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Report warns Russia using shadow fleet to probe NATO drone defenses

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As NATO allies prepare to meet in Turkey, at the top of their agenda will be drone warfare and Russia’s testing of the NATO alliance.

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Using its shadow fleet of old sanction-busting ships, Russia appears to have launched drones at European military bases and airports to test the reaction time of NATO allies and their air defenses, according to a new report published by the International Institute of Strategic Studies, or IISS.

Between August 2024 and February 2026, 144 suspected drones were recorded near sensitive military and nuclear sites in Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, the UK, and Denmark, and over American air bases in the UK in November 2024.

UKRAINE’S BATTLEFIELD IS TRANSFORMING THE FUTURE OF NATO

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French navy diverts suspected russian shadow fleet tanker to Marseille-Fos port. (Manon Cruz/Reuters)

«There’s no doubt in my mind that the Russians are using the shadow fleet vessels as a platform to get different types of drones in closer to various European countries,» said Ret. Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, who served as the commanding general of US Army Europe until 2018. 

In Germany there were more than 1,000 suspicious drone sightings in 2025, over German defense companies and military bases where Ukrainian soldiers were training in Germany.

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«Whoever is doing it is testing the reaction of the authorities, is testing how the public will respond, will they panic, will they blame their politicians and the authorities,» asked Elisabeth Braw of the Atlantic Council. «Also they are testing perhaps to see how we as European countries or how European countries might react in a real crisis there.»

This spate of unmanned aerial vehicles occurred in air space over a dozen NATO states and Ireland, the report states, «forcing repeated closures of major commercial aviation hubs, disrupting military operations and penetrating the perimeters of some of Europe’s most sensitive defence installations.»

In 2025 mystery drones targeted military bases in the Netherlands and Belgium where the US is thought to base its B61-12 nuclear gravity bombs and France’s ballistic-missile submarine base at Île Longue.

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«It’s a combination of espionage,» Hodges said. «But also psychologically to create a lot of anxiety in populations to scare them so that they would put pressure on their governments not to support Ukraine.» 

RUSSIAN GENERALS’ ASSASSINATIONS EXPOSE GROWING RIFT INSIDE PUTIN’S SECURITY APPARATUS

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks at a press conference after meetings with the heads of the EU and Ireland, following a formal ceremony to mark the launch of Ireland’s eighth EU presidency, at Dublin Castle in Dublin on July 1, 2026. (Paul Faith / AFP via Getty Images)

The Russian drone campaign appears designed to probe the response times and decision-making thresholds of allied air defense and civil-military command structures. 

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It also seeks to identify vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure, including dual-use civilian facilities, military logistics hubs supporting Ukraine, and sites associated with the Alliance’s nuclear deterrence. 

Additionally, the campaign aims to impose economic and psychological costs on European societies by disrupting civilian aviation, undermining public confidence in airspace security, and fostering distrust and panic. Finally, it appears intended to normalize low-level airspace violations that remain below the threshold likely to trigger a direct Allied military response.

Those sightings peaked in late 2025, and forced the temporary closure of several European airports, including in Germany, Spain and Denmark.

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Sweden is the only European country to accuse Moscow directly after a drone launched at sea from a Russian spy ship flew near a French aircraft carrier.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has denied accusations of Russian sabotage and surveillance across Europe.

«What’s the point of all this,» Putin asked of reporters recently. «Name even one proven fact.»

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AMERICA’S POWER GRID, FOOD SUPPLY AND MORE ARE UNDER THREAT FROM DRONES

Russian President Vladimir Putin

Russian President Vladimir Putin has denied accusations of Russian sabotage and surveillance across Europe. (Vyacheslav PROKOFYEV / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

But IISS tracked the locations of Russia’s shadow fleet of ships used to evade sanctions and linked them to recent high-profile drone incidents, concluding that Russia could use the ships as a platform to launch the drones while creating deniability. Drones often don’t trigger radar.

On Jan. 3, 2025, a Russian shadow fleet vessel, the Arctica, sailed along the Danish coast, while 20 drones flew over the port of Koege, Denmark, before disappearing at sea.

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On Sept. 22, drone sightings led to the closure of Copenhagen Airport. The IISS found several shadow ships were in the area at the time, including the Arctica and the Boracay.

