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Hamas influence looms over Gaza elections as experts warn vote could backfire

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On Saturday, Gazans in Deir al-Balah will go to the polls to elect new local leaders for the first time in 22 years — a move experts warn could allow Hamas room to maintain influence as it refuses to comply with ceasefire disarmament terms.
The Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Executive Director Jonathan Schanzer told Fox News Digital that «when you hold elections in the Palestinian Authority and the timing’s not right and the circumstances are still dicey, you get Hamas victories.»
Schanzer said the Bush administration’s 2006 decision to advocate for elections, which «led to Hamas winning, and it led to a standoff which led to a civil war,» adding that «you’ve got to be really careful when it comes to holding elections with a territory like Gaza in particular, where Hamas has so much control, and where terrorist organizations are still considered to be legitimate players.»
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Gazan journalists and media personnel continue to be posthumously identified as members of terrorist groups, highlighting the difficulty of distinguishing terror affiliates from civilians.
Election campaign banners showing candidates for the upcoming municipal elections hang on a building in Deir el-Balah in the central Gaza Strip on April 21, 2026. On April 25, voters will choose representatives in cities, towns and villages across the West Bank, with the ballot happening in part of the Gaza Strip in the first such election since the start of the war there in Oct. 2023. (Eyad Baba / AFP via Getty Images)
Four parties are contesting the election in Deir al-Balah. To be eligible, candidates were asked to accept the Palestine Liberation Organization and the terms of agreements it has previously made, including recognition of the State of Israel and endorsement of a two-state solution, according to reporting by the Center for Peace Communications.
However, many are concerned that one party, Deir al-Balah Unites Us, is affiliated with Hamas. Two of its candidates have been pictured with Hamas officials or police officers.
Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib, resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, posted on X that «holding elections in Gaza at this time is extremely reckless and irresponsible,» noting that «Gazans are being arrested, jailed, tortured, shot, and killed daily for social media posts and anything they say that’s perceived as being critical of Hamas. These elections should be halted and prevented from proceeding, for they are meddling with the transition process that the Board of Peace, [National Council for the Administration of Gaza], and the international community have planned for Gaza, with Hamas’s disarmament and relinquishment of power being the first necessary step.»
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Disarmament of Hamas, a key demand within the second phase of President Donald Trump’s ceasefire agreement, has yet to be completed. Reports indicate that Hamas has increased its hold in Gaza as of March, continuing to tax locals, building education systems, and placing police throughout the territory they hold.

Hamas terrorists stand guard in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on Feb. 22, 2025, during the handover of hostages as part of a ceasefire and hostages-prisoners swap deal with Israel. (Hatem Khaled/Reuters)
Schanzer says that Hamas is unlikely to hand over its arms. If they were to do so, he said that they «will try to make distinctions between weapons,» possibly offering to give up heavy weapons like RPGs while maintaining a large arsenal of automatic weapons.
Hamas appears to have made a partial disarmament offer. The New York Times reported on April 19 that two Hamas officials said they would hand over thousands of weapons from their police force and other security institutions. The officials «did not provide a clear answer» when asked if weapons from Hamas’ so-called military wing would be included.
HAMAS FACES ‘LEGITIMACY CRISIS’ AS DESPERATE GAZANS FLOCK TO US-BACKED AID CENTERS

President Donald Trump holds up a signed agreement during a world leaders summit focused on ending the Gaza war in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, on Oct. 13. (Suzanne Plunkett/Getty Images)
Schanzer pushed back on claims that Hamas’ political and military wings operate separately. «That is a fiction. The idea that they are separate in any way or that there is a firewall between them is asinine.» He said that this is «a distinction that has been made up by the West in order to be able to have political relations with Hamas, or to justify elections. It’s a mistake to buy into that fiction.»
Schanzer said weakening Iran could be key to minimizing Hamas’ influence. «The psychological impact of their top patron being defeated on the battlefield, I can’t overstate how important that event could be,» he said. «It would be a gut punch to Hamas.»

An election campaign starts in the city of Deir al-Balah, Gaza on April 12, 2026, as part of the local elections scheduled for April 25. While posters and works regarding the election process continue in the city, citizens follow the developments closely. (Mohammed Eslayeh/Anadolu via Getty Images)
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With Israel controlling about 53% of the Gaza Strip and Hamas the remaining 47%, Schanzer said «we could continue to see the erosion of Hamas control» amid the «slow and steady process of Israel winning on the ground.» He said patience, though, is necessary, adding that «the enemies of the United States and Israel and the West have a very different timeline. They want to wait out everybody because they know that we’d like to move on.»
The Trump administration did not respond to Fox News Digital’s questions about whether a partial disarmament would satisfy its ceasefire terms, or if it would take action to stall elections until there’s more stability in Gaza
hamas, war with iran, israel, terrorism
INTERNACIONAL
La guerra termina, pero crece la presión sobre las autoridades del régimen iraní por la crisis económica

