A confidential report prepared for Iran’s presidency is raising a consequential question for Washington and its allies: Do extraordinary levels of public anger and support for systemic change justify reassessing whether the Islamic Republic may be more vulnerable to regime change than previously believed?

The classified document, titled «What Iran Wants,» reportedly found that only 9% of respondents supported maintaining the status quo, with 53% calling for fundamental or structural reforms and more than 19% favoring changing the political system outright.

Taken together, nearly three-quarters of those surveyed reportedly supported either deep structural reform or replacement of the existing system — findings that could strengthen arguments that Iran’s political crisis has moved beyond dissatisfaction with individual leaders or policies.

IRANIANS SPEAK OUT OVER POSSIBLE TRUMP-REGIME DEAL

IranWire reported on July 13 that it had obtained the document, which was compiled by Ali Rabiei, President Masoud Pezeshkian’s social adviser and a former government spokesman. It was based on polling conducted by the Ara Opinion Research Center in May 2026 and circulated among institutions within Iran’s governing structure in June, according to the outlet.

Miad Maleki, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital that the report should prompt a fresh assessment of the potential for political upheaval inside Iran.

«If anything, this research understates the depth of Iranians’ rage,» Maleki said. «And that is what makes it remarkable: even a survey prepared for the regime’s own president, by its own pollsters, records anger levels above 63%, well beyond the highest rate Gallup has ever recorded anywhere in the world, alongside 81% struggling to put food on the table and a majority expressing hopelessness.»

Maleki cautioned that polling conducted under an authoritarian government cannot be treated as precise because respondents may fear the consequences of expressing opposition.

«In a police state where expressing the wrong opinion can cost you your job, your freedom, or your life, respondents self-censor, which means these findings are best read as a floor, not a ceiling,» he said.

TRUMP ADMIN BYPASSES TEHRAN’S ISOLATION CAMPAIGN TO REACH IRANIANS DIRECTLY

In this picture obtained from Iran’s ISNA news agency, Mojtaba Khamenei (C), son of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, walks along a street in Tehran on May 31, 2019. (Hamid FOROUTAN / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images)

The complete survey methodology was not included in the material obtained by IranWire. The report reportedly did not disclose how respondents were selected, who was questioned or whether the sample reflected Iran’s geographic and demographic makeup.

Its findings therefore cannot be independently verified or treated as definitive measurements of Iranian opinion. The report also cannot establish that dissatisfaction will translate into an organized movement capable of removing the government.

Still, its findings portray multiple pressures converging at once.

Approximately 64% of respondents reported persistent anger, up roughly 12% points from a previous government survey conducted in December 2025. Half reported hopelessness, approximately 48% reported sadness or depression and about 45% reported persistent fear or anxiety, according to IranWire.

Economic distress also appears central to the public anger.

More than 81% experienced severe or partial difficulty obtaining enough food, while 75% struggled to cover medical costs, IranWire reported. Fifty-four percent said their income did not cover current household expenses, and only 8% reported earning enough to save.

Respondents blamed domestic governance more frequently than international pressure. 46.9% cited government inefficiency as the cause of Iran’s economic problems, 26.3% blamed corruption and 20.7% cited foreign sanctions.

IRAN TO EXECUTE FIRST FEMALE PROTESTER TIED TO ANTI-REGIME UNREST

Thousands gathered at Revolution Square in Tehran on May 30, 2026, to protest attacks by the US and Israel on Iran, carrying Iranian flags and posters of the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. (Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu)

That finding could be especially significant to the regime-change debate because it suggests many Iranians do not primarily blame outside powers for their deteriorating living conditions.

The document also points to a crisis of institutional confidence. Roughly 60% reportedly distrusted major government institutions, while 61.2% negatively assessed officials’ ability to solve Iran’s problems. Distrust of the government, parliament, judiciary and state television remained above 50%, IranWire reported.

The report’s recommendations, however, reportedly centered on managing dissatisfaction rather than addressing demands for systemic change.

Rabiei urged state institutions to better explain the impact of sanctions, moderate the rhetoric used by officials and religious platforms, present a more inclusive image through state television and avoid policies that place the government in direct confrontation with society.