And its not just in Europe. Dozens of unexplained drone sightings also have taken place in the U.S . in the past several years.

In December 2023 at Virginia’s Joint Base Langley-Eustis unauthorized aircraft appeared in the skies above the base for 17 days straight, evading military tracking and forcing the Pentagon to bring in specialized assets — including a NASA WB-57 high-altitude jet — to investigate.

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In March drones flew near Barksdale Air Force Base in Louisiana, home of the B- 52 H Stratofortress bomber, where drones came in a pattern to suggest they were attempting to avoid the operator or operators being located. Lights on the drones suggested the operators may be testing security responses at the base.

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Panicked sightings of drones near critical infrastructure along the East Coast of the United States in late 2024 led to the Trump administration ordering the declassification of these investigations shortly after the inauguration to ease public concern, concluding the drones were mostly those of hobbyists and that there was no evidence of a foreign threat related to the majority of reported sightings.

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The IISS says these are no hobbyists threatening NATO allies in Europe, with the most likely culprit launching the drones from shadow vessels at sea.

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INTERNACIONAL

Compra récord de bonos en Chile tras el giro a la derecha con el gobierno de Kast

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Inversionistas extranjeros están comprando deuda pública chilena a un ritmo récord, impulsados por un peso más débil, la perspectiva de recortes de las tasas de interés y el regreso de un gobierno de derecha más favorable al mercado.

Las tenencias de bonos soberanos denominados en pesos en manos de no residentes aumentaron un récord de US$ 2.930 millones, hasta US$ 20.200 millones en mayo, el último mes para el que el Banco Central dispone de cifras. Con ello, el incremento acumulado desde comienzos de año alcanzó el 36%, muy por encima del registrado en cualquier otro país de América Latina.

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La demanda comenzó a repuntar a principios del año pasado, cuando el hoy presidente, el conservador José Antonio Kast, empezó a subir en las encuestas, y ganó aún más impulso tras su victoria en la segunda vuelta de diciembre, que dio paso al gobierno más derechista desde el retorno de Chile a la democracia en 1990. La última vez que la inversión extranjera aumentó a un ritmo comparable fue tras la elección del también conservador Sebastián Piñera a fines de 2017. Si a eso se suman un peso debilitado y las crecientes expectativas de un recorte de tasas, resulta fácil entender por qué Chile volvió a atraer a los inversionistas.

“Un gobierno favorable al mercado y las persistentes expectativas de consolidación fiscal hacen que Chile vuelva a ser un mercado atractivo para los inversionistas extranjeros”, dijo Christopher Mejia, analista de deuda soberana de mercados emergentes en T. Rowe Price. “Los mercados esperan reformas orientadas al crecimiento”.

El gobierno de Kast presentó un proyecto de ley destinado a impulsar el crecimiento que incluye reducciones de impuestos corporativos, invariabilidad tributaria para grandes proyectos de inversión y subsidios al empleo. Kast espera que el Congreso apruebe la ley este mes, con una meta de crecimiento del 4% para el final de su mandato. Sin embargo, su imagen pública no deja de caer (Ver aparte).

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El peso chileno se debilitó hasta un 7 por ciento después de que EE.UU. comenzó sus ataques aéreos contra Irán a fines de febrero. Aunque ha recuperado parte de las pérdidas desde entonces, aún cotiza cerca de 920 por dólar, muy por encima de los 852 pesos por dólar registrado en febrero, su mejor nivel en tres años.

Además, es poco probable que el peso se fortalezca en el corto plazo. Mientras persiste la presión para que la Reserva Federal eleve las tasas en EE.UU., las menores expectativas de inflación y los débiles datos de crecimiento en Chile refuerzan apuestas por un recorte de tasas dentro de un año.

Todo ello hace que Chile se destaque en la región. Las tenencias extranjeras de deuda soberana de Colombia cayeron un 8,5% en los primeros cinco meses del año, después de que el gobierno desmantelara un programa de swaps en francos suizos que había dejado a algunos bancos extranjeros con bonos soberanos como garantía. En Brasil, donde la inflación se ha acelerado, las tenencias de no residentes aumentaron apenas un 2,5% en el mismo período. En México, retrocedieron alrededor de un 3,5%.

