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Russia preparing hybrid attacks on NATO’s eastern flank, intelligence warns
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Latvian intelligence is warning that Russia is preparing possible military provocations against the Baltic states or Poland, including drones, missiles or other hybrid attacks, in an effort to pressure NATO countries to stop supporting Ukraine.
«We see indications that Russia is preparing military provocations against the Baltic countries or Poland — not a conventional war, because Russia is not capable of that right now, but hybrid attacks, such as missiles, drones or other actions designed to send a signal: stop supporting Ukraine, or you will have your own problems,» Latvian intelligence told Fox News Digital.
The most immediate concern, according to Latvian intelligence, is not that Moscow is ready for a full-scale war with NATO, but that Russian President Vladimir Putin could miscalculate because the surrounding institutions are feeding him the version of reality he wants to hear.
The Baltic states and Poland are NATO allies, meaning a Russian provocation there could quickly test America’s treaty commitments and risk a broader confrontation. It also comes as Washington and its allies weigh how far to go in supporting Ukraine and tightening sanctions on Moscow.
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Latvian intelligence argues that Putin is not only looking for ways to pressure NATO countries to back off Ukraine, but may also be receiving distorted assessments from inside his own system — raising the risk that Russia could misjudge Western resolve.
Latvian intelligence is warning that Russia is preparing possible military provocations against the Baltic states or Poland, including drones, missiles or other hybrid attacks. (Efrat Lachter)
«The biggest concern is miscalculation. Russian institutions are telling Putin what he wants to hear, and that creates a dangerous cycle that can lead to foolish and senseless decisions,» Latvian intelligence said.
«We see more and more signs that Putin wants to receive only positive news. He is isolated, and that makes decision-making even more problematic as decisions are not based on the real situation,» Latvian intelligence added.
The Latvian warning tracks with concerns raised by Polish officials during Fox News Digital reporting in June in Poland, where officials described Russia’s hybrid war against NATO’s eastern flank as already underway. Polish Deputy Foreign Minister Marcin Bosacki pointed to assassinations, drone activity, cyberattacks and attacks on critical infrastructure on NATO territory, including what he described as a Russian-instigated cyberattack on Polish energy infrastructure intended «to black out part of Poland.»
Amb. Krzysztof Olendzki also described the Belarus border as part of a Russian and Belarusian campaign to weaponize illegal migration against NATO countries.
Latvian intelligence also assessed that Western sanctions are having a real impact inside Russia, despite Moscow’s public claims that it has absorbed the pressure.
«Russia says publicly that sanctions do not matter, but its own internal assessments show that sanctions are biting,» Latvian intelligence told Fox News Digital. «They may not change Putin’s mindset, but they limit Russia’s financial resources and thus opportunities and force to make difficult choices regarding recruitment, military spending, and pressure on businesses. Its war economy is a crumbling ‘house of cards.’»
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Latvian intelligence also assessed that Western sanctions are having a real impact inside Russia, despite Moscow’s public claims that it has absorbed the pressure. (Sasha Mordovets/Getty)
The assessment comes as Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau, known as SAB, released a public report detailing how Russia is intensifying «lawfare» against the West — using courts, legal claims and international institutions to pressure Western governments, weaken support for Ukraine and create possible justification for more aggressive actions.
The report outlines Russian efforts to study Iran’s experience challenging Western sanctions through international legal mechanisms.
Russian experts have analyzed Iran’s 2016 case against the United States at the International Court of Justice and are looking for ways to adapt similar tactics against Western countries, according to the Constitution Protection Bureau.
«If you want to push Russia toward a peace deal that is acceptable to Ukraine and the West, sanctions are the right mechanism,» Latvian intelligence said. «We need more international pressure on Russia through sanctions.»
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The assessment comes as Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau, known as SAB, released a public report detailing how Russia is intensifying «lawfare» against the West. (Capt. H. Howey/U.S. Army)
The Constitution Protection Bureau also warns that Russia has prepared a complaint against the Baltic States at the U.N.’s International Court of Justice, formally accusing them of discrimination against Russians and Russian speakers. Latvian intelligence believes the legal campaign is not only about the courtroom, but about building a narrative Moscow could later use as a pretext for action.
