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US drains critical missile stockpiles in Iran war as yearslong rebuild looms

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The U.S. may have burned through roughly half of its Patriot missile interceptors during the conflict with Iran, according to a new analysis, underscoring how even a campaign lasting just weeks can place heavy strain on key munitions stockpiles.

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While the U.S. still has enough firepower to sustain operations in the current fight, analysts warn the greater risk lies in a future conflict against a peer adversary.

A report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) found that U.S. forces used large shares of several critical munitions during the 39-day air and missile campaign, including more than 850 Tomahawk cruise missiles and more than 1,000 Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles (JASSMs). Patriot interceptor use was estimated between roughly 1,060 and 1,430 missiles — more than half of the U.S. prewar inventory.

Exact U.S. munitions stockpiles are classified, and the figures in the report are estimates derived from Pentagon budget documents, historical procurement data and reported battlefield usage.

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TRUMP RALLIES DEFENSE TITANS TO SURGE WEAPONS OUTPUT AS IRAN WAR RAGES

Even before the Iran war, U.S. stockpiles of key precision munitions were considered insufficient for a large-scale conflict with a peer adversary such as China. The latest drawdowns have made that gap more acute. 

A future war in the Western Pacific would likely require sustained use of the same high-end missiles now being depleted, particularly for long-range strike and missile defense against a sophisticated adversary.

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The U.S. may have burned through roughly half of its Patriot missile interceptors during the conflict with Iran, according to a new analysis.  (Sam Yeh/AFP)

Other high-end systems were also heavily drawn down. 

The U.S. is estimated to have used between 190 and 290 Terminal High Altitude Area Defense interceptors, which cost about $15.5 million each, and between 130 and 250 SM-3 interceptors, among the most expensive in the arsenal at roughly $28.7 million apiece. 

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The Navy’s SM-6 missile, which costs about $5.3 million per unit, also saw significant use, with estimates ranging from 190 to 370 fired.

Long-range strike weapons used in the conflict carry similarly high price tags. 

Tomahawk land attack missiles cost about $2.6 million each, while JASSMs are priced at roughly $2.6 million per missile. The Army’s newer precision strike missile (PrSM), costing around $1.6 million per unit, was also used in smaller numbers, with estimates ranging from 40 to 70 fired.

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Pentagon chief spokesperson Sean Parnell denied reports of stockpile shortages. 

«America’s military is the most powerful in the world and has everything it needs to execute at the time and place of the President’s choosing,» he said in a statement.

«As Secretary Hegseth has highlighted numerous times, it took less than ten percent of American naval power to control the traffic going in and out of the Strait of Hormuz. Since President Trump took office, we have executed multiple successful operations across combatant commands while ensuring the U.S. military possesses a deep arsenal of capabilities to protect our people and our interests. Attempts to alarm Americans over the Department’s magazine depth are both ill-informed and dishonorable.»

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A Navy official added to Fox News Digital: «The Navy is taking aggressive steps to increase our munitions stockpiles and strengthen the industrial base; as reflected in our FY27 budget request of $22.6 billion, which will fund over 4,600 all-up rounds.» 

«We are significantly increasing production for our most critical systems, including the Standard Missile, Tomahawk, AMRAAM, and the PAC-3. To support this surge and provide a stable demand signal to our industry partners, we are continuing the multi-year procurements for LRASM and NSM, while initiating new multi-year contracts for the Tomahawk and Standard Missile.  We are also working with the Department of War through the Munitions Acceleration Council (MAC), to synchronize efforts across the enterprise to break down barriers and speed up production.»

The Pentagon’s latest budget request underscores the urgency: The administration is seeking roughly $70 billion for munitions in fiscal year 2027 — a nearly threefold increase over current levels — as it moves to replenish stockpiles strained by recent conflicts, including Iran and Ukraine. The request includes sharp increases in purchases of key systems used in the war, including Tomahawk cruise missiles, Patriot and THAAD interceptors, and long-range strike weapons.

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Iran maintains thousands of missiles and drones, according to Defense Intelligence Agency director Lt. Gen. James Adams.

«Despite significant degradation of Iranian military capabilities through coalition strikes in operation Epic Fury Tehran retains thousands of missiles and one-way attack UAV’s capable of threatening U.S. and partner forces throughout the region,» he told the House Armed Services Committee Wednesday.