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Entre finales de 2019 y finales de 2024, los inversionistas extranjeros redujeron en un 43% sus tenencias de deuda soberana local chilena, pese a que el gobierno aumentó las emisiones. La deuda chilena perdió atractivo tras el estallido social de 2019, que dio lugar a dos intentos fallidos de reescribir la Constitución y a sucesivos retiros de fondos de pensiones que redujeron la profundidad del mercado de capitales del país.

En el cuarto trimestre de 2024, los inversionistas extranjeros poseían apenas el 8% de la deuda pública denominada en pesos en circulación, la menor participación desde que existen registros, según datos del Ministerio de Hacienda.

Ahora, el presidente Kast llegó al poder con la promesa de reducir el gasto público, eliminar trabas burocráticas, bajar los impuestos corporativos e impulsar la inversión en infraestructura. También prometió endurecer la lucha contra la inmigración ilegal y la delincuencia. Esas políticas ayudaron a que el diferencial de los bonos chilenos en dólares frente a los bonos del Tesoro de EE.UU. cayera por debajo de 80 puntos básicos en mayo por primera vez desde 2007.

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Top Platner ally turns on him after bombshell rape allegation rocks campaign: ‘Red line’

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Support for embattled Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is cratering among Democrats, with one of his most prominent supporters calling on him to exit the race following a harrowing rape allegation.

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Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., rescinded his endorsement and called on Platner to suspend his campaign following a bombshell Politico report detailing a rape allegation by Maine resident Jenny Racicot, 41, who previously dated the scandal-plagued candidate.

Platner immediately denied Racicot’s account — which alleges that he barged into her home in 2021 and forced her to have unprotected sex — but has said his campaign is determining its next steps.

«I’ve been very clear that sexual assault or violence against women is a red line,» Khanna said in a post on social media Monday evening. «These allegations are very serious and credible. Graham Platner should drop out from the race. I am withdrawing my endorsement.»

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Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., speaks at a town hall event on Feb. 20, 2026 in Stanford, California. The town hall focused on taxing billionaires and the future of AI. (Benjamin Fanjoy/Getty Images)

DEMOCRATS BREAK WITH SCANDAL-PLAGUED GRAHAM PLATNER, WARN OF ‘CIVIL WAR’ IN PARTY

Khanna’s statement preceded Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., the head of Senate Democrats’ campaign arm, issuing a joint statement calling on Platner to «immediately» leave the race, so the party can choose a new nominee.

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The pair said the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) would not invest in Maine — a top pick-up opportunity for Democrats in November’s midterm elections — if he continued to seek the battleground seat held by Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine.

Both Schumer and Gillibrand supported Gov. Janet Mills, D-Maine, in the contentious primary and did not endorse Platner until he won the party’s nomination.

Meanwhile, Khanna, a far-left populist with likely presidential ambitions, had embraced Platner’s insurgent Senate campaign for months amid a patchwork of controversies.

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Khanna personally campaigned with the Maine Senate hopeful in June shortly before Platner became the party’s nominee. The campaign stop came just one day after Lyndsey Fifield, a former Platner girlfriend, accused Platner of abuse — an allegation first reported by The New York Times that Platner has fiercely denied.

By that point, Platner was also facing scrutiny for sending sexually explicit messages to at least half a dozen women while married, making a plethora of offensive online statements over the period of a decade and getting a Nazi-linked tattoo that he wore for most of his adult life.

Shannon Watts, a Democratic strategist and founder of the gun control group Mom Demands Action, slammed the timing of Khanna’s statement.

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«You flew to Maine to campaign with him AFTER he was accused of assault against another woman,» Watts wrote on social media.

Khanna previously appeared to dismiss the severity of Fifield’s account alongside many Democratic lawmakers, who seized on her background in Republican politics. He also argued that Platner, a combat veteran who has struggled with PTSD, had overcome a dark past and was deserving of redemption.

«Here you have a case of someone who had a dark chapter in his life, was in toxic relationships, was ashamed about it, who served this country, and the Maine voters are saying, ‘Look, let’s give him some grace, and his focus is stopping these wars, and it’s getting national health insurance, and it’s taking on economic inequality,» Khanna told CBS News in an interview.

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Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner speaking at a primary election event in Blue Hill, Maine.