«Russia believes the Baltic States are governed by pro-American elites who are disconnected from their own people. They made a similar mistake about Ukraine before the invasion, which is why this perception worries us,» Latvian intelligence said.
The Constitution Protection Bureau report argues that Russia is trying to turn propaganda into legal and political action. It describes Moscow’s planned complaint as relying on a «highly manipulative approach» to international law, including selective interpretations of international norms and what the report calls «imagined evidence» of alleged discrimination.
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«Currently, there are no military threats to Latvia,» its intelligence said. (Burak Akbulut/Anadolu via Getty Images)
The concern is that Russia could use those claims to justify pressure, intimidation or hybrid operations — the same broad logic Moscow used when it claimed it was acting to protect Donbas residents before invading Ukraine.
«Currently, there are no military threats to Latvia,» its intelligence said. «We are not concerned about a full-scale invasion right now. Russia would need three to five years, even if the war in Ukraine ended today, to rebuild sufficient capabilities. What worries us now are provocations — drones, missiles and other hybrid attacks.»
The Russian government did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.
vladimir putin, nato, ukraine, sanctions, russia
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Unearthed video exposes El-Sayed’s opinion on driver’s licenses for illegal immigrants
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Abdul El-Sayed, a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan, once proposed allowing undocumented immigrants to secure driver’s licenses, making the case that not doing so would be discriminatory.
«We’ve got to make sure that in this state we are not discriminating against documentation status. Right now, if you’re undocumented, you don’t get access to a driver’s license. You’re stuck,» El-Sayed said in a 2018 campaign interview.
At the time, El-Sayed was running for governor.
Eight years later, as he looks to join the U.S. Senate, the resurfaced clip sheds light on El-Sayed’s past thinking about how local governments should interact with illegal aliens and raises questions about whether granting them state identification would in some ways legitimize their presence in the U.S.
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Michigan Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed speaks at The People V. The Powerful rally at the Detroit Opera House on July 18, 2026 in Detroit, Michigan. (Sarah Rice/Getty Images)
Hans von Spakovsky, an elections expert for Advancing American Freedom, explained that a license can act as a doorway to a range of government benefits.
«Because America does not have a national ID card like the Europeans and other nations, state driver’s licenses are a stand-in for that ID card. Issuing driver’s licenses to aliens will help them in all the instances where a license is needed, from opening bank accounts to all types of other transactions,» Spakovsky said.
Spakovsky noted that I-9 forms, paperwork for employment eligibility, regularly require little else than a license.
«The key to getting aliens to self-deport would be to ensure that they cannot rent apartments, open bank accounts and take all of the other steps necessary to live and work in the U.S.,» Spakovsky said.
«Providing them driver’s licenses is a huge step in allowing them to easily live and work in the United States,» he added.
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Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed poses for a portrait in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026. (Evan Cobb for The Washington Post via Getty Images)
In the 2018 clip, El-Sayed seemed concerned that illegal aliens would be ineligible for some of those advantages.
«You don’t get access to a lot of the basic things that the state offers everybody else, and I think that’s ridiculous and so we’ve got to stop discriminating that way,» El-Sayed said.
Although El-Sayed has rejected labels like «progressive» or «far-left,» he has advocated for a more government-first approach in many key areas like affordability, infrastructure and public services.
He’s advocated for Medicare for all, opposes corporate tax carve-outs, and he supports tuition-free access to higher education. When asked about promises to increase government provisions by candidates like Zohran Mamdani, El-Sayed said he believes that Democrats will trend in that direction.
«You’re seeing that kind of resonance here in Michigan for sure. And I’m not surprised that you’re seeing that in New York, too. Government ought to be available to set an equal playing field for everybody and to offer those basic things that everybody needs and deserves,» El-Sayed told Fox News Digital in an interview.
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Abdul El-Sayed, a Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, at a campaign event in Detroit, Michigan on August 2, 2026 ( )
El-Sayed’s campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment on how far government should go in providing some of those same services to non-residents. His campaign also did not address whether providing licenses for undocumented immigrants would be a tacit approval of their presence in the country.
