba Julio Leonardo Alejandro Girón Castañeda, señalado como presunto líder y vecino de la misma colonia donde ahora fue arrestado el sexto sospechoso.

En esa operación también fueron detenidos Carlos Antonio González y González, Juan Ubaldo Tzul Castillo, Juan Oswaldo Tzul Hernández y Paola Isabel Díaz Ramírez. Una sospechosa más, Anelsy Adeli Quiñónez Corado, continúa prófuga de la justicia.
En la audiencia del 15 de julio se espera que la fiscalía exponga más detalles sobre la presunta participación de Alcázar. Según la publicación, esa diligencia también deberá establecer si existen indicios suficientes para sostener que intervino en el plagio de Martínez Murillo.
seguridad,antisecuestros,Guatemala,Julio Amílcar Martínez Murillo,Odontólogo,secuestro

