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Graham Platner speaks at his primary election event in Blue Hill, Maine, on June 9, 2026. (CJ Gunther/Getty Images)

WATCH: DEM SENATORS EXCUSE PLATNER’S CONDUCT AT CRISIS HUDDLE WITH EMBATTLED MAINE CANDIDATE

And Khanna told Fox News’ Martha MacCallum in June that he asked Platner if there were any credible allegations of sexual assault that had yet to be revealed. He said Platner denied it.

«I made it clear that, for me, is a red line,» the California lawmaker said. «And he said, no, there is not.»

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«Now, obviously, he had texts that were allegedly consensual, and while he was married, And that’s a matter for him and his wife. And his wife came out and said that she forgave him. And so that is a different matter for me than abuse or assault or what people did in the Epstein class. It’s a very different matter.»

Khanna was not the only prominent Platner supporter to disavow the Senate hopeful following Monday’s rape allegation.

Sen. Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., an early Platner supporter, was the first prominent Democrat to rescind his endorsement after Politico’s report broke.

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Meanwhile, Sen. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., rescinded his endorsement Monday evening, but stopped short of calling on Platner to exit the race.

Gallego, a former ally of disgraced ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell, D-Calif., has faced scrutiny over his past treatment of women. The Senate Ethics Committee recently dismissed a complaint brought by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., in a bipartisan manner.

His Arizona colleague, Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz., who did not endorse Platner, also called on the Senate hopeful to suspend his campaign.

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«Character and accountability matter regardless of party,» Kelly wrote on social media. «It’s time for Graham Platner to drop out and allow for someone else to be nominated and give Democrats the best chance to win this seat in November.»

Far-left Twitch streamer Hasan Piker, who has championed socialist candidates across the country, also distanced himself from Platner on Monday.

Ruben Gallego

Sen. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., talks to reporters as he heads for a vote at the U.S. Capitol on Jun. 1, 2026 in Washington, D.C. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

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«This is beyond red flags. This is irredeemable,» Piker said during his livestream.

Fox News Digital reached out to Platner’s campaign for comment.

politics, graham platner, midterm elections, democrats elections, democratic party, sex crimes

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Who is Turkey’s Erdoğan? How NATO’s most unpredictable leader keeps reinventing himself

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As President Donald Trump heads to Ankara, Turkey, for the upcoming NATO summit, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is again at the center of alliance politics. 

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Trump has praised Erdoğan as «a friend» and «a respected leader,» underscoring a relationship that could shape defense talks between Washington and Turkey, including Turkey’s long-running effort to restore deeper military cooperation. 

The moment highlights the remarkable position Erdoğan occupies today: Once regarded as one of NATO’s most troublesome allies after taking delivery of the Russian S-400 missile defense system in 2019, Turkey has become increasingly difficult for the alliance to sideline as the war in Ukraine drags on, instability grips the Middle East and the Black Sea grows more strategic. 

For many, however, Erdoğan remains an enigma. Rather than being driven by a fixed worldview, experts argue, Erdoğan repeatedly has reinvented himself politically, adopting whichever ideology best serves his overriding objective: remaining in power. 

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TURKEY DETAINS OVER 200 SUSPECTS, INCLUDING ALLEGED ISIS MILITANTS, IN SWEEPING RAID AHEAD OF NATO SUMMIT

As President Donald Trump heads to Ankara, Turkey, for the upcoming NATO summit, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is again at the center of alliance politics. (Pierre Crom/Getty Images)

Erdoğan has ruled Turkey for more than two decades, evolving from an Istanbul mayor with Islamist roots into a pro-European reformer, then a nationalist strongman, and now a pivotal NATO power broker courted by Trump. 

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To supporters, he restored Turkey’s global stature. To critics, he hollowed out its democracy while jailing rivals, journalists and activists. But Erdoğan’s most defining trait, experts say, may be less ideology than survival.

Is he an Islamist? A nationalist? A Western ally? A Russian partner? An authoritarian?

Perhaps the most important thing to understand about Erdoğan is that he has been all of those things — at different moments, according to Gönül Tol, founding director of the Middle East Institute’s Turkey Program and author of «Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria.» 

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«He’s not an ideological man,» Tol told Fox News Digital. «He’s very pragmatic, first and foremost a populist.»