IRAN’S REMAINING WEAPONS: HOW TEHRAN CAN STILL DISRUPT THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ

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Despite the heavy expenditures, the U.S. retains enough munitions to sustain operations in the current conflict. The report notes that after heavy use of long-range missiles in the early phase of the campaign, U.S. forces shifted toward less expensive and more plentiful weapons, including Joint Direct Attack Munitions and other short-range systems.

The concern, analysts say, is what comes next.

Rebuilding those inventories will take years. According to the CSIS analysis, delivery timelines for many of these systems range from roughly three to more than five years, factoring in contracting delays, production lead times and manufacturing capacity limits.

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Staff Sgt. Cory D. Payne loading THAAD system onto C-17 Globemaster III at Fort Bliss Texas

The U.S. is estimated to have used between 190 and 290 THAAD interceptors, which cost about $15.5 million each, and between 130 and 250 SM-3 interceptors, among the most expensive in the arsenal at roughly $28.7 million apiece. (Staff Sgt. Cory D. Payne/U.S. Air Force/AP)

That lag comes as global demand for the same systems continues to rise. 

Patriot interceptors, for example, are in high demand among U.S. allies, including Ukraine, which has relied heavily on them for air defense. Other partners in Europe and Asia also are seeking to expand their own stockpiles, creating competition for limited production capacity.

The Trump administration has pushed to rapidly expand production of key munitions, with defense contractors planning major increases in output. 

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Lockheed Martin, for example, is aiming to boost Patriot interceptor production from roughly 600 per year to about 2,000 by the end of the decade, while also expanding THAAD interceptor capacity from under 100 annually to several hundred. RTX has said it will increase Tomahawk production to more than 1,000 missiles per year, a significant jump from recent levels.

But those increases will take time. 

In its latest budget request for fiscal year 2027, the Pentagon is calling for a surge in munitions procurement, yet analysts caution that even with additional funding and planned production gains, the defense industrial base cannot quickly replace weapons already expended.

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Lockheed Martin JASSM cruise missile

Image shows a Lockheed Martin JASSM cruise with a C-130. A report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) found that U.S. forces used large shares of several critical munitions during the 39-day air and missile campaign, including more than 850 Tomahawk cruise missiles and over 1,000 Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles (JASSMs). (Richard Baker / In Pictures via Getty Images)

Pentagon officials already had raised concerns about U.S. munitions stockpiles after years of military support for Ukraine. 

In 2025, the Pentagon paused shipments of some air defense missiles and other weapons to Kyiv following an internal review that found certain inventories had declined too far.

The strain is already affecting U.S. allies in Europe. U.S. officials have warned that some previously contracted weapons deliveries to European countries — including in the Baltic region — could be delayed as the Iran war draws down American stockpiles.

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Leaders in Estonia and Lithuania said they had been informed that delivery timelines for U.S. military equipment were shifting, with some ammunition shipments «put on hold» as Washington works through supply constraints.

One European defense official told Fox News Digital that delays could have longer-term consequences, warning that allies may begin to «rethink» future purchases of U.S. weapons if delivery timelines become unreliable.

The production bottlenecks are not new. The U.S. has faced a backlog of more than $20 billion in approved weapons sales to Taiwan, with delivery timelines for some major systems slipping by years due in part to limited industrial capacity.

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During the conflict, the Pentagon moved elements of its THAAD system from South Korea to the Middle East to bolster defenses against Iranian missile attacks, according to multiple reports. The redeployment highlights the tradeoffs facing U.S. planners as they shift limited high-end air defense assets between regions.

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The result is a growing challenge for U.S. defense planners: sustaining current conflicts while preparing for a potentially larger war ahead.

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Fox News has reached out to the Pentagon and relevant service branches for comment.

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La trampa china: por qué la transición energética alimenta el poder del régimen de Xi Jinping

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El presidente chino Xi Jinping preside una ilustración que fusiona la bandera de China con paneles solares, un mapa de Irán y símbolos industriales, destacando su política energética.

Cuando la guerra en Irán puso en jaque el tráfico en el Estrecho de Ormuz, la reacción de los gobiernos de medio planeta fue casi unánime: acelerar la transición a energías limpias. Pero esa respuesta viene con trampa, porque desemboca en una nueva dependencia, la china.

Según el think tank de energía británico Ember, China produce cuatro de cada cinco módulos solares del mundo y una proporción similar de celdas de batería, además de más de dos tercios de los vehículos eléctricos. La Agencia Internacional de Energía (AIE) confirma esos números y agrega algo más incómodo: las fábricas chinas ya tienen capacidad instalada para abastecer por sí solas la demanda solar global proyectada para 2030.