El acuerdo alcanzado entre Irán y Estados Unidos para poner fin a la guerra abrió una nueva etapa para la República Islámica, marcada por la presión de una economía devastada, las expectativas de una población agotada por el conflicto y las demandas de los sectores más radicales del sistema, que reclaman una postura más dura frente a Washington.
Mientras el memorando que ambas partes firmarán el fin de semana en Suiza busca consolidar el cese de las hostilidades y reabrir el estrecho de Ormuz, dirigentes, analistas y ciudadanos coinciden en que los desafíos internos podrían convertirse en la principal preocupación de las autoridades iraníes en los próximos meses.
“En el momento en que termine la guerra, y dado que este acuerdo provisional es inestable, comenzarán los verdaderos problemas para la clase clerical iraní”, afirmó Hamidreza Azizi, investigador visitante del Instituto Alemán de Asuntos Internacionales y de Seguridad de Berlín.
Según funcionarios iraníes consultados por Reuters, existe una fuerte expectativa social de que cualquier alivio financiero derivado del acuerdo se traduzca en mejoras concretas para la población. Uno de ellos describió a los ciudadanos como “cansados de la guerra y las dificultades económicas” y señaló que los recursos obtenidos se destinarían a la reconstrucción, al sistema bancario y a programas de apoyo económico.
La economía iraní atraviesa una situación crítica. La inflación anual, que rondaba el 50% antes del conflicto, escaló hasta el 77%, mientras que en productos de primera necesidad llegó al 130 %. Además, el Gobierno estima que los ataques estadounidenses e israelíes causaron daños por unos 270.000 millones de dólares, afectaron cerca de 3.000 infraestructuras industriales y provocaron la pérdida de al menos dos millones de empleos.

En las calles de Teherán, el anuncio del acuerdo fue recibido con alivio. En la plaza Enqelab, uno de los centros neurálgicos de la capital, muchos ciudadanos expresaron su esperanza de que el entendimiento permita mejorar las condiciones de vida tras 39 días de bombardeos y más de dos meses de incertidumbre.
“Cuando escuché que Irán y Estados Unidos habían acordado un memorando de entendimiento sentí alivio”, dijo Mahmud, un cajero de supermercado de 46 años. “Estamos cansados del conflicto y queremos pasar página”, agregó. El trabajador explicó que el deterioro económico obligó a muchas familias a reducir gastos básicos. “Hemos dejado de tomar café todos los días o de comprar alimentos no esenciales”, relató.
Mahmud también expresó cautela respecto del futuro del acuerdo. “Creo que si las sanciones se reducen quizás mejore la economía y el Gobierno tenga más recursos por lo menos para evitar que la inflación siga subiendo”, sostuvo, aunque advirtió: “Ya hemos visto acuerdos que luego no se han mantenido”.
La expectativa económica también domina las preocupaciones de Alí, empleado de una compañía de seguros. “Lo importante es que se haya abierto una puerta a la diplomacia”, señaló. “Ahora mismo, una mejora de la situación económica sería lo más importante para nosotros los iraníes, que estamos siendo aplastados por la subida de precios”, añadió.
Ashkan, un desempleado de 38 años, consideró que el acuerdo representa una oportunidad pese a las incertidumbres sobre las futuras negociaciones nucleares. “Nadie sabe si las negociaciones tendrán éxito, pero después de meses de guerra, incluso la posibilidad de una solución diplomática ya se considera una buena noticia”, afirmó.

