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La OPEP+ evaluará un aumento de las cuotas de producción ante el alza de los precios de petróleo por la guerra de Irán

El cierre del estrecho de Ormuz y la guerra con Irán provocaron una caída abrupta en la oferta mundial de petróleo, llevando los precios a niveles que duplican los valores previos al conflicto. Mientras los ministros de la Organización de Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP) y otros invitados se preparan para discutir un posible aumento de cuotas este domingo, las expectativas de un impacto real en el mercado son bajas.
La reunión de los 21 países miembros del cártel se desarrolla en línea en un clima de presión internacional. Se espera que se anuncie un incremento de alrededor de 188.000 barriles diarios, una cifra similar a la de los últimos ajustes, según anticipó Jorge León, analista de Rystad Energy, en diálogo a la agencia AFP.
Sin embargo, solo una fracción de los miembros —Arabia Saudita, Rusia, Irak, Kuwait, Kazajistán, Argelia y Omán— cuenta con la capacidad para aumentar la producción de manera efectiva.
Las restricciones en la exportación tras los ataques de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Irán dejaron fuera del mercado a los principales productores del Golfo. A diario, cerca de 20 millones de barriles que normalmente cruzarían Ormuz quedaron bloqueados por el régimen persa, lo que agrava la presión sobre los precios y genera consecuencias inflacionarias a escala global.
En este contexto, la OPEP+ vio cómo su producción diaria cayó a 33 millones de barriles, una diferencia drástica respecto a los casi 43 millones previos al conflicto. El bloqueo estadounidense a puertos iraníes ha comprimido aún más la cifra, advirtió Homayoun Falakshahi, jefe de análisis de crudo en Kpler, a AFP.

La decisión de los Emiratos Árabes Unidos de abandonar la OPEP debilitó todavía más la influencia del grupo. Abu Dhabi manifestó su intención de incrementar su producción sin restricciones. “No quieren que les impongan cosas, quieren maximizar sus ingresos”, explicó Lawrence Haar, de la Universidad de Brighton.
Mientras tanto, la salida emiratí podría sentar un precedente peligroso. “Si Irak se marchara, podría suponer el fin de la OPEP+”, alertó Falakshahi. Consciente de ese riesgo, Arabia Saudita busca evitar cualquier deserción adicional, lo que podría traducirse en cuotas más flexibles y una reducción de sanciones por sobreproducción.
En palabras de Ole Hansen, analista de materias primas de Saxo Bank, “cualquier aumento de producción anunciado o cambio en los objetivos de producción tendrá un valor práctico limitado”. Hansen fue tajante: “La OPEP poco puede hacer”.

La propia organización reconoce que, con las plantas de producción cerradas y los buques petroleros varados, el sistema de penalizaciones quedó en suspenso: “Por ahora, el marco de compensación se ha vuelto prácticamente irrelevante debido a los cierres generalizados de plantas de producción”, sostuvo Hansen.
La guerra en Irán neutralizó la misión original del cártel —garantizar un suministro eficiente y regular—. El único freno visible a nuevos aumentos en los precios es el comportamiento de China, que “está comprando menos petróleo de lo normal” al hacer uso de sus reservas estratégicas, según Falakshahi.
La OPEP+ enfrenta una de sus mayores crisis de relevancia, en un momento donde ni las promesas de mayor producción ni la presión diplomática logran frenar la escalada de precios. La incertidumbre sobre la estabilidad del cártel y la posibilidad de nuevas salidas marcan el pulso de un mercado que parece cada vez más condicionado por la geopolítica y las rupturas internas.
(Con información de AFP)
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Fox News Poll: Voters oppose the Iran war, see prolonged commitment