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En minerales críticos -los metales que van en turbinas eólicas, autos eléctricos y equipamiento militar- la concentración es todavía mayor. El think tank internacional Chatham House documentó en marzo de 2026 que China extrae, procesa o controla más del 70% del cobalto y el litio del mundo, y es el principal refinador de 19 de los 20 minerales industriales más importantes. Para las tierras raras -17 elementos metálicos esenciales en dispositivos de alta tecnología-, el dominio chino alcanza el 90% de la producción mundial de imanes de alto rendimiento, según el Council on Foreign Relations (CFR).

Esto no surgió solo del mercado. El mismo informe del CFR documenta que entre 2000 y 2021, Beijing canalizó casi 57.000 millones de dólares hacia la extracción y refinación de minerales en casi 20 países de África, América Latina y Asia. Con programas como “Made in China 2025”, el régimen de Xi Jinping identificó las energías renovables y los vehículos eléctricos como sectores estratégicos y les inyectó subsidios, incentivos fiscales y financiamiento estatal. Así, desde 2010, los costos de la energía solar, la eólica y las baterías cayeron entre un 60% y un 90%, según la AIE. La tecnología china no es más barata por eficiencia de mercado, es más barata porque el régimen chino decidió hace dos décadas que lo fuera.

Infografía sobre el dominio de China en tecnología verde, mostrando un mapa mundial, la bandera china, fábricas, y estadísticas sobre paneles solares, baterías y minerales.
El avance global hacia energías limpias ha incrementado la dependencia mundial respecto a la tecnología verde china, que domina la producción de paneles solares, baterías, vehículos eléctricos y minerales críticos. (Imagen Ilustrativa Infobae)

En los primeros 44 días del conflicto, según datos citados por la presidenta de la Comisión Europea Ursula von der Leyen, la factura europea de importaciones de combustibles fósiles creció en más de 22.000 millones de euros. El Banco Central Europeo advirtió que un conflicto prolongado podría empujar a Alemania e Italia a una recesión técnica antes de fin de 2026 y elevó su proyección de inflación para la zona euro a un rango de entre 2,6% y 4,4por ciento. En Asia, la escasez de combustible derivó en semanas laborales de cuatro días en Filipinas y Bangladesh y en límites al uso de gas industrial en India.

El Centro de Estudios Estratégicos e Internacionales (CSIS) de Washington, en un análisis de marzo de 2026, destaca que a diferencia de crisis petroleras anteriores, hoy existe una alternativa tecnológicamente madura: la electrificación. Sam Butler-Sloss, director de investigación de Ember, lo explicó en una entrevista con CNBC: “Este es el momento de Asia equivalente al de Ucrania para Europa. De la misma manera en que la guerra en Ucrania obligó a Europa a cortar su dependencia del gas ruso, el Estrecho de Ormuz va a empujar a Asia a cortar su dependencia del petróleo, pero con tecnología aún más barata disponible”.

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Gonzalo Escribano, investigador del Real Instituto Elcano, fue más directo: las renovables “ya no son percibidas como política ambiental sino como un activo geopolítico”. El problema es que acelerar esa transición significa comprar más paneles, baterías y autos eléctricos. Y todo eso se fabrica en China.

Frente al dilema, los países adoptaron estrategias muy distintas, y ninguna cierra del todo. Estados Unidos optó por el bloqueo duro: aranceles del 100% sobre autos eléctricos chinos y tarifas elevadas sobre paneles solares y baterías. Pero el Centro de Política Energética Global de Columbia, en un informe de octubre de 2025, advirtió que esa política es contraproducente: los aranceles a China van acompañados de tarifas similares o mayores sobre países que podrían proveer alternativas, como India o Brasil, lo que les impide competir en precio.

Trump impuso aranceles del 100% sobre autos eléctricos chinos (Reuters)
Trump impuso aranceles del 100% sobre autos eléctricos chinos (Reuters)

La Unión Europea eligió un camino intermedio. Impuso aranceles compensatorios sobre autos eléctricos chinos de hasta un 35% adicional e prepara subsidios estatales. Pero el Centre for European Reform advirtió que los aranceles de Trump sobre China están redirigiendo exportaciones baratas chinas hacia Europa, amplificando la presión sobre los fabricantes europeos. La AIE calcula que fabricar celdas de batería en China cuesta entre un 20% y un 35% menos que en Europa, una brecha estructural que ningún arancel borra de un día para el otro.