“Queremos mirar hacia adelante y recuperar una vida normal”, sostuvo. También remarcó que su generación busca “oportunidades, intercambios con otros países y un horizonte más predecible”.
Sin embargo, el acuerdo también generó rechazo entre sectores ultraconservadores que consideran que Irán obtuvo una victoria militar y no debería negociar con Washington.
Durante toda la guerra, las autoridades del régimen recurrieron a una fuerte movilización de grupos afines al sistema y reprimieron cualquier manifestación de disidencia. Ahora, parte de esa base política reclama una recompensa por su apoyo y cuestiona la decisión de sentarse a negociar con Estados Unidos.
Uno de los sectores más críticos es el Frente Paydari, una corriente ultraconservadora con representación parlamentaria y capacidad de presión sobre el establishment político.
Hossein, integrante de la milicia Basij vinculada a la Guardia Revolucionaria, expresó ese malestar. “Están haciendo un trato con el enemigo que martirizó a nuestro líder, a pesar de que habíamos ganado la guerra”, afirmó. “¿Qué ha sido de vengar la sangre del imán Khamenei? ¿Qué tipo de gobierno islámico es este? Y ahora, el viernes, quieren dar la mano a los asesinos del imán”, agregó.
Las manifestaciones de rechazo al acuerdo siguen siendo minoritarias. En Teherán, pequeños grupos de ultraconservadores continúan concentrándose con consignas como “Muerte a América”, “Muerte a Israel” y “Muerte a los vende patrias”.
Una manifestante aseguró que “hay que seguir luchando con Estados Unidos e Israel hasta derrotarlos” y sostuvo que el líder supremo, Mojtaba Khameneí, “no ha dado su visto bueno al acuerdo”.
Analistas consideran que el principal desafío del liderazgo iraní consistirá en equilibrar esas presiones contrapuestas. Por un lado, una población que exige alivio económico y estabilidad. Por otro, una base ideológica que reclama firmeza frente a Occidente y mayores inversiones en capacidades militares.
“El reto más inmediato para los dirigentes es cómo convencer a su propia base de apoyo de línea dura de que este es realmente un buen acuerdo”, sostuvo Azizi.
A su vez, el economista Saeed Laylaz advirtió: “Desde una perspectiva interna, Irán dispone ahora de un margen de tiempo limitado para controlar la situación interna”.
La posibilidad de nuevas protestas masivas permanece presente en el horizonte político iraní. Funcionarios y ex funcionarios reconocieron que el fracaso para mejorar las condiciones de vida podría reactivar el malestar social en un país donde las autoridades aún enfrentan las secuelas de las protestas de los últimos años y las tensiones derivadas de la sucesión en el liderazgo supremo tras la muerte de Ali Khamenei.
(Con información de EFE y Reuters)
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Gavin Newsom claims Trump ordered DOJ probe targeting him and his wife

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California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday said that the Justice Department is investigating him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, under orders from President Donald Trump.
«After calling for my arrest last year, Donald Trump directed his Department of Justice to investigate me,» he said in a video statement. «And just in the last week, I’ve learned his campaign has reached my own home: to get me, he’s coming after my wife, Jen.»
The governor also claimed the investigation is intended to undermine any potential White House bid he may pursue in the future.
Sources familiar told Fox News that the investigation has been ongoing since 2025 and that the probe is based on whistleblower complaints related to Newsom and his wife’s personal finances. The case is being handled by the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Sacramento.
CNN PANELIST COMPARES HUNTER BIDEN, GAVIN NEWSOM MASH UP TO ‘WEIRD TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES’
California Gov. Gavin Newsom spoke about the bill Saturday, neglecting to mention any safety issues reported by ICE officers and their families. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
«Donald Trump isn’t just coming after me because of my mean Tweets. He’s coming after me because I am considering running for President,» he said. «Because he hates that I’ve consistently called him out – over and over again – for his lies and deceit. Donald Trump is simply the most corrupt President in American history.»
Newsom’s wife, Jennifer, is a documentary filmmaker who runs The Representation Project, a nonprofit organization that seeks to advance feminism through media production. The charity has attracted «pay-for-play» allegations, with critics claiming that corporations with business interests in California donate to the organization to gain influence over Newsom.
«There are clearly no boundaries to what Donald Trump will do to get his way or to challenge those who get in his way. This is not presidential behavior, and the Governor and I will continue to speak truth to power because the American people deserve so much more,» Jennifer Siebel Newsom said in a statement to Fox News.
″One by one, anyone who has challenged Donald Trump has ended up on his hit list,» Newsom said in a video statement. «And today, I proudly join that list.»
Since Trump took office, the DOJ has set its sights on a number of Trump’s foes. Among them are former FBI Director James Comey, former National Security Advisor John Bolton, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Sen. Adam Schiff, and former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Trump and Newsom have engaged in a number of high-profile clashes in recent years.
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In November 2025, for instance, Trump nationalized the California National Guard to address anti-immigration enforcement protests in Los Angeles, prompting Newsom to sue to regain control of the forces. The two have repeatedly traded blows over issues such as crime, homelessness and environmental issues.
The California governor’s office referred Fox News Digital to a fact sheet claiming that federal investigators spent months trying to indict Newsom and, upon failing, widened their search for criminal activity. The fact sheet also asserts that federal agents have subpoenaed records and conducted interviews covering years of activity.
CNN PANELIST COMPARES HUNTER BIDEN, GAVIN NEWSOM MASH UP TO ‘WEIRD TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES’

Gov. Gavin Newsom said that President Donald Trump is targeting him and his wife. (AP Photo)
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Sources familiar told Fox News that there have been grand jury subpoenas, though did not specify who was subpoenaed nor their relation to the investigation into Newsom.
The DOJ did not respond to a request for comment when reached by Fox News Digital on Monday.
Fox News’ David Spunt, Jake Gibson and Olivia Palombo contributed to this story.
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INTERNACIONAL
El acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán: incluso si reabre el estrecho de Ormuz, el petróleo tardaría semanas o meses en fluir plenamente

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