El-Sayed faces off against Rep. Haley Stevens on Tuesday evening in the state’s primaries. Whoever secures the party’s nomination will advance to the Nov. 3 general election.
illegal immigrants, immigrant rights, politics, michigan
INTERNACIONAL
Fiscalía pide un año de prisión preventiva para hijos del narcotraficante costarricense “Pecho de Rata”
La Fiscalía Adjunta de Legitimación de Capitales y Persecución Patrimonial solicitó un año de prisión preventiva para 37 de los imputados en el caso Riverside, entre ellos cuatro hijos de Edwin López Vega, alias “Pecho de Rata”, señalado como el presunto líder de una organización criminal dedicada al tráfico nacional e internacional de drogas y al lavado de dinero.
La petición fue presentada luego de que el Ministerio Público concluyera la exposición de las pruebas durante la audiencia de medidas cautelares, un proceso que se ha prolongado por más de siete semanas debido a la magnitud del expediente y al elevado número de personas investigadas.
Ahora corresponderá a los abogados defensores presentar sus alegatos antes de que el Juzgado Penal de Limón resuelva si acoge o no la solicitud fiscal.
De acuerdo con la investigación, la organización criminal habría continuado operando incluso después de que López Vega fuera extraditado a Estados Unidos en marzo de este año, tras permanecer detenido desde mediados de 2025.
La Fiscalía sostiene que la estructura quedó bajo el mando de los hijos de “Pecho de Rata”, quienes habrían asumido funciones de coordinación dentro de la presunta organización dedicada al abastecimiento de marihuana y cocaína para diferentes grupos criminales del país, además de exportar cargamentos de droga y blanquear las ganancias obtenidas mediante esas actividades ilícitas.
Entre los imputados también destacan un hombre de apellido Spencer, quien presuntamente era el responsable de la logística marítima utilizada para el transporte de estupefacientes, y dos personas de apellido Botti, señaladas como supuestos encargados del tráfico de drogas.
La solicitud de prisión preventiva alcanza a personas de apellidos Calero, López, Vaz, Cameron, Mc Lean, Wray, Pizarro, Angulo, Martínez, Lara, Mena, Kelly, Scoby, Sojo, León, Marchena, Botti, Pinnock, Ardón, Coto, Romero, Gordon, Collado, Córdoba, Spencer, Marín, Corrales, Slack, Segura, Gutrie y Weir, entre otros.
Mientras tanto, otras 17 personas investigadas permanecerán en libertad bajo medidas cautelares. Entre las restricciones impuestas por la Fiscalía figuran la prohibición de salir del país, la obligación de firmar una vez al mes ante las autoridades judiciales, mantener un domicilio fijo y abstenerse de tener contacto con los demás integrantes de la presunta organización criminal.
El Ministerio Público explicó que esas medidas fueron determinadas luego de valorar los riesgos procesales y el nivel de participación atribuido a cada uno de los sospechosos.
Además, advirtió que cualquier incumplimiento de las condiciones impuestas podría provocar la revocatoria de esas medidas y el eventual dictado de prisión preventiva.
La audiencia se desarrolla en el auditorio del Organismo de Investigación Judicial (OIJ), debido a la cantidad de personas involucradas en el expediente. La utilización de ese espacio ha generado algunos retrasos, ya que el recinto también había sido reservado para otras actividades institucionales, como graduaciones y grabaciones, lo que obligó a realizar coordinaciones logísticas adicionales.
La diligencia es dirigida por la jueza Alejandra Rojas, del Juzgado Penal de Limón.
La operación Riverside, ejecutada el 23 de junio, es considerada por las autoridades como el mayor operativo realizado en la historia del OIJ contra una organización dedicada al narcotráfico y la legitimación de capitales.
Según las investigaciones, la estructura movilizaba cocaína y marihuana desde Colombia mediante embarcaciones que desembarcaban en la zona de Cahuita, en Limón, para posteriormente distribuir la droga dentro del país y enviarla a otros mercados.
Las pesquisas también permitieron identificar un patrimonio de aproximadamente ₡10,000 millones (USD 22 millones) que las autoridades consideran de origen presuntamente ilícito.
El expediente además incluye investigaciones por presuntos vínculos con el exmagistrado Celso Gamboa y menciona la supuesta participación de figuras públicas, entre ellas cantantes, exfutbolistas y modelos, aspecto que continúa bajo investigación.