La tercera respuesta, la más extendida, es el pragmatismo. Canadá redujo su arancel del 100% sobre autos eléctricos chinos a cambio de que Beijing levantara restricciones sobre productos agrícolas canadienses. España aceptó inversión china en su sector energético, lo que en parte explica por qué su red renovable amortizó el shock de precios mejor que sus vecinos.

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La región ocupa un lugar peculiar en este mapa. Chile y Argentina concentran gran parte de las reservas mundiales de litio, el mineral clave de las baterías. Brasil tiene grandes depósitos de tierras raras y niobio. Pero el flujo comercial real cuenta una historia distinta: en 2024, Brasil importó alrededor de 90 gigawatts de capacidad solar desde China, una cantidad equivalente a un tercio de toda su capacidad de generación eléctrica. El litio que se extrae en el sur del continente viaja a refinerías chinas, se convierte en baterías y vuelve a la región incorporado en productos terminados.

Brasil está intentando romper esa lógica imponiendo aranceles sobre autos eléctricos chinos para forzar la instalación de fábricas locales, apostando a capturar empleos, ingresos fiscales y conocimiento del proceso productivo. Pero la pregunta que la región todavía no ha respondido es si tiene la capacidad institucional para traducir sus recursos naturales en poder de negociación real, en lugar de repetir el patrón histórico de exportar materia prima barata e importar manufactura cara.

La trampa no tiene solución corto plazo. Los mismos gobiernos que llevan años intentando reducir su dependencia energética de regímenes autoritarios están financiando, panel por panel y batería por batería, la consolidación del dominio chino en tecnología verde.

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X: @FerKobe



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Texas Dem James Talarico rips ‘un-Christian’ court decision on what’s allowed in classrooms

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Texas Democrat James Talarico slammed a court ruling this week allowing Texas to enforce a law requiring classrooms to display the 10 Commandments, calling it a «deeply un-Christian decision.»

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He decried «Christian nationalism,» saying, «I’m a Christian, but I know that the most dangerous form of government is theocracy.»

Talarico, a Democratic Texas state representative, is running to flip one of Texas’ Senate seats blue for the first time in decades. Democrats believe Talarico has a real shot at defeating either incumbent GOP Sen. John Cornyn or current state Attorney General Ken Paxton. A Talarico victory would be devastating to the GOP’s hopes of retaining or expanding its Senate majority this November.

Speaking on CNN this week, Talarico condemned the decision by the federal Fifth Circuit Court. He suggested the law requiring the 10 Commandments to be displayed poses an affront to individuals in Texas who are Jewish, Muslim, Buddhist, Hindu, Sikh, agnostic and atheist.

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Texas state Rep. James Talarico, a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate, called a ruling allowing a Texas law requiring the 10 Commandments be displayed in schools «deeply un-Christian.» (Brandon Bell/Getty Images; Mike Simons/Getty Images)

«I don’t want anyone forcing their religion down my throat, and I certainly don’t want the government forcing a religion down my throat. So why would I do that to any of my neighbors?» he told CNN. «I think this is an unconstitutional decision, I also think this is a deeply un-Christian decision, because we are supposed to be loving all of our neighbors, particularly our neighbors of other faiths.»

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In a 9–8 ruling on Tuesday, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the Texas law requiring public schools across the state to display the Ten Commandments. The court ruled the law does not violate either the Constitution’s Establishment Clause or the Free Exercise Clause.

The court’s majority opinion stated that «because Plaintiffs fail to show that [Texas law] S.B. 10 substantially burdens their right to religious exercise, their Free Exercise claims must be dismissed.»

However, Talarico, who is a Presbyterian seminarian in addition to a former middle school teacher, asserted that the law runs afoul of the Christian imperative to love God and love neighbor.

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«My faith teaches me to love my neighbor as myself. Not just my neighbors who look like me, not just my neighbors who vote like me, not just my neighbors who pray like me. I’m called to love all of my neighbors the way I love myself. That includes my Jewish, Muslim, Buddhist, Hindu, Sikh, agnostic and atheist neighbors,» he said.

He also decried what he referred to as «Christian nationalism,» saying, «the only thing worse than a tyrant is a tyrant who thinks they’re on a mission from God.»

WATCH: HOUSTON FACES $110M HIT AS TEXAS GOV LAYS DOWN LAW ON ‘SANCTUARY’ POLICIES

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A copy of the Ten Commandments displayed on a classroom wall at Bagdad Elementary School in Leander, Texas.