SIX KURDISH FIGHTERS KILLED IN IRGC AMBUSH AS CLASHES SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN IRAN

Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a meeting in Istanbul, Friday, July 21, 2017. Erdogan has accused Germany's government of trying to scare off investments to Turkey with lies, after Germany toughened its stance toward Ankara following the arrest of human rights activists, including a German national.(Presidential Press Service/Pool photo via AP)

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remains an enigma for many. (AP)

The Conservative Democrat

Erdoğan’s roots lie in Turkey’s Islamist political movement. Educated at an Imam Hatip religious school, he entered politics through National Outlook, a right-wing Islamist movement founded by Necmettin Erbakan, and eventually became mayor of Istanbul as a member of Erbakan’s Welfare Party.

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But after founding the AKP, or Justice and Development Party, in 2001, Erdoğan abandoned the Islamist label, presenting himself instead as a «conservative democrat» committed to economic reform and closer ties with Europe — a shift that experts say marked the first of several political reinventions.

When Erdoğan and his Justice and Development Party first swept to power in 2002, Turkey was seeking membership in the European Union, military influence over politics was shrinking, and Erdoğan promised democratic reforms, economic modernization and closer ties with the West.

Many liberals and centrists initially supported him.

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«He often said, ‘I’m not an Islamist anymore. I’m a conservative democrat,’» Tol said. «And that brand really served him well.»

Those early years transformed both Turkey’s economy and Erdoğan’s popularity.

TRUMP BETS ON FORMER NATO TROUBLEMAKER AS TURKEY’S STRATEGIC VALUE SURGES

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Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a rally in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza

Many liberals and centrists initially supported Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan. (Dilara Senkaya/Reuters)

The Islamist

After consolidating power, Erdoğan began another political transformation.

Following the Arab Spring in 2011, he increasingly portrayed himself as a champion of political Islam, backing Islamist movements across the Middle East while presenting himself domestically as the defender of Turkey’s conservative religious majority.

«He wanted to inject more Islam into public life, into education,» Tol said. «He was using this more Islamist narrative… the goal was always to acquire more power.»

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That anti-Western turn went beyond rhetoric. 

In 2016, Erdoğan accused the U.S.-led coalition of supporting terrorist groups in Syria, including ISIS and Kurdish militias that Turkey considers terrorist organizations— an allegation the State Department dismissed as «ludicrous,» according to Reuters.

His increasingly vocal support for Hamas and sharp criticism of Israel became defining features of his foreign policy. 

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«The perpetrators of the massacre and the destruction taking place in Gaza are those providing unlimited support for Israel,» Erdoğan said in 2023, adding that Israel’s attacks and those backing them amounted to «murder and mental illness,» according to Reuters.

Tol cautions against viewing those positions alone as evidence that Erdoğan remains primarily motivated by Islamism. 

«Anti-Israel sentiment cuts across ideological lines in Turkey,» she said, arguing that Erdoğan’s foreign policy has consistently reflected political calculation more than religious doctrine.

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TRUMP’S TURKEY ARMS SALE PROPOSAL SPARKS CONGRESSIONAL QUESTIONS BEFORE NATO SUMMIT

A group of protesters seen carrying a banner with pictures of the slain Hamas leaders Ismail Haniyeh and Yahya Sinwar.

Protesters carry a banner with pictures of the slain Hamas leaders Ismail Haniyeh and Yahya Sinwar. (Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

The nationalist strongman

As Turkey’s economy slowed and regional ambitions faltered, Erdoğan pivoted once again.

He embraced Turkish nationalism, built alliances with hardline nationalist parties and cultivated the image of an indispensable strongman capable of restoring Turkey’s historical influence.

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Supporters credit him with transforming Turkey into a regional power.

«He does have genuine support,» Tol said, estimating his support at roughly 35%.

Some supporters depend on government assistance and patronage networks built under his rule. Others believe Erdoğan restored dignity to conservative religious Turks who long felt marginalized by the country’s secular establishment.

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Still others view his increasingly assertive foreign policy as proof Turkey has reclaimed its place on the world stage.

«They think, ‘We have become a world-class nation,’» Tol said. «‘Everyone is praising our president. Turkey is a big player.’»

While Erdoğan continues to command a loyal political base, critics say the price has been Turkey’s democratic institutions.