Cars burn in a street during a protest over the collapse of the currency’s value in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8, 2026. (Stringer/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS)

IranWire’s follow-up analysis argued that the recommendations treated Iran’s crisis primarily as a communications and public-perception problem. The report offered few concrete proposals involving institutional accountability, political liberalization or fundamental economic reform, according to the outlet.

Maleki said the findings were consistent with the expanding scale of unrest, citing demonstrations that spread from more than 80 cities in 2017 to more than 200 cities across all 31 provinces this year, alongside what he described as a quadrupling of strikes.

«Iranians have moved from being skeptical of what another revolution might bring to concluding there is no alternative to one, because reform has proven impossible,» Maleki said.

Yet the report does not resolve one of the largest obstacles to regime change: The Islamic Republic has spent decades building institutions designed to monitor, deter and violently suppress organized opposition.

«This regime was born of revolution, by revolutionaries,» Maleki said. «Preventing and crushing the next one is the one thing they genuinely know how to do.»

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

Buses that were burned during Iran’s protests, in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 21, 2026. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters)

He nevertheless argued that further unrest was inevitable.

«So the discontent will translate into renewed protest,» Maleki said. «The question is not if, but when, and whether anyone is prepared to stand with the Iranian people when it does.»

After Democrat Tim Walz doubled down on his move to pardon a foreign child rapist prior to his deportation, the State Department took another swing at the Minnesota governor in an escalating back-and-forth.

The Minnesota Board of Pardons, comprised of Walz, state Attorney General Keith Ellison and state Chief Justice Natalie Hudson, granted clemency to Laotian national Tou Lue Vang, 42, on June 10. Vang was scheduled to be deported from the United States before the pardon.

«Governor Walz’s pardon of a convicted foreign sex offender was a grave and unconscionable betrayal of the very people he is supposed to defend,» State Department Assistant Secretary Dylan Johnson told Fox News Digital.

WALZ, MINNESOTA BOARD OF PARDONS CLEARS CONVICTED ILLEGAL ALIEN CHILD SEX OFFENDER FACING DEPORTATION

«Walz’s plot to sacrifice the safety of Americans on the altar of open borders was thwarted by Secretary Rubio. Now this foreign criminal will never harm another American,» he continued.

Vang was convicted for repeatedly raping a 10-year-old girl between 2002 and 2004, and told authorities after he was arrested that «it is a cultural thing… to marry and have sex with girls as young as 12.»

Secretary of State Marco Rubio revoked Vang’s visa earlier this month, and he was deported back to Laos.

Walz defended the clemency move in a Tuesday press conference, contending that deportation of a convicted child rapist did not make the U.S. safer.

«Did that make us any safer?» Walz questioned. «Did that make the children that are left behind any more stable? Did it improve the idea that we can’t all be judged by our worst day?»

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for Secretary of State, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) testifies during his Senate Foreign Relations confirmation hearing at Dirksen Senate Office Building on Jan. 15, 2025 in Washington, D.C. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

TIM WALZ OFFERS STRANGE DEFENSE FOR PARDONING CONVICTED CHILD RAPIST TRUMP ADMINISTRATION DEPORTED

Still, Walz admitted that Vang’s crimes were «horrific.»

The State Department raked Walz over the coals for downplaying Vang’s crimes.

«Walz sides with foreign criminals. Secretary Rubio sides with the American people,» Johnson told Fox News Digital of the governor’s remarks. «Walz wants open borders. This administration ended the era of mass migration. Walz endangered the American people. Secretary Rubio protected them.»

EXPOSED DOCS REVEAL WHY TIM WALZ BOARD AWARDED REPEAT CHILD RAPIST PARDON: ‘NO FUTURE’

Upon last week’s announcement that the State Department had skirted Walz’s pardon and deported Vang anyway, Rubio scolded Walz for granting Vang clemency in the first place.

«Americans should never have to live in fear that foreign sex predators — shielded from deportation by their own elected officials — could endanger them or their children,» he told Fox News Digital

«That’s why I terminated his legal status in the United States,» he continued. «Vang has now been removed from our country and will never pose a threat to any American ever again.»