A copy of the Ten Commandments is displayed in a classroom at Bagdad Elementary School in Leander, Texas, on Nov. 19, 2025, following a state law requiring school districts to post them in classrooms. (Jay Janner/The Austin American-Statesman/Getty Images)

As a member of the Texas House of Representatives, Talarico has opposed the 10 Commandments bill as «idolatrous» for years.

While speaking on CNN, he ripped into Paxton for praising the ruling. Smiling, he said, «I’m not sure that Ken Paxton is in a place to lecture us on moral values.»

Fox News Digital reached out to Paxton for comment.

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Paxton, who is currently locked in a bitter primary runoff with Cornyn, had called the ruling a «major victory for Texas and our moral values.»

He said the 10 Commandments «have had a profound impact on our nation, and it’s important that students learn from them every single day,» adding, «My office was proud to defend SB 10 and successfully ensure that the Ten Commandments will be displayed in classrooms across Texas.»

After Talarico’s dig, Paxton responded on X, writing, «James Talarico says God commands us to believe in six genders, support late-term abortion, and abuse children by ‘transitioning’ them. He’s completely and totally morally bankrupt.»

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GOP ZEROS IN ON SOUTH TEXAS DEM WHO URGED TRUMP TO ‘ALLOW PEOPLE TO CROSS FREELY’

Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in split image portraits

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, are heading to a runoff in Texas, extending their primary battle until late May. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu/Getty Images and Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Paxton was not the only one to slam Talarico’s take on the ruling. Turning Point USA spokesman Andrew Kolvet posted on X, «Imagine being a Christian who goes on CNN to condemn putting the Ten Commandments in schools. Imagine James Talarico.»

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In response, Talarico doubled down, telling Fox News Digital, «Jesus taught us to love God and love neighbor, because there is no love of God without love of neighbor. My faith teaches me to love my neighbor as myself. I don’t want the government forcing a religion down my throat.»

Talarico added that «the separation of church and state is a sacred boundary that doesn’t just benefit the state — it also benefits the church, because when the church gets too cozy with political power, it loses its prophetic voice.»

A spokesperson for Cornyn responded to Fox News Digital’s request for comment by saying, «We support the ruling.»

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US embassy in London warns to ‘exercise increased caution’ near Jewish sites in UK, Europe after attacks

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The U.S. embassy in London on Friday warned Americans to «exercise increased caution» while visiting Jewish and American areas in the U.K. and in Europe because of a recent rise in threats.

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«The U.S. Embassy in London notes recent attacks and threats targeting Jewish and American institutions in the United Kingdom and Europe,» the alert said. «U.S. citizens, particularly those visiting institutions serving Jewish or American interests, should remain alert and exercise increased caution.»

The embassy further advised Americans to remain alert while visiting tourist and expat areas and houses of worship, review personal security plans and to check local media for updates.

Concerned citizens can also enroll in the State Department’s Safe Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) to receive travel and security updates.

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NRA FORGES HISTORIC PARTNERSHIP WITH JEWISH GROUP AMID RISING ANTISEMITISM

Charred remains of ambulances belonging to Hatzola, a Jewish community organization, are seen after a fire in northwest London on March 23, 2026. Police are treating the incident as an antisemitic hate crime. (Hannah McKay/TPX Images of the Day/Reuters)

The advisory followed a series of recent antisemitic attacks in the U.K. and in Europe, including an arson attack on four ambulances linked to Jewish charity in London on March 23, an April 18 attack on the Kenton United Synagogue in London, and a March explosion at a Jewish school in Amsterdam that authorities called a «targeted attack against the Jewish community.»

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No one was injured, but the school was damaged.

ANTISEMITIC ATTACKER FACED 30-YEAR SENTENCE, GETS LESS THAN 1½ YEARS IN PLEA DEAL

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer speaking at Kenton United Synagogue in London

Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer speaks during a visit to Kenton United Synagogue in the Kenton district of London, Britain, on April 23, 2026. The synagogue was recently the target of an arson attack. (Dan Kitwood/Pool/Reuters)

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U.K. authorities are investigating whether «thugs for hire» backed by Iran are instigating the attacks in London, GB News reported.

Police officers patrolling near Kenton United Synagogue in Harrow

Police officers patrol near Kenton United Synagogue in Harrow, a suburb of London, on April 19, 2026. (Jamie Lashmar/PA)

Prime Minister Keir Starmer told the Jewish Chronicle: «In relation to malign state actors more generally, proscription, we do need legislation in order to take necessary measures, and that is legislation that we’re bringing forward as soon as we can.»



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