Asimismo, el OIJ determinó que, pese a encontrarse privado de libertad antes de su extradición, “Pecho de Rata” habría continuado dirigiendo las op2weraciones de la organización desde el centro penal La Reforma mediante teléfonos celulares que, presuntamente, le eran facilitados de forma ilegal por funcionarios penitenciarios.
La investigación también señala que López Vega fungía como uno de los principales proveedores logísticos de droga para Alejandro Arias Monge, alias “Diablo”, uno de los criminales más buscados por las autoridades costarricenses.
pecho de rata,narcotraficante,extradicion,costa rica,estados unidos,prision
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Mexican cartel boss linked to influencer’s livestreamed murder arrested, officials say
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The alleged leader of a violent Mexican criminal cell has been arrested in connection with the assassination of a mayor, while authorities say the case also produced new evidence linking his organization to the livestreamed killing of a 23-year-old influencer.
Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala, also known as «El R-1,» was taken into custody during a joint military and law enforcement operation, officials said.
Mexican authorities identified him as the leader of Los Rs, a criminal cell linked to the Jalisco New Generation Cartel, or CJNG.
Officials allege Álvarez Ayala ordered and financed the November 2025 assassination of Uruapan Mayor Carlos Manzo. His criminal cell was also linked to the May 2025 killing of beauty influencer Valeria Márquez, whose former boyfriend is Álvarez Ayala’s son, according to authorities.
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Mexican special security forces are seen alongside Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala after he was arrested. (SSPC – Secretaría de Seguridad y Protección Ciudadana)
Mexican Security Secretary Omar García Harfuch announced details of the investigation a day after the arrest.
«‘El R-1’ is identified as the main leader of Los Rs, one of the most violent criminal cells linked to the CJNG, with operations in Apatzingán, Uruapan and Morelia, Michoacán, as well as in Jalisco,» García Harfuch said in a statement posted on X.
«This organization is involved in extortion, murders and drug trafficking, directly affecting producers, business owners and families in the region,» he added.
As previously reported by Fox News Digital, Márquez, a popular TikTok creator with more than 100,000 followers, was shot and killed while livestreaming from her beauty salon in Zapopan, Jalisco.
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Mexican authorities say Álvarez Ayala ordered the May 2025 murder of popular beauty influencer Valeria Márquez. (@v___marquez/via Instagram)
At the time, the killing was being investigated as a femicide, a gender-based crime under Mexican law.
Video appeared to show a man entering the salon, asking, «Are you Valeria?» before handing Márquez a gift.
The man then allegedly shot her in the chest and head. Márquez collapsed on camera before another person ended the livestream, the video appeared to show.
García Harfuch said the killing was linked to Francisco, who allegedly threatened Márquez several times after their relationship ended.
«This criminal cell allegedly participated under his orders in coordinating multiple violent acts in the region. Among them is the tragic feminicide of Valeria Márquez, which occurred in May 2025 in Zapopan, Jalisco, a crime linked to Francisco, the victim’s former partner and Ramón Ángel’s son,» García Harfuch said.
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Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala, a top figure in the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) known as «El R-1,» was taken into custody following a joint military and law enforcement operation. (SSPC – Secretaría de Seguridad y Protección Ciudadana)
«With yesterday’s arrest, we learned that R-1’s son had a romantic relationship with Valeria. He had threatened her on several occasions and everything indicates, and this will be proven, that the son asked his father, R-1, to carry out the feminicide,» he said, according to reports.
Álvarez Ayala is now in custody, while Francisco remains at large. Jalisco authorities have also arrested another man accused of participating in Márquez’s killing.
In addition to Márquez’s killing, Álvarez Ayala is accused of financing and orchestrating the assassination of Uruapan Mayor Carlos Manzo, who was shot during Day of the Dead celebrations in November 2025.
Manzo had been an outspoken critic of organized crime and worked to root out corruption within the local police force.
Authorities have arrested 31 people in connection with Manzo’s killing, García Harfuch said.
Álvarez Ayala is being held at the Altiplano maximum-security prison while federal prosecutors pursue charges. Investigations into both killings are ongoing.
The Treasury Department said the CJNG was «one of the most powerful cartels in the world» and imposed sanctions on more than 50 individuals and entities in Mexico linked to the organization in July.
organized crime, mexican cartel violence, world, mexico, assassinations murders
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