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Disapproval of President Donald Trump’s handling of Iran hit a record high in July, as a majority of voters oppose U.S. military action, and nearly two thirds think the conflict will last at least a year.
The latest Fox News survey finds 56% oppose U.S. military action against Iran, including 40% who «strongly» oppose. More Democrats oppose the war (84%) than Republicans support it (76%).
FOX NEWS POLL: A CLOSE SENATE CONTEST IS BREWING IN IOWA
Voters increasingly expect a long-term commitment. Today, 64% think the war will last a year or more, up 13 percentage points since May. Expectations vary sharply depending on attitudes toward the Iran war. Among supporters, 56% think it will be over in weeks or months, while 80% of opponents expect it to last at least a year.
FOX NEWS POLL: VOTERS WANT MAJOR CHANGE AMID ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DISCONTENT
There is also doubt the conflict will produce an agreement. About half think the U.S. will not reach a deal with Iran, while the rest split between expecting a good deal (27%) and a bad one (25%).
Roughly half of Democrats, Republicans, and independents predict there will be no agreement with the Islamic Republic. Among those anticipating a deal, Democrats are 20 points more likely to expect a bad one, while Republicans are 27 points more likely to expect a good one.
Just 34% of voters approve of Trump’s handling of Iran, while 66% disapprove, his worst marks to date.
Trump’s overall standing remains steady, but underwater. Thirty-nine percent approve of his job performance, unchanged for the past three months. Sixty-one percent disapprove, tying a previous high. That includes 49% who «strongly» disapprove, matching a record high.
For historical context, Trump’s best rating, 49% approve and 49% disapprove, came in April 2020. His current 39% approval is close to former President Joe Biden’s 40% (July 2022) and former President Barack Obama’s 42% (July 2014), during the summer of a midterm election year.
Trump continues to receive some of his strongest support from MAGA Republicans (97% approve) and conservatives (72%). But compared to June, his approval has declined to a near record low among rural voters (down 7 points to 44%) and an all-time low among White voters (down 3 points to 41%).
Yet the largest change comes among non-MAGA Republicans. Their support has fallen 13 points since last month to 51% approval, after hitting 70% at the beginning of Trump’s second term.
Trump’s ratings are also underwater on the economy (33% approve, 67% disapprove) and inflation (27-73%).
Republicans lose advantage on immigration
Voters are now divided over which party can better handle immigration: 50% say the Democrats and 49% the Republicans, a meaningful shift since April, when the GOP held an 8-point advantage. Women and voters under age 45 prefer the Democrats on immigration, while men and those ages 45 and older favor the Republicans.
«During the Biden administration years, immigration attitudes were often defined by border security considerations,» says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who works on the Fox News Poll with Democratic counterpart Chris Anderson. «Today, immigration enforcement and ICE often dominate, eroding the GOP’s edge on the issue.»
Immigration remains Trump’s best performing issue in the survey, but his rating is still negative: 42% approve, while 57% disapprove.
Views of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) follow a similar pattern. ICE approval stands at 41%, unchanged since early this year but down from 49% last September.
Majorities of Democrats (90%) and independents (68%) disapprove of ICE, while most Republicans approve (79%). Fully 78% of Democrats, and 50% of independents «strongly» disapprove, compared with 53% of Republicans who «strongly» approve.
Few voters support allowing all illegal immigrants to remain in the U.S. Just 7% take that position, including 11% of Democrats, 5% of independents, and 2% of Republicans.
Instead, 62% favor deporting those who have been charged with crimes while allowing others to stay and eventually qualify for citizenship. That position draws majority support from every demographic group except Republicans (39%), conservatives (41%), and White evangelical Christians (48%).
Thirty-one percent favor deporting all illegal immigrants, with support highest among MAGA Republicans at 68%.
When asked about their concerns about illegal immigration, voters are most worried about the strain on government services (39%). Smaller shares cite crime (19%), job losses for U.S. citizens (14%), changes to the country’s culture (13%), and terrorism (10%).
Overburdened government programs rank as the top concern across demographic groups. College graduates, those living in high income households, suburban voters and independents are among those most likely to cite it.
The immigration findings also reveal a consistent divide within the Republican Party. ICE approval is 91% among MAGA Republicans compared with 59% among other Republicans, one of the widest gaps in the survey.
A similar split appears in ratings of Trump’s handling of immigration, with 91% of MAGA Republicans approving compared with 63% of other Republicans. MAGA Republicans are also nearly 30 points more likely to favor deporting all illegal immigrants (68% vs. 41%).
Conducted July 17–20, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,003 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (70) and cellphones (681) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (252). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. The survey includes an oversample of 200 voters aged 18–29, bringing the sample size for that subgroup to 350 (±5). Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling errors, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
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French modeling scout linked to Jeffrey Epstein found dead in Paris apartment

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A French modeling scout with ties to Jeffrey Epstein was found dead inside his Paris apartment, prosecutors said.
The body of Daniel Siad, 69, was discovered Monday night, and an autopsy is pending. Siad’s attorney, Menya Arab-Tigrine, told Fox News Digital that he died from a heart attack.
«While he died of a heart attack, the unbearable waiting, the stigma cast upon him—and, by extension, his loved ones—as well as the daily pressure and anxiety he endured, undoubtedly played a role,» she said. «We must await the autopsy results to determine whether his body simply gave out.»
Fox News Digital has reached out to French prosecutors.
JEFFREY EPSTEIN’S PURPORTED SUICIDE NOTE UNSEALED BY FEDERAL JUDGE IN CELLMATE’S CASE
Daniel Siad, 69, a French modeling scout with ties to Jeffrey Epstein, was found dead inside his Paris apartment, prosecutors said Wednesday. (Justice Department)
Siad’s name appeared around 2,000 times in the Epstein files released by the Justice Department, Reuters reported.
«I am here in Barcelona I have girls staying with me from Australia Croecian origin, so you can speak with her very Sweet,» Siad allegedly wrote to Epstein in one email.
«I am looking to place her here and Paris,» he added.
DEMOCRAT CALLS HOWARD LUTNICK A ‘PATHOLOGICAL LIAR’ AFTER CLOSED-DOOR EPSTEIN TESTIMONY

This photograph taken on July 22, 2026, shows the residence of model agent Daniel Siad in Colombes, a north-western suburb of Paris, where he was found dead on July 20. Authorities opened an investigation into the cause of death and ordered a post-mortem examination. (AFP via Getty Images)
«Photo?» Epstein replied.
Another email from Siad to Epstein from April 2009 included images of a 17-year-old Slovakian girl while he was scouting models in Bratislava.
At least 24 women have come forward as victims or witnesses of alleged acts committed by Siad or others following the February launch of a human trafficking and fraud probe, Paris prosecutor Laure Beccuau told Reuters.

Jeffrey Epstein was found dead in federal custody in 2019. (New York State Sex Offender Registry via AP, File)
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Investigators looked into Siad, but there wasn’t enough evidence to justify his immediate arrest, said Arab-Tigrine.
«Let us not forget that he was never prosecuted, nor was he ever formally implicated in any legal proceedings,» she said. «In the coming days, we must respect the grief of his loved ones. He has passed away, and he was innocent.»
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