Mugshot of Tue Lue Vang, a convicted Laotian illegal alien child rapist who has been deported from the United States. (Department of Homeland Security)

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

At the time of Vang’s pardon, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) feared that the move would shield the criminal illegal alien from deportation.

«Governor Tim Walz’s decision to pardon an illegal alien convicted child rapist so he can remain in our country is disgusting,» DHS Acting Assistant Secretary Lauren Bis said at the time.

«These are the criminal illegal aliens he and his Minnesota sanctuary politicians are protecting.»

La exhibición de una bandera sobre las Islas Malvinas por parte de los jugadores de la Selección en la semifinal del Mundial 2026 reabrió el debate sobre la disputa de la soberanía argentina por el archipiélago. En ese contexto, el diario británico The Guardian publicó un editorial en el que instó al Reino Unido a retomar las negociaciones con la Argentina y sostuvo que las islas “no pueden ser británicas para siempre”.

En el artículo, el periodista Simon Jenkins sostuvo que mantener indefinidamente la soberanía británica sobre las Islas Malvinas resulta “insostenible” desde el punto de vista político y geopolítico. En esa línea, mencionó el reciente acuerdo alcanzado entre el Reino Unido y España sobre la caída del muro fronterizo en Gibraltar. “Pero, ¿será mucho esperar que una negociación similar surja producto de la semifinal?“, planteó Jenkins.

“Ninguno de los territorios de la era imperial británica tiene el derecho eterno de permanecer como están, menos uno que le cuesta a los contribuyentes británicos más de 60 millones de libras esterlinas en materia de defensa por año”, cuestionó.

Según el editorial del diario The Guardian, la firme defensa de la soberanía británica sobre las Islas Malvinas encuentra una de sus principales explicaciones en el rédito político que obtuvo la ex primera ministra Margaret Thatcher con la victoria en conflicto bélico de 1982.

“Lo que se olvida es que, antes de la guerra, los gobiernos británicos estaban negociando la transferencia de la soberanía de las islas con Argentina”, recordó Jenkins. Según explicó, esas conversaciones se apoyaban en un acuerdo firmado con Buenos Aires en 1971, que “permitió a los isleños comerciar y viajar con el continente, utilizando sus hospitales, comercios y demás servicios”.

Y agregó: “La cuestión no radicaba en derechos históricos —un argumento eterno— sino en el sentido común geográfico. Para Gran Bretaña, era absurdo que un Estado europeo financiara una gran armada para defender territorios distantes y en disputa. Desesperado por ahorrar dinero, el gobierno ya se estaba retirando del Atlántico Sur. Las Malvinas quedaron expuestas e indefensas”.

Para The Guardian, la guerra puso fin a las negociaciones que ambos países mantenían hasta ese momento, pero no justifica que el Reino Unido haya descartado cualquier diálogo sobre la soberanía durante más de 40 años

“La realidad es que estas colonias, inevitablemente, tarde o temprano, se convertirán en parte de sus continentes. No pueden ser protegidas indefinidamente por un patrón europeo y los reclamos argentinos no se irán a ningún lado”, señaló.

En ese sentido, el columnista consideró que el gobierno de Reino Unido terminará retomando las conversaciones con la Argentina, pero advirtió que “el Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores y de la Commonwealth y el ministro de Defensa pospondrán el problema”.

«Sería gratificante si la bandera de las Malvinas exhibida durante un partido de fútbol sacudiera a alguien para que pase a la acción», concluyó el editorial.

Los kelpers cuestionaron a la Selección argentina por la bandera de Malvinas

A través de un comunicado oficial difundido este jueves, las autoridades del archipiélago manifestaron su “decepción” por lo ocurrido durante la semifinal del Mundial, reclamaron que la política no interfiera en el deporte y solicitaron a la FIFA que evalúe la aplicación de sanciones.

En el texto, las autoridades locales señalaron que lamentan la decisión del plantel argentino de utilizar ese símbolo en un partido que, según sostienen, “de ninguna manera involucraba a las Islas Falkland”.

“El pueblo de las islas fue víctima de una invasión agresiva en 1982, que dejó a muchas personas traumatizadas. Por lo tanto, la bandera exhibida por Argentina anoche fue particularmente insensible para muchas personas de las Falkland”, afirmaron.