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Authorities increasingly have used courts and criminal investigations to sideline political opponents, including Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, whose arrest earlier in 2026 triggered nationwide demonstrations, according to Human Rights Watch.

The organization says the government has intensified efforts to weaken Turkey’s main opposition party despite its strong performance in the 2024 municipal elections.

TRUMP’S PERSONAL FEUDS WITH ALLIES FROM ITALY TO ISRAEL REVEAL HOW PERSONALITY DRIVES HIS FOREIGN POLICY

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President Donald Trump and Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan

President Donald Trump greets Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during a summit to support ending the war in Gaza, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (Evan Vucci AP Photo/ Pool)

The NATO dealmaker

Today, Erdoğan finds himself in another political transformation.

After years of anti-Western rhetoric and disputes with Washington, Turkey has worked to repair relations with the United States and Europe.

That rhetoric was once central to Erdoğan’s posture. 

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He accused the U.S.-led coalition in Syria of supporting terrorist groups, blasted Washington’s sanctions over Turkey’s purchase of the Russian S-400 missile defense system, calling them a «hostile attack» on Turkey’s sovereign rights and defense industry, and repeatedly accused Western governments of enabling Israel’s war in Gaza.

The shift comes as Turkey’s strategic importance has grown dramatically.

The S-400 purchase remains at the center of one of the biggest unresolved disputes between Washington and Ankara. After Turkey took delivery of the Russian system in 2019, the U.S. expelled Turkey from the F-35 fighter jet program and later imposed sanctions on Turkey’s defense procurement agency.

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Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey James Jeffrey recently told Fox News Digital that restoring Turkey to the F-35 program remains far more complicated than other defense deals because operating the Russian-made S-400 alongside America’s most advanced stealth fighter could expose sensitive U.S. technology.

«The F-35 is a different issue,» Jeffrey said, arguing that the problem is technical, not merely political.

Turkey controls the Bosporus and Dardanelles, fields NATO’s second-largest military and plays a critical role in the Black Sea following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

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Jeffrey said that Turkey has been «essential to Ukraine staying in the fight,» pointing to Turkey’s enforcement of the Montreux Convention, a 1936 treaty that gives Turkey control over naval passage through the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits, its early delivery of Bayraktar drones to Ukraine, and its role as a mediator between Kyiv and Moscow. 

«You can’t contain Russia in the Black Sea without Turkey,» Jeffrey said.

For Tol, however, Erdoğan’s latest embrace of NATO is simply another example of his political flexibility.

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«There was a time when he was very anti-Western, very critical of NATO, very critical of the United States,» she said.

«And now look at him.»

Anti-Erdogan protests

People chant slogans as they protest the arrest of Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in Istanbul, Turkey, March 19, 2025. (Francisco Seco/The Associated Press )

Growing criticism

Human Rights Watch argues Erdoğan has used Turkey’s growing importance to NATO as political cover while expanding pressure on journalists, activists and opposition figures.

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Freedom House says Erdoğan has become «increasingly authoritarian» over the past decade, consolidating power through constitutional changes and the imprisonment of political opponents, independent journalists and civil society figures.

Turkey’s prisons held more than 420,000 inmates — far exceeding their official capacity of roughly 304,000, according to a June 2026 report citing Turkish Justice Ministry figures.

 NATO allies have grown quieter on Turkey’s rights record as Ankara’s strategic value has risen, Reuters reported ahead of the summit, with former U.S. Ambassador David Satterfield saying it remains important for the West to speak publicly about the «degradation of democratic institutions in Turkey.»

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Tol believes Erdoğan’s domestic agenda can be understood through a single principle.

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f0d46dfe-Sweden Turkey Protests

People take part in a demonstration against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Sweden’s NATO bid arranged by The Kurdish Democratic Society Center in Sweden, in Stockholm, Jan. 21. 2023. (Christine Olsson/TT via AP)

«Everything is designed to keep him in power,» she said. «Beyond that, I don’t see a binding ideology that brings together all his policies.»

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As Trump heads to Turkey, that may be the key to understanding one of NATO’s most consequential — and unpredictable — leaders.

Fox News Digital reached out to the Turkish government for comment.

Fox News Digital’s Morgan Phillips and Reuters contributed to this report.

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